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NEV

Nevada 22 at New Mexico 24

UNM
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:14 · Bailey Ettridge punt for 28 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+19.1Home team on offense+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:51: Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +5.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:51: Joe McFadden 36 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +3.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — NEV win probability +7.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 11:45: D.J. McKinney run for 22 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +10.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:25: Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK) — NEV win probability +19.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:40UNM 4th & 1 at NEV 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:37NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:41NEV 4th & 9 at UNM 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33UNM 4th & 6 at NEV 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:14NEV 4th & 8 at UNM 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:51UNM 4th & 1 at NEV 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:51NEV 4th & 2 at UNM 19, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:57NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.9%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:51NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00UNM 4th & 11 at NEV 12, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−12.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:55NEV 4th & 9 at UNM 24, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:00UNM 4th & 17 at NEV 17, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−7.9
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−23.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:28NEV 4th & 7 at midfield, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.6%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:55UNM 4th & 1 at NEV 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−11.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−10.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:16UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:51UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:41NEV Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:45UNM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:25NEV Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 7:3976% → 77%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.1%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
76.0%
(14:23) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass complete short left to Humphrey,Scottre caught at UNM35, for 7 yards to the UNM35 (Kenion III,Murvin), out of bounds PENALTY NEV Offside 5 yards from UNM28 to UNM33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
76.0%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
75.8%
Damon Bankston run for 5 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
75.8%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the UNM 42Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
75.6%
Damon Bankston run for 7 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
75.6%
Jack Layne run for 5 yds to the NEV 46Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
75.6%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Damon BankstonSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
75.5%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 5
OPP 46
+5
75.2%
(10:43) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete deep right to Johnson,Keagan thrown to NEV24 broken up by Odums,AJ PENALTY NEV Offside (Maldonado,Jonathan) 5 yards from NEV46 to NEV41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
75.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 14 yds to the NEV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
75.6%
D.J. McKinney run for 8 yds to the NEV 19Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-3
75.5%
Jack Layne run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 22 Jack Layne fumbled, recovered by UNM Jack LayneSimilar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
75.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 4 yds to the NEV 18Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+7
74.8%
James Laubstein run for 7 yds to the NEV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
75.2%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the NEV 8Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
75.1%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
74.8%
(07:24) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete short right to Johnson,Keagan thrown to NEV00 broken up by Odums,AJ PENALTY NEV Offside declined NEV Pass Interference (Odums,AJ) 6 yards from NEV08 to NEV02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds for a TD Nevada Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nakian Jackson) declined (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2624% → 23%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
76.5%
Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the NEV 21Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+2
76.5%
Carter Jones run for 2 yds to the NEV 23Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
76.8%
Carter Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+60
77.0%
Bailey Ettridge punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4825% → 25%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
75.4%
Carter Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 21Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 14
OPP 21
-1
75.7%
Herschel Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 22Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+6
76.2%
Carter Jones pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
75.2%
Joe McFadden 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0175% → 75%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.0%
Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the UNM 31Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+23
75.2%
Scottre Humphrey run for 23 yds to the NEV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
75.6%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the NEV 44Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
75.6%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the NEV 42Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
75.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to D.J. McKinney for no gain to the NEV 42Similar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-7
74.7%
Jack Layne sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NEV 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1026% → 26%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
73.8%
Carter Jones pass complete to Jace Henry for 7 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
73.6%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 5 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
73.6%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the UNM 38Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-5
73.5%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Purdy,Chubba rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNM30 (Williams,Abraham) PENALTY NEV Illegal Formation 5 yards from UNM38 to UNM43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+6
74.1%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 6 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
73.5%
Carter Jones pass incomplete to Jordan BrownSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
74.4%
Bailey Ettridge punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
18 plays · 91 yds · 6:1674% → 82%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
74.0%
(13:14) Shotgun Bankston,Damon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNM12 (Smith,EJ; Combs,Stone) PENALTY UNM Holding (Aliane,Malik) 4 yards from UNM09 to UNM05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 14
OWN 5
0
73.9%
Jack Layne run for no gain to the UNM 5Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+11
73.7%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 11 yds to the UNM 16Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+10
73.3%
Jack Layne run for 10 yds to the UNM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
74.1%
Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+43
73.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 28 yds to the NEV 42 for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (AJ Odums) to the NEV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
75.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to James Laubstein for 13 yds to the NEV 14 for a 1ST down Nevada Penalty, Personal Foul (Dylan Labarbera) to the NEV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
75.2%
(09:45) PENALTY UNM False Start (Brown,Nevell) 5 yards from NEV07 to NEV12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
76.4%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NEV 10Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
76.4%
(09:10) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete short middle to Smith,Zhaiel thrown to NEV00 PENALTY NEV Offside declined NEV Pass Interference (Kenion III,Murvin) 8 yards from NEV10 to NEV02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
76.6%
(09:04) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete short right to Keith,Cade thrown to NEV00 PENALTY UNM Holding (Sillemon,Isaiah) 10 yards from NEV02 to NEV12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.6%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Cade KeithSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
76.4%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NEV 10Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
77.0%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 5 yds to the NEV 5Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
76.4%
Jack Layne run for 4 yds to the NEV 1Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 4:5318% → 22%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.8%
Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 26Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
82.1%
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
82.3%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 14 yds to the NEV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
82.5%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 18 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
81.6%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 5 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+7
80.7%
Caleb Ramseur run for 7 yds to the UNM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
80.8%
Carter Jones pass complete to Jett Carpenter for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 28Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+6
81.5%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 6 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-5
81.1%
PENALTY NEV False Start (Madrigal,Andrew) 5 yards from UNM22 to UNM27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+8
81.8%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 8 yds to the UNM 19Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
77.9%
Joe McFadden 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:3181% → 82%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
81.2%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
81.0%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Robnett,Kaden) 5 yards from UNM35 to UNM30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-10
81.2%
(01:35) Shotgun Bankston,Damon rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNM36 (Witte,Thomas) PENALTY UNM Holding (Lawrence,Tyler) 10 yards from UNM30 to UNM20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+3
82.2%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 22
OWN 23
-1
81.9%
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 22 Damon Bankston fumbled, recovered by NEV Bishop TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:2423% → 30%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
77.2%
Carter Jones pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 10 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
77.2%
Carter Jones run for 9 yds to the UNM 3Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
70.1%
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
74.2%
(00:34) Kneel down by New Mexico at UNM20 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4930% → 29%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
70.4%
Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the NEV 25Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
70.3%
Carter Jones pass complete to Chubba Purdy for 4 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+3
70.3%
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
70.8%
Caleb Ramseur run for no gain to the NEV 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:0474% → 83%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
74.1%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
74.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the NEV 30Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+8
72.9%
Jack Layne run for 8 yds to the NEV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
83.3%
D.J. McKinney run for 22 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:1219% → 39%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 4 yds to the NEV 29Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
80.1%
Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the NEV 30Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
80.9%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 8 yds to the NEV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
79.8%
Carter Jones pass complete to Stone Combs for 9 yds to the NEV 47Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
78.7%
Dominic Kelley run for no gain to the NEV 47Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
79.3%
Dominic Kelley run for no gain to the NEV 47Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
82.1%
Carter Jones run for 2 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
80.9%
Carter Jones run for 2 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
80.8%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 6 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+7
80.7%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 7 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
81.2%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the UNM 35Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+7
80.7%
Carter Jones run for 7 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+11
81.5%
Caleb Ramseur run for 11 yds to the UNM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
80.3%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 13 yds to the UNM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.0%
Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:1468% → 74%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.4%
James Laubstein run for 6 yds to the UNM 31Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
69.8%
Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+54
68.6%
Jack Layne run for 54 yds to the NEV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
73.0%
Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the NEV 7Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
73.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NEV 5Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
72.0%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Aliane,Malik) 5 yards from NEV05 to NEV10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+2
72.0%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 2 yds to the NEV 12Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
74.3%
Luke Drzewiecki 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:5428% → 35%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.8%
Carter Jones pass complete to Chubba Purdy for 11 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
70.4%
Carter Jones pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 24 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
67.0%
Caleb Ramseur run for no gain to the UNM 40Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
66.9%
Carter Jones sacked by Brett Karhu for a loss of 5 yards to the UNM 45Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+20
71.2%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 20 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.3%
Carter Jones pass incomplete to Zedekiah Anahu-AmbrosioSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
65.1%
Herschel Turner run for 1 yd to the UNM 24Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
66.9%
Carter Jones pass incomplete to Marshaun BrownSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
65.2%
Joe McFadden 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16MISSED FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:3769% → 71%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
69.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to D.J. McKinney for 39 yds to the NEV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
73.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 2 yds to the NEV 34Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
74.7%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the NEV 32Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+8
73.1%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 8 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
74.8%
PENALTY NEV Delay Of Game (Paine Jr.,David) 5 yards from NEV24 to NEV19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 5
OPP 19
-1
74.8%
D.J. McKinney run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 20Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
74.8%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Shawn MillerSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+11
73.1%
James Laubstein run for 11 yds to the NEV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
74.4%
(07:00) Shotgun Laubstein,James rush left for 9 yards gain to the NEV00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:54 PENALTY UNM Holding (Brown,Nevell) 10 yards from NEV09 to NEV19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+2
74.0%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 2 yds to the NEV 17Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
77.2%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
74.3%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
71.1%
Luke Drzewiecki 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:2034% → 32%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.4%
Carter Jones pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 2 yds to the NEV 18Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+15
67.0%
(05:20) Shotgun Jones,Carter pass incomplete deep left to Thomas,Dakota thrown to NEV49 PENALTY UNM Pass Interference (Coleman,Caleb) 15 yards from NEV18 to NEV33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
64.9%
Caleb Ramseur run for no gain to the NEV 33Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
68.0%
Carter Jones pass complete to Jett Carpenter for 14 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
63.3%
Caleb Ramseur run for 2 yds to the NEV 49Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
62.2%
Carter Jones run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 7
50
0
63.9%
Carter Jones pass incomplete to Jett CarpenterSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 7
50
0
68.3%
Carter Jones pass incomplete to Dakota ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:2481% → 96%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
50
+3
81.4%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the NEV 47Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
83.0%
James Laubstein run for 2 yds to the NEV 45Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
83.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to D.J. McKinney for 4 yds to the NEV 41Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
84.0%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
88.6%
(01:22) Kneel down by New Mexico at NEV40 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-1
95.8%
(00:34) Kneel down by New Mexico at NEV41 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:25
Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)
-19.4
TD · Q3 11:45
D.J. McKinney run for 22 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 0:41
Caleb Ramseur run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com