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UL

Louisiana 31 at Eastern Michigan 34

EMU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:01 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Robert Williams at the UL 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense−1.1Pregame prior−4.8Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score differential−0.2Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:13: Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 15 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +14.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:20: Noah Kim pass intercepted Courtline Flowers return for 35 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK) — UL win probability +18.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:55: Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK) — EMU win probability +22.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:47: Zylan Perry run for 10 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK) — UL win probability +43.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Rudy Kessinger 42 yd FG GOOD Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rudy Kessinger) to the EMU 20 — EMU win probability +47.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:01EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38UL 4th & 11 at UL 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56UL 4th & 12 at EMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:58EMU 4th & 14 at UL 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:24UL 4th & 2 at UL 9, up 3
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:56EMU 4th & 1 at UL 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−3.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03UL 4th & 7 at EMU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:41EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:22UL 4th & 13 at EMU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%−1.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:22UL 4th & 8 at UL 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−2.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:16EMU 4th & 4 at UL 31, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%−2.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:52UL 4th & 2 at EMU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−2.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:47EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:08EMU 4th & 4 at UL 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:03EMU 4th & 5 at UL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−15.4
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−27.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:32UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:07EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:31EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:32UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:13EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:20UL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:55EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:47UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2255% → 56%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.8%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the UL 31Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
44.9%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Brock Chappell for 10 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
45.0%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 44Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+18
45.1%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 18 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
45.1%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+11
45.1%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Brock Chappell for 11 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
43.9%
Zylan Perry run for 23 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1744% → 44%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
44.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the EMU 25Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
44.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
44.0%
Noah Kim pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
43.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Robert Williams at the UL 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1756% → 56%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
44.3%
Bill Davis run for no gain to the UL 24Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
44.2%
(09:27) Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass complete short middle to Jensen,Caden caught at UL29, for 5 yards to the UL29 (Marshall,Andrew) PENALTY UL Illegal Formation 5 yards from UL24 to UL19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+4
44.2%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 23Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
44.3%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Bill DavisSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
44.4%
Nathan Torney punt for 41 yds , Juan Salas returns for no gain to the EMU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:2644% → 48%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
43.7%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 6 yds to the UL 48Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
44.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
44.0%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Kim,Noah pass complete short left to Long,Joshua caught at UL44, for 12 yards to the UL31 (Dugger,Jaden) PENALTY EMU Holding (Dahoue,Dodji) 10 yards from UL43 to EMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+11
43.3%
Noah Kim run for 11 yds to the UL 42Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+21
43.9%
Dontae McMillan run for 21 yds to the UL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
44.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the UL 15Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
44.1%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+12
43.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 12 yds to the UL 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.4%
Noah Kim run for 3 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 5:0453% → 55%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.6%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
46.5%
Lunch Winfield pass complete to Robert Williams for 5 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
46.5%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
46.5%
Zylan Perry run for 30 yds to the EMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
45.2%
Lunch Winfield pass incomplete to Rahji DennisSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
45.0%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
45.5%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Caden JensenSimilar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+15
46.7%
(02:27) Sterner,Tony field goal attempt from 52 yards nullified by penaltyGOOD (H: Sims,Hunter, LS: Milliron,Carter), clock 02:25 PENALTY EMU Personal Foul (Llewellyn,Bryce) 15 yards from EMU34 to EMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
44.7%
Louisiana Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 13
OPP 22
+9
44.9%
Zylan Perry run for 9 yds to the EMU 13Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-15
44.7%
(01:17) Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass complete short right to Chappell,Brock caught at EMU11, for 6 yards to the EMU07 (Marshall,Andrew), out of bounds PENALTY UL Block Below Waist (Fordham,Cooper) 15 yards from EMU13 to EMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 19
OPP 28
+4
45.6%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 4 yds to the EMU 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 23
OPP 32
+11
46.6%
Daniel Beale run for 11 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
45.4%
Tony Sterner 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:0945% → 54%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
45.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 23 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
45.7%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the UL 37Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
45.6%
Tavierre Dunlap run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 38Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+36
44.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 36 yds to the UL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 2 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4548% → 57%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.0%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
52.0%
Bill Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
52.6%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 11 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
51.2%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Charles RobertsonSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
51.7%
Steven Blanco run for 7 yds to the UL 48Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+7
51.4%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Rahji Dennis for 7 yds to the EMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
43.1%
Bill Davis run for 45 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:2043% → 41%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.4%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 4 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
43.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 9 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
43.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+11
44.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 11 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
45.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 8 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+5
45.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the UL 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
45.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
45.8%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-4
44.2%
Noah Kim sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 37Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
41.2%
Rudy Kessinger punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2756% → 52%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
44.5%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
44.9%
Steven Blanco run for 3 yds to the UL 4Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+5
46.6%
Steven Blanco run for 5 yds to the UL 9Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+3
48.0%
Nathan Torney punt for 46 yds , Juan Salas returns for 3 yds to the EMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:0545% → 64%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
45.3%
Dontae McMillan run for 6 yds to the UL 46Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
45.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
45.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for no gain to the UL 43Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
44.9%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
47.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 12 yds to the UL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
48.3%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 13 yds to the UL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
64.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 15 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:0636% → 38%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.4%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Zylan Perry for 7 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
64.9%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Shelton Sampson Jr. for 11 yds to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
62.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 27 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
58.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Caden Jensen for 3 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
58.5%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to KeDarius WadeSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
60.5%
Daniel Beale pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
62.2%
Tony Sterner 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
61.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 11 yds to the EMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0357% → 56%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
57.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 10 yds to the EMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.8%
Ben Prosper run for no gain to the EMU 18Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
57.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Ben Prosper for 6 yds to the EMU 24Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
56.9%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
55.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 5:1143% → 37%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
56.8%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
54.9%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
55.2%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
57.5%
Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 47Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
57.0%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Brock Chappell for 11 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
56.7%
Bill Davis run for 6 yds to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-5
56.4%
PENALTY UL False Start (Fordham,Cooper) 5 yards from EMU36 to EMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+1
57.0%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the EMU 40Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
57.6%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Zylan Perry for 5 yds to the EMU 45Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
62.7%
Nathan Torney punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15INT TD
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5663% → 44%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
63.3%
Tavierre Dunlap run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 18Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+4
63.0%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 4 yds to the EMU 14Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+19
62.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Tavierre Dunlap for 19 yds to the EMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-35
43.9%
Noah Kim pass intercepted Courtline Flowers return for 35 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1443% → 73%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
43.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the EMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
43.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 20 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
48.4%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun McMillan,Dontae rush right for 0 yards to the UL45 (Flowers,Courtline) PENALTY EMU Holding (Dahoue,Dodji) 10 yards from UL45 to EMU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+6
42.7%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+25
42.1%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 25 yds to the UL 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
49.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 7 yds to the UL 17Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+1
49.8%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the UL 16Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+7
47.2%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 7 yds to the UL 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
50.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the UL 6Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.8%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:2539% → 34%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
61.5%
PENALTY UL Delay Of Game 5 yards from UL29 to UL24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+4
62.7%
Lunch Winfield run for 4 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+4
63.1%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-5
63.5%
PENALTY UL False Start (Williams,Bryant) 5 yards from UL32 to UL27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+4
65.2%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 31Similar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+37
65.9%
Nathan Torney punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 37 , Juan Salas returns for 37 yds to the UL 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:5569% → 82%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
68.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Nick Devereaux for 5 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
69.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the UL 31Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
68.5%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for no gain to the UL 31Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
82.1%
Rudy Kessinger 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19INT
8 plays · 50 yds · 4:0321% → 17%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
79.3%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Trey Miller for 14 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
78.6%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-4
79.0%
Daniel Beale sacked by Quincy Byas for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 28Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+29
81.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Shelton Sampson Jr. for 29 yds to the EMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
78.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 2 yds to the EMU 41Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
79.2%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the EMU 40Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
81.2%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Zylan Perry for 5 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
83.2%
Daniel Beale pass intercepted Caleb Dobbs return for no gain to the EMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5792% → 94%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
91.7%
Dontae McMillan run for 4 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-10
92.2%
(05:05) Shotgun McMillan,Dontae rush right for 0 yards to the EMU33 (Crider,Jaelen) PENALTY EMU Holding (Dahoue,Dodji) 10 yards from EMU33 to EMU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
92.2%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Dontae McMillanSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+8
91.8%
Noah Kim pass complete to Porter Rooks for 8 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+12
93.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 56 yds , Robert Williams returns for 12 yds to the UL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2513% → 14%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.9%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Charles Robertson for 12 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.7%
Daniel Beale pass intercepted Bryce Llewellyn return for no gain to the UL 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22MISSED FG
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5797% → 97%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
97.2%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+3
97.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the UL 35Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
97.6%
Noah Kim run for no gain to the UL 35Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+53
97.1%
Rudy Kessinger 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 1:179% → 58%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.3%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Zylan PerrySimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
92.4%
Louisiana Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the UL 27Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+5
93.3%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Caden Jensen for 5 yds to the UL 32Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
93.7%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Caden JensenSimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 13
OWN 32
-10
93.9%
(01:27) Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass complete deep left to Sampson Jr. ,Shelton caught at EMU46, for 24 yards to the EMU44 (Dobbs,Caleb), out of bounds PENALTY UL Holding (Jackson,George) 10 yards from UL32 to UL22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 23
OWN 22
+15
94.2%
(01:20) Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass intercepted by Salas,Juan at EMU37 PENALTY EMU Roughing The Passer (Gilbert,Makhi) 15 yards from UL22 to UL37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+43
92.6%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Shelton Sampson Jr. for 43 yds to the EMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
85.9%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete deep left thrown to EMU00 PENALTY EMU Holding (Dobbs,Caleb) 10 yards from EMU20 to EMU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.0%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
42.2%
Zylan Perry run for 10 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:3255% → 93%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
55.3%
Noah Kim pass complete to Dontae McMillan for 7 yds to the EMU 42Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
59.8%
Noah Kim run for 2 yds to the EMU 44Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+27
58.2%
Noah Kim pass complete to Joshua Long for 27 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
63.5%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Joshua LongSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
63.6%
Noah Kim pass incomplete to Nick DevereauxSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+5
45.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 5 yds to the UL 24Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
92.5%
Rudy Kessinger 42 yd FG GOOD Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rudy Kessinger) to the EMU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Louisiana Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:03
Rudy Kessinger 42 yd FG GOOD Eastern Michigan Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rudy Kessinger) to the EMU 20
+47.1
TD · Q4 0:47
Zylan Perry run for 10 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)
-43.7
TD · Q4 14:55
Tavierre Dunlap run for 6 yds for a TD (Rudy Kessinger KICK)
+22.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com