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SJSU

San José State 25 at Utah State 30

USU
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 17, 2025 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:57 · Steve Chavez-Soto run for no gain to the SJSU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Defense timeoutsOffense timeoutsHome team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Defense timeouts−16.7Offense timeouts−14.4Home team on offense−35.9Pregame prior+0.5Garbage-time factor−11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−12.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:00: Braden Pegan run for 2 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) — USU win probability +1.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 1:07: Lamar Radcliffe 15 Yd pass from Walker Eget (Mathias Brown PAT failed) — SJSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q3 8:20: Bryson Barnes 2 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick) — SJSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · Q3 1:10: Denis Lynch 35 Yd Field Goal — USU win probability +1.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · Q4 1:58: Tanner Rinker 44 Yd Field Goal — SJSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:28SJSU 4th & 1 at USU 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:54USU 4th & 4 at SJSU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:15SJSU 4th & 1 at USU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.3%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−3.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:52USU 4th & 3 at USU 28, up 4
    Close callPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:19USU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:33USU 4th & 6 at USU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:35USU 4th & 4 at SJSU 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03USU 4th & 3 at SJSU 13, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%−0.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−9.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:31USU 4th & 2 at SJSU 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−2.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−12.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:10SJSU 4th & 6 at USU 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−7.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:45USU 4th & 5 at USU 46, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:13USU 4th & 10 at SJSU 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−3.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−10.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:57SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 47, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.5%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:58USU 4th & 5 at SJSU 26, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−5.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:29SJSU 4th & 9 at SJSU 29, up 8
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:04SJSU 4th & 2 at USU 37, up 8
    Close callWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−0.5
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:00USU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:07SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:3241% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
58.7%
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the SJSU 25 San José State Penalty, Offensive holding (Joseph Harbert) to the SJSU 15Similar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
58.2%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+15
58.2%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny Scudero, broken up by Bryson Taylor Utah State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ike Larsen) to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
58.0%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 3 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+14
57.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 14 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson Canaan, broken up by John MillerSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
56.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 9 yds to the USU 44Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+16
55.2%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 16 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
54.3%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 7 yds to the USU 21Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
53.4%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 2 yds to the USU 19Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
52.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny Scudero, broken up by Ike LarsenSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+37
52.5%
Denis Lynch 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:2552% → 48%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
51.8%
Anthony Garcia run for 10 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
51.5%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
50.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 8 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
50.8%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line Utah State Penalty, Offensive holding (Braden Pegan) to the USU 40Similar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
50.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for no gain to the USU 40Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+1
50.2%
Javen Jacobs run for 1 yd to the USU 41Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+15
49.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Anthony Garcia for 15 yds to the SJSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
49.3%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Noah McNeal-Franklin for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 47Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+5
48.1%
Anthony Garcia pass complete to Bryson Barnes for 5 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+4
47.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Broc Lane for 4 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+30
46.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 30 yds to the SJSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
47.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the SJSU 3Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
46.3%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the SJSU 2Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.9%
Braden Pegan run for 2 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4350% → 54%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+25
49.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 25 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
48.3%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 3 yds to the USU 42Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-5
46.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny Scudero San José State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the USU 47Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
47.2%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny Scudero, broken up by Noah AvingerSimilar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+17
47.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Steve Chavez-Soto for 17 yds to the USU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
46.2%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 8 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
45.4%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 1 yd to the USU 21Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
45.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Matthew Coleman, broken up by Bryson TaylorSimilar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
46.5%
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the USU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1842% → 41%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
42.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the USU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-1
41.9%
Javen Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 21Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+7
41.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 7 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
40.5%
Landon Rehkow punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3855% → 59%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
45.3%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 7 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+10
43.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 10 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Cooper HochSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
43.0%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 4 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
42.1%
Walker Eget run for 9 yds to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
41.4%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
41.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 15 yds Walker Eget fumbled, recovered by USU Bronson Olevao Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3842% → 40%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
41.7%
Javen Jacobs run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 3
50
0
41.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 3
50
0
40.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Anthony GarciaSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 3
50
0
39.9%
Landon Rehkow punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:0656% → 57%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
43.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 8 yds to the SJSU 22Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+10
42.1%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 10 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
41.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson Canaan, broken up by Ike LarsenSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
42.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1439% → 39%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
39.1%
Utah State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the USU 13Similar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+5
39.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the USU 18Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
41.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 4 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
39.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Braden Pegan, broken up by Jalen Apalit-WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
39.0%
Landon Rehkow punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1558% → 57%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
42.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 6 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
41.2%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+1
41.6%
Walker Eget run for 1 yd to the SJSU 39Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 3
OWN 39
-5
42.4%
San José State Penalty, delay of game (Jahari Johnson) to the SJSU 34Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
43.4%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:2840% → 40%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
39.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 27 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+32
41.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Anthony Garcia for 32 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
42.3%
Brady Boyd run for 4 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
42.0%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
40.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Anthony GarciaSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+2
39.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 2 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:2060% → 83%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+43
40.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 43 yds to the USU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
39.2%
Walker Eget run for 8 yds to the USU 38Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
38.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
38.6%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 3 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
27.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 14 yds to the USU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
27.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 6 yds to the USU 15Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
17.2%
Lamar Radcliffe 15 Yd pass from Walker Eget (Mathias Brown PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 0:5512% → 13%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
12.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 22 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
13.1%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Gafa Faga and Quincy Likio for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 44Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
12.3%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+15
11.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Braden Pegan for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaylen Thomas) to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
13.2%
Bryson Barnes run for 21 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
14.1%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
14.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Broc Lane for 7 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
13.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Javen JacobsSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
12.6%
Tanner Rinker 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0519% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.8%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the USU 27Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
18.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Broc Lane for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 26Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
17.4%
Anthony Garcia 74 Yd pass from Bryson Barnes (Tanner Rinker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1184% → 85%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
15.7%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 8 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
14.6%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 1 yd to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
14.9%
Steve Chavez-Soto 66 Yd Run (Mathias Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0216% → 17%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 3 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
16.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 6 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
16.3%
Miles Davis run for no gain to the USU 34 for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Etu Finau) to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+37
16.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 37 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
18.8%
Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
18.9%
Miles Davis run for 5 yds to the SJSU 6Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 2
OPP 6
0
17.7%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+3
16.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the SJSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
17.9%
Noah White run for 1 yd to the SJSU 2Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.5%
Bryson Barnes 2 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 7:0791% → 93%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
9.5%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 10 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
8.9%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 4 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
8.1%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 4 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
7.7%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 4 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
7.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri ShoelsSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
7.1%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 4 yds to the USU 49Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+10
7.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 10 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
7.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 4 yds to the USU 35Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+1
6.9%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for 1 yd to the USU 34Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+13
7.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Cooper Hoch for 13 yds to the USU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
6.6%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 5 yds to the USU 16Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-1
6.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 17Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
5.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
7.2%
Denis Lynch 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:198% → 7%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
8.1%
Javen Jacobs run for 10 yds to the USU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
8.0%
Javen Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+11
7.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 11 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
8.3%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the USU 41Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
7.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 6 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
8.1%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Jordan Pollard for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 46Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+14
6.8%
Landon Rehkow punt for 29 yds Utah State Penalty, kick catching interference (Bronson Olevao Jr.) to the SJSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 0:4395% → 95%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
5.0%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 5 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
4.8%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri ShoelsSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
4.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri Shoels, broken up by Ike Larsen for a 1ST down Utah State Penalty, Defensive holding (Bryson Taylor) to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
4.6%
Leland Smith 45 Yd pass from Walker Eget (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
4.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Matthew ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:356% → 9%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Javen Jacobs, broken up by Jaylen ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
6.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 9 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
6.6%
Miles Davis run for 5 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
6.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Miles Davis San José State Penalty, Offensive holding (George Maile) to the USU 39Similar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
6.2%
Javen Jacobs run for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 36Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+5
6.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Broc Lane for 5 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
6.3%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Broc Lane San José State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jr Sia) to the USU 41Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+18
6.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 18 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
7.4%
Miles Davis run for 14 yds to the SJSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
9.3%
Miles Davis run for 4 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
9.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the SJSU 18Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-10
10.0%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the SJSU 18 Utah State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jr Sia) to the SJSU 28Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+1
10.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the SJSU 27Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
9.0%
Tanner Rinker 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:1297% → 98%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 4 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
2.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 9 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
2.0%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny Scudero, broken up by Bryson TaylorSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
2.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 6 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
2.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 3 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
2.2%
Steve Chavez-Soto run for no gain to the SJSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:437% → 2%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
6.6%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the SJSU 45Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+14
6.6%
Miles Davis run for 14 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
6.5%
Braden Pegan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 33Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+9
5.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 9 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-2
6.4%
Javen Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 26Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
2.0%
Tanner Rinker 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 45 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
0.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 5 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+5
0.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 5 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Matthew ColemanSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
0.5%
San José State Penalty, false start (Peseti Lapuaho) to the SJSU 23Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+11
0.5%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 11 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-5
0.5%
San José State Penalty, false start (Nate Hale) to the SJSU 29Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
0.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Matthew ColemanSimilar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+26
1.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 26 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
0.9%
San José State Penalty, false start (Kyri Shoels) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 15
50
0
0.9%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland Smith, broken up by Noah AvingerSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 15
50
+13
0.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 13 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
1.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Cooper Hoch, broken up by Brevin HamblinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+98.9
TD · Q2 1:07
Lamar Radcliffe 15 Yd pass from Walker Eget (Mathias Brown PAT failed)
-9.8
FG · Q4 1:58
Tanner Rinker 44 Yd Field Goal
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com