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WYO

Wyoming 7 at San Diego State 24

SDSU
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:55 · (05:01) #93 H.Green punt 48 yards to the WYO00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+6.5Home team on offense+13.3Garbage-time factor+6.5Score differential+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:32: Byron Cardwell Jr. 24 Yd pass from Jayden Denegal (Gabriel Plascencia Kick) — SDSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:50: (08:01) Shotgun #14 L.Sims rush right for 13 yards gain to the SDSU35 (#26 D.McDougle), 1ST DOWN — WYO win probability +4.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:10: Jordan Napier 7 Yd Run (Gabriel Plascencia Kick) — SDSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: End of 2nd quarter. — WYO win probability +5.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:55: Lucky Sutton 50 Yd Run (Gabriel Plascencia Kick) — SDSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WYO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:19SDSU 4th & 7 at WYO 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:19WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:29SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:11WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:54SDSU 4th & 3 at SDSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:52SDSU 4th & 1 at WYO 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:56WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:20WYO 4th & 8 at SDSU 33, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:10SDSU 4th & 5 at WYO 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:18WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:55SDSU 4th & 7 at WYO 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:11WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 28, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:40SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:19SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:04WYO 4th & 16 at SDSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:49SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:56WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:54WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 24, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:29WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:32SDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:10SDSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:55SDSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WYODrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1731% → 33%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.5%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #8 J.Sargent caught at WYO26, for 1 yard to the WYO26 (#1 C.Johnson)Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
68.8%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush left for 7 yards gain to the WYO33 (#26 D.McDougle)Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+23
68.7%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete deep left to #11 M.Fitzgerald caught at SDSU44, for 23 yards to the SDSU44, out of bounds at SDSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
68.4%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush right for 2 yards gain to the SDSU42 (#12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+37
68.4%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 L.Sims rush right for 37 yards gain to the SDSU05 (#26 D.McDougle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
68.2%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 L.Sims rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU03 (#33 B.Nassar)Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.2%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 L.Sims rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU03 (#44 N.King)Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.9%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 L.Sims pass complete short right to #22 S.Scott caught at SDSU00, for 3 yards to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29 #47 E.Sandvik kick attempt good (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #52 C.York)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4867% → 66%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
67.3%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 1 yard gain to the SDSU31 (#6 E.Eller)Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+22
67.1%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #2 J.Napier caught at WYO50, for 22 yards to the WYO47 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.4%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Napier thrown to WYO41Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
67.3%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WYO45 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
66.9%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete deep right to #13 N.Acevedo thrown to WYO25Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
66.2%
(08:19) #93 H.Green punt 41 yards to the WYO04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4834% → 35%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
66.0%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO05 (#9 D.Staley; #26 D.McDougle)Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 5
-1
65.7%
(07:32) No Huddle #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WYO04 (#44 N.King)Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 10
OWN 4
-1
65.7%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WYO03 (#26 D.McDougle)Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 11
OWN 3
+1
65.7%
PENALTY WYO False Start 1 yard from WYO03 to WYO02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 12
OWN 2
+2
65.5%
(06:25) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 50 yards to the SDSU48 #2 J.Napier return 10 yards to the WYO42 (#9 B.Johnson), out of bounds PENALTY SDSU Personal Foul (#24 J.Cox) 15 yards from WYO50 to SDSU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3665% → 65%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.1%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush right for 1 yard gain to the SDSU36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
64.9%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SDSU40 (#3 A.Johnson; #11 E.Bogar)Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
64.7%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #2 J.Napier caught at SDSU44, for 4 yards to the SDSU44, out of bounds at SDSU44Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
64.5%
(04:29) #93 H.Green punt 56 yards to the WYO00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 5INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:4036% → 37%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
63.8%
(04:27) Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush left for 5 yards gain to the WYO25 (#9 D.Staley)Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-28
63.0%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass intercepted by #0 B.Phillips at SDSU48 QB hurried by #10 R.Henderson #0 B.Phillips return 28 yards to the WYO24 (#11 M.Fitzgerald)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
69.0%
Byron Cardwell Jr. 24 Yd pass from Jayden Denegal (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1333% → 33%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.4%
(03:29) Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO28 (#12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
67.2%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush left for 2 yards gain to the WYO30 (#9 D.Staley; #12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
67.0%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short right to #11 M.Fitzgerald thrown to WYO40Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+12
67.4%
(02:21) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 57 yards to the SDSU13 #2 J.Napier return 12 yards to the SDSU25 (#2 C.Merritt), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1567% → 67%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.4%
(02:09) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete deep middle to #2 J.Napier thrown to WYO46Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
67.2%
(01:41) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #7 L.Sutton thrown to SDSU24 broken up by #42 E.StuhlsatzSimilar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
66.6%
(01:35) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #11 M.Welsh caught at SDSU32, for 7 yards to the SDSU32 (#7 M.Grant)Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
66.6%
(00:57) #93 H.Green punt 48 yards to the WYO20 fair catch by #19 C.Coenen at WYO20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9INT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3234% → 34%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
66.3%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at WYO19, for 1 yard loss to the WYO19 (#17 D.McCuin)Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
66.4%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 S.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO20 (#41 M.Williams)Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
66.8%
(14:58) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #11 M.Fitzgerald caught at WYO35, for 15 yards to the WYO35, out of bounds at WYO35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.6%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Sargent thrown to WYO36Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
65.8%
(14:31) Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush left for 1 yard gain to the WYO36 (#12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
66.0%
(13:54) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass intercepted by #26 D.McDougle at WYO36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:5069% → 68%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
68.6%
(13:48) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WYO30 (#9 B.Johnson)Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
68.8%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO24 (#12 D.Hearns), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
68.8%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WYO26 (#52 C.Ifeanyi)Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+8
68.7%
(11:58) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WYO18 (#6 E.Eller)Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
68.1%
(11:40) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WYO15 (#7 M.Grant; #94 B.Florentine)Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+34
68.3%
Gabriel Plascencia 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4832% → 31%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.9%
(10:52) Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush left for 2 yards gain to the WYO27 (#24 J.Cox)Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
67.7%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Holman thrown to WYO37 broken up by #24 J.CoxSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
68.5%
(10:14) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Holman thrown to WYO37Similar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+7
68.9%
(09:56) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 59 yards to the SDSU14 #2 J.Napier return 7 yards to the SDSU21 (#21 E.Sibomana) PENALTY WYO Personal Foul (#21 E.Sibomana) 15 yards from SDSU21 to SDSU36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:1668% → 70%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
68.2%
(09:53) Shotgun #23 C.Washington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SDSU39 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
68.8%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #14 D.Brown caught at SDSU50, for 11 yards to the SDSU50 (#8 T.Boss; #42 E.Stuhlsatz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
50
+9
69.4%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #2 J.Napier caught at WYO41, for 9 yards to the WYO41 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz)Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-8
69.6%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass intercepted by #53 T.Seeds at WYO44 #53 T.Seeds return 8 yards to the SDSU48 (#2 J.Napier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3035% → 32%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
65.5%
(08:01) Shotgun #14 L.Sims rush right for 13 yards gain to the SDSU35 (#26 D.McDougle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
64.7%
(07:45) Shotgun #14 L.Sims pass incomplete deep middle to #13 C.Durr thrown to SDSU11Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
64.7%
(07:42) Shotgun #22 S.Scott rush right for 2 yards gain to the SDSU33 (#12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
65.6%
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 S.Scott rush right for 0 yards to the SDSU33 (#10 R.Henderson)Similar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
67.9%
(06:20) #47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #52 C.York), clock 06:20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:0369% → 78%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
68.5%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SDSU37 (#6 E.Eller)Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+40
69.5%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete deep right to #14 D.Brown caught at WYO26, for 40 yards to the WYO23 (#7 M.Grant; #23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
71.0%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short middle to #15 J.Ford caught at WYO22, for 3 yards to the WYO20 (#9 B.Johnson) PENALTY SDSU Holding 10 yards from WYO23 to WYO33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+18
70.5%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short middle to #15 J.Ford caught at WYO15, for 18 yards to the WYO15 (#15 D.Leonard)Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+1
71.0%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO14 (#52 C.Ifeanyi)Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+7
70.2%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush right for 7 yards gain to the WYO07 (#9 B.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.8%
Jordan Napier 7 Yd Run (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3923% → 23%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.4%
(03:07) Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO26 (#54 K.Clay; #55 M.Finau)Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
78.0%
(02:24) Shotgun #14 L.Sims pass incomplete short middle to #84 J.Gyllenborg thrown to WYO28 QB hurried by #33 B.NassarSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
78.7%
(02:19) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short left to #84 J.Gyllenborg caught at WYO39, for 13 yards to the WYO39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
77.1%
(01:58) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short middle to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at WYO42, for 3 yards to the WYO42 (#12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-2
76.9%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass intercepted by #12 O.Chambliss at WYO50 broken up by #9 D.Staley #12 O.Chambliss return 2 yards to the WYO48 (#84 J.Gyllenborg)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:1479% → 79%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
79.4%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #21 B.Cardwell caught at WYO42, for 25 yards to the WYO23 (#8 T.Boss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
79.2%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 B.Cardwell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WYO19 (#23 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-4
79.2%
(01:02) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass intercepted by #4 J.Taylor at WYO02 #4 J.Taylor return 4 yards to the WYO06 (#14 D.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3921% → 21%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
78.8%
(00:54) Shotgun #22 S.Scott rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO07 (#12 O.Chambliss; #55 M.Finau)Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
78.9%
(00:09) Shotgun #22 S.Scott rush right for 3 yards gain to the WYO10 (#9 D.Staley; #55 M.Finau)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18MISSED FG
17 plays · 85 yds · 6:3179% → 80%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
78.5%
(14:50) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 1 yard gain to the SDSU11 (#94 B.Florentine)Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
78.5%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 4 yards gain to the SDSU15 (#9 B.Johnson)Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+8
78.0%
(13:57) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #2 J.Napier caught at SDSU21, for 8 yards to the SDSU23 (#3 A.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
79.1%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete deep left to #13 N.Acevedo caught at SDSU44, for 26 yards to the SDSU49 (#3 A.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
81.1%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush right for 2 yards gain to the WYO49 (#94 B.Florentine; #97 L.Samsula)Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+11
81.1%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 11 yards gain to the WYO38 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
81.3%
(12:08) PENALTY WYO Offside (#53 T.Seeds) 5 yards from WYO38 to WYO33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+1
81.9%
(11:49) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush right for 1 yard gain to the WYO32 (#52 C.Ifeanyi), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+8
82.1%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WYO24 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
82.4%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 8 yards gain to the WYO16 (#23 J.Thomas; #94 B.Florentine)Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+6
82.6%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 D.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the WYO10 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
82.8%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WYO09 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #5 B.Wilson)Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
82.9%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Napier thrown to WYO00 QB hurried by #40 T.WestlandSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
81.3%
(08:34) Shotgun #5 B.Emanuel, Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO05 (#8 T.Boss; #9 B.Johnson)Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
80.4%
(08:11) #11 G.Plascencia field goal attempt from 23 yards NO GOOD (H: #39 E.Herranen, LS: #50 T.Chavez), clock 08:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4520% → 17%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
80.3%
(08:08) Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WYO24 (#6 E.Butler)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
80.2%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WYO23 (#91 A.Comier)Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
81.7%
(06:56) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short middle to #11 M.Fitzgerald caught at WYO36, for 17 yards to the WYO40 (#9 D.Staley) PENALTY WYO Offside (#5 T.Kellman) 5 yards from WYO23 to WYO18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
82.1%
(06:28) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short middle to #5 T.Kellman thrown to WYO18 broken up by #10 R.Henderson QB hurried by #31 J.BadieSimilar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
82.7%
(06:22) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 43 yards to the SDSU39 fair catch by #2 J.Napier at SDSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1383% → 82%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
82.6%
(06:16) Shotgun #2 J.Napier rush left for 10 yards gain to the SDSU49 (#23 J.Thomas; #42 E.Stuhlsatz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
83.0%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short right to #14 D.Brown thrown to WYO41 broken up by #8 T.BossSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
82.8%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 3 yards gain to the WYO48 (#5 B.Wilson)Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
82.4%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Ford thrown to WYO45 broken up by #23 J.ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
81.8%
(05:01) #93 H.Green punt 48 yards to the WYO00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3918% → 17%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.9%
(04:55) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Durr thrown to WYO35Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
82.2%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Harris rush right for 4 yards gain to the WYO24 (#41 M.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+4
83.0%
(04:05) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WYO28 (#12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
83.1%
(03:22) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 54 yards to the SDSU18 #2 J.Napier return 0 yards to the SDSU18 (#80 C.Brook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:2982% → 82%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
82.3%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Washington rush right for 0 yards to the SDSU18 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #18 P.Eyabi) PENALTY SDSU Holding 9 yards from SDSU18 to SDSU09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+4
81.5%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete deep right to #14 D.Brown caught at WYO46, for 66 yards to the WYO25 (#8 T.Boss) PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (#14 D.Brown) 4 yards from SDSU09 to SDSU05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 23
OWN 5
+3
81.6%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SDSU08 (#21 E.Sibomana)Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 20
OWN 8
+3
82.1%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 3 yards gain to the SDSU11 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #52 C.Ifeanyi)Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 17
OWN 11
+6
82.7%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Washington rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SDSU17 (#5 B.Wilson)Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
82.2%
(00:44) #93 H.Green punt 38 yards to the WYO45, out of bounds at WYO45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23FUMBLE
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:5818% → 17%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
82.5%
(00:37) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short left to #26 S.Harris caught at WYO41, for 10 yards to the SDSU45 (#41 M.Williams; #12 O.Chambliss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
81.5%
(00:12) No Huddle #26 S.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU44 (#6 E.Butler)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
81.7%
(14:57) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at SDSU45, for 0 yards to the SDSU44 (#1 C.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+10
82.8%
(14:18) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #84 J.Gyllenborg caught at SDSU35, for 10 yards to the SDSU34 (#12 O.Chambliss), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
80.8%
(13:39) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short right thrown to SDSU27 QB hurried by #41 M.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
80.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete deep right to #13 C.Durr thrown to SDSU02 PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (#6 E.Butler) 15 yards from SDSU34 to SDSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
80.2%
(13:29) PENALTY WYO False Start (#70 R.Johnsen) 5 yards from SDSU19 to SDSU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+10
80.9%
(13:26) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete deep left to #13 C.Durr thrown to SDSU01 broken up by #26 D.McDougle PENALTY WYO Holding (#63 B.Jenkins) 10 yards from SDSU24 to SDSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 25
OPP 34
-2
81.0%
(13:20) Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush right for 2 yards loss to the SDSU36 (#41 M.Williams; #12 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 27
OPP 36
+8
83.0%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short middle to #11 M.Fitzgerald caught at SDSU31, for 8 yards to the SDSU28 fumbled by #11 M.Fitzgerald at SDSU32 forced by #55 M.Finau recovered by SDSU #6 E.Butler at SDSU28, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0586% → 85%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.0%
(12:29) Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short right to #14 D.Brown thrown to SDSU32 QB hurried by #5 B.WilsonSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
85.6%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SDSU31 (#42 E.Stuhlsatz; #3 A.Johnson)Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
85.6%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Napier thrown to SDSU36 broken up by #8 T.BossSimilar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+37
84.7%
(11:31) #93 H.Green punt 55 yards to the WYO14 #19 C.Coenen return 37 yards to the SDSU49 (#42 B.Anderson) PENALTY SDSU Holding (#42 B.Anderson) 10 yards from SDSU49 to SDSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:0618% → 10%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
82.3%
(11:19) #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SDSU34 (#41 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
82.8%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU32 (#12 O.Chambliss; #2 T.White)Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+5
84.7%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Kellman rush right for 5 yards gain to the SDSU27 (#41 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.1%
(09:41) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete deep left to #11 M.Fitzgerald thrown to SDSU00 broken up by #0 B.PhillipsSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
84.9%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.White rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU26 (#9 D.Staley; #6 E.Butler)Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-7
86.4%
(08:52) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson sacked for loss of 7 yards to the SDSU33 (#10 R.Henderson)Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 16
OPP 33
+50
90.0%
(08:07) #47 E.Sandvik field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 G.Helm, LS: #52 C.York), clock 08:04, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0891% → 93%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
90.8%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SDSU36 (#7 M.Grant)Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
92.6%
(07:16) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU36 (#5 B.Wilson)Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+2
92.9%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU38 (#7 M.Grant; #9 B.Johnson)Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
92.6%
(05:53) #93 H.Green punt 62 yards to the WYO00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:459% → 7%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.4%
(05:49) Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush right for 2 yards gain to the WYO22 (#6 E.Butler)Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
91.5%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Harris rush left for 1 yard gain to the WYO23 (#91 A.Comier)Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-2
92.1%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WYO21 (#2 T.White)Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
92.9%
(03:58) #18 B.Edmiston, Jr. punt 40 yards to the SDSU39, out of bounds at SDSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 0:5494% → 99%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.2%
(03:56) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SDSU44 (#52 C.Ifeanyi)Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+11
94.4%
(03:49) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WYO45 (#23 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.4%
PENALTY SDSU False Start (#7 L.Sutton) 5 yards from WYO45 to WYO50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 15
50
+50
99.4%
Lucky Sutton 50 Yd Run (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:582% → 2%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
(02:54) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass incomplete short middle to #2 E.Richardson thrown to WYO33Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
98.0%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WYO16 (#2 T.White)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
98.1%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #3 D.DeBlanc caught at WYO13, for 8 yards to the WYO24 (#31 J.Badie)Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+3
98.1%
(01:58) Shotgun #12 K.Anderson pass complete short right to #84 J.Gyllenborg caught at WYO26, for 3 yards to the WYO27 (#12 O.Chambliss), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.5%
(01:38) Kneel down by #5 B.Emanuel, Jr. at WYO28 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-2
99.5%
(01:09) Kneel down by #5 B.Emanuel, Jr. at WYO30 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 13
OPP 30
-1
99.5%
(00:28) Kneel down by #5 B.Emanuel, Jr. at WYO31 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:10
Jordan Napier 7 Yd Run (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)
+7.6
TD · Q1 3:32
Byron Cardwell Jr. 24 Yd pass from Jayden Denegal (Gabriel Plascencia Kick)
+6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
End of 2nd quarter.
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com