ARDLINETry the model
BOIS

Boise State 25 at Utah State 24

USU
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025 · Maverik Stadium
Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDKEY PLAYTDKEY PLAYKEY PLAYSACK
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
01
Blowout context favors the defense
−17
02
USU has the ball
−14
03
Market gave USU a 45% pregame chance
−10
04
USU trailing by 1
−1
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
#35 C.Boomer kickoff 65 yards to the USU00, Touchback
0.0
Q1 15:00
(15:00) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush right for 27 yards gain to the BSU48 (#14 D.Freeney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+3.0
Q1 15:00
Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short right to #2 M.Davis caught at BSU50, for 4 yards to the BSU44 (#0 T.Benefield; #21 Z.Washington)
+2.7
Q1 15:00
Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete deep right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to BSU15
0.0
Q1 15:00
Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete deep left to #5 B.Boyd thrown to BSU01 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (#6 J.Earby) 15 yards from BSU44 to BSU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-0.3
Q1 15:00
PENALTY USU False Start (#18 K.Kaio) 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU34. NO PLAY
+0.6
Q1 15:00
Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush right for 0 yards to the BSU34 (#51 R.Caywood)
0.0
Q1 15:00
Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short left to #83 J.Sterzer caught at BSU28, for 9 yards to the BSU25 (#0 T.Benefield; #21 Z.Washington)
0.0
Q1 13:06
Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass intercepted by #6 J.Earby at BSU20 #6 J.Earby return 80 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:06 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (#6 J.Earby) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-0.6
Q1 13:06
Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush left for 19 yards gain to the BSU01 (#0 T.Benefield), 1ST DOWN
+0.3
Q1 12:29
Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush right for 1 yard gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:29 #14 T.Rinker kick attempt good (H: #16 L.Rehkow, LS: #13 H.Hatch)
+12.9
Q1 12:24
(12:29) #21 C.Brown kickoff 62 yards to the BSU03 #8 M.Sherrod return 19 yards to the BSU22 (#15 D.Mayes)
-1.1
Q1 12:16
(12:24) #24 D.Riley rush left for 2 yards loss to the BSU20 (#34 D.Tucker)
-5.4
Q1 11:49
(11:52) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short middle to #80 C.Bates thrown to BSU33 broken up by #14 B.Olevao Jr.
0.0
Q1 11:42
(11:46) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU34, for 14 yards to the BSU34 (#1 N.Avinger), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+2.1
Q1 11:12
(11:14) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Marshall thrown to BSU48
0.0
Q1 11:09
(11:11) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #24 D.Riley thrown to BSU35
0.0
Q1 11:02
(11:09) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete deep middle to #25 Q.Brown thrown to USU30
0.0
Q1 10:57
(11:03) #37 O.Doyle punt 49 yards to the USU17 fair catch by #7 K.Davis at USU17
0.0
Q1 10:51
(10:53) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 6 yards gain to the USU23 fumbled by #16 B.Barnes at USU22 recovered by BSU #5 J.Virgin-Morgan at USU23 #5 J.Virgin-Morgan return 0 yards to the USU23, End Of Play
+4.5
Q1 10:39
(10:51) #24 D.Riley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU19 (#0 E.Migao)
-7.1
Q1 10:15
(10:19) #24 D.Riley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU16 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #44 B.Maile)
0.0
Q1 10:00
(10:08) #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USU14 (#18 I.Larsen; #20 J.Miller)
0.0
Q1 9:15
(09:21) #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU10 (#0 E.Migao; #28 C.Tujague), 1ST DOWN
-2.0
Q1 9:21
Timeout Boise State, clock 09:21
0.0
Q1 8:39
(08:45) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Lauter thrown to USU00
-1.0
Q1 8:31
(08:38) #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 0 yards to the USU10 (#20 J.Miller; #28 C.Tujague)
+0.2
Q1 8:01
(08:05) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #80 C.Bates thrown to USU00 QB hurried by #32 C.Doty
+1.5
Q1 8:05
Timeout Utah State, clock 08:05
+4.7
Q1 7:58
(08:01) #35 C.Boomer field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #37 O.Doyle, LS: #42 M.Hutton), clock 07:58
-13.2
Q1 7:58
(07:58) #35 C.Boomer kickoff 65 yards to the USU00, Touchback
+2.3
Q1 7:54
(07:58) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to USU25
+4.2
Q1 7:12
(07:54) Shotgun #10 A.Garcia rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USU22 fumbled by #10 A.Garcia at USU22 forced by #95 M.Stege recovered by USU #23 N.White at USU22 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan; #23 S.Smith)
0.0
Q1 7:07
(07:12) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #7 K.Davis thrown to USU25 broken up by #23 S.Smith
0.0
Q1 7:04
(07:04) #16 L.Rehkow punt 39 yards to the BSU39 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU39 PENALTY USU Kick Catch Interference (#29 G.Kafentzis) 15 yards from BSU39 to USU46
-0.7
Q1 6:57
(07:03) #24 D.Riley rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USU38 (#4 B.Hamblin; #28 C.Tujague)
-5.9
Q1 6:20
(06:26) #24 D.Riley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USU37 (#10 G.Iniguez Jr.; #14 B.Olevao Jr.)
+0.5
Q1 5:44
(05:53) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #88 M.Wagner caught at USU35, for 26 yards to the USU11 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #20 J.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 5:07
(05:15) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #88 M.Wagner caught at USU13, for 11 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:07, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Boomer kick attempt good (H: #37 O.Doyle, LS: #42 M.Hutton)
-12.9
Q1 5:07
(05:07) #35 C.Boomer kickoff 65 yards to the USU00, Touchback
+1.7
Q1 5:00
(05:07) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USU22 (#41 B.Phelps)
+5.2
Q1 4:26
(04:38) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short middle to #7 K.Davis caught at USU35, for 22 yards to the USU44 (#21 Z.Washington), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 4:05
(04:13) Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush right for 56 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:05, 1ST DOWN #14 T.Rinker kick attempt good (H: #16 L.Rehkow, LS: #13 H.Hatch)
+14.0
Q1 4:00
(04:05) #21 C.Brown kickoff 60 yards to the BSU05 #8 M.Sherrod return 18 yards to the BSU23 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.)
-0.6
Q1 3:54
(04:00) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #80 C.Bates caught at BSU38, for 16 yards to the BSU39 (#34 D.Tucker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from BSU39 to USU46, 1ST DOWN
-4.2
Q1 3:47
PENALTY BSU False Start (#85 M.Lauter) 5 yards from USU46 to BSU49. NO PLAY
-2.3
Q1 3:29
(03:38) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #13 C.Penry caught at USU47, for 4 yards to the USU47 (#11 B.Taylor), out of bounds
+0.3
Q1 2:54
(03:06) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #80 C.Bates thrown to USU42
-0.3
Q1 2:46
(02:54) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #80 C.Bates thrown to USU35 broken up by #20 J.Miller
0.0
Q1 2:38
(02:46) #37 O.Doyle punt 47 yards to the USU00, Touchback
+0.3
Q1 2:31
(02:38) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USU19 (#95 M.Stege)
+6.2
Q1 1:59
(02:04) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete deep right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to BSU50
+0.9
Q1 1:53
(01:59) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right thrown to USU20 PENALTY USU Holding declined
0.0
Q1 1:41
(01:49) #16 L.Rehkow punt 51 yards to the BSU30
-0.7
Q1 1:35
(01:41) #24 D.Riley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BSU36 (#17 M.Brown; #4 B.Hamblin)
-3.2
Q1 0:20
PENALTY BSU False Start (#72 Z.Holmes) 5 yards from BSU35 to BSU30. NO PLAY
0.0
Q1 0:02
(00:02) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU43, for 14 yards to the BSU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 0:00
End of 1st quarter.
0.0
Q1 1:03
(01:03) #25 Q.Brown rush left for 1 yard loss to the BSU35 (#1 N.Avinger)
0.0
Q2 14:47
(15:00) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #88 M.Wagner caught at BSU48, for 11 yards to the USU45 (#10 G.Iniguez Jr.), 1ST DOWN
-1.7
Q2 14:12
(14:21) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete deep right to #3 L.Caples caught at USU21, for 23 yards to the USU22 (#1 N.Avinger), 1ST DOWN
-0.5
Q2 13:38
(13:44) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #80 C.Bates thrown to USU05 broken up by #1 N.Avinger
-0.8
Q2 13:31
(13:37) #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU19 (#4 B.Hamblin; #9 T.Morris)
0.0
Q2 12:50
(12:59) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #80 C.Bates caught at USU15, for 5 yards to the USU14 (#18 I.Larsen)
0.0
Q2 12:20
(12:22) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Marshall thrown to USU10, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.8
Q2 12:12
(12:20) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short right to #5 B.Boyd caught at USU13, for 2 yards to the USU16 (#6 J.Earby; #0 T.Benefield)
+8.8
Q2 11:39
(11:47) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short left to #8 J.Jacobs caught at USU15, for 12 yards to the USU28 (#41 B.Phelps), 1ST DOWN
-0.2
Q2 11:05
(11:13) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short right to #11 B.Pegan caught at USU35, for 7 yards to the USU35 (#0 T.Benefield; #41 B.Phelps)
+0.1
Q2 10:43
(10:43) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short middle to #5 B.Boyd thrown to USU41 broken up by #0 T.Benefield. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:43) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short left to #5 B.Boyd caught at USU41, for 6 yards to the USU41 fumbled by #5 B.Boyd at USU41 forced by #0 T.Benefield recovered by USU #5 B.Boyd at USU41 (#0 T.Benefield), 1ST DOWN)
-0.1
Q2 10:02
(10:05) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short left to #5 B.Boyd thrown to USU40 broken up by #53 M.Notarainni
0.0
Q2 9:55
(09:58) #16 L.Rehkow punt 40 yards to the BSU25 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU25
-0.7
Q2 9:48
(09:55) #24 D.Riley rush left for 21 yards gain to the BSU46 (#4 B.Hamblin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-5.3
Q2 9:18
(09:25) #24 D.Riley rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU50 (#1 N.Avinger; #34 D.Tucker)
-2.0
Q2 8:39
(08:46) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU50 (#20 J.Miller; #17 M.Brown)
-0.3
Q2 7:55
(08:05) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USU42 (#12 B.Arnold III), 1ST DOWN
+0.8
Q2 7:20
(07:28) Shotgun #8 M.Sherrod rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USU43 (#1 N.Avinger; #18 I.Larsen)
-0.4
Q2 6:35
(06:45) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #8 M.Sherrod caught at USU48, for 8 yards to the USU35 (#18 I.Larsen)
+1.8
Q2 6:25
(06:31) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU32 (#4 B.Hamblin), 1ST DOWN
-0.4
Q2 5:44
(05:50) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU28 (#18 I.Larsen)
+0.1
Q2 5:04
(05:11) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USU26 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #9 T.Morris)
0.0
Q2 4:21
(04:25) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #26 S.Gaines thrown to USU20 broken up by #25 C.Joe
+0.2
Q2 4:16
(04:19) #35 C.Boomer field goal attempt from 43 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 O.Doyle, LS: #42 M.Hutton), clock 04:16
+0.8
Q2 4:07
(04:16) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush right for 28 yards gain (4) to the BSU46 (#6 J.Earby; #20 J.Mickey) PENALTY USU Holding (#83 J.Sterzer) 10 yards from USU30 to USU20
+6.7
Q2 3:54
(04:00) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short left to #8 J.Jacobs caught at USU17, for 9 yards to the USU29 (#0 T.Benefield; #21 Z.Washington) PENALTY BSU Roughing The Passer (#20 J.Mickey) 15 yards from USU29 to USU44, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 3:39
(03:50) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short middle to #8 J.Jacobs caught at BSU47, for 14 yards to the BSU42 (#20 J.Mickey), 1ST DOWN
+0.6
Q2 3:18
(03:26) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU39 (#53 M.Notarainni)
+0.8
Q2 2:53
(02:57) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right thrown to BSU35 QB hurried by #53 M.Notarainni
0.0
Q2 2:45
(02:52) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short right to #8 J.Jacobs caught at BSU42, for 18 yards to the BSU21 (#41 B.Phelps), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+0.4
Q2 2:16
(02:21) Shotgun #10 A.Garcia pass incomplete deep right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to BSU00 broken up by #23 S.Smith
+0.2
Q2 2:09
(02:13) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Jacobs thrown to BSU19 QB hurried by #51 R.Caywood
-0.1
Q2 2:09
(02:09) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass intercepted by #0 T.Benefield at BSU00, Touchback PENALTY BSU Targeting (#95 M.Stege) 10 yards from BSU21 to BSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
-0.2
Q2 1:55
(02:00) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush left for 11 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55, 1ST DOWN #14 T.Rinker kick attempt good (H: #16 L.Rehkow, LS: #13 H.Hatch)
+17.2
Q2 1:55
(01:55) #21 C.Brown kickoff 62 yards to the BSU03 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU03
-0.2
Q2 1:45
(01:55) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU30, for 4 yards to the BSU29 (#1 N.Avinger)
-4.3
Q2 1:39
(01:39) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Penry thrown to BSU47 PENALTY USU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU34. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 1:32
(01:32) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #8 M.Sherrod thrown to BSU40
0.0
Q2 1:25
(01:25) Shotgun #8 M.Sherrod rush left for 12 yards gain to the BSU46 (#18 I.Larsen; #34 D.Tucker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 1:20
(01:20) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete deep left to #80 C.Bates thrown to USU32
0.0
Q2 1:05
(01:17) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #8 M.Sherrod caught at USU45, for 9 yards to the USU45 (#4 B.Hamblin)
0.0
Q2 0:57
(01:00) Shotgun #8 M.Sherrod rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USU43 (#20 J.Miller; #18 I.Larsen), 1ST DOWN
-0.7
Q2 1:02
Timeout Utah State, clock 01:02
+4.9
Q2 0:51
(00:55) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #13 C.Penry caught at USU32, for 11 yards to the USU32, out of bounds at USU32, 1ST DOWN
-5.2
Q2 0:46
(00:50) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #8 M.Sherrod caught at USU29, for 4 yards to the USU28 (#1 N.Avinger), out of bounds
-0.6
Q2 0:39
(00:45) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #8 M.Sherrod caught at USU32, for 4 yards to the USU24 (#1 N.Avinger), out of bounds
0.0
Q2 0:35
(00:39) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USU22 (#10 G.Iniguez Jr.; #0 E.Migao), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 0:26
(00:35) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Marshall thrown to USU17
+0.2
Q2 0:35
Timeout Boise State, clock 00:35
-0.2
Q2 0:20
(00:26) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Marshall thrown to USU05
+0.2
Q2 0:16
(00:21) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #85 M.Lauter caught at USU15, for 7 yards to the USU15 (#4 B.Hamblin), out of bounds
0.0
Q2 0:12
(00:15) #35 C.Boomer field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #37 O.Doyle, LS: #42 M.Hutton), clock 00:12
-6.1
Q2 0:12
(00:12) #35 C.Boomer kickoff 65 yards to the USU00, Touchback
+1.2
Q2 0:12
(00:12) Kneel down by #16 B.Barnes at USU24 for loss of 1 yard
+1.7
Q2 0:00
End of 2nd quarter.
0.0
Q3 15:00
(15:00) #21 C.Brown kickoff 65 yards to the BSU00, Touchback
-0.3
Q3 14:52
(15:00) #24 D.Riley rush right for 10 yards gain to the BSU35 (#18 I.Larsen; #4 B.Hamblin), 1ST DOWN
-2.7
Q3 14:21
(14:24) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Marshall thrown to BSU45
0.0
Q3 14:13
(14:21) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #3 L.Caples caught at BSU40, for 8 yards to the BSU43 (#1 N.Avinger; #14 B.Olevao Jr.)
0.0
Q3 13:22
(13:37) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #24 D.Riley caught at BSU45, for 3 yards to the BSU46 (#20 J.Miller), 1ST DOWN
-0.5
Q3 12:46
(12:56) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU50 (#20 J.Miller)
-0.5
Q3 12:18
(12:22) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Marshall thrown to USU47
-0.3
Q3 12:12
(12:19) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USU48 (#32 C.Doty)
0.0
Q3 11:31
(11:35) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #13 C.Penry thrown to USU32, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.3
Q3 11:24
(11:30) #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #5 B.Boyd thrown to BSU40 QB hurried by #5 J.Virgin-Morgan
+5.3
Q3 11:14
(11:23) #2 M.Davis rush right for 2 yards loss to the USU46 (#51 R.Caywood)
0.0
Q3 10:46
(10:54) #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete deep left to #7 K.Davis thrown to BSU30
-0.4
Q3 10:37
(10:44) #16 L.Rehkow punt 39 yards to the BSU15 #8 M.Sherrod return 1 yard to the BSU16 (#20 J.Miller)
-0.6
Q3 10:29
(10:37) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush left for 3 yards gain to the BSU19 (#34 D.Tucker; #17 M.Brown)
-2.4
Q3 10:00
(10:06) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU21 (#20 J.Miller; #4 B.Hamblin)
+0.1
Q3 9:26
(09:36) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #8 M.Sherrod caught at BSU31, for 24 yards to the BSU45 (#12 B.Arnold III), 1ST DOWN
+2.8
Q3 8:49
(08:59) Shotgun #8 M.Sherrod rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU48 (#20 J.Miller)
0.0
Q3 8:21
(08:26) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #3 L.Caples thrown to USU44
-0.1
Q3 8:13
(08:21) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth sacked for loss of 7 yards to the BSU41 (#1 N.Avinger)
0.0
Q3 7:32
(07:40) #37 O.Doyle punt 44 yards to the USU15 #7 K.Davis return 14 yards to the USU29 (#34 D.Calhoun; #55 M.Tuioti)
+0.1
Q3 7:28
(07:32) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to USU34
+2.4
Q3 7:23
(07:28) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short left to #10 A.Garcia caught at USU48, for 22 yards to the BSU49 QB hurried by #0 T.Benefield (#23 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 7:03
(07:07) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush left for 3 yards gain to the BSU46 (#96 L.Sanusi)
+0.5
Q3 6:33
(06:40) Shotgun #23 N.White rush left for 8 yards gain to the BSU38 (#21 Z.Washington; #23 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 5:57
(06:03) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #5 B.Boyd thrown to BSU23
+1.8
Q3 5:49
(05:57) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 17 yards gain to the BSU21, out of bounds at BSU21, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 5:17
(05:24) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 5 yards gain to the BSU16 (#23 S.Smith)
+0.4
Q3 4:43
(04:51) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush left for 1 yard gain to the BSU15 (#23 S.Smith)
+1.8
Q3 4:13
(04:18) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #5 B.Boyd thrown to BSU00
-0.1
Q3 4:13
PENALTY USU False Start (#65 T.Motu'apuaka) 5 yards from BSU15 to BSU20. NO PLAY
-0.3
Q3 4:09
(04:13) #14 T.Rinker field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #16 L.Rehkow, LS: #13 H.Hatch), clock 04:09
+3.5
Q3 4:01
(04:09) #21 C.Brown kickoff 65 yards to the BSU00 #8 M.Sherrod return 25 yards to the BSU25 (#32 C.Doty), out of bounds
-0.3
Q3 3:49
(04:01) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #85 M.Lauter caught at BSU34, for 9 yards to the BSU34 (#20 J.Miller)
+0.8
Q3 3:17
(03:28) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete deep left to #25 Q.Brown caught at USU35, for 66 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Cutforth pass attempt failed
-21.1
Q3 3:17
(03:17) #35 C.Boomer kickoff 65 yards to the USU00, Touchback
0.0
Q3 3:09
(03:17) Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush left for 20 yards gain to the USU45 (#23 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+6.9
Q3 2:45
(02:52) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete short right to #5 B.Boyd caught at BSU42, for 13 yards to the BSU42, out of bounds at BSU42, 1ST DOWN
+0.8
Q3 2:22
PENALTY USU False Start (#72 G.Maile) 5 yards from BSU42 to BSU47. NO PLAY
+1.1
Q3 2:02
(02:10) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 27 yards gain to the BSU20 (#10 D.Ganter Jr.; #23 S.Smith), 1ST DOWN
-0.7
Q3 1:27
(01:33) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU18 (#41 B.Phelps)
+0.7
Q3 0:56
(01:03) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 2 yards gain to the BSU16 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan)
0.0
Q3 0:33
(00:33) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU12 (#41 B.Phelps)
-0.2
Q3 0:00
End of 3rd quarter.
+1.3
Q4 14:56
(15:00) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 2 yards loss to the BSU14 (#10 D.Ganter Jr.; #51 R.Caywood), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+1.6
Q4 15:00
Timeout Boise State, clock 15:00
-11.4
Q4 14:42
(14:56) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU17 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #4 B.Hamblin)
0.0
Q4 14:14
(14:18) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #88 M.Wagner thrown to BSU20
0.0
Q4 14:03
(14:14) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #24 D.Riley caught at BSU14, for 7 yards to the BSU24 (#25 C.Joe), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 13:41
(13:45) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU28 (#25 C.Joe)
0.0
Q4 13:07
(13:15) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU29 (#20 J.Miller; #28 C.Tujague)
0.0
Q4 12:28
(12:38) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #3 L.Caples caught at BSU42, for 21 yards to the BSU50, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 11:52
(11:58) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #88 M.Wagner caught at USU45, for 16 yards to the USU34 (#1 N.Avinger), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-1.9
Q4 11:19
(11:29) Shotgun #3 L.Caples rush left for 4 yards loss to the USU38, End Of Play
-0.9
Q4 10:40
(10:49) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right thrown to USU35 QB hurried by #20 J.Miller
0.0
Q4 10:36
(10:40) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #85 M.Lauter thrown to USU35 broken up by #9 T.Morris QB hurried by #1 N.Avinger
0.0
Q4 10:29
(10:31) #37 O.Doyle punt 38 yards to the USU00, Touchback
+0.8
Q4 10:19
(10:29) Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush right for 11 yards gain to the USU31 (#20 J.Mickey), 1ST DOWN
+13.2
Q4 9:55
(09:58) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to USU30
+1.0
Q4 9:48
(09:55) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes sacked for loss of 5 yards to the USU26 (#51 R.Caywood, #90 B.Fely)
0.0
Q4 9:33
(09:39) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete deep right to #11 B.Pegan thrown to BSU35
-0.1
Q4 9:20
(09:25) #16 L.Rehkow punt 21 yards to the USU47
-0.6
Q4 9:14
(09:20) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU43 (#7 K.Davis; #17 M.Brown)
-10.9
Q4 8:52
(08:59) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush right for 10 yards gain to the USU33 (#4 B.Hamblin; #17 M.Brown), 1ST DOWN
+0.1
Q4 8:33
(08:35) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush right for 1 yard gain to the USU32 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.)
-0.9
Q4 8:06
(08:11) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush left for 10 yards gain to the USU22 fumbled by #26 S.Gaines at USU27 forced by #4 B.Hamblin recovered by USU #1 N.Avinger at USU22 #1 N.Avinger return 0 yards to the USU22, End Of Play
+2.2
Q4 8:00
(08:06) Shotgun #8 J.Jacobs rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USU27 (#20 J.Mickey)
+13.7
Q4 7:31
(07:36) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USU33 (#0 T.Benefield), 1ST DOWN
+1.8
Q4 7:16
(07:24) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USU36 (#94 K.Mailoto; #5 J.Virgin-Morgan)
+0.6
Q4 6:44
(06:53) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush right for 2 yards gain to the USU38 (#41 B.Phelps; #15 M.Williams)
+0.4
Q4 6:04
(06:09) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USU42 (#99 M.Madrie)
-0.1
Q4 5:22
(05:26) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush right for 1 yard loss to the USU41 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan; #90 B.Fely), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
-0.3
Q4 5:14
(05:22) Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USU39 (#21 N.Flores; #0 E.Migao)
-9.4
Q4 4:42
(04:46) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #88 M.Wagner thrown to USU37
-0.8
Q4 4:33
(04:41) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short middle to #13 C.Penry caught at USU32, for 9 yards to the USU30 (#14 B.Olevao Jr.; #18 I.Larsen), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 4:02
(04:08) #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #8 M.Sherrod caught at USU36, for 7 yards to the USU23 (#25 C.Joe), out of bounds
-1.5
Q4 3:33
(03:42) #24 D.Riley rush right for 8 yards gain to the USU15 (#34 D.Tucker; #18 I.Larsen), 1ST DOWN
+1.3
Q4 3:01
(03:06) #80 C.Bates rush left for 3 yards gain to the USU12 (#20 J.Miller), out of bounds
0.0
Q4 2:34
(02:34) #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #85 M.Lauter thrown to USU00 broken up by #4 B.Hamblin PENALTY USU Holding (#4 B.Hamblin) 6 yards from USU12 to USU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
+0.3
Q4 2:26
(02:30) #24 D.Riley rush right for 6 yards gain to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:26 #14 M.Cutforth pass attempt failed
-35.7
Q4 2:26
(02:26) #35 C.Boomer kickoff 65 yards to the USU00, Touchback
+1.8
Q4 2:21
(02:26) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete deep left to #11 B.Pegan thrown to BSU45
+7.5
Q4 2:21
(02:21) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USU30 (#53 M.Notarainni; #15 M.Williams) PENALTY USU Holding (#72 G.Maile) 10 yards from USU25 to USU15. NO PLAY
0.0
Q4 2:01
(02:11) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes sacked for loss of 8 yards to the USU07 (#91 B.Bol)
0.0
Q4 1:55
(02:00) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass incomplete short left to #7 K.Davis thrown to USU18
-0.7
Q4 1:47
(01:53) #16 L.Rehkow punt 38 yards to the USU45, out of bounds at USU45
0.0
Q4 1:40
(01:47) #24 D.Riley rush right for 12 yards gain to the USU33 (#18 I.Larsen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-9.4
Q4 1:39
(01:39) #24 D.Riley rush left for 3 yards gain to the USU30 (#9 T.Morris) PENALTY USU Offside (#0 E.Migao) 5 yards from USU33 to USU28. NO PLAY
-0.1
Q4 1:35
(01:35) #24 D.Riley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USU22, End Of Play PENALTY BSU Holding (#72 Z.Holmes) 10 yards from USU28 to USU38. NO PLAY
-3.1
Q4 1:36
Timeout Utah State, clock 01:36
+12.7
Q4 1:25
(01:30) #24 D.Riley rush left for 4 yards gain to the USU34 (#4 B.Hamblin; #28 C.Tujague)
-12.7
Q4 1:20
(01:25) #24 D.Riley rush right for 0 yards to the USU34 (#20 J.Miller; #28 C.Tujague)
-1.3
Q4 1:25
Timeout Utah State, clock 01:25
+14.3
Q4 1:10
(01:20) #25 Q.Brown rush right for 8 yards gain to the USU26 (#34 D.Tucker)
-14.3
Q4 1:20
Timeout Utah State, clock 01:20
+11.1
Q4 0:24
(00:34) #14 M.Cutforth sacked for loss of 3 yards to the USU29 (#4 B.Hamblin, #25 C.Joe), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
-15.3
Q4 0:34
Timeout Boise State, clock 00:34
-0.5
Q4 0:25
(00:25) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes rush left for 16 yards gain to the USU45, out of bounds at USU45 PENALTY USU Holding (#72 G.Maile) 10 yards from USU29 to USU19. NO PLAY
+12.9
Q4 0:06
(00:19) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete deep left to #11 B.Pegan caught at USU39, for 20 yards to the USU39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
-10.4
Q4 0:01
(00:01) Shotgun #16 B.Barnes pass complete deep left to #10 A.Garcia caught at BSU29, for 32 yards to the BSU29, out of bounds at BSU29, 1ST DOWN
-3.8
Q4 0:00
End of 4th quarter.
-0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:26
(02:30) #24 D.Riley rush right for 6 yards gain to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:26 #14 M.Cutforth pass attempt failed
-35.7
TD · Q3 3:17
(03:28) Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete deep left to #25 Q.Brown caught at USU35, for 66 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Cutforth pass attempt failed
-21.1
TD · Q2 1:55
(02:00) Shotgun #2 M.Davis rush left for 11 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55, 1ST DOWN #14 T.Rinker kick attempt good (H: #16 L.Rehkow, LS: #13 H.Hatch)
+17.2
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com