NICH
Nicholls 3 at Texas State 35
TXST2025 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2025 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Speed4x
Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey play
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TXST · Drive 1TD · 15 plays · 92 yds
Q1 14:40
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the TXST 11
99.3%
0.0
Q1 14:09
Nicholls Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TXST 31 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q1 13:50
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the TXST 35
99.3%
0.0
Q1 13:34
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the TXST 39
99.3%
0.0
Q1 12:54
Brad Jackson run for 8 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q1 12:26
(12:27) PENALTY TXST False Start 5 yards from TXST47 to TXST42. NO PLAY.
99.3%
0.0
Q1 12:05
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the NICH 49
99.3%
0.0
Q1 11:45
Brad Jackson pass complete to Kylen Evans for 7 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q1 11:24
Timeout Nicholls, clock 11:24
99.4%
+0.1
Q1 11:15
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the NICH 33
99.4%
0.0
Q1 10:46
Brad Jackson pass incomplete to Kylen Evans
99.4%
0.0
Q1 10:40
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the NICH 29 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 10:16
Brad Jackson pass complete to Beau Sparks for 19 yds to the NICH 10 for a 1ST down
99.4%
0.0
Q1 9:44
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd to the NICH 9
99.3%
0.0
Q1 9:15
Brad Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
99.6%
+0.3
NICH · Drive 2FG · 15 plays · 60 yds
Q1 9:15
Michael James kickoff for 64 yds
99.6%
0.0
Q1 9:04
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Everett Hunter for 11 yds to the NICH 36 for a 1ST down
99.5%
-0.1
Q1 8:36
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 1 yd to the NICH 37
99.5%
0.0
Q1 8:02
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 4 yds to the NICH 41
99.5%
0.0
Q1 7:34
Timeout Nicholls, clock 07:34
99.5%
0.0
Q1 7:27
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 5 yds to the NICH 46 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q1 6:52
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 5 yds to the TXST 49
99.5%
0.0
Q1 6:16
Shane Lee run for 19 yds to the TXST 30 for a 1ST down
99.4%
-0.1
Q1 5:37
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 8 yds to the TXST 22
99.4%
0.0
Q1 4:56
Shane Lee run for 1 yd to the TXST 21
99.3%
-0.1
Q1 4:18
Deuce Hogan run for 2 yds to the TXST 19 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q1 3:46
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Shane Lee for 5 yds to the TXST 14
99.3%
0.0
Q1 2:54
run for 6 yds to the TXST 20 fumbled, recovered by NICH Deuce Hogan
99.3%
0.0
Q1 2:30
Deuce Hogan run for 5 yds to the TXST 15
99.3%
0.0
Q1 1:52
Gabriel Showalter 32 yd FG GOOD
99.0%
-0.3
TXST · Drive 3TD · 8 plays · 44 yds
Q1 1:51
Ethan Lee kickoff for 9 yds
99.2%
+0.2
Q1 1:42
Brad Jackson pass complete to Beau Sparks for 28 yds to the NICH 16 for a 1ST down
99.4%
+0.1
Q1 1:25
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the NICH 14
99.4%
0.0
Q1 0:55
Brad Jackson run for 2 yds to the NICH 12
99.4%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Brad Jackson pass complete to Beau Sparks for 7 yds to the NICH 5 for a 1ST down
99.3%
0.0
Q2 14:50
Brad Jackson pass complete to Beau Sparks for 1 yd to the NICH 4
99.3%
0.0
Q2 14:17
Brad Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
99.7%
+0.4
Q2 14:17
Timeout Texas State, clock 14:17
99.4%
-0.3
NICH · Drive 4PUNT · 6 plays · 6 yds
Q2 14:17
Michael James kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.7%
+0.3
Q2 14:10
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 1 yd to the NICH 26
99.6%
-0.1
Q2 13:33
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Christian McNees for 7 yds to the NICH 33
99.6%
0.0
Q2 12:56
Shane Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NICH 31
99.6%
0.0
Q2 12:18
(12:29) Harewood,Pharrell punt 40 yards to the TXST29 Sparks,Beau return 5 yards to the TXST34 (Wheeler,Kylin) PENALTY TXST Holding offsetting NICH Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.
99.6%
0.0
Q2 12:07
Pharrell Harewood punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TXST 8
99.6%
0.0
TXST · Drive 5TD · 9 plays · 92 yds
Q2 12:01
Lincoln Pare run for 9 yds to the TXST 17
99.7%
+0.1
Q2 12:01
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the TXST 20 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q2 12:01
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the TXST 39
99.7%
0.0
Q2 12:01
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the TXST 43
99.7%
0.0
Q2 12:01
Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the TXST 43
99.7%
0.0
Q2 9:33
PENALTY NICH Encroachment 5 yards from TXST43 to TXST48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.7%
0.0
Q2 9:33
Brad Jackson pass incomplete to Beau Sparks
99.7%
0.0
Q2 9:33
Brad Jackson pass complete to Kylen Evans for 45 yds to the NICH 7 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
99.9%
+0.2
NICH · Drive 6PUNT · 7 plays · 13 yds
Q2 8:33
Michael James kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Shotgun Hogan,Deuce pass incomplete short left to McNees,Christian thrown to NICH29 QB hurried by Russell,DonTerry PENALTY NICH Holding offsetting TXST Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.
99.8%
-0.1
Q2 8:33
Deuce Hogan run for 10 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Shane Lee run for no gain to the NICH 35
99.8%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Shane Lee run for 1 yd to the NICH 36
99.8%
0.0
Q2 8:33
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Miequle Brock Jr. for 2 yds to the NICH 38
99.8%
0.0
Q2 5:39
Pharrell Harewood punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TXST 15
99.8%
0.0
TXST · Drive 7TD · 14 plays · 85 yds
Q2 5:39
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds to the TXST 22
99.9%
+0.2
Q2 5:39
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds to the TXST 29 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 5:39
Brad Jackson pass complete to Kylen Evans for 29 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST down Nicholls Penalty, Defensive Holding (Laurence Sullivan Jr.) declined for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 5:39
Brad Jackson run for no gain to the NICH 42
99.9%
0.0
Q2 5:39
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 7 yds to the NICH 35
99.9%
0.0
Q2 4:24
Timeout Texas State, clock 04:24
99.9%
0.0
Q2 4:24
Lincoln Pare run for 5 yds to the NICH 30 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 4:24
Brad Jackson pass complete to Kylen Evans for 7 yds to the NICH 23
99.9%
0.0
Q2 4:24
Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the NICH 21
99.9%
0.0
Q2 4:24
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the NICH 18 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 3:02
Timeout Texas State, clock 03:02
99.9%
0.0
Q2 3:02
Brad Jackson pass incomplete to Kylen Evans
99.9%
0.0
Q2 3:02
Lincoln Pare run for 9 yds to the NICH 9
99.9%
0.0
Q2 2:17
Lincoln Pare run for 9 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
100.0%
0.0
NICH · Drive 8INT · 17 plays · 72 yds
Q2 2:17
Michael James kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q2 2:17
Deuce Hogan run for 4 yds to the NICH 29
99.9%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Timeout Texas State, clock 02:00
99.9%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 15 yds to the NICH 44 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Deuce Hogan pass incomplete to Karaaz Johnson
99.9%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 4 yds to the NICH 48
99.9%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Shane Lee run for 7 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:54
Timeout Texas State, clock 00:54
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:46
(00:54) Shotgun Hogan,Deuce pass incomplete short right to Johnson,Karaaz thrown to TXST35 PENALTY TXST Personal Foul (Deeter,J.P.) 15 yards from TXST45 to TXST30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:40
Deuce Hogan pass incomplete to Jackson Dufrene
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:34
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Karaaz Johnson for 7 yds to the TXST 23
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:29
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Miequle Brock Jr. for no gain to the TXST 30 for a 1ST down Texas State Penalty, (12 Yards) to the TXST 18 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:23
(00:29) Hogan,Deuce pass incomplete short right to Dufrene,Jackson thrown to TXST00 PENALTY TXST Pass Interference (Rios,Jaden) 15 yards from TXST18 to TXST03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:16
Timeout Nicholls, clock 00:16
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:15
Deuce Hogan run for no gain to the TXST 3
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:13
Deuce Hogan pass incomplete to Scrappy Osby
99.9%
0.0
Q2 0:06
Deuce Hogan pass intercepted, touchback. Khamari Terrell return for no gain
99.9%
0.0
TXST · Drive 9END OF HALF · 1 play · 2 yds
Q2 0:00
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the TXST 22
100.0%
+0.1
NICH · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · 19 yds
Q3 15:00
Michael James kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 14:53
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 20 yds to the NICH 45 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q3 14:17
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Cohen LeBlanc for 3 yds to the NICH 48
99.9%
0.0
Q3 13:39
Deuce Hogan sacked by Kalil Alexander for a loss of 16 yards to the NICH 32
99.9%
0.0
Q3 12:55
Nicholls Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined
99.9%
0.0
Q3 12:34
Pharrell Harewood punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Beau Sparks at the TXST 21
99.9%
0.0
TXST · Drive 11PUNT · 11 plays · 40 yds
Q3 12:28
Jaylen Jenkins run for no gain to the TXST 21
100.0%
0.0
Q3 11:52
Brad Jackson pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 16 yds to the TXST 37 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 11:36
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the TXST 38
100.0%
0.0
Q3 11:16
Jaylen Jenkins run for 5 yds to the TXST 43
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:35
Brad Jackson pass complete to Titus Lyons for 8 yds to the NICH 49 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 10:23
Brad Jackson run for 3 yds to the NICH 46
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:54
Greg Burrell run for 7 yds to the NICH 39 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:28
Brad Jackson pass incomplete
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:23
Brad Jackson pass incomplete to Kylen Evans
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:19
Brad Jackson pass incomplete to Beau Sparks
100.0%
0.0
Q3 9:09
David Nunez punt for 37 yds
100.0%
0.0
NICH · Drive 12PUNT · 6 plays · 8 yds
Q3 9:08
Timeout Texas State, clock 09:08
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:08
PENALTY NICH False Start (Barnes,Kamron) 1 yard from NICH02 to NICH01. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q3 9:03
Shane Lee run for 5 yds to the NICH 6
99.9%
0.0
Q3 8:30
Shane Lee run for 4 yds to the NICH 10
99.9%
0.0
Q3 7:45
Shane Lee run for no gain to the NICH 10
99.9%
0.0
Q3 7:08
Pharrell Harewood punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Beau Sparks at the NICH 46
99.9%
0.0
TXST · Drive 13TD · 13 plays · 46 yds
Q3 6:59
Jaylen Jenkins run for no gain to the NICH 46
100.0%
0.0
Q3 6:35
Jaylen Jenkins run for 4 yds to the NICH 42
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:59
Brad Jackson run for 7 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:56
Timeout Texas State, clock 05:56
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:42
Brad Jackson pass complete to Beau Sparks for 7 yds to the NICH 28
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:15
Brad Jackson pass incomplete to Kylen Evans
100.0%
0.0
Q3 5:09
Greg Burrell run for 3 yds to the NICH 25 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 4:26
Greg Burrell run for 7 yds to the NICH 18
100.0%
0.0
Q3 4:01
Brad Jackson run for 4 yds to the NICH 14 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 3:30
Brad Jackson pass complete to Beau Sparks for 1 yd to the NICH 13
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:56
Greg Burrell run for 8 yds to the NICH 5
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:52
Timeout Texas State, clock 02:52
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:38
Greg Burrell run for 5 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
100.0%
0.0
NICH · Drive 14DOWNS · 14 plays · 47 yds
Q3 2:38
Michael James kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
Q3 2:28
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Miequle Brock Jr. for 4 yds to the NICH 29
100.0%
0.0
Q3 1:54
Miequle Brock Jr. run for no gain to the NICH 29
100.0%
0.0
Q3 1:08
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Everett Hunter for 5 yds to the NICH 34
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:40
Deuce Hogan run for 3 yds to the NICH 37 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Shane Lee run for 1 yd to the NICH 38
100.0%
0.0
Q4 14:54
Shane Lee run for 11 yds to the NICH 49 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 14:15
Miequle Brock Jr. run for 3 yds to the TXST 48
100.0%
0.0
Q4 13:35
Shane Lee run for no gain to the TXST 48
100.0%
0.0
Q4 13:01
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Miequle Brock Jr. for 14 yds to the TXST 34 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 12:22
Miequle Brock Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TXST 37
100.0%
0.0
Q4 11:37
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Scrappy Osby for 5 yds to the TXST 32
100.0%
0.0
Q4 10:59
Deuce Hogan run for no gain to the TXST 32
100.0%
0.0
Q4 10:18
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Miequle Brock Jr. for 4 yds to the TXST 28
100.0%
0.0
TXST · Drive 15PUNT · 7 plays · 22 yds
Q4 10:11
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the TXST 29
100.0%
0.0
Q4 9:43
Keldric Luster run for 2 yds to the TXST 31
100.0%
0.0
Q4 8:56
Keldric Luster pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 14 yds to the TXST 45 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 8:25
Jaylen Jenkins run for 3 yds to the TXST 48
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:50
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:19
Keldric Luster pass incomplete to Mavin Anderson
100.0%
0.0
Q4 7:10
David Nunez punt for 39 yds
100.0%
0.0
NICH · Drive 16PUNT · 13 plays · 39 yds
Q4 7:03
Shane Lee run for 1 yd to the NICH 12
100.0%
0.0
Q4 6:24
Jonathan Dartez run for 3 yds to the NICH 15
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:48
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Jonathan Dartez for 9 yds to the NICH 24 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 5:07
Jonathan Dartez run for no gain to the NICH 24
100.0%
0.0
Q4 4:21
Deuce Hogan pass complete to Brian McQuaide for 12 yds to the NICH 36 for a 1ST down
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:50
Deuce Hogan run for 5 yds to the NICH 41
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:23
DK Kency Jr. run for no gain to the NICH 41
100.0%
0.0
Q4 3:00
PENALTY TXST Offside (Keys,D'Ante) 5 yards from NICH41 to NICH46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:36
Jonathan Dartez run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Jonathan Dartez run for no gain to the 50 yard line
100.0%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Texas State, clock 02:00
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:53
Deuce Hogan pass incomplete
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:43
Pharrell Harewood punt for 50 yds for a touchback
100.0%
0.0
TXST · Drive 17FUMBLE · 1 play · 9 yds
Q4 1:36
Greg Burrell run for 9 yds to the TXST 29 Greg Burrell fumbled, recovered by NICH Travin Moore
100.0%
0.0
NICH · Drive 18DOWNS · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q4 1:31
Ean Rodrigue pass incomplete to Damondrick Blackburn
100.0%
0.0
Q4 1:24
Damondrick Blackburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 30
100.0%
0.0
Q4 0:46
Damondrick Blackburn run for 8 yds to the TXST 22
100.0%
0.0
Q4 0:19
Damondrick Blackburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 23
100.0%
0.0
TXST · Drive 19END OF GAME · 1 play · -1 yds
Q4 0:00
run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 22
100.0%
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:17
Brad Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 9:15
Brad Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD (Tyler Robles KICK)
+0.3
FG · Q1 1:52
Gabriel Showalter 32 yd FG GOOD
-0.3