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UNLV

UNLV 42 at Nevada 17

NEV
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:24 · (09:29) #39 B.Ettridge punt 43 yards to the UNLV27 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense−11.3Score differential−6.4Pregame prior−13.3Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:55: (14:02) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #0 T.Omeire caught at Nevada07, for 17 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:55, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +5.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:55: (11:00) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 17 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:55, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +8.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:09: (04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 18 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +7.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:17: (14:21) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 17 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:17, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack) — NEV win probability +13.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:13: (12:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +8.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:04NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:22UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:05NEV 4th & 10 at UNLV 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:24NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:52NEV 4th & 10 at UNLV 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:28NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 28, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:33NEV 4th & 3 at UNLV 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:02NEV 4th & 3 at UNLV 24, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:51UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 46, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:47NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 48, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:20UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:55UNLV Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:09UNLV Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:13UNLV Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:35UNLV Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:38NEV Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2569% → 69%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #84 N.Elksnis caught at UNLV30, for 9 yards to the UNLV34 (#33 S.Combs; #5 M.Kenion III)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
30.9%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNLV43 (#6 C.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
31.1%
(13:54) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV47, for 8 yards to the Nevada49 (#12 B.Snelling), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+10
31.3%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush right for 10 yards gain to the Nevada39 (#0 N.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
31.5%
(12:48) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Nevada29 (#5 M.Kenion III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
31.5%
(12:12) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to Nevada14 PENALTY Nevada Holding (#6 C.Wilson) 10 yards from Nevada29 to Nevada19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
31.7%
(12:07) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #5 K.Moore caught at Nevada21, for 2 yards to the Nevada17 (#8 K.Kinchen)Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
30.7%
(11:24) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:0831% → 32%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.1%
(11:17) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush left for 5 yards gain to the Nevada30 (#30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
31.3%
(10:36) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #5 D.Thomas caught at Nevada31, for 4 yards to the Nevada34 (#4 A.Powdrell)Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
31.4%
(09:56) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #41 C.Ramseur PENALTY UNLV Offside (#4 A.Powdrell) 5 yards from Nevada34 to Nevada39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
31.5%
(09:49) Shotgun #13 C.Purdy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada40 (#8 M.McDuffie; #1 C.Borders)Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
31.6%
(09:12) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada41 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
31.3%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#1 C.Borders) 5 yards from Nevada41 to Nevada46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
31.8%
(08:20) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short middle to #9 M.Brown thrown to UNLV41 broken up by #7 J.PopeSimilar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
31.5%
(08:10) #39 B.Ettridge punt 52 yards to the UNLV02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3669% → 68%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
31.2%
(08:04) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV03 (#44 A.Harnetiaux; #43 N.Ropati)Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+1
31.3%
(07:29) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV04 (#6 C.Wilson)Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
31.7%
(06:42) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle to #4 D.Irvin Jr. thrown to UNLV15 broken up by #15 B.TurnerSimilar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+2
31.9%
PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#3 D.Reynolds) 2 yards from UNLV04 to UNLV02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 10
OWN 2
0
31.9%
(06:29) #33 C.Brown punt 52 yards to the Nevada46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:5332% → 35%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
32.2%
(06:22) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #85 J.Carpenter caught at UNLV46, for 8 yards to the UNLV46 (#9 A.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
32.7%
(05:39) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #25 K.Woods caught at Nevada50, for 4 yards to the UNLV42 (#30 T.Adeleye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
32.7%
(04:45) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 10 yards gain to the UNLV32 (#7 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
33.3%
(04:09) Shotgun #13 C.Purdy rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#0 L.Welch; #3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
33.5%
(03:27) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep left to #5 D.Thomas thrown to UNLV00Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
32.9%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#30 T.Adeleye) 5 yards from UNLV28 to UNLV23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+5
33.0%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#4 A.Powdrell) 5 yards from UNLV23 to UNLV18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
33.5%
(03:21) Shotgun #25 K.Woods rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNLV17 (#54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-9
33.3%
(02:38) Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UNLV26 (#3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 18
OPP 26
+8
32.1%
(01:54) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNLV18 (#1 C.Borders)Similar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+40
34.8%
(01:07) #84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 01:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5366% → 72%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.5%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#10 L.Va'a; #12 B.Snelling)Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
34.5%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush right for 21 yards gain to the UNLV49 (#12 B.Snelling), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
33.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UNLV46 (#43 N.Ropati)Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+37
34.5%
(14:27) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep to #11 J.Earle caught at Nevada20, for 37 yards to the Nevada17, out of bounds at Nevada17, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
28.5%
(14:02) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #0 T.Omeire caught at Nevada07, for 17 yards to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:55, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:1029% → 30%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
29.1%
(13:55) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 20 yards gain to the Nevada45 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
29.8%
(13:08) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 12 yards gain to the UNLV43 (#7 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
30.2%
(12:25) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNLV39 (#17 O.Egbase)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
30.2%
(11:42) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short left to #18 M.Bellon thrown to UNLV21Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
29.9%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#6 M.Bin-Wahad) 5 yards from UNLV39 to UNLV34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
30.1%
(11:35) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNLV35 fumbled by #41 C.Ramseur at UNLV42 forced by #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu recovered by UNLV #1 C.Borders at UNLV35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:2572% → 82%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
27.9%
(11:33) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 33 yards gain to the Nevada32 (#18 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
27.2%
(11:11) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep right to #6 J.Bradley thrown to Nevada04 broken up by #15 B.Turner PENALTY Nevada Pass Interference (#8 K.Kinchen) 15 yards from Nevada32 to Nevada17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
27.1%
(11:06) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Thomas thrown to Nevada19Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
18.5%
(11:00) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 17 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:55, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1722% → 21%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.6%
(10:55) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #41 C.Ramseur caught at Nevada25, for 0 yards to the Nevada25 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.2%
(10:13) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush left for 5 yards gain to the Nevada30 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
21.2%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Thomas thrown to Nevada38 QB hurried by #32 K.ScanlanSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
21.0%
(09:29) #39 B.Ettridge punt 43 yards to the UNLV27 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:0882% → 93%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
18.1%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV27 (#32 D.Labarbera; #33 S.Combs)Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
17.9%
(08:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #84 N.Elksnis thrown to UNLV40 QB hurried by #9 J.MaldonadoSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+11
18.1%
(08:36) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV25, for 11 yards to the UNLV38 (#8 K.Kinchen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
18.1%
(07:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV37, for 14 yards to the Nevada48 (#12 B.Snelling), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
17.5%
(07:14) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada44 (#32 D.Labarbera), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
16.7%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada43 (#5 M.Kenion III)Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+15
16.4%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at Nevada35, for 15 yards to the Nevada28 (#14 D.Warnell; #8 K.Kinchen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
15.1%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Bradley rush left for 15 yards gain to the Nevada13 (#44 A.Harnetiaux; #96 T.Vaughan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
14.7%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #8 T.Lyons for 7 yards to the Nevada06 () PENALTY UNLV Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#72 W.Thomas) 5 yards from Nevada13 to Nevada18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+18
6.8%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 18 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:09, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:046% → 4%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
6.3%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #85 J.Carpenter caught at Nevada40, for 21 yards to the Nevada46 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
5.7%
(03:29) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada49 (#92 J.Lee; #54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
5.4%
(02:52) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #41 C.Ramseur caught at Nevada46, for 6 yards to the UNLV45 (#54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
5.5%
(02:09) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #18 M.Bellon caught at UNLV47, for 4 yards to the UNLV41 (#3 J.Joseph; #10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
5.3%
(02:00) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #85 J.Carpenter caught at UNLV35, for 10 yards to the UNLV31 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
5.6%
(01:48) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short middle to #9 M.Brown thrown to UNLV24 broken up by #4 A.PowdrellSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
5.6%
Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 0 yards to the UNLV31 (#18 L.Thomas)Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
5.2%
Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep left to #1 J.Brown thrown to UNLV00Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
3.8%
#84 J.McFadden field goal attempt from 48 yards NO GOOD (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack), clock 00:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:3795% → 96%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
4.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush for 2 yards loss to the UNLV29 (#99 T.Witte)Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+5
4.9%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (#72 W.Thomas) 5 yards from UNLV29 to UNLV24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 17
OWN 24
0
4.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass intercepted by #5 M.Kenion III at Nevada44, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
3.5%
Shotgun #6 C.Jones rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNLV48 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
3.7%
Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short to #18 M.Bellon caught at UNLV45, for 3 yards to the UNLV45 (#9 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
3.6%
Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #5 D.Thomas caught at UNLV39, for 6 yards to the UNLV39 (#4 A.Powdrell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:334% → 18%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+58
4.2%
(14:56) Shotgun #13 C.Purdy rush middle for 58 yards gain to the UNLV17 (#4 A.Powdrell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
17.7%
(14:21) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 17 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:17, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5887% → 97%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.5%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV27 (#9 J.Maldonado)Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
13.7%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle to #3 D.Reynolds thrown to UNLV32Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
13.9%
(13:43) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNLV41, for 21 yards to the UNLV48 (#12 B.Snelling; #5 M.Kenion III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+48
12.2%
(13:06) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep middle to #6 J.Bradley caught at Nevada07, for 48 yards to the Nevada04 (#15 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.8%
(12:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:032% → 2%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
2.3%
(11:41) Shotgun #22 D.Kelley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Nevada26 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
2.3%
(11:16) Shotgun #13 C.Purdy pass incomplete deep left to #1 J.Brown thrown to UNLV32Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
2.2%
(11:14) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #41 C.Ramseur caught at Nevada20, for 2 yards to the Nevada28 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
2.1%
(10:28) #39 B.Ettridge punt 47 yards to the UNLV25 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16INT
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:2398% → 98%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.0%
(10:24) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNLV33 (#5 M.Kenion III)Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
2.0%
(09:55) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #11 J.Earle caught at UNLV31, for 6 yards to the UNLV39 (#32 D.Labarbera), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+38
1.9%
(09:24) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep middle to #0 T.Omeire caught at Nevada41, for 38 yards to the Nevada23 (#18 A.Walker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
2.0%
(08:42) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada22 (#19 S.Cook; #10 L.Va'a)Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-14
1.9%
(07:57) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass intercepted by #5 M.Kenion III at Nevada00 #5 M.Kenion III return 14 yards to the Nevada14 (#0 T.Omeire), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17FUMBLE
14 plays · 42 yds · 6:121% → 1%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
1.4%
(07:49) Shotgun #2 H.Turner rush left for 13 yards gain to the Nevada27 (#55 C.Fuller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
1.4%
(07:19) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete deep left to #12 N.Burleson II thrown to UNLV40 broken up by #4 A.PowdrellSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
1.4%
(07:14) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #5 D.Thomas caught at Nevada31, for 7 yards to the Nevada34 (#4 A.Powdrell)Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
1.4%
(06:31) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 1 yard gain to the Nevada35 (#8 M.McDuffie; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+5
1.3%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#55 C.Fuller) 5 yards from Nevada35 to Nevada40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
1.1%
(05:55) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #85 J.Carpenter caught at UNLV48, for 14 yards to the UNLV46 (#7 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
1.2%
(05:08) Shotgun #13 C.Purdy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV44 (#30 T.Adeleye; #19 D.Spellman)Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
1.1%
(04:28) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short right to #2 H.Turner caught at UNLV48, for 5 yards to the UNLV39 (#0 L.Welch; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
1.2%
(03:43) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #9 M.Brown caught at UNLV35, for 4 yards to the UNLV35 (#4 A.Powdrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
0.9%
(03:02) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short middle to #3 C.Brown caught at UNLV38, for 7 yards loss to the UNLV42 (#18 L.Thomas)Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 17
OPP 42
0
0.8%
(02:16) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Brown thrown to UNLV40 broken up by #30 T.AdeleyeSimilar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 17
OPP 42
+14
0.8%
(02:14) Shotgun #6 C.Jones pass complete short left to #5 D.Thomas caught at UNLV41, for 14 yards to the UNLV28 (#9 A.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 3
OPP 28
-16
0.9%
(01:33) Shotgun #6 C.Jones sacked for loss of 16 yards to the UNLV44 (#3 J.Joseph), fumble by #6 C.Jones recovered by UNLV #14 B.Edmondson at UNLV44, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:4499% → 100%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.9%
(01:27) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNLV50 (#33 S.Combs)Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 4
50
0
0.8%
(00:54) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV50 (#32 D.Labarbera)Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 4
50
+23
0.8%
(00:18) #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #84 N.Elksnis caught at Nevada39, for 23 yards to the Nevada27 (#33 S.Combs; #15 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Nevada24 (#19 S.Cook; #43 N.Ropati)Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
0.7%
(14:23) Shotgun #5 K.Moore rush left for 0 yards to the Nevada24 (Nevada) PENALTY UNLV Holding (#85 M.Byrnes) 10 yards from Nevada24 to Nevada34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 17
OPP 34
-1
0.7%
(13:54) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at Nevada35, for 1 yard loss to the Nevada35 (#33 S.Combs)Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+22
0.6%
(13:17) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #3 D.Reynolds caught at Nevada17, for 22 yards to the Nevada13 (#12 B.Snelling), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
0.5%
(12:32) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada09 (#33 S.Combs)Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
0.4%
(11:58) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Nevada01 (#15 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
(11:36) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:35 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:460% → 0%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
0.3%
(11:35) Shotgun #2 H.Turner rush right for 16 yards gain to the Nevada41 (#8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.3%
(10:53) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short left thrown to Nevada43Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
0.2%
(10:44) Shotgun #13 C.Purdy rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNLV49 (#30 T.Adeleye; #10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
0.2%
(10:03) Shotgun #2 H.Turner rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNLV46 (#0 L.Welch; #10 T.Fulton) PENALTY UNLV Face Mask (#94 L.Conti) 15 yards from UNLV46 to UNLV31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
0.2%
(09:38) Shotgun #2 H.Turner rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#30 T.Adeleye; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
0.2%
PENALTY Nevada False Start (#2 H.Turner) 5 yards from UNLV28 to UNLV33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
0.2%
(08:42) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short right to #1 J.Brown caught at UNLV35, for 0 yards to the UNLV33 (#3 J.Joseph; #54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#30 T.Adeleye) 5 yards from UNLV33 to UNLV28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+4
0.2%
(08:05) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #5 D.Thomas caught at UNLV24, for 4 yards to the UNLV24 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad)Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+8
0.2%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNLV16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
0.2%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Purdy rush left for 2 yards loss to the UNLV18 (#5 Q.Keyes)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+3
0.1%
(05:43) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #85 J.Carpenter caught at UNLV20, for 3 yards to the UNLV15 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu; #1 C.Borders)Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+5
0.1%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (#18 L.Thomas) 5 yards from UNLV15 to UNLV10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+7
0.1%
(04:54) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV03 (#17 O.Egbase; #5 Q.Keyes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
(04:38) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:38 #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #4 D.Irvin Jr. thrown to UNLV21Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.3%
(04:33) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UNLV39 (#92 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
0.3%
(03:48) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV40 (#19 S.Cook)Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+15
0.3%
PENALTY UNLV Face Mask (#20 J.Glover) 15 yards from UNLV40 to UNLV25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 24
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
(03:29) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush left for 10 yards gain to the UNLV35 (#25 A.Ambush; #14 D.Warnell)Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+11
0.3%
(02:36) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush right for 11 yards gain to the UNLV46 (#14 D.Warnell)Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
0.3%
(01:58) #33 C.Brown punt 54 yards to the Nevada00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
0.1%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short middle to #18 M.Bellon caught at Nevada31, for 11 yards to the Nevada31, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
0.1%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short to #82 J.O'Rourke caught at Nevada43, for 17 yards to the Nevada48 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
0.1%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass complete short left to #82 J.O'Rourke caught at Nevada50, for 8 yards to the UNLV44 (#5 Q.Keyes)Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
0.2%
(01:22) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNLV43 fumbled by #10 A.Bianco at Nevada50 recovered by Nevada #10 A.Bianco at UNLV43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-5
0.2%
(00:53) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco sacked for loss of 9 yards to the Nevada48 (#43 K.Ka'aihue, #42 A.Porter)Similar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
0.1%
(00:53) Shotgun #10 A.Bianco pass incomplete short left to #12 N.Burleson II thrown to UNLV42 broken up by #5 Q.Keyes, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.2%
(00:19) Kneel down by #10 A.Colandrea at Nevada48 for loss of 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
0.2%
(00:00) Kneel down by #10 A.Colandrea at Nevada50 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:17
(14:21) Shotgun #41 C.Ramseur rush right for 17 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:17, 1ST DOWN #84 J.McFadden kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #51 C.Stack)
+13.5
TD · Q3 12:13
(12:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 4 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)
-8.8
TD · Q2 10:55
(11:00) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 17 yards gain to the Nevada00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:55, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com