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CCU

Coastal Carolina 38 at South Alabama 20

USA
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:47 · Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony Eager
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+28.6Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:08: Tad Hudson pass complete to Malick Meiga for 19 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +11.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:24: Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK) — USA win probability +8.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:16: Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 17 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +12.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:19: Tad Hudson run for 7 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +14.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:00: Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 24 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK) — CCU win probability +17.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 10 of 11CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:13CCU 4th & 6 at USA 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:47USA 4th & 4 at CCU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:19CCU 4th & 7 at USA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07USA 4th & 5 at USA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:07USA 4th & 5 at USA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:12CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:50USA 4th & 6 at CCU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:49CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:24USA 4th & 2 at CCU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:17USA 4th & 6 at USA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:11USA 4th & 20 at CCU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−5.4
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−12.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:28CCU 4th & 6 at USA 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:28CCU 4th & 6 at USA 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:29USA 4th & 8 at CCU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−2.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−13.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:32USA 4th & 13 at CCU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:37CCU 4th & 11 at CCU 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:48CCU 4th & 10 at USA 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:52USA 4th & 5 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:52USA 4th & 5 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 7:12USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:08CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:24USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:16CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:19CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:00CCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:32CCU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:3818% → 18%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 3 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+28
82.2%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
50
+4
82.1%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the USA 46Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
81.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
81.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Robby WashingtonSimilar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
81.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Devin Voisin at the USA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2DOWNS
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:2082% → 80%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
81.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 1 yd to the USA 12Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-5
81.8%
PENALTY USA False Start (Hale,Asher) 5 yards from USA12 to USA07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+14
81.8%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Rod Gibbs for 14 yds to the USA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
81.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the USA 27Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+11
81.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 11 yds to the USA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
81.5%
PJ Martin run for 3 yds to the USA 41Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
81.5%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 5 yds to the USA 46Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
81.4%
Bishop Davenport run for 3 yds to the USA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
81.3%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 6 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
81.1%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Jones-Thomas for 3 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+12
80.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 12 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
80.9%
PJ Martin run for 4 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
80.9%
PJ Martin run for 2 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
80.5%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 4
OPP 30
0
80.3%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony EagerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:2020% → 22%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
79.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 1 yd to the CCU 31Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
79.6%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+10
79.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 10 yds to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
78.7%
Tad Hudson run for 7 yds to the USA 48Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
78.3%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
78.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
78.0%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 3 yds to the USA 41Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
77.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
77.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Eli AragonSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
78.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:0479% → 77%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
78.7%
Keenan Phillips run for 8 yds to the USA 28Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
79.0%
Keenan Phillips run for 1 yd to the USA 29Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
78.4%
Keenan Phillips run for 1 yd to the USA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
78.5%
Keenan Phillips run for 5 yds to the USA 35Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
78.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for no gain to the USA 35Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-10
77.9%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop pass complete short right to McCrumby,Miller caught at USA38, for 3 yards to the USA38 (Pinckney,Dre), out of bounds PENALTY USA Holding (Hubbard,Ethan) 10 yards from USA35 to USA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+10
77.3%
South Alabama Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
77.3%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 13Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
77.3%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4823% → 23%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
77.2%
Dominic Knicely run for 4 yds to the CCU 11Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 11
-5
77.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass complete short left to Knicely,Dominic caught at CCU05, for 0 yards to the CCU11 (Dozier,Caleb; McKenzie,Darius) PENALTY CCU Illegal Motion (Edwards,Jevon) 5 yards from CCU11 to CCU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+3
77.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 3 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 14
OWN 3
+10
77.3%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 10 yds to the CCU 13Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+21
77.2%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 48 yds , Devin Voisin returns for 21 yds to the CCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1779% → 78%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
78.9%
Keenan Phillips run for 2 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
78.7%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 2 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
78.3%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Brendan JenkinsSimilar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
77.6%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5226% → 24%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.6%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
73.6%
Jevon Edwards run for 2 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
73.9%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass incomplete deep right to Hinton,Colton thrown to USA35 PENALTY USA Offside offsetting CCU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
73.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
76.3%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:2878% → 86%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
77.5%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 4 yds to the USA 44Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
77.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 48Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
77.2%
Kentrel Bullock run for 5 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
77.9%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
77.7%
Kentrel Bullock run for 9 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
77.2%
Bishop Davenport run for 3 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
77.7%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 3 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+38
85.6%
Anthony Eager 0 Yd Run (Hamilton DiBoyan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:5818% → 32%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.3%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Karmello EnglishSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+30
82.5%
Jevon Edwards run for 30 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
80.4%
Dominic Knicely run for 5 yds to the USA 30Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
80.2%
Dominic Knicely run for 10 yds to the USA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
80.1%
Dominic Knicely run for 1 yd to the USA 19Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
68.3%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Malick Meiga for 19 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3375% → 82%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
74.5%
Keenan Phillips run for 54 yds to the CCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
76.9%
Keenan Phillips run for 4 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
76.8%
Keenan Phillips run for 3 yds to the CCU 14Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+4
75.8%
Keenan Phillips run for 4 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
76.3%
Bishop Davenport run for a loss of 8 yards to the CCU 18Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+9
75.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 9 yds to the CCU 9Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
75.4%
Bishop Davenport run for 7 yds to the CCU 2Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.9%
Kentrel Bullock run for 2 yds for a TD (Hamilton DiBoyan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1216% → 17%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
83.8%
Tad Hudson run for 1 yd to the CCU 16Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+16
84.0%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 16 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
83.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Ja'Vin Simpkins for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3781% → 80%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.4%
Kentrel Bullock run for 4 yds to the USA 29Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
81.4%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
80.7%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q3 14:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
79.7%
Aleksi Pulkkinen punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 0:5322% → 36%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
78.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 14 yds to the USA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
77.0%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 9 yds to the USA 17Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+17
64.3%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 17 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-18
71.3%
Bishop Davenport pass intercepted Myles Woods return for 18 yds to the USA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4437% → 52%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
63.1%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+17
63.6%
Jevon Edwards run for 17 yds to the USA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.9%
Jevon Edwards run for no gain to the USA 3Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
62.6%
Dominic Knicely run for a loss of 4 yards to the USA 7Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
48.1%
Tad Hudson run for 7 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:5853% → 53%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.2%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 7 yds to the USA 32Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
54.4%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for 1 yd to the USA 33Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
53.0%
Kentrel Bullock run for 3 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
52.5%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Jeremiah Jones-Thomas for 17 yds to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
55.4%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 7 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+13
55.1%
PJ Martin run for 13 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
56.0%
PJ Martin run for 2 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+2
55.5%
PJ Martin run for 2 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+15
53.3%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop pass incomplete deep right to Eager,Anthony thrown to CCU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CCU Pass Interference (Whitaker,Lionell) 15 yards from CCU23 to CCU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
54.0%
PJ Martin run for 3 yds to the CCU 5Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
53.9%
PJ Martin run for 2 yds to the CCU 3Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-17
51.9%
Bishop Davenport run for a loss of 17 yards to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+37
53.1%
Hamilton DiBoyan 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:2249% → 54%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
51.4%
Robby Washington run for 1 yd to the CCU 29Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+15
49.1%
South Alabama Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
45.8%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Dominic KnicelySimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
46.0%
Dominic Knicely run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 7
50
+6
44.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Ja'Vin Simpkins for 6 yds to the USA 44Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-5
45.0%
PENALTY CCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from USA44 to USA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
45.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devin Voisin at the USA 10Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
45.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devin Voisin at the USA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:5145% → 43%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
44.7%
Keenan Phillips run for 4 yds to the USA 19Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
44.2%
Keenan Phillips run for 6 yds to the USA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.0%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for no gain to the USA 25Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.3%
PENALTY USA False Start (Wiggins,Amaury) 5 yards from USA25 to USA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
42.0%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 9 yds to the USA 29Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
41.9%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 6 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+48
42.8%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 48 yds to the CCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
49.2%
Keenan Phillips run for 4 yds to the CCU 13Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
48.7%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony EagerSimilar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-2
46.5%
Bishop Davenport sacked by Noah Arinze for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
43.4%
Hamilton DiBoyan 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:2159% → 86%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.8%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
41.3%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 11 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
38.2%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Eli Aragon for 3 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+4
39.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 4 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+5
38.0%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass incomplete deep right to Gillie,Malcolm thrown to USA42 PENALTY USA Offside (Wiseman,Dominic) 5 yards from CCU32 to CCU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+24
34.9%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 24 yds to the USA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
31.8%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass incomplete short right to Graves,Bryson thrown to USA36 PENALTY USA Roughing The Passer (Myrick,Blayne) 15 yards from USA39 to USA24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
14.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 24 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:2215% → 14%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
14.6%
Keenan Phillips run for 8 yds to the USA 33Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+17
15.0%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Devin Voisin for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
50
+5
15.6%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop pass incomplete short left to Voisin,Devin thrown to CCU31 PENALTY CCU Offside (Durham-Campbell,Ezekiel) 5 yards from USA50 to CCU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+8
16.5%
Kentrel Bullock run for 8 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
15.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 11 yds to the CCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
16.5%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to PJ Martin for 3 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-5
15.7%
PENALTY USA Illegal Snap (Jerido,Kenton) 5 yards from CCU23 to CCU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 12
OPP 28
-1
14.7%
Bishop Davenport run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 13
OPP 29
0
11.8%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+47
13.5%
Hamilton DiBoyan 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3990% → 90%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.1%
Jevon Edwards run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
9.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
9.2%
PENALTY CCU False Start (McDonald,Kain) 5 yards from CCU29 to CCU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
9.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
10.2%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 48 yds , Devin Voisin returns for no gain to the USA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:538% → 8%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
7.6%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony EagerSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
7.2%
Bishop Davenport sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the USA 23Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-12
7.8%
Bishop Davenport pass intercepted Xamarion Gordon return for 12 yds to the USA 27Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-12
7.8%
Bishop Davenport pass intercepted Xamarion Gordon return for 12 yds to the USA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4795% → 96%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
5.5%
Dominic Knicely run for 3 yds to the USA 24Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
5.2%
Dominic Knicely run for 6 yds to the USA 18Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-9
4.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tad Hudson) to the USA 27Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
4.4%
Kian Afrookhteh 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
0.7%
Tray Brown 13 Yd Fumble Return (Kian Afrookhteh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
0.7%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Davenport,Bishop rush right for 2 yards gain to the USA27, out of bounds at USA27 PENALTY USA Holding (Davis,Jordan) 10 yards from USA25 to USA15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
0.7%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to PJ MartinSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+30
0.7%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 30 yds to the USA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.6%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to PJ MartinSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 4 yds to the USA 49Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+1
0.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 5
50
0
0.6%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony EagerSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 5
50
0
0.6%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Anthony EagerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
50
-2
0.6%
(00:52) Kneel down by Coastal Carolina at CCU48 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-2
0.6%
(00:22) Kneel down by Coastal Carolina at CCU46 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:00
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 24 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q3 11:19
Tad Hudson run for 7 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q3 13:16
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 17 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com