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JMU

James Madison 59 at Coastal Carolina 10

CCU
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:23 · #29 E.Sebafundi punt 33 yards to the Dukes41, out of bounds at Dukes41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior−43.0Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:31: Braeden Wisloski 39 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick) — JMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:57: #91 K.Afrookhteh field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #29 E.Sebafundi, LS: #43 N.Merchant), clock 07:57 — CCU win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:59: No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short right to #4 B.Graves caught at Dukes00, for 12 yards to the Dukes00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:59, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Afrookhteh kick attempt good (H: #29 E.Sebafundi, LS: #43 N.Merchant) — CCU win probability +4.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:15: #5 M.Suarez field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard), clock 10:15 — JMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:17: Lacota Dippre 25 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Alonza Barnett III Pass to Nick DeGennaro for Two-Point Conversion) — JMU win probability +7.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:35CCU 4th & 17 at CCU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:23CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:56JMU 4th & 8 at CCU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:56CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:50CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:31CCU 4th & 24 at CCU 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:21JMU 4th & 7 at CCU 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:57CCU 4th & 7 at JMU 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:07CCU 4th & 15 at CCU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:36JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:04JMU 4th & 5 at CCU 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:15JMU 4th & 3 at CCU 3, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−4.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:17CCU 4th & 10 at JMU 45, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    12.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:17JMU 4th & 1 at CCU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−1.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−2.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:12CCU 4th & 10 at JMU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:55CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:30CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:25CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 42, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:36JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:31JMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:59CCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:17JMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55JMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:40JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:25JMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:02JMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:256% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short right to #17 C.Wright thrown to Chants40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
6.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Simpkins rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Chants23 (#56 D.Spinogatti; #90 T.Lockett Jr.)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
6.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson sacked for loss of 5 yards to the Chants18 (#9 X.Holmes)Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
6.6%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 32 yards to the Chants50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:5993% → 93%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
50
+14
6.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #0 J.Sanchez caught at Chants39, for 14 yards to the Chants36 (#17 C.Henry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
6.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Chants27 (#14 M.Woods)Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+21
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #10 B.Wisloski caught at Chants11, for 21 yards to the Chants06 (#17 C.Henry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Chants03 (#14 M.Woods)Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 0 yards to the Chants03 (#4 L.Whitaker; #17 C.Henry)Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush left for 3 yards gain to the Chants00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:36 #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:137% → 7%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Simpkins rush left for 0 yards to the Chants25 (#97 A.Gobaira)Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #11 B.Johnson thrown to Chants27Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson rush left for 1 yard gain to the Chants26 (#5 T.Hendrick), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
7.4%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 33 yards to the Dukes41, out of bounds at Dukes41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:2793% → 92%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete deep middle to #11 N.DeGennaro caught at Chants32, for 27 yards to the Chants32 (#4 L.Whitaker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Chants24 (#2 J.Wayne)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+7
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #18 L.Kyle caught at Chants20, for 7 yards to the Chants17 (#4 L.Whitaker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the Chants17 (#30 D.Lunan)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Sanchez thrown to Chants00Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+2
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 G.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Chants15 (#55 T.Brown)Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
8.0%
#5 M.Suarez field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard), clock 05:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:068% → 8%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short left to #23 D.Knicely caught at Chants29, for 4 yards to the Chants29, out of bounds at Chants29Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
8.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short left to #0 K.English caught at Chants28, for 4 yards to the Chants33 (#7 J.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
8.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Knicely rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Chants34 (#7 J.Thomas; #5 T.Hendrick)Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
7.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short right to #17 C.Wright caught at Chants37, for 3 yards to the Chants37 (#30 J.Eaglin; #7 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
8.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Edwards rush middle for 0 yards to the Chants37 (#32 D.Barksdale)Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
8.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short middle to #4 B.Graves thrown to Chants50Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
7.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short middle to #5 J.Simpkins thrown to Chants35 broken up by #7 J.ThomasSimilar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
8.3%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 45 yards to the Dukes18 #3 W.Knight return 0 yards to the Dukes18, End Of Play PENALTY Chants Kick Catch Interference (#8 J.Tucker) 15 yards from Dukes18 to Dukes33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:1991% → 94%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
8.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 5 yards gain to the Dukes38 (#30 D.Lunan; #12 D.Pinckney)Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
8.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Dukes47 (#42 N.Arinze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
8.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the Dukes47 (#90 T.Moore)Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
8.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #0 J.Sanchez caught at Chants39, for 14 yards to the Chants39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
6.5%
Braeden Wisloski 39 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:317% → 7%
Q1 0:31
2ND & 24
OWN 11
0
7.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short right to #3 M.Meiga thrown to Chants25Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 24
OWN 11
0
7.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Washington thrown to Chants13 broken up by #15 S.WestSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
7.0%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 32 yards to the Chants43Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
7.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson sacked for loss of 14 yards to the Chants11 (#56 D.Spinogatti) PENALTY Chants Intentional Grounding (#12 T.Hudson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:3994% → 95%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush right for 6 yards gain to the Chants37 (#19 S.McDowell)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Chants34 (#30 D.Lunan)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Chants32 (#6 X.Gordon; #14 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush left for 1 yard gain to the Chants31 (#52 I.Diawara; #2 J.Wayne)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #18 L.Kyle caught at Chants30, for 2 yards to the Chants29 (#52 I.Diawara)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short left to #10 B.Wisloski thrown to Chants20Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
5.3%
#5 M.Suarez field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard), clock 11:21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 3:246% → 8%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
6.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short middle to #33 Z.Courtney caught at Chants42, for 23 yards to the Chants48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Gillie thrown to Dukes26Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Simpkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Dukes49 (#7 J.Thomas; #15 S.West)Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+15
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Washington thrown to Dukes35 PENALTY Dukes Pass Interference (#32 D.Barksdale) 15 yards from Dukes49 to Dukes34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short right to #3 M.Meiga thrown to Dukes15 QB hurried by #7 J.ThomasSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Knicely rush left for 3 yards gain to the Dukes31 (#97 A.Gobaira)Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+11
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short middle to #17 C.Wright caught at Dukes20, for 11 yards to the Dukes20, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Dukes18 (#97 A.Gobaira)Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #33 Z.Courtney thrown to Dukes00Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+1
6.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Dukes17 (#5 T.Hendrick; #97 A.Gobaira)Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
8.1%
#91 K.Afrookhteh field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #29 E.Sebafundi, LS: #43 N.Merchant), clock 07:57Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:417% → 6%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
6.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 3 yards gain to the Chants41 (#55 T.Brown)Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
6.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass intercepted by #14 M.Woods at Chants34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:058% → 8%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
7.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Simpkins rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Chants31 (#56 D.Spinogatti; #9 X.Holmes)Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-2
7.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Graves rush right for 2 yards loss to the Chants29 (#32 D.Barksdale), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
7.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete deep right to #8 J.Tucker thrown to Dukes35Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
7.6%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 41 yards to the Dukes30 fair catch by #3 W.Knight at Dukes30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3193% → 93%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 0 yards to the Dukes30 (#2 J.Wayne)Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #10 B.Wisloski caught at Dukes25, for 0 yards to the Dukes30 (#2 J.Wayne)Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
6.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep right to #17 M.Scott thrown to Dukes50Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
7.0%
#11 P.Rea punt 30 yards to the Chants40, out of bounds at Chants40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:378% → 13%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
8.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson rush right for 4 yards gain to the Chants44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
8.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Washington thrown to Chants48 broken up by #90 T.Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
8.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete deep right to #3 M.Meiga thrown to Dukes30 PENALTY Dukes Pass Interference (#13 T.Brown) 15 yards from Chants44 to Dukes41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
8.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short middle to #23 D.Knicely caught at Dukes41, for 4 yards to the Dukes37 (#56 D.Spinogatti)Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+25
8.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 B.Graves pass complete short right to #23 D.Knicely caught at Dukes22, for 25 yards to the Dukes12 (#30 J.Eaglin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
12.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short right to #4 B.Graves caught at Dukes00, for 12 yards to the Dukes00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:59, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Afrookhteh kick attempt good (H: #29 E.Sebafundi, LS: #43 N.Merchant)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:4889% → 89%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Dukes31 (#18 E.Durham-Campbell)Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
11.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Dukes38 (#19 S.McDowell; #30 D.Lunan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
10.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Dukes39 (#40 J.Bryant)Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+13
11.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #11 N.DeGennaro caught at Chants48, for 13 yards to the Chants48 (#4 L.Whitaker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the Chants48 (#40 J.Bryant)Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
10.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Dukes42 (#40 J.Bryant)Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 20
OWN 42
+15
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 15 yards gain to the Chants43 (#30 D.Lunan)Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+3
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Chants40 (#97 J.Mack), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
12.3%
Kneel down by #12 T.Hudson at Chants39 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:4589% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
11.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Chants34 (#99 S.Goram-Welch)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+14
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 14 yards gain to the Chants20 fumbled by #3 W.Knight at Chants21 forced by #2 J.Wayne recovered by Dukes #3 W.Knight at Chants20, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Chants12 (#19 S.McDowell)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+2
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Chants10 (#55 T.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Chants04 (#18 E.Durham-Campbell)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
11.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Chants01 (#90 T.Moore)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
11.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Chants03 (#90 T.Moore; #55 T.Brown)Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
9.5%
#5 M.Suarez field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard), clock 10:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:5812% → 11%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short middle to #33 Z.Courtney thrown to Chants29Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short middle to #1 R.Washington caught at Chants23, for 5 yards to the Chants30 (#13 T.Brown)Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+25
11.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short left to #17 C.Wright caught at Chants32, for 25 yards to the Dukes45, out of bounds at Dukes45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
12.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Knicely rush middle for 0 yards to the Dukes45 (#46 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
12.5%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Wright thrown to Dukes30Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
11.9%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short middle to #20 J.Edwards thrown to Dukes40Similar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 10
OPP 45
+2
11.4%
#29 E.Sebafundi pass complete short right to #2 M.Gillie caught at Dukes42, for 2 yards to the Dukes43 (#7 J.Thomas), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:0091% → 98%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
8.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short middle to #3 W.Knight thrown to Dukes48 broken up by #19 S.McDowellSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+17
8.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Chants40 (#2 J.Wayne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
8.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #11 N.DeGennaro caught at Chants36, for 7 yards to the Chants33, out of bounds at Chants33Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+1
8.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush left for 1 yard gain to the Chants32 (#92 A.Notice)Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
8.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Chants31 (#6 X.Gordon; #30 D.Lunan)Similar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+6
9.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Chants25 (#30 D.Lunan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
2.0%
Lacota Dippre 25 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Alonza Barnett III Pass to Nick DeGennaro for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
3.3%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Chants33 (#56 D.Spinogatti)Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+42
3.2%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete deep middle to #0 K.English caught at Dukes41, for 42 yards to the Dukes25 (#30 J.Eaglin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
3.7%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete deep left to #17 C.Wright thrown to Dukes01Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
3.6%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short left to #4 B.Graves caught at Dukes26, for 0 yards to the Dukes25 (#14 K.Flowe)Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
3.4%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Johnson thrown to Dukes07Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
3.1%
#91 K.Afrookhteh field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #29 E.Sebafundi, LS: #43 N.Merchant), clock 03:12, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1799% → 100%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #10 B.Wisloski caught at Dukes21, for 4 yards to the Dukes29 (#14 M.Woods)Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+23
1.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 23 yards gain to the Chants48 (#30 D.Lunan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep middle to #11 N.DeGennaro thrown to Chants10Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
1.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush left for 8 yards gain to the Chants40 (#9 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+11
1.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Chants29 (#6 X.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
1.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #12 Z.Collins caught at Chants22, for 20 yards to the Chants09 (#14 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.3%
Isaiah Alston 9 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 7 yds · 3:251% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short left to #23 D.Knicely caught at Chants19, for 0 yards to the Chants25 (#30 J.Eaglin)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.5%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short middle to #4 B.Graves caught at Chants35, for 9 yards to the Chants34 (#5 T.Hendrick)Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.6%
D. Knicely run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.6%
T. Hudson run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
0.6%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson rush for 0 yards to the Chants34 (#97 A.Gobaira)Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
0.6%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Chants36 (#7 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.6%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Wright thrown to Chants40Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.5%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short right to #17 C.Wright caught at Chants36, for 1 yard to the Chants37 (#2 E.Culp)Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
0.5%
PENALTY Chants Delay Of Game 5 yards from Chants37 to Chants32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
0.5%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Simpkins thrown to Chants33Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
0.3%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 46 yards to the Dukes22 fair catch by #3 W.Knight at Dukes22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
0.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #17 M.Scott caught at Dukes20, for 5 yards to the Dukes27 (#14 M.Woods)Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+73
0.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 73 yards gain to the Chants00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:40, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short right to #11 B.Johnson caught at Chants25, for 2 yards to the Chants27, out of bounds at Chants27Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
0.2%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short left to #20 J.Edwards caught at Chants25, for 3 yards to the Chants30 (#26 J.Studio)Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-34
0.1%
KJ Flowe 34 Yd Interception Return (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.2%
Shotgun #20 J.Edwards rush middle for 0 yards to the Chants15 (#98 T.Schmidt; #14 K.Flowe)Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
0.1%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Washington thrown to Chants23Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
0.1%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short middle to #23 D.Knicely thrown to Chants13Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.1%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 42 yards to the Dukes43 #17 M.Scott return 5 yards to the Dukes48 (#3 M.Meiga) PENALTY Chants Personal Foul 15 yards from Dukes48 to Chants37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Chants27 (#6 X.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Chants23 (#98 T.Nesbitt)Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+8
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Chants15 (#6 X.Gordon; #42 N.Arinze), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Sluka rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Chants07 (#19 S.McDowell)Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Sluka rush middle for 0 yards to the Chants07 (#2 J.Wayne)Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+5
0.2%
PENALTY Dukes Delay Of Game 5 yards from Chants07 to Chants12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+5
0.2%
PENALTY Dukes Delay Of Game 5 yards from Chants12 to Chants17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+15
0.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Sluka pass complete short right to #8 I.Alston caught at Chants00, for 17 yards to the Chants00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 04:11 PENALTY Dukes Face Mask 15 yards from Chants17 to Chants32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 27
OPP 32
+32
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Sluka pass complete deep middle to #17 M.Scott caught at Chants00, for 32 yards to the Chants00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:02, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
0.1%
Shotgun #5 J.Simpkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Chants36 (#11 T.Dye)Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
0.1%
Shotgun #5 J.Simpkins rush right for 6 yards gain to the Chants42 (#11 T.Dye)Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass incomplete short left to #23 D.Knicely thrown to Chants40Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
0.1%
#29 E.Sebafundi punt 46 yards to the Dukes12, out of bounds at Dukes12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Kendall rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Dukes17 (#40 J.Bryant)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
0.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Kendall rush left for 3 yards gain to the Dukes20 (#17 C.Henry)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+2
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Kendall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Dukes22 (#40 J.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
0.2%
Kneel down by #15 B.Kendall at Dukes20 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-2
0.3%
Kneel down by #15 B.Kendall at Dukes18 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:17
Lacota Dippre 25 Yd pass from Alonza Barnett III (Alonza Barnett III Pass to Nick DeGennaro for Two-Point Conversion)
-7.4
TD · Q2 2:59
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.Hudson pass complete short right to #4 B.Graves caught at Dukes00, for 12 yards to the Dukes00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:59, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Afrookhteh kick attempt good (H: #29 E.Sebafundi, LS: #43 N.Merchant)
+4.2
FG · Q3 10:15
#5 M.Suarez field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard), clock 10:15
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com