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ECU

East Carolina 38 at Coastal Carolina 0

CCU
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:31 · Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the CCU 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense−5.6Pregame prior−16.4Score differential−2.5Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:26: Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — ECU win probability +1.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:44: Nick Mazzie 36 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +0.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:15: Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — ECU win probability +11.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:04: Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — ECU win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:32: Mike Wright Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK) — ECU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:56ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08CCU 4th & 8 at ECU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26ECU 4th & 2 at CCU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:55CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:44ECU 4th & 6 at CCU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:31ECU 4th & 1 at CCU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−0.8
    77% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42ECU 4th & 7 at CCU 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:29CCU 4th & 17 at CCU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:31ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:51CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:51CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:26CCU 4th & 23 at CCU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−3.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:55CCU 4th & 15 at ECU 34, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:26ECU 4th & 7 at CCU 16, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:26ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:15ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:04ECU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:32ECU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:08ECU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:0472% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
28.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 11 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.4%
Parker Jenkins run for no gain to the ECU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
28.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the ECU 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+6
28.4%
Katin Houser run for 6 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-5
29.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Parker rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ECU42 (Brown,Tray) PENALTY ECU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ECU44 to ECU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+13
29.5%
Ryan Leavy punt for 46 yds , Bryson Graves returns for 13 yds to the CCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:4829% → 30%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
29.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for no gain to the CCU 28Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
29.4%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+39
29.3%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 39 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
29.7%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
29.7%
Dominic Knicely run for 2 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
29.6%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
30.3%
Philippe Laforge 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:4270% → 71%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
30.1%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 5 yds to the ECU 36Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
29.9%
London Montgomery run for 5 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
29.9%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the ECU 43Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+31
29.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 31 yds to the CCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
29.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 13 yds to the CCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
29.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 7 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
29.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 1 yd to the CCU 5Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-5
29.8%
PENALTY ECU False Start (Trnavsky,Cooper) 5 yards from CCU05 to CCU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+5
29.8%
Katin Houser run for 5 yds to the CCU 5Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
28.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3129% → 29%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.1%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.1%
Tad Hudson run for 8 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
29.3%
Samari Collier run for no gain to the CCU 33Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
29.0%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 44 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 8 yds to the ECU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:1171% → 72%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
28.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jayvontay Conner for 16 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.5%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
28.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Parker Jenkins for 5 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+16
28.5%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jayvontay Conner for 16 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
28.3%
Parker Jenkins run for 2 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+6
28.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 6 yds to the CCU 24Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
28.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the CCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
28.2%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Desirrio RilesSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
28.3%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 6 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
28.4%
Katin Houser pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 2 yds to the CCU 17Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+36
28.2%
Nick Mazzie 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:3528% → 28%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
27.8%
Malcolm Gillie run for 11 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
28.1%
Tad Hudson run for 2 yds to the CCU 38 Tad Hudson fumbled, recovered by ECU Julien DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3872% → 72%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
27.6%
London Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CCU 37Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
27.6%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
27.6%
PENALTY CCU Encroachment (Notice,Aamarii) 5 yards from CCU33 to CCU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
27.3%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 6 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+2
27.3%
London Montgomery run for 2 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
27.4%
London Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
27.8%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the CCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8INT
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:5127% → 26%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
26.8%
Dominic Knicely run for 16 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
26.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 13 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
27.0%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 11 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
27.2%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Malick MeigaSimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
27.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 11 yds to the ECU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
27.8%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
27.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 9 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
27.1%
Tad Hudson run for 1 yd to the ECU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
27.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass incomplete short middle to English,Karmello thrown to ECU01 broken up by Graves,Chance PENALTY CCU Holding 10 yards from ECU20 to ECU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+6
26.9%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Eli Aragon for 6 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-35
26.2%
Tad Hudson pass intercepted Ja'Marley Riddle return for 35 yds to the ECU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:5873% → 75%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
27.0%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Yannick SmithSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
27.1%
Katin Houser pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 14 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
26.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 6 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
26.6%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Payton MangrumSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
27.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Desirrio Riles for 7 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
26.6%
Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd to the CCU 34Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
26.6%
Parker Jenkins run for no gain to the CCU 34Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+15
27.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Payton Mangrum for 15 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
26.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short right to Smith,Yannick thrown to CCU17 PENALTY ECU False Start (Bell,Darius) 5 yards from CCU19 to CCU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+11
26.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 11 yds to the CCU 13Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+4
26.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds to the CCU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
26.4%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the CCU 6Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
26.4%
Katin Houser run for 1 yd to the CCU 5Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
26.7%
Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 7Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
25.4%
Nick Mazzie 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ja'Marion Wayne Mazzie,Nick field goal attempt from 26 yards NO GOOD blocked by Wayne,Ja'Marion (H: Leavy,Ryan, LS: O'Brien,Triston), clock 03:42 recovered by CCU Woods,Myles at CCU00 Woods,Myles return 5 yards to the CCU05 (Semaia,Leivi). , Myles Woods return for 5 yds to the CCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:5023% → 23%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
23.4%
Jalen John run for no gain to the CCU 5Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+1
23.3%
Luke Murphy run for 1 yd to the CCU 6Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+10
23.0%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 10 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
23.2%
Jevon Edwards run for 3 yds to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+8
23.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Malick Meiga for 8 yds to the CCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
23.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Malick Meiga for 7 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-7
23.9%
Tad Hudson sacked by Jasiyah Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 27Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-3
21.6%
Tad Hudson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 24Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 13
OWN 24
+1
23.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 47 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 1 yd to the ECU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5271% → 79%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
29.1%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 23Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
28.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for no gain to the ECU 23Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+10
29.7%
London Montgomery run for 10 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
21.0%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 14 yds to the ECU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:3125% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
25.3%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Ja'Vin Simpkins for 4 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+15
24.8%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Robby Washington for 15 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
26.4%
Jevon Edwards run for 3 yds to the CCU 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-10
26.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass complete deep left to Graves,Bryson caught at ECU04, for 47 yards to the ECU04 (Graves,Chance) PENALTY CCU Holding (Johnson,Thomas) 10 yards from CCU49 to CCU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
25.3%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Karmello EnglishSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 39
0
24.5%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Ja'Vin SimpkinsSimilar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
22.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the ECU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:5876% → 76%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
24.3%
Katin Houser pass complete to Brock Spalding for 21 yds to the ECU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
23.0%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 49Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
23.0%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
23.4%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
24.3%
Ryan Leavy punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4024% → 22%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
23.8%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 1 yd to the CCU 16Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-7
22.8%
Tad Hudson sacked by J.D. Lampley for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 9Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 16
OWN 9
+20
21.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 20 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 16
OWN 9
+20
21.8%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 46 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for 20 yds to the CCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:3677% → 88%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
22.8%
Parker Jenkins run for 3 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+11
22.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 11 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
22.5%
Parker Jenkins run for no gain to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
22.6%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Jaquaize PettawaySimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+27
23.2%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 27 yds to the CCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.7%
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:4914% → 13%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
14.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Cameron Wright for 19 yds to the CCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
15.4%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Karmello EnglishSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-15
15.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass complete short right to Gillie,Malcolm caught at ECU42, for 21 yards to the ECU35 (Brown,TyMir) PENALTY CCU Pass Interference (Washington,Robby) 15 yards from CCU44 to CCU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 25
OWN 29
0
13.8%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 25
OWN 29
+2
13.7%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Bryson Graves for 2 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 23
OWN 31
0
13.2%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the ECU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:3988% → 91%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
11.6%
Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete short right to Lacy,DeJuan thrown to ECU22 PENALTY CCU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ECU20 to ECU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 5
OWN 25
-2
11.4%
DeJuan Lacy run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 23Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
11.7%
DeJuan Lacy run for 5 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+12
11.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 12 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
10.8%
DeJuan Lacy run for 4 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+13
10.8%
Katin Houser pass complete to Anthony Smith for 13 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
10.6%
DeJuan Lacy run for 3 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
9.1%
Katin Houser pass intercepted Shane Bruce return for no gain to the CCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:5213% → 12%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
12.6%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Jevon EdwardsSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
12.3%
Tad Hudson run for 10 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
13.6%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 14 yds to the ECU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
14.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hudson,Tad pass incomplete deep middle to Meiga,Malick thrown to ECU08 PENALTY ECU Pass Interference (Crowell,Key) 15 yards from ECU44 to ECU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
14.8%
PENALTY CCU False Start (Elam,Zac) 5 yards from ECU29 to ECU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
14.5%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 15
OPP 34
0
13.9%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
13.3%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Robby WashingtonSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 15
OPP 34
-7
12.4%
Tad Hudson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ECU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:5193% → 98%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
7.4%
London Montgomery run for 4 yds to the ECU 45Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
7.4%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the ECU 48Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
7.5%
London Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
6.7%
London Montgomery run for 8 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
6.4%
London Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CCU 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+9
6.5%
London Montgomery run for 9 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
6.4%
Katin Houser pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
6.6%
Katin Houser pass complete to London Montgomery for 12 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
6.3%
DeJuan Lacy run for 15 yds to the CCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.9%
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20INT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:172% → 2%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
2.3%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 24Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
2.3%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Eli AragonSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
2.2%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 12 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
2.4%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Eli Aragon for 13 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
2.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 48Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
2.5%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
2.1%
Tad Hudson pass intercepted Rasheed Reason return for no gain to the ECU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:1598% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
1.6%
Parker Jenkins run for 8 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+11
1.5%
Mike Wright Jr. run for 11 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
1.6%
Parker Jenkins run for 14 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
1.5%
PENALTY CCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CCU23 to CCU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 5
OPP 18
+18
0.2%
Mike Wright Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Ja'Vin Simpkins for no gain to the CCU 26Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
0.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Jevon Edwards for 5 yds to the CCU 31Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
0.1%
Tad Hudson pass complete to Cameron Wright for 8 yds to the CCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.1%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
0.1%
Tad Hudson sacked by Kendrick DuJour for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 35 Tad Hudson fumbled, recovered by ECU Kieran Davis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
0.2%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 12 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
0.2%
Mike Wright Jr. run for 8 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+10
0.2%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 10 yds to the CCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
0.2%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCU 1Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Jalen John run for no gain to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
0.0%
Tad Hudson run for a loss of 8 yards to the CCU 19 Tad Hudson fumbled, recovered by ECU Kendrick DuJourSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
0.1%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCU 16Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
0.1%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-1
0.1%
Kneel down by East Carolina at CCU16 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 7
OPP 16
-1
0.1%
Kneel down by East Carolina at CCU17 for loss of 1 yard, TURNOVER ON DOWNS.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
0.0%
Jevon Edwards run for 14 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
0.0%
Jevon Edwards run for 5 yds to the CCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:15
Parker Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q4 13:04
Katin Houser pass complete to Yannick Smith for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q4 8:32
Mike Wright Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com