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GASO

Georgia Southern 10 at James Madison 35

JMU
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:12 · Patrick Rea punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Peyton Plott at the GASO 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+32.9Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:23: Wayne Knight run for 40 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +1.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:15: Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:15: Tripp Bryant 26 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +0.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:01: E. Scruggs kick for 53 yds,C. Harris-Lopez return for 88 yds for a TD (M. Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +5.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:55: Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the JMU 21 — JMU win probability +8.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:02GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12JMU 4th & 7 at JMU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:42GASO 4th & 18 at GASO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04GASO 4th & 7 at JMU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54JMU 4th & 10 at GASO 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:23GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:15GASO 4th & 3 at JMU 7, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:30GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:36JMU 4th & 9 at JMU 45, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00GASO 4th & 1 at JMU 14, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:21GASO 4th & 16 at GASO 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:59JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 26, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:54GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 46, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:28JMU 4th & 22 at GASO 45, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:43GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 18, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:23JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:15JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:01JMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:57JMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:40GASO Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5116% → 16%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.2%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 26Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
84.1%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 3 yds to the GASO 23Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
83.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 6 yds to the GASO 29Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
83.8%
Alex Smith punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4684% → 83%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
83.7%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the JMU 31Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
83.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
83.3%
Patrick Rea punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Peyton Plott at the GASO 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:2817% → 17%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.4%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
83.4%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Ahmon GreenSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+16
83.4%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 16 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
83.1%
Dalen Cobb run for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 38Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 14
OWN 38
-8
82.9%
JC French IV sacked by Trent Hendrick for a loss of 8 yards to the GASO 30 JC French IV fumbled, recovered by GASO JC French IV , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 22
OWN 30
+4
82.9%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 4 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 18
OWN 34
+7
82.9%
Alex Smith punt for 45 yds , Wayne Knight returns for 7 yds to the JMU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:1383% → 84%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
82.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 11 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
82.7%
Wayne Knight run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
50
+7
82.7%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the GASO 43Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
82.6%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
84.2%
Wayne Knight run for 40 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:0816% → 17%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.7%
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
83.7%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
83.8%
JC French IV run for 10 yds to the GASO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
83.1%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 16 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
82.9%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the JMU 43Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
82.9%
run for 5 yds to the JMU 48 fumbled, recovered by GASO Taylor BradshawSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+4
83.3%
JC French IV pass complete to Taylor Bradshaw for 4 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
82.9%
Alex Smith punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:1084% → 83%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the JMU 21Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
83.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 2 yds to the JMU 23Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
83.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete short middle to Wisloski,Braeden thrown to JMU23 PENALTY GASO Roughing The Passer (Crouch,Chris) 15 yards from JMU23 to JMU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Michael ScottSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
83.7%
Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the JMU 42Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-5
83.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass complete short middle to Wisloski,Braeden caught at JMU42, for 8 yards to the JMU50 (Smith,Dorrian) PENALTY JMU Illegal Formation (Alston,Isaiah) 5 yards from JMU42 to JMU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+21
82.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 21 yds to the GASO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
83.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 17 yds to the GASO 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
83.6%
Jordan Fuller run for 5 yds James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaylan Sanchez) to the GASO 30Similar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+3
83.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for 3 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
83.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+2
83.2%
Alonza Barnett III run for 2 yds to the GASO 25Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+44
82.7%
Morgan Suarez 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2018% → 17%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.3%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
82.2%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
82.6%
JC French IV sacked by Immanuel Ezeogu for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 20Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+6
82.9%
Alex Smith punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 43 , Wayne Knight returns for 6 yds to the JMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:0083% → 87%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
83.1%
Wayne Knight run for 9 yds to the GASO 48Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+10
83.3%
Wayne Knight run for 10 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
83.3%
Alonza Barnett III run for 11 yds to the GASO 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
83.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
83.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 3 yds to the GASO 24Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+13
83.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 13 yds to the GASO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
83.3%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the GASO 8Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
83.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the GASO 4Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
87.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:5714% → 16%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Ahmon GreenSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.8%
Dalen Cobb run for 9 yds to the GASO 34Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
85.4%
David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
85.4%
Dalen Cobb run for 8 yds to the JMU 48Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
84.7%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
85.1%
Weston Bryan run for 4 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
84.8%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 30 yds to the JMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
84.2%
JC French IV run for 5 yds to the JMU 9Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 9
-1
84.2%
JC French IV sacked by Amar Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 10Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+3
84.6%
JC French IV run for 3 yds to the JMU 7Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+26
83.9%
Tripp Bryant 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2010% → 10%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.9%
JC French IV sacked by Immanuel Bush for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 23Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
90.1%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GASO 27Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.9%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Taylor BradshawSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.9%
Alex Smith punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:4893% → 94%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
93.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 19 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
94.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+1
94.5%
Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the JMU 45Similar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
94.1%
punt for a loss of 22 yards, punt out-of-bounds at the JMU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3111% → 13%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
89.3%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+2
88.5%
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the JMU 14Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
85.7%
JC French IV run for no gain to the JMU 14Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-1
87.4%
Weston Bryan run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:5596% → 97%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
96.0%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the JMU 21Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+6
96.1%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
96.1%
Wayne Knight run for 20 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Logan KyleSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
97.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 12 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:4397% → 98%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
97.1%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 30Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+3
97.2%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the JMU 33Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+12
97.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 12 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
97.8%
Wayne Knight run for 11 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
98.0%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GASO 40Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+14
98.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 14 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
98.1%
Jordan Fuller run for 11 yds to the GASO 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.3%
Jordan Fuller run for 2 yds to the GASO 13Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+1
98.4%
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the GASO 12Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-5
98.4%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Sweazie,Carter) 5 yards from GASO12 to GASO17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+17
98.4%
A. Barnett III pass to L. Dippre for 17 yds for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:342% → 2%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen CobbSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.0%
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 13 yds to the GASO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
98.0%
JC French IV run for 1 yd to the GASO 39Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-4
98.1%
JC French IV sacked by Trent Hendrick for a loss of 4 yards to the GASO 35Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-3
98.3%
JC French IV sacked by Sahir West for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 32Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Alex Smith punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:1899% → 100%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.7%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 22Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+25
98.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 25 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.0%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GASO 49Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Jordan Fuller run for no gain to the GASO 49Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
99.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 8 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.2%
Wayne Knight run for 3 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+12
99.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 12 yds to the GASO 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.7%
J. Fuller run for 26 yds for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:120% → 1%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass complete short right to Brown,Camden caught at GASO30, for 5 yards to the GASO30 (Willis,Ken) PENALTY JMU Holding (Willis,Ken) 10 yards from GASO25 to GASO35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun French IV,JC pass incomplete deep left to Sanders Jr.,Marcus thrown to JMU40 PENALTY JMU Pass Interference (Rodgers,Mekhi) 15 yards from GASO35 to GASO50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
50
+43
99.7%
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 43 yds to the JMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.7%
PENALTY GASO Illegal Shift 5 yards from JMU07 to JMU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.7%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Ahmon GreenSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
J. French IV pass to T. Bradshaw for 12 yds for a TD (T. Bryant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
99.3%
Alonza Barnett III run for 6 yds James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (Landon Ellis) to the JMU 15Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 14
OWN 15
+6
99.3%
Matthew Sluka run for 6 yds to the JMU 21Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
99.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 5 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+11
99.4%
Patrick Rea punt for 47 yds , Peyton Plott returns for 11 yds to the GASO 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
99.1%
JC French IV sacked by Trent Hendrick for a loss of 7 yards to the GASO 31Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+7
99.1%
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the GASO 38Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.3%
JC French IV pass complete to David Mbadinga for 8 yds to the GASO 46Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds , Wayne Knight returns for no gain to the JMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20PUNT
14 plays · 43 yds · 7:21100% → 100%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.5%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+12
99.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 12 yds to the JMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.5%
Jordan Fuller run for 9 yds to the JMU 37Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-5
99.5%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Bushong,Evan) 5 yards from JMU37 to JMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+11
99.6%
Jordan Fuller run for 11 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.7%
Wayne Knight run for 5 yds to the JMU 48Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+9
99.7%
Wayne Knight run for 9 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Braeden WisloskiSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 6 yds to the GASO 37Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+4
99.7%
Jordan Fuller run for 4 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
99.8%
run for a loss of 10 yards to the GASO 43Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 20
OPP 43
-2
99.8%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 45Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 22
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Alonza Barnett III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 22
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Patrick Rea punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.7%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the GASO 13Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
99.7%
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden BrownSimilar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+5
99.7%
JC French IV run for 5 yds to the GASO 18Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Alex Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.8%
Jackson McCarter run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 45Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Jackson McCarter run for 2 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+12
99.9%
JC Evans run for 12 yds to the GASO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.9%
(00:59) Kneel down by James Madison at GASO42 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
(00:30) Kneel down by James Madison at GASO43 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:55
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the JMU 21
+8.6
FG · Q2 4:01
E. Scruggs kick for 53 yds,C. Harris-Lopez return for 88 yds for a TD (M. Suarez KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q2 9:15
Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com