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UNLV

UNLV 31 at Boise State 56

BOIS
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:15 · Oscar Doyle punt for 47 yds, fair catch by DeAngelo Irvin Jr. at the UNLV 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+30.5Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:09: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 35 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +6.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:24: Dylan Riley run for 49 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — BOIS win probability +8.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:43: Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +7.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Defense has -2 timeouts left).
  4. TD · Q3 9:38: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Sire Gaines for 20 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:21: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 32 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 13:39UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39UNLV 4th & 11 at BOIS 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:15BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:10UNLV 4th & 7 at BOIS 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:01UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:52UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 46, down 11
    Close callPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:43BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:42UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 37, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:48UNLV 4th & 13 at midfield, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:03UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 18, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:03UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 18, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:53BOIS 4th & 7 at midfield, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:26BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:14BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:33UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:40BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:09UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:24BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:43UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:38BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:21BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:54BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:11BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:45UNLV Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0915% → 16%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
84.7%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Marco Notarainni for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 18Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
84.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
84.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
84.4%
Cameron Brown punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BOIS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:0884% → 85%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.4%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
84.4%
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the BOIS 41Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+26
84.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 26 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+31
84.2%
Dylan Riley run for 31 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.7%
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4116% → 16%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.4%
Anthony Colandrea run for 15 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
84.0%
Keyvone Lee run for 6 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
83.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
83.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the BOIS 46Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-1
83.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 47Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
84.2%
Cameron Brown punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Malik Sherrod at the BOIS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2084% → 84%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
84.3%
Dylan Riley run for 3 yds to the BOIS 16Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
84.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Ben FordSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-8
85.3%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Tunmise Adeleye for a loss of 8 yards to the BOIS 8Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
84.1%
Oscar Doyle punt for 47 yds, fair catch by DeAngelo Irvin Jr. at the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:5517% → 18%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
83.5%
Koy Moore run for no gain to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+32
83.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 22 yds to the BOIS 33 for a 1ST down Boise State Penalty, Defensive Holding (A'Marion McCoy) to the BOIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
83.0%
PENALTY NLV False Start (Makihele,Alani) 5 yards from BOI23 to BOI28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
83.2%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the BOIS 28Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+13
82.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Koy Moore for 13 yds to the BOIS 15Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-5
82.6%
(03:44) PENALTY NLV False Start 5 yards from BOI15 to BOI20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
82.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Quandarius KeyesSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
81.6%
Ramon Villela 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3682% → 88%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.5%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Demetric Whitlock Jr. for 14 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
81.8%
Sire Gaines run for 7 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+19
81.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 19 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
87.6%
Cameron Bates run for 35 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1816% → 16%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
84.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
83.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
84.2%
Cameron Brown punt for 45 yds , Malik Sherrod returns for no gain to the BOIS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4987% → 88%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
87.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Chase PenrySimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
87.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 9 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
86.9%
Sire Gaines run for 6 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Matt LauterSimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
87.7%
Sire Gaines run for 3 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
87.7%
Maddux Madsen pass intercepted Laterrance Welch return for no gain to the BOIS 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4517% → 16%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
83.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the BOIS 45Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
83.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 6 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
82.8%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the BOIS 39Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
83.6%
PENALTY NLV False Start (Thomas,Will) 5 yards from BOI39 to BOI44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+28
83.9%
Cameron Brown punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1918% → 23%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
82.3%
Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 17Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+4
82.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Aamaris Brown for 4 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+12
82.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 10 yds to the BOIS 3 for a 1ST down Boise State Penalty, Personal Foul (A'Marion McCoy) to the BOIS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.6%
PENALTY BOI UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (McCoy,A'Marion), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:3780% → 87%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+65
80.2%
Dylan Riley run for 65 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
81.6%
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+6
81.4%
Maddux Madsen run for 6 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
87.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 7 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1915% → 24%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
85.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 27 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
83.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 5 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
83.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the BOIS 37Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
83.4%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
76.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 35 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3079% → 88%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
79.1%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 26 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
88.0%
Dylan Riley run for 49 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:1914% → 13%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
85.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 27 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-12
84.8%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Jaden Mickey for a loss of 12 yards to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+6
86.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Nick Elksnis for 6 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+8
86.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 8 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
86.8%
Cameron Brown punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3790% → 89%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.7%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the BOIS 22Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
89.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Dylan RileySimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
89.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Chris MarshallSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
88.9%
Oscar Doyle punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeAngelo Irvin Jr. at the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 0:2012% → 22%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+60
88.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 60 yds to the BOIS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
85.8%
Boise State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ty Benefield) to the BOIS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
85.4%
Keyvone Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 3Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
85.6%
PENALTY NLV False Start (Elksnis,Nick) 5 yards from BOI03 to BOI08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
78.0%
Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.9%
Dylan Riley run for 6 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0179% → 76%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.1%
Dylan Riley run for no gain to the BOIS 40Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
78.3%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Malik Sherrod for no gain to the BOIS 40Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
77.4%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Matt WagnerSimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
76.2%
Oscar Doyle punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DeAngelo Irvin Jr. at the UNLV 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:4823% → 22%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
77.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for 9 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+3
75.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
76.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Daejon ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
76.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
76.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
77.8%
Cameron Brown punt for 51 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:5279% → 88%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+45
78.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 45 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
81.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 3 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
88.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Sire Gaines for 20 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:4314% → 13%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
86.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
86.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Koy Moore for 8 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
86.1%
Keyvone Lee run for 8 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+8
85.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Koy Moore for 8 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
84.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-9
85.2%
Anthony Colandrea sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 19
OWN 44
+6
87.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 13
50
0
87.4%
Cameron Brown punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Malik Sherrod at the BOIS 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 3:1788% → 96%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
88.3%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the BOIS 14Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+25
88.6%
Maddux Madsen run for 25 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
89.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 25 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
89.6%
Dylan Riley run for 4 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
90.0%
Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+32
96.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 32 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23INT TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:215% → 1%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+28
95.3%
Anthony Colandrea run for 28 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr.Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-60
99.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for 60 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:311% → 1%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
99.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 13 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+37
99.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 37 yds to the BOIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Taeshaun LyonsSimilar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the BOIS 16Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-2
99.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 18Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 8
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to JoJo EarleSimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 8
OPP 18
0
99.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to JoJo EarleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 7:4599% → 100%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.4%
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the BOIS 20Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+27
99.5%
Dylan Riley run for 27 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.5%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
50
+2
99.6%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
99.6%
Dylan Riley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
99.5%
PENALTY BOI False Start (Wagner,Matt) 5 yards from NLV45 to NLV50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 7
50
+11
99.6%
Oscar Doyle pass complete to Matt Wagner for 11 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
99.7%
Sire Gaines run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.7%
Dylan Riley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
99.8%
Sire Gaines run for 1 yd to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 21 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
PENALTY BOI UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from BOI35 to BOI20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
(05:03) PENALTY NLV False Start 5 yards from NLV28 to NLV23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 11 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+43
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 43 yds to the BOIS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the BOIS 17Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 17 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.8%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
50
+7
99.9%
Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
(01:17) Kneel down by Boise State at NLV44 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
(00:28) Kneel down by Boise State at NLV45 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:24
Dylan Riley run for 49 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q2 0:43
Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q3 9:38
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Sire Gaines for 20 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com