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SFPA

Saint Francis 0 at UL Monroe 29

ULM
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2025 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadSFPA aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreSFPA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:44 · Raph Ekechi run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+8.6Home team on offense+32.0Score differential+22.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.0Garbage-time factor+8.0Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:25: Hunter Herring run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Stagg KICK) — ULM win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:55: Luke Stagg 32 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +1.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:37: Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 13 yds for a TD (Luke Stagg KICK) — ULM win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:37: Timeout UL Monroe, clock 09:37 — SFPA win probability +1.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:00: Aidan Armenta run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Stagg PAT BLOCKED) — ULM win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SFPA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:24SFPA 4th & 9 at SFPA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:09SFPA 4th & 6 at SFPA 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:38ULM 4th & 7 at SFPA 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:43ULM 4th & 15 at SFPA 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:59SFPA 4th & 16 at SFPA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:23ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:58SFPA 4th & 4 at SFPA 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:54ULM 4th & 2 at SFPA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:55ULM 4th & 12 at SFPA 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26SFPA 4th & 2 at SFPA 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:40SFPA 4th & 20 at SFPA 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:49ULM 4th & 4 at SFPA 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:09SFPA 4th & 12 at SFPA 22, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:44SFPA 4th & 1 at SFPA 34, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:14SFPA 4th & 3 at SFPA 20, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:25ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:37ULM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:00ULM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:39ULM Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SFPADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:233% → 4%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.6%
Jahmil Perryman run for 8 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
96.4%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Raph Ekechi for 2 yds to the SFPA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
96.4%
Raph Ekechi run for 1 yd to the SFPA 31Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Adrian MejiaSimilar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
96.2%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton NelsonSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+11
96.2%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 61 yds , Jake Godfrey returns for 11 yds to the ULM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5396% → 96%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
96.2%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
96.1%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 7 yds to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+11
96.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 11 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
96.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 35Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-10
95.8%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Palmer-Smith,Zach rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ULM40 (Council,Kendric) PENALTY ULM Holding 10 yards from ULM35 to ULM25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 22
OWN 25
+74
95.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 74 yds to the SFPA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Hunter Herring run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Stagg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:034% → 5%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
96.0%
Raph Ekechi run for 6 yds to the SFPA 19Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+4
95.8%
Raph Ekechi run for 4 yds to the SFPA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.7%
Adrian Mejia run for 3 yds to the SFPA 26Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
95.6%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Adrian Mejia for no gain to the SFPA 26Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+13
95.5%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Zachary Betts for 13 yds to the SFPA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
95.3%
Raph Ekechi run for 1 yd to the SFPA 40Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
95.2%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Peyton Nelson for 3 yds to the SFPA 43Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
95.0%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton NelsonSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:2396% → 95%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.8%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 22Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
95.6%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+9
95.3%
Aidan Armenta run for 9 yds to the ULM 34 Aidan Armenta fumbled, recovered by ULM Aidan Armenta for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+32
95.3%
Aidan Armenta run for 32 yds to the SFPA 34 Aidan Armenta fumbled, recovered by ULM Aidan Armenta for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
95.4%
PENALTY ULM Holding (Nixon,Julian) 10 yards from SFU34 to SFU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+1
95.3%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for 1 yd to the SFPA 43Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 19
OPP 43
+12
95.3%
Dorian Lewis run for 12 yds to the SFPA 31Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
95.3%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to JP CoulterSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
95.3%
Luke Stagg 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 5INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:506% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
94.4%
Nick Whitfield Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFPA 34Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
94.3%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Zachary Betts for 3 yds to the SFPA 37Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
94.2%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2295% → 95%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Tyler GriffinSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
95.3%
PENALTY ULM False Start (Vinson,AJ) 5 yards from SFU40 to SFU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Tyler GriffinSimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:396% → 6%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.2%
Raph Ekechi run for 8 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
93.9%
Raph Ekechi run for 4 yds to the SFPA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
93.8%
Adrian Mejia run for 5 yds to the SFPA 37Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-6
93.9%
Nick Whitfield Jr. sacked by D'Arco Perkins-McAllister for a loss of 6 yards to the SFPA 31Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-5
94.2%
PENALTY SFU False Start (Whitfield Jr.,Nick) 5 yards from SFU31 to SFU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
94.2%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Adrian MejiaSimilar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
94.3%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:3095% → 94%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
94.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the ULM 38Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
94.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 3 yds to the ULM 35Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-10
94.4%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Armenta,Aidan pass complete deep left to Griffin,Tyler caught at SFU35, for 65 yards to the SFU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:43 PENALTY ULM Holding (McBroom,Que) 10 yards from ULM35 to ULM25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 20
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:066% → 6%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
94.0%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Raph Ekechi for 2 yds to the SFPA 26Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
93.9%
Raph Ekechi run for 4 yds to the SFPA 30Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
93.8%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Scott RaymondSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
94.0%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jake Godfrey at the ULM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:5495% → 94%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
94.5%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 11 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for no gain to the ULM 37Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+25
94.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 25 yds to the SFPA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SFPA 36Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
94.6%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 2 yds to the SFPA 34Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
94.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the SFPA 30Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+18
93.8%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 18 yds to the SFPA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
94.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SFPA 11Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
94.1%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Rylan GreenSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-3
93.9%
Aidan Armenta sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SFPA 14Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
94.4%
Luke Stagg 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:206% → 6%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
94.4%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Scott Raymond for 5 yds to the SFPA 24Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+7
94.3%
Raph Ekechi run for 7 yds to the SFPA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
94.0%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Raph Ekechi for 3 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+11
94.0%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass complete to Brenden Hodge for 11 yds to the SFPA 39Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Nick Whitfield Jr. pass incomplete to Raph EkechiSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
94.0%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jake Godfrey at the ULM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:2095% → 94%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
94.5%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
94.3%
Dorian Lewis run for 3 yds to the ULM 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-6
93.5%
Aidan Armenta sacked by Andrew Vines for a loss of 6 yards to the ULM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1593% → 97%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 7 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
93.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 10 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
93.1%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 41Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+21
93.1%
Dorian Lewis run for 21 yds to the SFPA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
93.3%
Dorian Lewis run for 7 yds to the SFPA 31Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
93.3%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 2 yds to the SFPA 29Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+8
92.9%
Hunter Herring run for 8 yds to the SFPA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
93.2%
Saint Francis Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Geno Calgaro) to the SFPA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
93.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFPA 13Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
97.0%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 13 yds for a TD (Luke Stagg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 5:455% → 3%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
95.4%
Jahmil Perryman run for 3 yds to the SFPA 32Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
95.4%
Jeff Hoenstine pass incomplete to Peyton NelsonSimilar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+9
95.6%
Jeff Hoenstine pass complete to Bobby Cameron for 9 yds to the SFPA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
95.2%
Raph Ekechi run for 3 yds to the SFPA 44Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+14
95.9%
Jahmil Perryman run for 14 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
95.8%
Jeff Hoenstine sacked by Dylan Howell for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 46Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 14
OPP 46
-10
96.1%
(05:41) Shotgun Ekechi,Raphael rush middle for 28 yards gain to the ULM18 (Mack,Andre), out of bounds PENALTY SFU Holding (Midea,Ben) 10 yards from ULM46 to SFU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 24
OWN 44
+1
96.4%
Jeff Hoenstine pass complete to Jordan Theodore for 1 yd to the SFPA 45Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 23
OWN 45
+3
96.8%
Jeff Hoenstine run for 3 yds to the SFPA 48Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ULM 9 , Jake Godfrey returns for no gain to the ULM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15TD
16 plays · 91 yds · 6:3498% → 100%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
97.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the ULM 9Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+12
97.6%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 12 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
97.7%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 19 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.9%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Armenta,Aidan pass incomplete short left to Coulter,JP thrown to ULM40 PENALTY SFU Holding declined SFU Roughing The Passer (Courtney,Jack) 15 yards from ULM40 to SFU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
97.9%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 8 yds to the SFPA 37Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
98.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 4 yds to the SFPA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Jake GodfreySimilar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
98.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incomplete to Nate Sullivan Jr.Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-10
97.9%
UL Monroe Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SFPA 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-1
98.0%
Dorian Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 27Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+4
97.8%
Hunter Herring run for 4 yds to the SFPA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.2%
D'Shaun Ford run for 3 yds to the SFPA 20Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
98.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 4 yds to the SFPA 16Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+6
98.4%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to JP Coulter for 6 yds to the SFPA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
98.4%
Zach Palmer-Smith run for 3 yds to the SFPA 7Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Aidan Armenta run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Stagg PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.3%
Jeff Hoenstine run for 5 yds to the SFPA 29Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-9
99.3%
Jeff Hoenstine sacked by D'Arco Perkins-McAllister for a loss of 9 yards to the SFPA 20Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 14
OWN 20
-5
99.4%
PENALTY SFU Illegal Substitution (Sanchez,Erik) 5 yards from SFU20 to SFU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 19
OWN 15
+7
99.4%
Jeff Hoenstine run for 7 yds to the SFPA 22Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+18
99.4%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 46 yds , Jake Godfrey returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
50
-22
99.7%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Jeremiah Harris return for 22 yds to the SFPA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:501% → 1%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Nahjee Adams run for 3 yds to the SFPA 28Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.5%
Nahjee Adams run for 4 yds to the SFPA 32Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
Zachary Betts run for 2 yds to the SFPA 34Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.5%
Raph Ekechi run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
99.9%
Landon Graves run for 13 yds to the SFPA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.9%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFPA 18Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFPA 19Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+19
100.0%
Landon Graves pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 19 yds for a TD Saint Francis Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ike Okoye) declined (Luke Stagg PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
100.0%
Jordan Theodore run for 1 yd to the SFPA 14Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
Jordan Theodore run for 2 yds to the SFPA 16Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+4
100.0%
Jeff Hoenstine pass complete to Peyton Nelson for 4 yds to the SFPA 20Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Aidan Cirulli punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jake Godfrey at the ULM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 7 yds to the ULM 46Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 10 yds to the SFPA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
100.0%
Landon Graves pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 9 yds to the SFPA 35Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
D'Shaun Ford run for 2 yds to the SFPA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Landon Graves pass incomplete to Landon GravesSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+10
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 10 yds to the SFPA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFPA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:37
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 13 yds for a TD (Luke Stagg KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 9:37
Timeout UL Monroe, clock 09:37
-1.6
FG · Q2 1:55
Luke Stagg 32 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com