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CCU

Coastal Carolina 45 at App State 37

APP
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:16 · Ian Ratliff punt for 43 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 14 yds to the CCU 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense+3.7Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:49: Samari Collier run for 6 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +11.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:04: Samari Collier pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 37 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +19.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 3:19: Dominic Knicely run for 1 yd for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +39.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:19: Timeout App State, clock 03:19 — APP win probability +13.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:56: Jevon Edwards run for 8 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +22.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:56CCU 4th & 8 at APP 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:01APP 4th & 4 at CCU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:40CCU 4th & 3 at APP 4, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:00CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:16APP 4th & 15 at APP 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:16APP 4th & 15 at APP 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:52CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:00APP 4th & 6 at APP 39, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:37APP 4th & 7 at CCU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:03APP 4th & 5 at CCU 5, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−17.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:16APP 4th & 7 at APP 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.5%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:10APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:26APP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:30CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:45APP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:40CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:49CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:04CCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:19CCU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−2.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:56CCU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−3.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3275% → 75%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.5%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
74.4%
JJ Kohl run for 19 yds to the APP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
74.4%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noah Arinze) to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
74.4%
PENALTY APP Illegal Snap (Flowers,Will) 5 yards from CCU37 to CCU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+8
74.3%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 8 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
74.4%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 15 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
74.3%
Jaquari Lewis run for 5 yds to the CCU 14Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+7
74.3%
Jaquari Lewis run for 7 yds to the CCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
74.3%
Jaquari Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 10Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
74.1%
JJ Kohl sacked by Tray Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the CCU 15Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
75.0%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 15 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:0125% → 26%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.0%
Samari Collier pass complete to Ja'Vin Simpkins for 7 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
74.7%
Samari Collier run for 8 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST down App State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Thomas Davis) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
50
+22
74.7%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 22 yds to the APP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
74.3%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the APP 26Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
74.1%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Karmello EnglishSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
74.4%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
74.0%
Kian Afrookhteh 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
74.2%
(07:56) Laforge,Philippe kickoff 65 yards to the APP00, Touchback PENALTY APP Block Below Waist (Gibble,Jared) 15 yards from CCU35 to CCU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2174% → 81%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 5 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
73.5%
Jaquari Lewis run for 3 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
73.3%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 5 yds to the APP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
73.7%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 8 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+16
74.0%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 16 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
74.1%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
74.0%
Jaquari Lewis run for 4 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
73.6%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+20
73.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 20 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
80.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 12 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:3823% → 28%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
77.3%
Samari Collier run for 9 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
76.5%
Samari Collier run for 3 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
77.4%
MJ Morris pass complete to Robby Washington for 5 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
77.3%
Jevon Edwards run for 3 yds to the APP 45Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+10
77.5%
MJ Morris run for 10 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
77.0%
Jevon Edwards run for 1 yd to the APP 34Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
72.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 34 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:4072% → 83%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.4%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 8 yds to the APP 33Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
72.4%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
70.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the APP 38Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+11
70.8%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaquari Lewis for 11 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
71.4%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Alex Sanchez for 18 yds to the CCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
71.6%
Jaquari Lewis run for 3 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-3
73.1%
Jaquari Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 33Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
72.3%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 11 yds to the CCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
73.0%
Jaquari Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 25Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
75.4%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+13
74.7%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Sam Mbake for 13 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
75.7%
Jaquari Lewis run for no gain to the CCU 12Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
75.6%
JJ Kohl run for 6 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
82.7%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 6 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5618% → 25%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.0%
Samari Collier run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
82.2%
Samari Collier pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 4 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
82.6%
Samari Collier run for 13 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.9%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Karmello EnglishSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
82.2%
PENALTY CCU Delay Of Game (Collier,Samari) 5 yards from CCU44 to CCU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+35
82.7%
Dominic Knicely run for 35 yds to the APP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
80.6%
Bryson Graves pass complete to Samari Collier for 7 yds to the APP 19Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+8
80.7%
Samari Collier run for 8 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
81.9%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for no gain to the APP 11Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
82.1%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Eli AragonSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+7
83.2%
Samari Collier pass complete to Bryson Graves for 7 yds to the APP 4Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+4
75.3%
Samari Collier run for 4 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3125% → 21%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.6%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for no gain to the CCU 47Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-3
75.0%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 44Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
76.8%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+23
78.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APP 35 , Jaden Barnes returns for 23 yds to the APP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:3873% → 72%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.3%
Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the APP 38Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
74.3%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaquari Lewis for 7 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
75.4%
JJ Kohl sacked by Sawyer Goram-Welch for a loss of 3 yards to the APP 42 JJ Kohl fumbled, recovered by APP Cayden Sweatt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-2
74.0%
JJ Kohl sacked by Ibrahim Diawara for a loss of 2 yards to the APP 40Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
73.1%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+14
72.0%
Ian Ratliff punt for 43 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 14 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+14
72.0%
Ian Ratliff punt for 43 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 14 yds to the CCU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+31
71.1%
Dominic De Freitas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-33
77.4%
Samari Collier pass intercepted Elijah Mc-Cantos return for 33 yds to the CCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:0223% → 13%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
76.6%
Samari Collier sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
77.0%
Samari Collier sacked by Dylan Hasz for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 19Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
78.0%
Samari Collier pass complete to Bryson Graves for 6 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+77
86.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 52 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for 77 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5315% → 29%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.3%
Samari Collier run for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+26
84.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 26 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
83.4%
Samari Collier pass complete to Zach Courtney for 10 yds Zach Courtney fumbled, recovered by CCU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
82.8%
Samari Collier run for 2 yds to the APP 32Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+7
83.0%
Robby Washington run for 7 yds to the APP 25Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+19
83.4%
Jevon Edwards run for 19 yds to the APP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
71.5%
Samari Collier run for 6 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:0578% → 83%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
78.2%
Rashod Dubinion run for 10 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.6%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 37Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
79.1%
JJ Kohl run for 2 yds to the APP 39Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
79.9%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+22
78.7%
Juan Berchal run for 22 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the CCU 39Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
81.8%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Alex Sanchez for 12 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
82.4%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+15
82.5%
JJ Kohl run for 15 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
82.6%
Jaquari Lewis run for 3 yds to the CCU 7Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
82.4%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Izayah CummingsSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.6%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Rashod DubinionSimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
83.3%
Dominic De Freitas 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2818% → 38%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Samari Collier run for no gain to the CCU 25Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.1%
Samari Collier pass complete to Cameron Wright for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q3 3:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
82.1%
Samari Collier pass complete to Cameron Wright for 14 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
80.5%
Samari Collier pass complete to Bryson Graves for 8 yds to the APP 49Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
78.6%
Dominic Knicely run for 4 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
79.0%
Samari Collier pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 2 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
79.9%
Malcolm Gillie run for 1 yd to the APP 42Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
81.7%
PENALTY APP Offside (Manuel,Dylan) 5 yards from APP42 to APP37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+37
61.9%
Samari Collier pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 37 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15FG
16 plays · 84 yds · 5:5768% → 83%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
68.0%
Jaquari Lewis run for 10 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
67.9%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+10
67.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 10 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+35
72.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 35 yds to the CCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
76.1%
Jaquari Lewis run for 3 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
76.1%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 6 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+6
74.5%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 6 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
75.9%
Jaquari Lewis run for 4 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
75.9%
Jaquari Lewis run for 5 yds to the CCU 10Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
75.3%
Jaquari Lewis run for 5 yds to the CCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.0%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q4 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.0%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.4%
JJ Kohl run for no gain to the CCU 5Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
82.5%
Dominic De Freitas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:3425% → 73%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.9%
Samari Collier run for 4 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
73.8%
Samari Collier pass complete to Karmello English for 6 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
73.6%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 1 yd to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
73.6%
Samari Collier pass complete to Robby Washington for 13 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
70.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 5 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
69.4%
Jevon Edwards run for 3 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+15
69.9%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Collier,Samari pass incomplete deep right to Tucker,Jameson thrown to APP05 PENALTY APP Pass Interference (Floyd,Emory) 15 yards from APP43 to APP28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
66.2%
Samari Collier run for 5 yds to the APP 23Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
68.0%
Samari Collier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+11
70.5%
Samari Collier run for 11 yds to the APP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
68.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 9 yds to the APP 3Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
68.7%
Dominic Knicely run for 2 yds to the APP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.4%
Samari Collier run for no gain to the APP 1Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 1 yd for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5240% → 37%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
39.5%
PENALTY APP False Start (Flowers,Will) 5 yards from APP19 to APP14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
39.1%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+8
38.0%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 8 yds to the APP 22Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
38.8%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+5
37.0%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Davion Dozier for 5 yds to the APP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:1373% → 97%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
27.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 12 yds to the APP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
26.3%
Jevon Edwards run for 7 yds to the APP 8Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
2.7%
Jevon Edwards run for 8 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:144% → 3%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
4.1%
(01:54) Shotgun Kohl,J.J. pass intercepted by Murphy,Luke at APP29 QB hurried by Diawara,Ibrahim PENALTY CCU Face Mask (Mooyoung,Myles) 15 yards from APP25 to APP40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
4.8%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaquari Lewis for 8 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
5.8%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaquari Lewis for 5 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
5.2%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 5 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
5.6%
JJ Kohl pass complete to Jaquari Lewis for 10 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
5.6%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Kohl,J.J. pass complete short right to Cummings,Izayah caught at CCU27, for 7 yards to the CCU25 (Jones,Avyonne; Whitaker,Lionell), out of bounds PENALTY APP Pass Interference (Stroman,Dalton) 15 yards from CCU32 to CCU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 25
OPP 47
0
3.9%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 25
OPP 47
0
3.7%
JJ Kohl pass incomplete to Davion DozierSimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 25
OPP 47
-3
3.4%
JJ Kohl sacked by Zeke Campbell for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line JJ Kohl fumbled, recovered by CCU Noah Arinze , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
2.3%
S. Collier takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:19
Dominic Knicely run for 1 yd for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
-39.5
TD · Q4 1:56
Jevon Edwards run for 8 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
-22.2
TD · Q3 0:04
Samari Collier pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 37 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
-19.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com