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UNM

New Mexico 40 at UNLV 35

UNLV
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:43: Damon Bankston 84 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +13.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:14: (03:14) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:14 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +12.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:49: Keagan Johnson 80 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +12.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:35: A. Colandrea pass to N. Elksnis for 14 yds, for a TD (R. Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +33.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:54: (02:57) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:54, 1ST DOWN #2 J.Layne pass attempt failed — UNM win probability +40.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:20UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:17UNLV 4th & 1 at UNM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:56UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:43UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:38UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:46UNM 4th & 9 at UNLV 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−7.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:35UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 27, up 6
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:17UNM 4th & 14 at UNLV 47, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:42UNLV 4th & 10 at UNM 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:07UNM 4th & 16 at UNM 3, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−7.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:30UNLV 4th & 4 at UNM 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−1.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−12.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:56UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.6%−4.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:49UNM 4th & 6 at UNLV 38, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:30UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:04UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:09UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:43UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:55UNLV Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:14UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:49UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:35UNLV Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−1.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:54UNM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    74.3%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2431% → 31%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.4%
(14:54) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #88 C.Keith caught at UNM30, for 5 yards to the UNM30 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
69.3%
(14:17) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNM32 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
69.2%
(13:34) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Bankston thrown to UNM35Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+48
69.3%
(13:29) #96 D.Hughes punt 48 yards to the UNLV20 muffed by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV20 recovered by UNLV #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV20 #4 D.Irvin Jr. return for loss of 3 yards to the UNLV17 (#5 F.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:5669% → 69%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
69.2%
(13:19) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV20 (#12 J.Johnson; #45 B.Karhu)Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+11
69.2%
(12:50) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #0 T.Omeire caught at UNLV25, for 11 yards to the UNLV31 (#7 T.Combs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+38
69.1%
(12:13) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #0 T.Omeire caught at UNM33, for 38 yards to the UNM31 (#5 F.Edwards), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
69.4%
(11:29) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNM28 (#6 J.Eck; #12 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
69.4%
(10:48) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the UNM28 (#6 J.Eck; #17 O.Olorunfunmi)Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+6
69.2%
(10:07) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNM22, for 6 yards to the UNM22, out of bounds at UNM22Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
69.0%
(09:21) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UNM14 QB hurried by #1 K.James-Newby, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 5:0431% → 37%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
68.6%
(09:17) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Johnson thrown to UNM35 QB hurried by #19 D.SpellmanSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
68.6%
(09:12) Shotgun #2 J.Layne rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNM30 (#8 M.McDuffie; #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
68.4%
(08:34) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNM31 (#8 M.McDuffie; #3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+19
68.4%
(07:53) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush left for 33 yards gain (19) to the UNLV36 (#4 A.Powdrell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNM Holding (#0 Z.Smith) 10 yards from UNLV50 to UNM40Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
67.6%
(07:25) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein pass complete short left to #7 D.Thomas caught at UNM43, for 17 yards to the UNLV43 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
67.3%
(06:51) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNLV44 (#94 L.Conti)Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+12
67.2%
(06:16) Shotgun #2 J.Layne rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UNLV32 (#7 J.Pope; #30 T.Adeleye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
66.7%
(05:36) Shotgun #2 J.Layne sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNLV38 (#55 C.Fuller)Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+8
67.1%
(04:54) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #7 D.Thomas caught at UNLV40, for 8 yards to the UNLV30 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+30
62.8%
Damon Bankston 30 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:0364% → 64%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
63.8%
(04:08) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #5 K.Moore caught at UNLV44, for 21 yards to the UNLV46, out of bounds at UNLV46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
64.4%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV49, for 3 yards to the UNLV49 (#5 F.Edwards)Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-2
64.5%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNLV47 (#16 M.Swaim)Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+23
62.9%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNM42, for 23 yards to the UNM30 (#26 C.McBean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
64.2%
PENALTY UNLV Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNM30 to UNM35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+9
63.4%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNM26 (#5 F.Edwards; #20 K.McCray)Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-3
63.9%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UNM29 fumbled by #9 J.Thomas at UNM29 recovered by UNM #92 B.Booker at UNM29, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 0:5039% → 46%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+58
61.0%
(00:55) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush middle for 58 yards gain to the UNLV13 (#4 A.Powdrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
59.4%
(00:15) Shotgun #22 S.Humphrey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV12 (#3 J.Joseph; #94 L.Conti)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
53.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein pass complete short left to #85 S.Mapa caught at UNLV03, for 12 yards to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52, 1ST DOWN #13 L.Drzewiecki kick attempt good (H: #35 C.Steinkamp, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5056% → 54%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
(14:52) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 0 yards to the UNLV25 (#22 D.Johnson; #12 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.1%
(14:18) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #84 N.Elksnis caught at UNLV31, for 6 yards to the UNLV31 (#12 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
54.4%
(13:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #2 K.Lee caught at UNLV26, for 0 yards to the UNLV31 (#5 F.Edwards; #6 J.Eck)Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
53.6%
(13:06) #33 C.Brown punt 53 yards to the UNM16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
39.7%
Damon Bankston 84 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:3243% → 51%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
42.6%
(12:36) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #30 V.Gumms caught at UNLV34, for 16 yards to the UNLV34, out of bounds at UNLV34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
42.3%
(12:10) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNLV37 (#22 D.Johnson)Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
42.0%
(11:41) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV33, for 8 yards to the UNLV45 (#20 K.McCray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.0%
(11:06) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UNM42 QB hurried by #45 B.KarhuSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
41.7%
(10:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #0 T.Omeire caught at UNM50, for 8 yards to the UNM47 (#20 K.McCray)Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
41.4%
(10:29) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNM43 (#7 T.Combs; #45 B.Karhu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
40.8%
(09:57) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNM08, for 35 yards to the UNM08 (#12 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNM Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
40.9%
(09:40) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNM07 (#3 D.Murphy; #6 J.Eck)Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
50.6%
(09:00) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNM00, for 7 yards to the UNM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:55 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0153% → 54%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
46.9%
(08:50) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNM23 (#30 T.Adeleye; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
47.1%
(08:11) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #7 D.Thomas caught at UNM22, for 0 yards to the UNM23 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
46.3%
(07:31) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #1 D.Bankston caught at UNM20, for 0 yards to the UNM23 (#5 Q.Keyes; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
46.1%
(06:49) #96 D.Hughes punt 46 yards to the UNLV31 #4 D.Irvin Jr. return 0 yards to the UNLV31 (#5 F.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:2345% → 56%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
45.3%
(06:42) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 13 yards gain to the UNLV44 (#7 T.Combs), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
46.4%
(06:14) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNM50, for 11 yards to the UNM45 (#20 K.McCray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
46.1%
(05:40) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNM48, for 5 yards to the UNM40 (#12 J.Johnson; #20 K.McCray)Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
45.5%
(05:09) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #5 K.Moore caught at UNM40, for 4 yards to the UNM36 (#5 F.Edwards; #17 O.Olorunfunmi)Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+8
44.8%
(04:24) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 8 yards gain to the UNM28 (#5 F.Edwards; #12 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
43.7%
(03:40) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNM10, for 23 yards to the UNM05 (#12 J.Johnson; #25 D.Speech), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
56.1%
(03:14) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:14 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4050% → 39%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
49.7%
(03:04) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNM25 (#14 B.Edmondson; #94 L.Conti)Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-25
61.3%
(02:21) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass intercepted by #5 Q.Keyes at UNM25 #5 Q.Keyes return 25 yards to the UNM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:20 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 0:2039% → 52%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
61.2%
(02:15) Shotgun #2 J.Layne rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNM20 (#92 J.Lee; #94 L.Conti)Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+80
48.4%
Keagan Johnson 80 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:5050% → 48%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.8%
(01:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #11 J.Earle caught at UNLV25, for 3 yards to the UNLV28 (#6 J.Eck; #16 M.Swaim)Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
50.0%
(01:24) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.Reynolds thrown to UNM50 PENALTY UNM Holding (#20 K.McCray) 10 yards from UNLV28 to UNLV38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
51.0%
(01:19) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV35, for 1 yard loss to the UNLV37 (#5 F.Edwards; #24 A.Levells)Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-8
49.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNLV29 (#45 B.Karhu)Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 19
OWN 29
+19
48.0%
(00:51) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush right for 19 yards gain to the UNLV48 fumbled by #10 A.Colandrea at UNLV33 forced by #20 K.McCray recovered by UNM #24 A.Levells at UNLV48, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:3756% → 59%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
44.5%
(00:42) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #6 K.Johnson caught at UNLV34, for 14 yards to the UNLV34, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNLV Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
43.8%
(00:37) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #7 D.Thomas caught at UNLV30, for 4 yards to the UNLV30, out of bounds at UNLV30Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
43.6%
(00:34) Shotgun #2 J.Layne rush right for 7 yards gain to the UNLV23 (#14 B.Edmondson), out of bounds PENALTY UNM Illegal Formation 5 yards from UNLV30 to UNLV35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+12
43.5%
(00:27) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short left to #1 D.Bankston caught at UNLV36, for 12 yards to the UNLV23 (#8 M.McDuffie; #30 T.Adeleye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-6
42.7%
(00:20) Shotgun #2 J.Layne sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNLV29 (#30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+46
40.9%
Luke Drzewiecki 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0845% → 41%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
44.5%
(14:52) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNLV27 (#20 K.McCray; #26 C.McBean)Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
43.7%
(14:24) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #30 V.Gumms thrown to UNLV30 QB hurried by #92 B.BookerSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-3
42.3%
(14:23) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV24, for 3 yards loss to the UNLV24 (#15 X.Slayton)Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
40.7%
(13:45) #33 C.Brown punt 49 yards to the UNM27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:4457% → 69%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
43.1%
(13:37) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short left to #6 K.Johnson caught at UNM30, for 5 yards to the UNM32 (#0 L.Welch)Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-1
41.2%
(12:58) Shotgun #1 D.Bankston rush left for 1 yard loss to the UNM31 (#3 J.Joseph; #15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+45
41.5%
(12:17) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short left to #88 C.Keith caught at UNM47, for 45 yards to the UNLV24 (#7 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
38.6%
(11:36) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV23 (#3 J.Joseph; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
38.1%
(11:00) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Bankston thrown to UNLV00 PENALTY UNM Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
39.1%
(10:55) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Johnson thrown to UNLV22 broken up by #10 T.FultonSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
31.4%
(10:46) #13 L.Drzewiecki field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #35 C.Steinkamp, LS: #47 T.Dubuc), clock 10:46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2837% → 55%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.0%
(10:45) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV22, for 2 yards to the UNLV27 (#45 B.Karhu)Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
36.6%
(10:14) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV31, for 19 yards to the UNLV46 (#7 T.Combs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
37.4%
(09:40) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV44, for 4 yards to the UNLV50 (#45 B.Karhu)Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 6
50
0
37.0%
(09:15) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the UNM50 (#6 J.Eck)Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 6
50
+8
52.0%
(08:41) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNM42, out of bounds at UNM42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
53.1%
PENALTY UNM Personal Foul (#25 D.Speech) 15 yards from UNM42 to UNM27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
54.6%
(08:15) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #30 V.Gumms caught at UNM10, for 27 yards to the UNM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:10, 1ST DOWN #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:4556% → 59%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.1%
(08:06) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNM27 (#54 I.Patterson; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
43.5%
(07:29) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass incomplete short right to #6 K.Johnson thrown to UNM30Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
44.8%
(07:29) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #4 D.McKinney caught at UNM27, for 0 yards to the UNM27 (#10 T.Fulton)Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+30
45.9%
(06:50) #6 J.Eck pass complete short middle to #8 D.Buchanan caught at UNM40, for 30 yards to the UNLV43 (#16 K.McGee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
39.4%
(06:06) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #88 C.Keith caught at UNLV40, for 9 yards to the UNLV34 (#4 A.Powdrell; #14 B.Edmondson) PENALTY UNM Holding (#58 J.Tasi) 10 yards from UNLV43 to UNM47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 20
OWN 47
-7
40.6%
(05:36) Shotgun #2 J.Layne sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNM40 (#94 L.Conti)Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 27
OWN 40
+9
40.4%
(04:43) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNM49 (#7 J.Pope; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+4
40.1%
(04:08) Shotgun #1 D.Bankston rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNLV47 (#28 L.Christensen; #90 E.Logo)Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
41.4%
(03:20) #96 D.Hughes punt 37 yards to the UNLV10 fair catch by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:3144% → 40%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
44.1%
(03:17) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UNLV14Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+13
43.8%
(03:12) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #2 K.Lee caught at UNLV20, for 13 yards to the UNLV23 (#16 M.Swaim), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
44.1%
(02:37) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 3 yards loss to the UNLV20 (#6 J.Eck; #10 D.Agu)Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+14
42.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV34, for 14 yards to the UNLV34 (#12 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
43.9%
(01:23) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV37 (#6 J.Eck; #20 K.McCray)Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+9
45.5%
(00:54) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 9 yards gain to the UNLV46, out of bounds at UNLV46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
46.6%
(00:22) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV49 (#17 O.Olorunfunmi; #94 J.Mciver)Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
46.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 7 yards gain to the UNM44 (#12 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
47.2%
(14:21) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UNM47 fumbled by #10 A.Colandrea at UNM44 recovered by UNLV #9 J.Thomas at UNM47, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+3
44.4%
(13:30) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #0 T.Omeire caught at UNM44, for 3 yards to the UNM44 (#5 F.Edwards; #16 M.Swaim)Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
43.4%
(12:56) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UNM10Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
40.4%
(12:49) #33 C.Brown punt 35 yards to the UNM09 fair catch by #4 D.McKinney at UNM09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:2766% → 67%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
33.7%
(12:42) Shotgun #1 D.Bankston rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNM12 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+5
33.2%
(11:57) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short middle to #6 K.Johnson caught at UNM20, for 11 yards to the UNM23 (#8 M.McDuffie) PENALTY UNM Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#68 T.Lawrence) 5 yards from UNM12 to UNM07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 12
OWN 7
-4
33.4%
(11:27) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short left to #1 D.Bankston caught at UNM03, for 4 yards loss to the UNM03 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 16
OWN 3
0
31.8%
(10:49) Shotgun #2 J.Layne rush right for 0 yards to the UNM03 (#28 L.Christensen)Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 16
OWN 3
+12
32.7%
(10:15) #96 D.Hughes punt 43 yards to the UNM46 #4 D.Irvin Jr. return 12 yards to the UNM34 (#3 D.Murphy; #5 F.Edwards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:2644% → 72%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
44.0%
(10:07) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNM33 (#6 J.Eck; #16 M.Swaim)Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
44.1%
(09:35) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNM30, for 4 yards to the UNM29 (#6 J.Eck)Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+4
41.3%
(08:54) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 7 yards gain (4) to the UNM22 (#10 D.Agu; #25 D.Speech) PENALTY UNLV Holding (#4 D.Irvin Jr.) 10 yards from UNM25 to UNM35Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+7
36.9%
(08:22) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 D.Reynolds caught at UNM28, for 7 yards to the UNM28 (#5 F.Edwards)Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+12
32.8%
(07:38) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #5 K.Moore caught at UNM25, for 12 yards to the UNM16 (#6 J.Eck), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
38.0%
(07:09) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNM14 (#6 J.Eck; #16 M.Swaim)Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
71.7%
A. Colandrea pass to N. Elksnis for 14 yds, for a TD (R. Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3039% → 89%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.4%
(06:35) Shotgun #2 J.Layne rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNM34 (#0 L.Welch; #94 L.Conti)Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-11
58.0%
(06:12) Shotgun #2 J.Layne sacked for loss of 11 yards to the UNM23 (#3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+19
63.9%
(05:28) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short right to #6 K.Johnson caught at UNM42, for 19 yards to the UNM42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
56.7%
(04:49) Shotgun #1 D.Bankston rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNM44 (#54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+25
56.3%
(04:11) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete deep left to #6 K.Johnson caught at UNLV31, for 25 yards to the UNLV31 (#4 A.Powdrell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
52.3%
(03:46) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#3 J.Joseph; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+15
51.4%
(03:12) Shotgun #2 J.Layne pass complete short left to #6 K.Johnson caught at UNLV13, for 15 yards to the UNLV13 (#4 A.Powdrell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
11.3%
(02:57) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:54, 1ST DOWN #2 J.Layne pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:4324% → 22%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
23.7%
(02:48) #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV35, for 19 yards to the UNLV37, out of bounds at UNLV37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
25.2%
(02:24) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV22 QB hurried by #1 K.James-NewbySimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
24.4%
(02:18) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV32Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
22.2%
(02:13) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #2 K.Lee caught at UNLV38, for 5 yards to the UNLV42 (#6 J.Eck)Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
22.2%
(02:00) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle to #5 K.Moore thrown to UNLV48 broken up by #7 T.Combs, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 1:0092% → 94%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
8.2%
(01:56) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV42 (#30 T.Adeleye; #55 C.Fuller)Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
8.3%
(01:49) PENALTY UNM False Start (#51 M.Aliane) 5 yards from UNLV42 to UNLV47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-2
8.3%
(01:48) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNLV49 (#1 C.Borders)Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 17
OPP 49
+11
9.1%
(01:42) Shotgun #13 J.Laubstein rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UNLV38 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
5.8%
(00:54) #96 D.Hughes punt 36 yards to the UNLV02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25FUMBLE
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:3911% → 9%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
10.5%
(00:49) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV03, for 4 yards to the UNLV06 (#24 A.Levells), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+4
10.3%
(00:43) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV05, for 4 yards to the UNLV10 (#24 A.Levells), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
9.8%
(00:37) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Thomas thrown to UNLV10Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+7
8.6%
(00:34) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV17, for 7 yards to the UNLV17, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
9.3%
(00:23) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNLV11 (#1 K.James-Newby)Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 16
OWN 11
0
9.3%
(00:11) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+5
9.0%
(00:11) PENALTY UNM Offside (#1 K.James-Newby) 5 yards from UNLV11 to UNLV16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 11
OWN 16
0
9.0%
(00:07) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to UNM35 broken up by #25 D.SpeechSimilar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 11
OWN 16
+2
8.6%
(00:04) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UNLV30 lateral to #4 D.Irvin Jr. for 9 yards gain to the UNLV39 fumbled by #4 D.Irvin Jr. at UNLV39 recovered by UNLV #3 D.Reynolds at UNLV32 fumbled by #3 D.Reynolds at UNLV32 recovered by UNLV #2 K.Lee at UNLV25 fumbled by #2 K.Lee at UNLV25 forced by #3 D.Murphy recovered by UNM #20 K.McCray at UNLV25, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:54
(02:57) Shotgun #4 D.McKinney rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:54, 1ST DOWN #2 J.Layne pass attempt failed
-40.1
TD · Q4 6:35
A. Colandrea pass to N. Elksnis for 14 yds, for a TD (R. Villela KICK)
+33.7
TD · Q2 12:43
Damon Bankston 84 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com