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LIN

Lindenwood 13 at App State 20

APP
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadLIN aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreLIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:06 · A.J. Vinatieri punt for 45 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for 28 yds to the APP 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior+40.8Home team on offense+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:15: Nate Glantz run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Graham PAT BLOCKED) — LIN win probability +2.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:15: Timeout App State, clock 07:15 — APP win probability +2.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:12: Dominic De Freitas 24 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:12: Timeout App State, clock 14:12 — LIN win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: LIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:34: Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 24 yds for a TD App State Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Yards) declined (Will Graham KICK) — LIN win probability +6.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: LIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LIN made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 8:27APP 4th & 5 at LIN 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:59LIN 4th & 8 at LIN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:06LIN 4th & 19 at LIN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06LIN 4th & 19 at LIN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:26APP 4th & 18 at APP 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:57LIN 4th & 20 at LIN 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:46APP 4th & 3 at LIN 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:27APP 4th & 6 at APP 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23LIN 4th & 8 at LIN 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:34LIN 4th & 23 at LIN 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:34LIN 4th & 23 at LIN 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:07LIN 4th & 11 at LIN 36, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:36APP 4th & 8 at LIN 11, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−4.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:18LIN 4th & 10 at LIN 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:12APP 4th & 6 at LIN 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    89.5%−3.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:47LIN 4th & 5 at LIN 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:46LIN 4th & 2 at APP 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:34LIN 4th & 14 at APP 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:51LIN 4th & 7 at APP 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−2.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LIN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:42APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:32APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:15LIN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:34LIN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
96.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 72 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 2INT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:144% → 4%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.2%
Steve Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 22Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
96.1%
Jared Rhodes run for 2 yds to the LIN 24Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+19
96.0%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 19 yds to the LIN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
95.9%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 3
50
+5
95.8%
Jared Rhodes run for 5 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
95.7%
Jared Rhodes run for 3 yds to the APP 42Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
95.6%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-25
95.6%
Nate Glantz pass intercepted DJ Burks return for 25 yds to the APP 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:4696% → 95%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
95.7%
Rashod Dubinion run for 9 yds to the APP 41Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+7
95.7%
Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
95.7%
PENALTY APP False Start (Sweatt,Cayden) 5 yards from APP48 to APP43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
95.6%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+10
95.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 10 yds to the LIN 47Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
95.5%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Alex SanchezSimilar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+47
95.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 47 yds Dalton Stroman fumbled, recovered by APPSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:215% → 5%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.4%
Nate Glantz run for 2 yds to the LIN 22Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Mason BrownSimilar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Jared RhodesSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+15
95.4%
(07:39) Vinatieri,A.J. punt 37 yards to the APP41, out of bounds at APP41 PENALTY APP Roughing The Kicker (Yurachek,Brooks) 15 yards from LU22 to LU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
95.2%
Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 35Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
95.2%
Nate Glantz run for 3 yds to the LIN 38Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+1
95.1%
Lindenwood Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
95.1%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1895% → 96%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
95.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 26 yds to the LIN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
95.1%
AJ Swann run for 5 yds to the LIN 44Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
95.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 2 yds to the LIN 46Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+17
94.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to William Fowles for 17 yds to the LIN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
95.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 16 yds to the LIN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
95.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 13 yds for a TD (Dominic De Freitas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:185% → 5%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.5%
Nate Glantz run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 23Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
95.5%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Darrin FugittSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Lindenwood Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+28
95.4%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 45 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for 28 yds to the LIN 33Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+28
95.4%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 45 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for 28 yds to the APP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3396% → 95%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
95.6%
App State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the APP 24Similar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 16
OWN 24
+6
95.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 6 yds to the APP 30Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
95.5%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-8
95.4%
AJ Swann sacked by Sanjay Strickland for a loss of 8 yards to the APP 22Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 18
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Ian Ratliff punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:035% → 5%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
95.1%
La'Revious Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 27Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-15
95.2%
Lindenwood Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the LIN 20Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 19
OWN 20
+6
95.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Darrin Fugitt for 6 yds to the LIN 26Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 13
OWN 26
-7
95.1%
Nate Glantz sacked by Kevin Abrams-Verwayne for a loss of 7 yards to the LIN 19Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 20
OWN 19
0
95.1%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0696% → 95%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.6%
Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the LIN 47Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
95.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 1 yd to the LIN 46Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
95.4%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jaden BarnesSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
95.3%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Kanen HamlettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 10TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:215% → 8%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
94.8%
Nate Glantz run for 8 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
94.4%
Jared Rhodes run for 3 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
94.4%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 26 yds to the APP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
94.2%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jared Rhodes for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 18Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+10
94.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 10 yds to the APP 8Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
94.0%
Nate Glantz run for 4 yds to the APP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
93.8%
Nate Glantz run for 3 yds to the APP 1 Nate Glantz fumbled, recovered by LIN Darrin FugittSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Nate Glantz run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Graham PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4395% → 95%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the APP 29Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
94.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 6 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.7%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the APP 39Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
94.9%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Alex SanchezSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
94.7%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
94.5%
Ian Ratliff punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Christopher Bennett Jr. at the LIN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:557% → 8%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
92.9%
Nate Glantz sacked by Caleb Sandstrom for a loss of 2 yards to the LIN 20Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+22
92.9%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 22 yds to the LIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
92.2%
Jared Rhodes run for 5 yds to the LIN 47Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
91.8%
Jared Rhodes run for 2 yds to the LIN 49Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
91.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Drew KrobathSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 3
OWN 49
-5
92.2%
PENALTY LU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LU49 to LU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
92.5%
punt for 41 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for no gain to the APP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:5994% → 94%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
94.4%
Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the APP 20Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the APP 20Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+21
93.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 21 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
94.4%
AJ Swann pass intercepted Eric Gant return for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 1:107% → 7%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
92.8%
Jared Rhodes run for 4 yds to the LIN 31Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+20
92.8%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Drew Krobath for 20 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
91.8%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Darrin Fugitt for 17 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
91.0%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Jalen SmithSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
91.5%
Jared Rhodes run for no gain to the APP 32Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
92.0%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
92.8%
Lindenwood Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:119% → 8%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
91.3%
Nate Glantz sacked by Thomas Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the LIN 37Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
91.6%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Drew Krobath for 2 yds to the LIN 39Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 11
OWN 39
-12
91.5%
Nate Glantz sacked by Brayshawn Littlejohn for a loss of 12 yards to the LIN 27Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 23
OWN 27
+30
92.0%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LIN 41 , Jaden Barnes returns for 30 yds to the APP 43 App State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ahmad Robinson) to the LIN 41Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 23
OWN 27
+30
92.0%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APP 20 , Jaden Barnes returns for 30 yds to the APP 43 App State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ahmad Robinson) to the APP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FUMBLE
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:2192% → 92%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
91.9%
PENALTY APP False Start (Flowers,Will) 5 yards from APP20 to APP15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
91.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 17Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
91.5%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+13
90.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 13 yds to the APP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
91.3%
Rashod Dubinion run for 15 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
92.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 18 yds to the LIN 37 Rashod Dubinion fumbled, recovered by LIN Zach LewisSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
92.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 18 yds to the LIN 37 Rashod Dubinion fumbled, recovered by LIN Zach LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5710% → 9%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
90.0%
Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIN 36Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
90.2%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
90.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Jared RhodesSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
91.0%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 41 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for no gain to the APP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:2692% → 92%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.7%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Kanen HamlettSimilar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
91.6%
Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the APP 27Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+14
91.2%
AJ Swann run for 14 yds to the APP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
92.3%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+3
92.1%
Khalifa Keith run for 3 yds to the APP 46Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+12
91.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Chris Lawson Jr. for 12 yds to the LIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
92.5%
Rashod Dubinion run for 8 yds to the LIN 34Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+21
92.2%
Rashod Dubinion run for 21 yds to the LIN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
92.6%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the LIN 11Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
92.5%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Doopah ColemanSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
92.1%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Swann,AJ pass incomplete short right to Coleman,Doopah thrown to LU00 PENALTY APP Illegal Formation offsetting LU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
92.1%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to William FowlesSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
92.4%
Dominic De Freitas 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:109% → 8%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.7%
La'Revious Woods run for 2 yds to the LIN 27Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-13
90.9%
Nate Glantz sacked by Aiden Benton for a loss of 13 yards to the LIN 14Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+11
91.7%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 11 yds to the LIN 25Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+18
92.5%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 60 yds , Jaden Barnes returns for 18 yds to the APP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 3:5893% → 98%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.3%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the APP 35Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+23
93.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 23 yds to the LIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
94.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 6 yds to the LIN 36Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+6
94.1%
Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the LIN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
94.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 3 yds to the LIN 27Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+7
94.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 7 yds to the LIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
95.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 12 yds to the LIN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
95.3%
Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the LIN 1Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Alex SanchezSimilar
Q4 14:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
94.2%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Dubinion,Rashod rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 14:22 PENALTY APP Illegal Formation 5 yards from LU01 to LU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.4%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Doopah ColemanSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
98.1%
Dominic De Freitas 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:175% → 5%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.2%
Nate Glantz run for 8 yds to the LIN 33Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
94.7%
La'Revious Woods run for 3 yds to the LIN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.8%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Darrin FugittSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
94.8%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.2%
Nate Glantz run for 5 yds to the LIN 41Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
95.1%
A.J. Vinatieri punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaden Barnes at the APP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22FUMBLE
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
98.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the APP 17Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-5
98.9%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Dubinion,Rashod rush middle for 12 yards gain to the APP29 (O'Hara,Nolan; Dawkins,Alex) PENALTY APP Illegal Formation 5 yards from APP17 to APP12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
98.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the APP 17Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
98.9%
AJ Swann run for 4 yds to the APP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 11 yds to the APP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Alex SanchezSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 14 yds to the APP 46 Rashod Dubinion fumbled, recovered by LIN Kobe McClendonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 23TD
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:345% → 9%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
95.2%
(09:13) Shotgun Glantz,Nate rush right for 4 yards gain to the APP42 (Phares,Colton; Porter,Ronnie) PENALTY LU Holding (Fugitt,Darrin) 10 yards from APP46 to LU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+6
95.6%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 14
50
+13
95.6%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Drew Krobath for 13 yds to the APP 37Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-1
95.3%
Jared Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 38Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+4
95.9%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 4 yds to the APP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
95.5%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Darrin Fugitt for 14 yds to the APP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
95.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jalen Smith for 6 yds to the APP 14Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-1
95.1%
Nate Glantz sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 15Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-9
96.1%
Nate Glantz sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the APP 24Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+24
91.4%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 24 yds for a TD App State Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Yards) declined (Will Graham KICK)Similar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.6%
PENALTY APP Personal Foul 15 yards from LU35 to LU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LINDrive 24INT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:3111% → 9%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.7%
Nate Glantz pass incomplete to Rico BondSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
88.8%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 2 yds to the APP 48Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+5
90.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jared Rhodes for 5 yds to the APP 43Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-2
91.2%
Nate Glantz pass intercepted Elijah Mc-Cantos return for 2 yds to the APP 18Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Lindenwood Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:4398% → 99%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
97.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the APP 22Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+9
97.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 9 yds to the APP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.4%
Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the APP 36Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-3
98.5%
A. Swann takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-4
98.5%
A. Swann takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:34
Nate Glantz pass complete to Rico Bond for 24 yds for a TD App State Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Yards) declined (Will Graham KICK)
-6.6
FG · Q4 14:12
Dominic De Freitas 24 yd FG GOOD
+3.6
TD · Q2 7:15
Timeout App State, clock 07:15
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com