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MCN

McNeese 10 at Louisiana 34

UL
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jaylen Thompson run for 6 yds to the MCN 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:06: Bill Davis run for 36 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK) — UL win probability +5.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Tony Sterner 38 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +1.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:50: Fabrizio Pinton 45 yd FG GOOD — MCN win probability +3.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: MCN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:48: Daniel Beale pass complete to Landon Baptiste for 10 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK) — UL win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:39: Steven Blanco run for 34 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK) — UL win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MCN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 3:46UL 4th & 6 at MCN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:01MCN 4th & 10 at MCN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50UL 4th & 5 at UL 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:37MCN 4th & 1 at MCN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:24MCN 4th & 2 at UL 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:13UL 4th & 1 at MCN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−1.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:02UL 4th & 8 at MCN 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39MCN 4th & 5 at MCN 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50MCN 4th & 3 at UL 28, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:04UL 4th & 1 at MCN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−1.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−6.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:00MCN 4th & 6 at MCN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:41UL 4th & 8 at MCN 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:34MCN 4th & 9 at MCN 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:12UL 4th & 3 at MCN 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:25MCN 4th & 1 at MCN 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MCN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:58UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:08MCN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:06UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:48UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:39UL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:4092% → 92%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
92.4%
Zylan Perry run for 28 yds to the MCN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
92.4%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the MCN 15Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
92.2%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Zylan PerrySimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+9
92.2%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 9 yds to the MCN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.3%
Bill Davis run for 6 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:298% → 9%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+55
92.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Josh Jackson for 55 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
91.9%
Jake Strong pass complete to Josh Jackson for 14 yds to the UL 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
91.8%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 13Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+11
91.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Logan Mauldin for 11 yds to the UL 2Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
91.0%
Devin Lippold run for 2 yds for a TD (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:1191% → 89%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
91.2%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Bill Davis for 6 yds to the UL 29Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
91.1%
Bill Davis run for 6 yds to the UL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
90.8%
Bill Davis run for 22 yds to the MCN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.9%
Daniel Beale run for no gain to the MCN 43Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
90.8%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+15
90.5%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete deep right to Wade,KeDarius thrown to MCN11 PENALTY MCN Personal Foul (Landry,Keenan) 15 yards from MCN41 to MCN26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
90.6%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
90.6%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Robert Williams for 9 yds to the MCN 17Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
90.3%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Rahji Dennis for 2 yds to the MCN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
90.3%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 16Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+2
90.1%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Brock Chappell for 2 yds to the MCN 14Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+3
89.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Charles Robertson for 3 yds to the MCN 11Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
89.4%
Tony Sterner 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4011% → 12%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tre'Vonte Citizen for 2 yds to the MCN 22Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
88.9%
Jake Strong run for 5 yds to the MCN 27Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
88.5%
Jake Strong pass complete to Josh Jackson for 8 yds to the MCN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.2%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Josh JacksonSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
88.2%
Bryce Strong run for no gain to the MCN 35Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
88.3%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jessie Campbell IIISimilar
Q1 1:01
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
88.3%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0488% → 88%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
88.4%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the UL 9Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
88.2%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Charles RobertsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+3
87.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Caden Jensen for 3 yds to the UL 12Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+7
87.6%
Nathan Torney punt for 43 yds , Matthew McCallister returns for 7 yds to the MCN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 5:1813% → 15%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
87.5%
Bryce Strong run for 7 yds to the MCN 37Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
86.8%
Bryce Strong run for 2 yds to the MCN 39Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
86.3%
Bryce Strong run for no gain to the MCN 39Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
86.6%
Devin Lippold run for 1 yd to the MCN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
85.7%
Louisiana Penalty, Personal Foul (Jr. Brent Gordon) to the UL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
85.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Kameran Senegal for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 44Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+6
84.9%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tre'Vonte Citizen for 6 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
84.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tyronne Hayes for 3 yds to the UL 35Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-4
84.6%
Jake Strong sacked by Caleb Kibodi for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 5:1487% → 84%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.6%
Bill Davis run for 5 yds to the UL 44Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+8
86.8%
Bill Davis run for 8 yds to the MCN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
86.7%
Bill Davis run for 7 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-2
86.5%
Lunch Winfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 43Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
86.1%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the MCN 39Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+1
85.3%
Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the MCN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
85.8%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
85.6%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 40Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+4
84.5%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Shelton Sampson Jr. for 4 yds to the MCN 36Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+53
84.1%
Tony Sterner 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 8INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:0319% → 24%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
81.0%
Jake Strong pass complete to Kameran Senegal for 8 yds to the MCN 44Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
79.6%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 5 yds to the MCN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
79.0%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Makhi ParisSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
79.2%
Jake Strong pass complete to Makhi Paris for 17 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
77.8%
Jake Strong pass complete to Trey Echols for 8 yds to the UL 26Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 2
OPP 26
0
76.0%
Jake Strong pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 0:4281% → 89%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-15
81.4%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete short right to Williams,Robert thrown to UL 27 PENALTY MCN Pass Interference (Davis,Javon) 15 yards from UL 09 to UL 24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
81.7%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
81.5%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Shelton Sampson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+22
80.6%
Daniel Beale run for 22 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
83.0%
Zylan Perry run for 18 yds to the MCN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.4%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Jaydon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
88.8%
Bill Davis run for 36 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:2012% → 11%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
87.7%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 2 yds to the MCN 4Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
87.9%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 1 yd to the MCN 5Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+2
88.3%
Bryce Strong run for 2 yds to the MCN 7Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
88.9%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:3591% → 91%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
90.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Caden Jensen for 5 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-4
90.8%
Daniel Beale sacked by Landon Barrett for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 45Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-15
88.5%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete deep right to Williams,Robert thrown to MCN23 PENALTY MCN Pass Interference (Davis,Javon) 15 yards from UL 45 to MCN40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
89.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to KeDarius Wade for 19 yds to the MCN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+38
91.1%
Tony Sterner 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 12FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:0011% → 14%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.8%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jessie Campbell III for 9 yds to the MCN 34Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.1%
Jake Strong run for 2 yds to the MCN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
89.0%
Jake Strong pass complete to Logan Mauldin for 19 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
88.3%
Jake Strong pass complete to Tre'Vonte Citizen for 10 yds to the UL 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.7%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jessie Campbell IIISimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
87.6%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jessie Campbell IIISimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+2
88.6%
Jake Strong run for 2 yds to the UL 33Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+5
89.2%
(12:06) No Huddle Strong,Jake rush middle for 7 yards loss to the UL 40, End Of Play PENALTY UL Offside (Tomlinson,Trae) 5 yards from UL 33 to UL 28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
85.6%
Fabrizio Pinton 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 39 yds · 5:3387% → 88%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.4%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the UL 40Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
87.9%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
87.9%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Zylan Perry for 13 yds to the MCN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
88.8%
Louisiana Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UL 46Similar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 23
OWN 46
-5
88.0%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete short left to Wade,KeDarius thrown to MCN41 PENALTY MCN Offside (Landry,Keenan) 5 yards from UL 46 to MCN49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 18
OPP 49
0
88.1%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Trey Miller for no gain to the MCN 49Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+15
87.9%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass incomplete deep middle to Williams,Robert thrown to MCN05 PENALTY MCN Roughing The Passer (Barrett,Landon) 15 yards from MCN49 to MCN34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
88.8%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Beale,Daniel pass complete short right to Strother,Landon caught at MCN31, for 7 yards to the MCN27 (Davis,Javon) PENALTY UL Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Jackson,George) 5 yards from MCN34 to MCN39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+1
88.8%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Caden Jensen for 1 yd to the MCN 38Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 14
OPP 38
-9
88.5%
Zylan Perry run for a loss of 9 yards to the MCN 47 Zylan Perry fumbled, recovered by UL Zylan PerrySimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 23
OPP 47
-5
87.6%
PENALTY UL False Start (Fordham,Cooper) 5 yards from MCN47 to UL 48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 28
OWN 48
+27
87.4%
Zylan Perry run for 27 yds to the MCN 25Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
87.8%
Bill Davis run for no gain to the MCN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:4415% → 15%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.8%
Bryce Strong run for 3 yds to the MCN 28Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
84.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jessie Campbell III for 5 yds to the MCN 33Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
84.5%
Devin Lippold run for 2 yds to the MCN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
84.1%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jonathan Harris for 6 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-7
82.6%
Bryce Strong run for 3 yds to the MCN 44 McNeese Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh Jackson) to the MCN 34Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+5
84.4%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 5 yds to the MCN 39Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
83.7%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Tre'Vonte CitizenSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
84.8%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 6:1287% → 90%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-10
87.3%
Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UL 12Similar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 13
OWN 12
+4
87.2%
Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 16Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-15
88.3%
Louisiana Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the UL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
90.1%
Steven Blanco run for 11 yds to the UL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
90.5%
Steven Blanco run for 6 yds to the MCN 45Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+8
90.6%
Steven Blanco run for 8 yds to the MCN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
90.7%
Steven Blanco run for 5 yds to the MCN 32Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
91.1%
Bill Davis run for 10 yds to the MCN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
91.1%
Bill Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the MCN 25Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+5
90.8%
Steven Blanco run for 5 yds to the MCN 20Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
90.7%
Daniel Beale pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
89.9%
Tony Sterner 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:519% → 7%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
91.1%
Jake Strong run for 1 yd to the MCN 18Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
91.3%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Matthew McCallisterSimilar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
92.5%
Jake Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
92.8%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MCN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 5:3891% → 98%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 11
OPP 40
+4
91.4%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the MCN 36Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
92.5%
Lunch Winfield run for 2 yds to the MCN 34Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+2
92.8%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the MCN 32Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+3
92.5%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the MCN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
93.7%
Bill Davis run for 7 yds to the MCN 22Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+10
93.9%
Bill Davis run for 10 yds to the MCN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
94.1%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the MCN 12Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
94.2%
Lunch Winfield run for 2 yds to the MCN 10Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
98.4%
Daniel Beale pass complete to Landon Baptiste for 10 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:032% → 2%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Logan MauldinSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.8%
Jake Strong pass complete to Josh Jackson for 6 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
97.8%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jessie Campbell III for 3 yds to the MCN 44Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
97.9%
Jake Strong run for 4 yds to the MCN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Jake Strong pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-14
97.9%
Jake Strong run for a loss of 14 yards to the MCN 34 Jake Strong fumbled, recovered by UL Ashton WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.8%
Steven Blanco run for 34 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Kameran Senegal for 2 yds to the MCN 23Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
99.4%
Jaylen Thompson run for 4 yds to the MCN 27Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+6
99.4%
Jaylen Thompson run for 6 yds to the MCN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.3%
Jaylen Thompson run for 6 yds to the MCN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:06
Bill Davis run for 36 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q4 3:48
Daniel Beale pass complete to Landon Baptiste for 10 yds for a TD (Tony Sterner KICK)
+4.3
FG · Q3 11:50
Fabrizio Pinton 45 yd FG GOOD
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com