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WYO

Wyoming 21 at Air Force 24

AF
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.1AF 45.9%Reagan Tubbs 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 5:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:52 · Reagan Tubbs 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Defense timeoutsOffense timeoutsHome team on offenseTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Defense timeouts−4.1Offense timeouts−4.7Home team on offense+1.1Time remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:32: Terron Kellman run for 23 yds for a TD (Erik Sandvik KICK) — WYO win probability +7.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. FG · Q2 6:41: Reagan Tubbs 29 Yd Field Goal — WYO win probability +1.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q3 10:30: Terron Kellman 23 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick) — WYO win probability +3.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q4 5:28: Kade Frew 9 Yd Run (Reagan Tubbs Kick) — AF win probability +36.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:04: Reagan Tubbs 40 Yd Field Goal — AF win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:26AF 4th & 3 at WYO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:52AF 4th & 5 at WYO 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:27AF 4th & 10 at AF 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:29WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:41AF 4th & 11 at WYO 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:34WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 42, down 2
    Close callPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:46AF 4th & 11 at AF 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:53WYO 4th & 3 at AF 35, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−2.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:06WYO 4th & 3 at AF 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−4.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:17AF 4th & 1 at WYO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−6.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−8.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:28AF 4th & 1 at WYO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−9.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−32.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:04AF 4th & 4 at WYO 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:32WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:28AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AFDrive 1FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 9:0653% → 46%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Jonah DawsonSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.1%
Kade Frew run for 4 yds to the AF 29Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
52.3%
Kade Frew run for 7 yds to the AF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
51.7%
Kade Frew run for 1 yd to the AF 37Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
50.9%
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the AF 43Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+9
50.1%
Liam Szarka run for 9 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
49.6%
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
48.8%
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
48.1%
Cade Harris run for 1 yd to the WYO 36Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
47.3%
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the WYO 35Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
46.7%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+10
46.7%
Kade Frew run for 10 yds to the WYO 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
46.3%
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the WYO 17Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
45.7%
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the WYO 16Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+1
44.8%
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the WYO 15Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
45.9%
Reagan Tubbs 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:1354% → 66%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
45.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Eric Richardson for 9 yds to the WYO 35Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
44.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 2 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
44.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 11 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
43.6%
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 8
50
+9
43.0%
Deion DeBlanc run for 9 yds to the AF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
42.3%
Samuel Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 42Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
42.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jackson Holman for 5 yds to the AF 37Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+14
41.8%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 14 yds to the AF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
33.9%
Terron Kellman run for 23 yds for a TD (Erik Sandvik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5936% → 34%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.5%
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the AF 27Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
34.9%
Liam Szarka sacked by Chisom Ifeanyi for a loss of 7 yards to the AF 20 Liam Szarka fumbled, recovered by AF Owen Allen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
33.8%
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the AF 25Similar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
33.6%
Luke Freer punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:4468% → 68%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
32.4%
Samuel Harris run for 9 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+2
31.6%
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
31.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 39Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 14
OWN 39
-5
31.5%
Kaden Anderson sacked by Payton Zdroik for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO 34Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+9
31.6%
Samuel Harris run for 9 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
31.6%
Bart Edmiston punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5FG
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:4031% → 30%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
31.2%
Dylan Carson run for 23 yds to the AF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
31.1%
Liam Szarka run for 11 yds to the AF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
31.6%
Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 8
50
+6
31.3%
Kade Frew run for 6 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
32.1%
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
30.7%
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the WYO 40Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+29
30.1%
Liam Szarka run for 29 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
31.9%
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the WYO 9Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-3
32.8%
Liam Szarka run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 12Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
31.1%
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Kade Frew, broken up by Ben FlorentineSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
29.9%
Reagan Tubbs 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0562% → 63%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.9%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 27Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
37.5%
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Michael Fitzgerald, broken up by RJ ReedusSimilar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
38.4%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 9 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
36.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Evan Svoboda for 5 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
35.3%
Bricen Brantley run for 1 yd to the WYO 42Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
35.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Isaac Schoenfeld, broken up by Max MustellSimilar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
37.0%
Bart Edmiston punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4235% → 23%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
34.6%
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the AF 26Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+15
34.1%
Owen Allen run for 15 yds to the AF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
35.5%
Kade Frew run for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 37Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
35.1%
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Bruin Fleischmann, broken up by Tyce WestlandSimilar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-5
34.3%
Air Force Penalty, false start (Jonah Dawson) to the AF 32Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+8
33.7%
Kade Frew run for 8 yds to the AF 40Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+7
22.9%
Luke Freer punt for 59 yds , Charlie Coenen returns for 7 yds to the WYO 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8END OF HALF
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:2773% → 75%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
26.6%
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 10Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+14
26.6%
Samuel Harris run for 14 yds to the WYO 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
26.1%
Samuel Harris run for 4 yds to the WYO 28Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
26.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Jaylen SargentSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+25
27.0%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for 25 yds to the AF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
23.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Kyle Frendt for 12 yds to the AF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
23.3%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Deion DeBlanc for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 39Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+5
24.5%
Air Force Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the AF 44Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+10
24.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Sam Scott for no gain to the WYO 44 Air Force Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the WYO 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2862% → 64%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.5%
Samuel Harris run for 5 yds to the WYO 30Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
37.7%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 6 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
37.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Evan Svoboda for 11 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
37.4%
Terron Kellman run for 7 yds to the AF 46Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
36.8%
Terron Kellman run for 4 yds to the AF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
37.1%
Samuel Harris run for 5 yds to the AF 37Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
36.6%
Samuel Harris run for 3 yds to the AF 34Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-1
37.4%
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 35Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+12
39.6%
Terron Kellman run for 12 yds to the AF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
35.9%
Terron Kellman 23 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:3735% → 29%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
35.4%
Dylan Carson run for no gain to the AF 40Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+18
35.5%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Jonah Dawson for 18 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
37.7%
Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the WYO 40Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+7
33.8%
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the WYO 33Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
33.5%
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
35.2%
Kade Frew run for no gain to the WYO 28Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+27
35.0%
Liam Szarka run for 27 yds to the WYO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
30.0%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Kade Frew for no gain to the AF 35Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Liam Szarka 1 Yd Run (Liam Szarka Pass to Kade Frew for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3079% → 80%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
21.0%
Deion DeBlanc run for 13 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
19.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 6 yds to the WYO 44Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
18.3%
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 46Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
18.2%
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
19.6%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 6 yds to the AF 46Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
18.9%
Eric Richardson run for 1 yd to the AF 45Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
19.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Chris Durr Jr., broken up by Dallas DaleySimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
20.3%
Bart Edmiston punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:4024% → 25%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
23.8%
Owen Allen run for 26 yds to the AF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
26.6%
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the AF 47Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
26.0%
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Cade HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+10
24.1%
Liam Szarka pass complete to Kade Frew for 10 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
26.7%
Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
26.5%
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the WYO 36Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
25.7%
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the WYO 34Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
25.4%
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Bruin FleischmannSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13INT
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:4281% → 73%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
18.6%
Terron Kellman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 33Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+10
24.2%
Terron Kellman run for 10 yds to the WYO 43Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
21.4%
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+29
20.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 29 yds to the AF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
20.3%
Samuel Harris run for 3 yds to the AF 23Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+16
23.2%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for 16 yds to the AF 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
23.0%
Samuel Harris run for 4 yds to the AF 3Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.8%
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the AF 3Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
26.7%
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Roger Jones Jr. return for no gain to the AF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:0133% → 84%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
32.6%
Owen Allen run for 14 yds to the AF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
33.2%
Liam Szarka run for 9 yds to the AF 43Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
36.7%
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+37
36.3%
Owen Allen run for 37 yds to the WYO 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
48.7%
Kade Frew run for 1 yd to the WYO 17Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
48.6%
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the WYO 10Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
47.8%
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the WYO 9Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
83.9%
Kade Frew 9 Yd Run (Reagan Tubbs Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0324% → 23%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.1%
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Samuel HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
76.9%
Samuel Harris run for 5 yds to the WYO 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 16FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3387% → 97%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
86.6%
Liam Szarka run for 9 yds to the WYO 20Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+5
89.6%
Wyoming Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the WYO 25Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
90.3%
Kade Frew run for 3 yds to the WYO 22Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 3
OPP 22
-1
93.3%
Liam Szarka run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 23Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
97.2%
Reagan Tubbs 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 1:504% → 11%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
95.7%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Terron Kellman for 7 yds to the WYO 39Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
95.9%
Kaden Anderson run for 2 yds to the WYO 41Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
96.0%
Terron Kellman run for 5 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
87.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 10 yds to the AF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
87.0%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for 5 yds to the AF 39Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+8
85.7%
Kaden Anderson run for 8 yds to the AF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
88.5%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jackson Holman for 7 yds to the AF 24Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+11
88.9%
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Deion DeBlanc for 11 yds to the AF 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
88.9%
Michael Fitzgerald 13 Yd pass from Kaden Anderson (Erik Sandvik Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 18Uncategorized
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:4097% → 98%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.0%
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the WYO 42Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
97.0%
Cade Harris run for 4 yds to the WYO 38Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
96.9%
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the WYO 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
97.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:28
Kade Frew 9 Yd Run (Reagan Tubbs Kick)
+36.1
TD · Q1 1:32
Terron Kellman run for 23 yds for a TD (Erik Sandvik KICK)
-7.9
FG · Q4 3:04
Reagan Tubbs 40 Yd Field Goal
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com