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ULM

UL Monroe 8 at Coastal Carolina 23

CCU
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Coastal Carolina at CCU20 for loss of 8 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:12: Samari Collier pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 8 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +13.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:38: A. Armenta pass to J. Bibbs for 27 yds for a TD (H. Herring pass to D. Lewis for Two-Point Conversion) — ULM win probability +12.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:30: Jacob Green kickoff for 54 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 21 yds to the CCU 32 — CCU win probability +4.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:14: Samari Collier run for 39 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +12.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:44: Jalen John run for 9 yds to the CCU 24 — CCU win probability +4.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11ULM made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 8:52CCU 4th & 21 at ULM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:29ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12CCU 4th & 9 at ULM 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13ULM 4th & 21 at ULM 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−1.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:15CCU 4th & 3 at ULM 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:18ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:23CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:48ULM 4th & 22 at ULM 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:59CCU 4th & 7 at ULM 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:40ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:24ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−2.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:25ULM 4th & 2 at CCU 36, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−1.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:01CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 33, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−4.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:30CCU 4th & 1 at ULM 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−4.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:32ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.8%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:44ULM 4th & 6 at midfield, down 15
    Close callPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 33, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:15ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:46CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 40, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:07ULM 4th & 9 at CCU 36, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:41CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 17, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:17CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:31ULM 4th & 10 at CCU 16, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.4
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:31ULM 4th & 10 at CCU 16, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 0:12CCU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:38ULM Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:14CCU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 6:0742% → 44%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
41.8%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 11 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
41.8%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
41.8%
Tad Hudson run for 4 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+16
41.8%
Tad Hudson run for 16 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
41.8%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the ULM 46Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
41.8%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for no gain to the ULM 46Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+5
41.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass incomplete deep left to English,Karmello thrown to ULM13 PENALTY ULM Offside 5 yards from ULM46 to ULM41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:59
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
41.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 5 yds to the ULM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
41.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 3 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+7
41.8%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 7 yds to the ULM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
41.8%
Jevon Edwards run for 5 yds to the ULM 21Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+16
41.8%
Tad Hudson run for 16 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
41.8%
Tad Hudson sacked by Jabari Tiller for a loss of 6 yards to the ULM 11Similar
Q1 14:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-10
41.8%
Tad Hudson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the ULM 21 Tad Hudson fumbled, recovered by CCU Tad Hudson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 14:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
0
41.8%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
44.0%
Kian Afrookhteh 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:2356% → 54%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
44.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun McReynolds,Braylon rush middle for 0 yards to the ULM25 (McDowell,Se'Von) PENALTY ULM Holding 10 yards from ULM25 to ULM15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-2
44.4%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 13Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+4
44.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the ULM 17Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+9
44.7%
Dorian Lewis run for 9 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+2
46.1%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 35 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 2 yds to the CCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:1746% → 49%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
45.7%
Robby Washington run for 4 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
46.3%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 46 yds to the ULM 4 Ja'Vin Simpkins fumbled, recovered by CCU Malcolm Gillie for a 1ST down Malcolm Gillie for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
46.7%
Jevon Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 5Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
46.7%
Jevon Edwards run for 2 yds to the ULM 3Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
46.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad rush right for 2 yards gain to the ULM01 (Harris,Lynard) PENALTY CCU Holding (Tate,Julius) 10 yards from ULM03 to ULM13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
46.1%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
48.7%
Kian Afrookhteh 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 3:5052% → 49%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
47.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 10 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
47.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 42Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+1
47.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jonathan Bibbs for 1 yd to the ULM 43Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-15
48.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Armenta,Aidan rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CCU49 (Bryant,Jayden) PENALTY ULM Personal Foul (McBroom,Que) 15 yards from ULM43 to ULM28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 26
OWN 28
-10
48.6%
UL Monroe Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ULM 25Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 29
OWN 25
+8
48.6%
Aidan Armenta run for 8 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 21
OWN 33
+29
50.7%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 43 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 29 yds to the ULM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4552% → 51%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
52.2%
Dominic Knicely run for 2 yds to the ULM 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
52.2%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+5
51.6%
Dominic Knicely run for 5 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+1
51.4%
Dominic Knicely run for 1 yd to the ULM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5751% → 49%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
49.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
48.8%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Julian NixonSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
49.8%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
51.1%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5552% → 51%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
52.4%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
52.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 1 yd to the CCU 30Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
51.6%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
51.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Godfrey at the ULM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 2:3549% → 46%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
50.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jonathan Bibbs for 4 yds to the ULM 29Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 14
OWN 29
-15
51.5%
UL Monroe Penalty, Chop Block (-15 Yards) to the ULM 18Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 25
OWN 18
+2
51.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the ULM 20Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 23
OWN 20
+1
52.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the ULM 21Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
53.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:4956% → 60%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
56.1%
Samari Collier run for 16 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
56.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
56.4%
Samari Collier run for 2 yds to the ULM 37Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+12
55.8%
Samari Collier run for 12 yds to the ULM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
56.6%
Dominic Knicely run for 3 yds to the ULM 22Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
56.6%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Karmello EnglishSimilar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
55.9%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
59.7%
Kian Afrookhteh 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1940% → 37%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
59.8%
Jonathan Bibbs run for a loss of 14 yards to the ULM 11 Jonathan Bibbs fumbled, recovered by ULM Jonathan BibbsSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 24
OWN 11
-1
60.2%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 10Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+20
61.0%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 20 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
63.0%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
50
+37
63.5%
Bryson Graves pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 37 yds Jameson Tucker fumbled, recovered by ULM David Godsey Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:0138% → 35%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
62.0%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 10 yds to the ULM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
61.8%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the ULM 25Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+22
62.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 22 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
60.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jonathan BibbsSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-18
60.3%
UL Monroe Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Aidan Armenta) to the ULM 29Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 28
OWN 29
+9
63.0%
Dorian Lewis run for 9 yds to the ULM 38Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 19
OWN 38
0
65.3%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:1265% → 78%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
64.6%
Samari Collier run for 7 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-10
65.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCU 29Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
64.5%
Jalen John run for 5 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+6
64.3%
Jalen John run for 6 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
66.0%
Samari Collier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+52
65.3%
Jevon Edwards run for 43 yds to the ULM 17 for a 1ST down UL Monroe Penalty, Personal Foul (Marcus Ross) to the ULM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
78.3%
Samari Collier pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 8 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.8%
A. Armenta takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:3125% → 24%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+41
75.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 41 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
72.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 5 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
72.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
72.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-1
75.9%
Hunter Herring run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2480% → 79%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
79.7%
Jevon Edwards run for 1 yd to the CCU 38Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
80.0%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-5
79.2%
Samari Collier run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCU 33 Samari Collier fumbled, recovered by CCU Samari CollierSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
79.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ULM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2321% → 36%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
79.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Julian NixonSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+43
79.5%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jonathan Bibbs for 43 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
75.6%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 4 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+27
63.6%
A. Armenta pass to J. Bibbs for 27 yds for a TD (H. Herring pass to D. Lewis for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:1671% → 86%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
70.9%
Samari Collier pass complete to Robby Washington for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
73.0%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 1 yd to the ULM 49Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
72.9%
Samari Collier pass complete to Karmello English for 7 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
72.3%
Dominic Knicely run for 1 yd to the ULM 41Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
70.9%
Dominic Knicely run for 3 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
73.2%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Eli AragonSimilar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
85.6%
Samari Collier run for 39 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:3018% → 13%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
81.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 5 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
81.5%
Aidan Armenta run for 2 yds to the ULM 34Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
84.6%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
84.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 11 yds to the ULM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
83.7%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 1 yd to the ULM 47Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
84.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Dorian Lewis for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 6
50
0
83.8%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 6
50
0
86.8%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:5291% → 92%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
91.2%
Jalen John run for 9 yds to the CCU 24Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
91.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
91.4%
Jalen John run for 3 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-1
91.4%
Samari Collier pass complete to Brooks Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+4
92.6%
Samari Collier run for 4 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
92.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:379% → 8%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
90.9%
Aidan Armenta run for 10 yds to the ULM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
90.5%
Jonathan Bibbs run for 13 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
90.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
90.8%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
91.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
92.5%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2995% → 95%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
94.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 1 yd to the CCU 40Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
94.5%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
94.5%
Samari Collier run for no gain to the CCU 40Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23INT
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:397% → 5%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
93.3%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jonathan Bibbs for 12 yds to the ULM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
92.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 11 yds to the ULM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
92.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 19 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.7%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
92.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the CCU 36Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
92.8%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nate Sullivan Jr.Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
94.9%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Xamarion Gordon return for no gain to the CCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:2696% → 97%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
95.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 6 yds to the CCU 19Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-2
95.8%
Jevon Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 17Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
95.8%
Samari Collier run for no gain to the CCU 17Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+28
96.5%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds , Jake Godfrey returns for 28 yds to the CCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
Hunter Herring pass intercepted Avyonne Jones return for no gain to the CCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1697% → 98%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
97.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 8 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 20
-2
97.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 18Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
97.1%
Samari Collier pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 4
OWN 18
-5
97.5%
Sebafundi,Emile punt 49 yards to the ULM33 PENALTY CCU Illegal Shift 5 yards from CCU18 to CCU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
97.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 37 yds , Jake Godfrey returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:463% → 3%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
50
+34
97.2%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 34 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.6%
UL Monroe Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
96.6%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
97.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 10
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 10
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nic TrujilloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:3198% → 99%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.1%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
98.0%
Samari Collier run for 6 yds to the CCU 24Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+5
98.1%
Samari Collier run for 5 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
98.1%
Jalen John run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-8
98.6%
Kneel down by Coastal Carolina at CCU20 for loss of 8 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:12
Samari Collier pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 8 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
+13
TD · Q3 7:14
Samari Collier run for 39 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q3 9:38
A. Armenta pass to J. Bibbs for 27 yds for a TD (H. Herring pass to D. Lewis for Two-Point Conversion)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com