2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreTXST score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:10 · (00:21) #96 R.Harradine punt 44 yards to the TXST12 #11 B.Sparks return 1 yard to the TXST13 (#3 I.Foster; #53 J.Harper)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q1 2:16: (02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:16, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner) — TXST win probability +5.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
- FG · Q2 10:41: (10:46) #95 T.Robles field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner), clock 10:41 — TXST win probability +3.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
- TD · Q2 1:06: (01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:06 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner) — TXST win probability +3.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:58: Elijah Metcalf 4 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick) — USM win probability +6.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
- TD · Q4 12:32: (12:34) Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:32 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner) — TXST win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
- Q1 10:12TXST 4th & 1 at USM 6, tiedClose callKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snapGo for it40.3%69% to convertField goalTheir call40.1%−0.391% to makePunt39.4%−0.9average punt
- Q1 0:10USM 4th & 6 at USM 44, down 10Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snapGo for it51.1%−0.140% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call51.2%average punt
- Q2 10:41TXST 4th & 15 at USM 32, up 10Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snapGo for it48.7%−1.017% to convertField goalTheir call49.6%51% to makePunt49.0%−0.6average punt
- Q2 7:23USM 4th & 4 at USM 42, down 13Close callPunted · 43.4% before the snapGo for it43.6%48% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call43.6%−<0.1average punt
- Q2 4:31USM 4th & 4 at TXST 48, down 20Close callPunted · 30.8% before the snapGo for it31.0%48% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call30.4%−0.6average punt
- Q2 0:34USM 4th & 3 at USM 32, down 27Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snapGo for it6.8%−1.352% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call8.1%average punt
- Q3 12:06TXST 4th & 4 at TXST 28, up 27Close callPunted · 93.3% before the snapGo for it93.8%47% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call93.7%−0.1average punt
- Q3 9:14USM 4th & 9 at TXST 34, down 27Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call4.4%−0.132% to convertField goal4.5%47% to makePunt4.0%−0.5average punt
- Q3 7:09TXST 4th & 28 at TXST 16, up 27Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snapGo for it94.8%−1.16% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call95.9%average punt
- Q4 6:54USM 4th & 10 at USM 25, down 34Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snapGo for it0.2%−0.128% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call0.3%average punt
- Q4 4:29TXST 4th & 1 at TXST 34, up 34Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snapGo for it99.8%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call99.7%−0.1average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
- Q1 2:16TXST Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call47.2%97% to makeGo for two47.2%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 6:03TXST Touchdown, up 19 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call68.5%97% to makeGo for two68.4%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:06TXST Touchdown, up 26 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call94.4%97% to makeGo for two94.2%−0.245% to convert
- Q3 2:58USM Touchdown, down 21 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call5.6%97% to makeGo for two5.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 12:32TXST Touchdown, up 26 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call99.5%97% to makeGo for two99.4%−<0.145% to convert
- Q4 7:45TXST Touchdown, up 33 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call99.8%−<0.197% to makeGo for two99.8%45% to convert
- Q4 1:39USM Touchdown, down 28 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call0.2%−<0.197% to makeGo for two0.2%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartTXSTDrive 1FG15 plays · 69 yds · 4:4142% → 43%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the TXST30 (#17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
57.8%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TXST36 (#36 B.Lewis; #41 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
57.8%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST43, for 8 yards to the TXST44 (#1 J.Moten; #3 I.Foster)Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
57.7%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST49 (#17 M.Montgomery; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
57.7%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #7 L.Pare caught at USM47, for 5 yards to the USM46 (#3 I.Foster)Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+11
57.7%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush right for 11 yards gain to the USM35 (#23 A.Richard, Jr.; #41 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
57.6%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM32 (#3 I.Foster; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+2
57.5%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM30 (#95 M.Clinton)Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
57.4%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 9 yards gain to the USM06 (#13 M.Haygood; #41 A.Foster)Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 1
OPP 6
-2
57.4%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 2 yards loss to the USM08 (#14 J.Tapp; #16 J.Lewis)Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
57.5%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #86 T.Lyons caught at USM07, for 2 yards to the USM06 QB hurried by #16 J.Lewis (#36 B.Lewis; #41 A.Foster)Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+29
57.4%
(10:16) #95 T.Robles field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner), clock 10:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2FUMBLE11 plays · 40 yds · 3:1458% → 58%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
57.7%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM31, for 5 yards to the USM40 (#7 R.Nolan)Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+11
58.1%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM38, for 11 yards to the TXST49, out of bounds at TXST49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
58.2%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TXST50 (#7 R.Nolan; #99 A.Langi Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 11
50
+10
57.8%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #88 K.Heath caught at TXST40, for 10 yards to the TXST40 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
58.2%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST37 (#29 T.Payne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
58.3%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Chapman rush right for 12 yards gain to the TXST25 (#9 J.Rios), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
58.7%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Chester thrown to TXST00Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
58.7%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 0 yards to the TXST25 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+11
58.2%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TXST14 fumbled by #0 J.Pittman at TXST20 forced by #15 D.Russell recovered by TXST #10 J.Mynatt at TXST14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3TD13 plays · 86 yds · 4:2743% → 50%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
57.3%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TXST24 (#22 C.Myrick; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
57.2%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush left for 8 yards gain to the TXST32 (#17 M.Montgomery; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+5
56.7%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST37 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
56.7%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #9 G.Burrell caught at TXST43, for 7 yards to the TXST44 (#3 I.Foster; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
56.3%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST49 (#53 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
56.2%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST44, for 11 yards to the USM40 (#22 C.Myrick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
55.8%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 15 yards gain to the USM25 (#22 C.Myrick; #53 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
55.1%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush left for 2 yards gain to the USM23, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+13
55.0%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #11 B.Sparks caught at USM16, for 13 yards to the USM10 (#11 J.Pennix; #22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
54.8%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at USM14, for 8 yards to the USM02 (#3 I.Foster; #22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
54.7%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USM03 (#98 J.McKinney)Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
49.6%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:16, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4PUNT8 plays · 24 yds · 1:5050% → 49%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.7%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the USM20 (#2 K.Alexander; #99 A.Langi Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
49.3%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #6 M.Davis caught at USM13, for 2 yards loss to the USM18 (#3 M.Boudoin III; #45 C.Nilles)Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+22
48.8%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #2 T.Chapman caught at USM33, for 22 yards to the USM40 (#23 A.Atwood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
49.7%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM44 (#1 B.Crosby)Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
49.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete deep middle to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TXST33Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
49.1%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Pittman thrown to USM49 broken up by #3 M.Boudoin IIISimilar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+1
48.7%
(00:21) #96 R.Harradine punt 44 yards to the TXST12 #11 B.Sparks return 1 yard to the TXST13 (#3 I.Foster; #53 J.Harper)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5FG15 plays · 55 yds · 4:2951% → 57%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
49.5%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush left for 0 yards to the TXST13 (#16 J.Lewis)Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
49.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 6 yards gain to the TXST19 (#16 J.Lewis)Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+5
49.3%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the TXST24, out of bounds at TXST24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
48.4%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TXST36 (#35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
47.4%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST36, for 12 yards to the TXST48 (#17 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
47.0%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #11 B.Sparks caught at USM40, for 12 yards to the USM40 (#1 J.Moten), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USM Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
46.6%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM37 (#13 M.Haygood)Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+10
46.1%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at USM39, for 10 yards to the USM27 (#22 C.Myrick; #30 G.Ponder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
45.0%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #11 B.Sparks caught at USM31, for 5 yards loss to the USM32 (#30 G.Ponder)Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 15
OPP 32
0
45.1%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short left to #7 L.Pare thrown to USM35Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
45.7%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #86 T.Lyons thrown to USM23Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+50
42.6%
(10:46) #95 T.Robles field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner), clock 10:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT11 plays · 17 yds · 3:0641% → 37%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
41.4%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM25, for 24 yards to the USM49 (#17 C.Jones; #29 T.Payne) PENALTY USM Holding offsetting TXST Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.1%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM27 (#8 K.Washington; #29 T.Payne)Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
40.5%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at USM34, for 7 yards to the USM34 (#9 J.Rios), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
39.7%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM36 (#1 B.Crosby; #16 T.Cooks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
40.0%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM39 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.; #20 M.Willis)Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
39.8%
PENALTY USM False Start (#62 A.Maui) 5 yards from USM39 to USM34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-4
38.9%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush right for 4 yards loss to the USM30 (#35 T.Collins)Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+12
36.9%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at USM41, for 12 yards to the USM42 (#29 T.Payne)Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
37.4%
(07:31) #96 R.Harradine punt 44 yards to the TXST14, out of bounds at TXST14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7TD3 plays · 78 yds · 1:1461% → 63%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
38.7%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush left for 0 yards to the TXST14 (#35 C.Jones; #36 B.Lewis)Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
38.6%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST18 (#14 J.Tapp; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+82
36.6%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST35, for 82 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:03, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8PUNT7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3229% → 27%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
28.5%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete deep right to #6 M.Davis thrown to USM50 PENALTY TXST Holding (#18 C.Royal Jr.) 10 yards from USM25 to USM35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
28.2%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #0 J.Pittman caught at USM36, for 11 yards to the USM46 (#1 B.Crosby; #9 J.Rios), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
29.3%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM50 (#2 K.Alexander; #45 C.Nilles)Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 6
50
0
28.2%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #8 B.Brown thrown to TXST43 QB hurried by #45 C.NillesSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 6
50
+2
28.2%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #2 T.Chapman caught at USM50, for 2 yards to the TXST48 (#45 C.Nilles; #88 J.Sanders)Similar
Q2 4:31
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+4
26.7%
(04:38) #29 J.Murley punt 38 yards to the TXST10 #11 B.Sparks return 4 yards to the TXST14 (#18 M.Caswell), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9TD8 plays · 86 yds · 3:1370% → 90%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+61
30.0%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush right for 61 yards gain to the USM25 (#3 I.Foster; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
23.1%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM21 (#17 M.Montgomery; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+9
21.8%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush left for 9 yards gain to the USM12 (#6 D.King; #16 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USM Face Mask (#6 D.King) 6 yards from USM12 to USM06, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
21.3%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush left for 4 yards gain to the USM02 (#6 D.King; #98 J.McKinney)Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
14.8%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the USM04 (#36 B.Lewis; #53 J.Harper)Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.6%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:06 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 0:266% → 5%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.5%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #5 M.Jones caught at USM26, for 1 yard to the USM26, out of bounds at USM26Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
5.0%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM31, for 6 yards to the USM32 (#18 C.Royal Jr.; #29 T.Payne), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
4.7%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short right to #5 M.Jones thrown to USM38Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
4.5%
(00:43) #96 R.Harradine punt 38 yards to the TXST30 fair catch by #11 B.Sparks at TXST30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11END OF HALF2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
10.4%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush right for 5 yards gain to the TXST35 (#3 I.Foster; #17 M.Montgomery)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12INT6 plays · 26 yds · 1:287% → 5%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
6.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 8 yards gain to the USM33 (#1 B.Crosby; #23 A.Atwood)Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
6.0%
(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 12 yards gain to the USM45 (#1 B.Crosby; #16 T.Cooks Jr.), 1ST DOWN. #96 B.Carter injured on the playSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
5.2%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush right for 6 yards gain to the TXST49 (#99 A.Langi Jr.)Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-7
4.8%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #9 J.Rios at TXST25 QB hurried by #23 A.Atwood #9 J.Rios return 16 yards to the TXST41 (#88 K.Heath) PENALTY TXST Illegal Block in Back 10 yards from TXST32 to TXST22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 13PUNT5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1093% → 95%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
7.3%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TXST24 (#17 M.Montgomery; #41 A.Foster). #30 G.Ponder injured on the playSimilar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
6.4%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 0 yards to the TXST24 (#14 J.Tapp; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+4
5.4%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the TXST28 (#17 M.Montgomery; #22 C.Myrick)Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
5.2%
(12:12) #38 D.Nunez punt 42 yards to the USM30 fair catch by #6 M.Davis at USM30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14DOWNS8 plays · 36 yds · 2:405% → 4%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
4.6%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM30, for 1 yard to the USM31 QB hurried by #23 A.Atwood (#12 K.Snyder; #29 T.Payne)Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
4.2%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #24 J.Carter caught at USM35, for 6 yards to the USM37 (#29 T.Payne)Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+28
3.9%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM40, for 28 yards to the TXST35 (#7 R.Nolan; #10 J.Mynatt), 1ST DOWN. #7 R.Nolan injured on the playSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.7%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Chester thrown to TXST23Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
4.5%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy rush left for 5 yards gain to the TXST30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-4
4.0%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush right for 4 yards loss to the TXST34 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
3.6%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #9 E.Metcalf thrown to TXST18 broken up by #15 D.Russell, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15PUNT6 plays · -18 yds · 2:0596% → 97%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
3.6%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST30, for 2 yards to the TXST36 (#22 C.Myrick) PENALTY TXST Holding (#7 L.Pare) 11 yard from TXST34 to TXST23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 21
OWN 23
-6
3.3%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TXST17 (#14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 27
OWN 17
+4
3.1%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST21 (#16 J.Lewis)Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 23
OWN 21
+5
3.0%
PENALTY TXST False Start (#51 B.Riker) 5 yards from TXST21 to TXST16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 28
OWN 16
0
2.8%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short right thrown to TXST35 QB hurried by #36 B.LewisSimilar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 28
OWN 16
+8
3.0%
(07:23) #38 D.Nunez punt 43 yards to the USM41 #6 M.Davis return 8 yards to the USM49 (#7 R.Nolan; #23 A.Atwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16TD12 plays · 51 yds · 4:052% → 7%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.7%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush middle for 0 yards to the USM49 (#2 K.Alexander)Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
1.5%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #7 C.Chester thrown to TXST35 QB hurried by #45 C.NillesSimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+16
1.5%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at TXST37, for 16 yards to the TXST35 (#18 C.Royal Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
1.7%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #2 T.Chapman caught at TXST18, for 21 yards to the TXST14 (#45 C.Nilles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
1.6%
PENALTY USM False Start (#7 C.Chester) 5 yards from TXST14 to TXST19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+6
1.6%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 14 yards gain (6) to the TXST05 (#1 B.Crosby) PENALTY USM Holding (#88 K.Heath) 10 yards from TXST13 to TXST23Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 19
OPP 23
+10
1.5%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #7 C.Chester caught at TXST25, for 10 yards to the TXST13 (#29 T.Payne)Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+7
1.3%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TXST06 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.; #25 D.Taylor Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
1.1%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy rush right for 2 yards gain to the TXST04 (#7 R.Nolan; #16 T.Cooks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
1.2%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush left for 0 yards to the TXST04 (#2 K.Alexander; #99 A.Langi Jr.)Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
1.1%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Chester thrown to TXST00 broken up by #27 C.PowellSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
7.3%
Elijah Metcalf 4 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17TD14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2095% → 100%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.7%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST30, for 5 yards to the TXST30 (#1 J.Moten), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
4.4%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the TXST37 (#3 I.Foster; #14 J.Tapp), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
4.2%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush left for 1 yard loss to the TXST36 (#14 J.Tapp; #30 G.Ponder)Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+22
3.4%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST44, for 22 yards to the USM42 (#35 C.Jones; #41 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
3.5%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM39 (#30 G.Ponder; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+8
3.4%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 8 yards gain to the USM31 (#6 D.King; #35 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
3.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM28 (#35 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
3.1%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the USM28 (#98 J.McKinney)Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+7
3.1%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USM21 (#3 I.Foster; #16 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
2.9%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 20 yards gain to the USM01 (#14 J.Tapp; #22 C.Myrick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.7%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush left for 0 yards to the USM01 (#41 A.Foster)Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
(12:34) Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:32 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18INT TD13 plays · 67 yds · 4:310% → 0%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
0.3%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM27, for 2 yards to the USM29 (#10 J.Mynatt; #16 T.Cooks Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
0.3%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush left for 7 yards gain to the USM36 (#8 K.Washington; #13 M.Nwokocha). #62 A.Maui injured on the playSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+13
0.2%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 M.Jones rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USM49 (#7 R.Nolan; #16 T.Cooks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
0.3%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #8 B.Brown caught at TXST40, for 12 yards to the TXST39 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.; #18 C.Royal Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.3%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #21 T.Johnson thrown to TXST29Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
0.2%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush left for 12 yards gain to the TXST27 (#29 T.Payne; #34 J.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
0.3%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #24 J.Carter caught at TXST27, for 8 yards to the TXST19 (#18 C.Royal Jr.)Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+7
0.2%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TXST12 (#16 T.Cooks Jr.), 1ST DOWN. #16 T.Cooks Jr. injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.2%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #24 J.Carter caught at TXST17, for 0 yards to the TXST12 (#27 C.Powell; #45 C.Nilles)Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
0.2%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #6 M.Davis caught at TXST10, for 6 yards to the TXST06 (#8 K.Washington)Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 6
-100
0.1%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #17 C.Jones at TXST00 #17 C.Jones return 100 yards to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19PUNT5 plays · 0 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #14 R.Briggs Jr. thrown to USM22Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 R.Briggs Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the USM25 (#13 M.Nwokocha; #35 T.Collins)Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #14 R.Briggs Jr. thrown to USM20 broken up by #8 K.WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20PUNT5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1899% → 99%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST29 (#22 C.Myrick; #35 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
0.7%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Burrell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST32 (#37 E.Thomas Jr.; #98 J.McKinney)Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
0.7%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Pare rush left for 2 yards gain to the TXST34 (#53 J.Harper)Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
0.7%
(04:43) #38 D.Nunez punt 41 yards to the USM25 fair catch by #6 M.Davis at USM25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21TD11 plays · 75 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.1%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #9 E.Metcalf caught at USM35, for 9 yards to the USM34 (#17 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.1%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Carter rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM37 (#34 J.Jackson Jr.; #45 C.Nilles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #24 J.Carter thrown to USM40Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
0.1%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #24 J.Carter caught at USM34, for 1 yard to the USM38 (#27 C.Powell)Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+11
0.1%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #24 J.Carter caught at USM34, for 11 yards to the USM49 (#36 G.Gipson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
0.1%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TXST49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
0.1%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #24 J.Carter caught at USM46, for 3 yards to the TXST46 QB hurried by #34 J.Jackson Jr. (#3 M.Boudoin III), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+10
0.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #11 D.Dalton caught at TXST37, for 10 yards to the TXST36 (#27 C.Powell; #45 C.Nilles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+34
0.1%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #9 E.Metcalf caught at TXST20, for 34 yards to the TXST02 (#26 C.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Pittman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39 #40 C.Wilbanks kick attempt good (H: #17 K.McCormick, LS: #46 L.Beard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22END OF GAME5 plays · -5 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:58
Elijah Metcalf 4 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
+6.3
TD · Q1 2:16
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:16, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)
-5
TD · Q2 1:06
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:06 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Nunez, LS: #48 A.Turner)
-3.8