WYO
Wyoming 21 at Air Force 24
AF2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Falcon Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:17 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 33
01
AF has the ball
+18
02
Blowout context favors the offense
+9
03
offense timeouts not recorded for this play
−4
04
defense timeouts not recorded for this play
−5
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
AF · Drive 1FG · 17 plays · 60 yds
Q1 15:00
Bart Edmiston kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:58
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Jonah Dawson
+2.6
Q1 14:51
Kade Frew run for 4 yds to the AF 29
0.0
Q1 14:13
Kade Frew run for 7 yds to the AF 36 for a 1ST down
+0.2
Q1 13:41
Kade Frew run for 1 yd to the AF 37
+0.2
Q1 13:02
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the AF 43
0.0
Q1 12:20
Liam Szarka run for 9 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 11:40
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the WYO 43
+1.1
Q1 11:00
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST down
+0.4
Q1 10:22
Cade Harris run for 1 yd to the WYO 36
0.0
Q1 9:42
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the WYO 35
0.0
Q1 9:08
Liam Szarka pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 5 yds to the WYO 30
0.0
Q1 8:26
Kade Frew run for 10 yds to the WYO 20 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 7:43
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the WYO 17
+0.6
Q1 7:05
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the WYO 16
0.0
Q1 6:26
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the WYO 15
+1.2
Q1 5:52
Reagan Tubbs 32 yd FG GOOD
+4.6
WYO · Drive 2TD · 10 plays · 74 yds
Q1 5:50
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 62 yds , Deion DeBlanc return for 23 yds to the WYO 26
-0.5
Q1 5:45
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Eric Richardson for 9 yds to the WYO 35
-2.2
Q1 5:05
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 2 yds to the WYO 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:33
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 11 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 4:05
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
-1.9
Q1 3:30
Deion DeBlanc run for 9 yds to the AF 41 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q1 2:54
Samuel Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 42
-0.3
Q1 2:20
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jackson Holman for 5 yds to the AF 37
-0.1
Q1 1:52
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 14 yds to the AF 23 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q1 1:32
Terron Kellman run for 23 yds for a TD (Erik Sandvik KICK)
-12.6
AF · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 0 yds
Q1 1:29
Bart Edmiston kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.3
Q1 1:26
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the AF 27
+4.7
Q1 0:51
Liam Szarka sacked by Chisom Ifeanyi for a loss of 7 yards to the AF 20 Liam Szarka fumbled, recovered by AF Owen Allen , return for 0 yards
0.0
Q1 0:32
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the AF 25
0.0
Q1 0:27
Luke Freer punt for 43 yds
0.0
WYO · Drive 4PUNT · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q1 0:13
Samuel Harris run for 9 yds to the WYO 41
-4.7
Q2 14:58
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q2 14:29
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 39
+1.5
Q2 13:48
Kaden Anderson sacked by Payton Zdroik for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO 34
+0.2
Q2 13:07
Samuel Harris run for 9 yds to the WYO 43
+0.7
Q2 12:29
Bart Edmiston punt for 43 yds
-0.6
AF · Drive 5FG · 11 plays · 74 yds
Q2 12:21
Dylan Carson run for 23 yds to the AF 37 for a 1ST down
+5.5
Q2 11:36
Liam Szarka run for 11 yds to the AF 48 for a 1ST down
+1.3
Q2 11:10
Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
+1.0
Q2 10:33
Kade Frew run for 6 yds to the WYO 44
+1.8
Q2 10:02
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q2 9:27
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the WYO 40
+0.8
Q2 8:52
Liam Szarka run for 29 yds to the WYO 11 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 8:07
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the WYO 9
-1.6
Q2 7:28
Liam Szarka run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 12
+4.0
Q2 6:45
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Kade Frew, broken up by Ben Florentine
-4.2
Q2 6:41
Reagan Tubbs 29 Yd Field Goal
+3.6
WYO · Drive 6PUNT · 8 plays · 17 yds
Q2 6:41
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+9.8
Q2 6:39
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 27
-5.1
Q2 6:05
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Michael Fitzgerald, broken up by RJ Reedus
0.0
Q2 5:58
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 9 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q2 5:36
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Evan Svoboda for 5 yds to the WYO 41
0.0
Q2 5:14
Bricen Brantley run for 1 yd to the WYO 42
-1.2
Q2 4:38
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Isaac Schoenfeld, broken up by Max Mustell
+0.1
Q2 4:34
Bart Edmiston punt for 35 yds
+0.3
AF · Drive 7PUNT · 7 plays · 17 yds
Q2 4:28
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the AF 26
+5.9
Q2 3:50
Owen Allen run for 15 yds to the AF 41 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 3:15
Kade Frew run for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 37
+0.6
Q2 2:30
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Bruin Fleischmann, broken up by Tyce Westland
-0.2
Q2 2:30
Air Force Penalty, false start (Jonah Dawson) to the AF 32
0.0
Q2 2:28
Kade Frew run for 8 yds to the AF 40
-0.5
Q2 1:46
Luke Freer punt for 59 yds , Charlie Coenen returns for 7 yds to the WYO 8
-0.4
WYO · Drive 8END OF HALF · 9 plays · 38 yds
Q2 1:43
Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 10
-4.8
Q2 1:40
Samuel Harris run for 14 yds to the WYO 24 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:33
Samuel Harris run for 4 yds to the WYO 28
0.0
Q2 1:13
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Jaylen Sargent
0.0
Q2 1:04
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for 25 yds to the AF 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 0:54
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Kyle Frendt for 12 yds to the AF 35 for a 1ST down
-2.2
Q2 0:49
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Deion DeBlanc for a loss of 4 yards to the AF 39
-0.7
Q2 0:31
Air Force Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the AF 44
0.0
Q2 0:16
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Sam Scott for no gain to the WYO 44 Air Force Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the WYO 46
+0.5
WYO · Drive 9TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+7.3
Q3 14:58
Samuel Harris run for 5 yds to the WYO 30
-5.1
Q3 14:29
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 6 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 14:00
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Evan Svoboda for 11 yds to the WYO 47 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:18
Terron Kellman run for 7 yds to the AF 46
-2.1
Q3 13:05
Terron Kellman run for 4 yds to the AF 42 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q3 12:28
Samuel Harris run for 5 yds to the AF 37
-0.3
Q3 11:52
Samuel Harris run for 3 yds to the AF 34
-0.4
Q3 11:05
Evan Svoboda run for a loss of 1 yard to the AF 35
0.0
Q3 10:53
Terron Kellman run for 12 yds to the AF 23 for a 1ST down
+0.7
Q3 10:30
Terron Kellman 23 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)
-22.9
AF · Drive 10TD · 10 plays · 60 yds
Q3 10:27
Bart Edmiston kickoff for 49 yds , Cade Harris return for 24 yds to the AF 40
+1.0
Q3 10:17
Dylan Carson run for no gain to the AF 40
+0.8
Q3 9:41
Liam Szarka pass complete to Jonah Dawson for 18 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST down
+1.2
Q3 9:15
Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the WYO 40
-0.5
Q3 8:38
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the WYO 33
-1.7
Q3 8:09
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the WYO 28 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:30
Kade Frew run for no gain to the WYO 28
-0.3
Q3 7:15
Liam Szarka run for 27 yds to the WYO 1 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 7:15
Liam Szarka pass complete to Kade Frew for no gain to the AF 35
+26.1
Q3 6:40
Liam Szarka 1 Yd Run (Liam Szarka Pass to Kade Frew for Two-Point Conversion)
-1.9
WYO · Drive 11PUNT · 9 plays · 30 yds
Q3 6:39
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-2.2
Q3 6:36
Deion DeBlanc run for 13 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST down
-6.6
Q3 6:02
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 6 yds to the WYO 44
-0.8
Q3 5:35
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 46
-0.7
Q3 5:02
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 4:20
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 6 yds to the AF 46
-0.2
Q3 3:54
Eric Richardson run for 1 yd to the AF 45
-0.2
Q3 3:10
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Chris Durr Jr., broken up by Dallas Daley
0.0
Q3 3:06
Bart Edmiston punt for 45 yds
+0.3
AF · Drive 12DOWNS · 8 plays · 46 yds
Q3 2:57
Owen Allen run for 26 yds to the AF 46 for a 1ST down
+8.4
Q3 2:15
Liam Szarka run for 1 yd to the AF 47
+0.9
Q3 1:41
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Cade Harris
0.0
Q3 1:39
Liam Szarka pass complete to Kade Frew for 10 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q3 0:56
Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the WYO 38
+1.5
Q3 0:19
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the WYO 36
0.0
Q4 14:58
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the WYO 34
-0.2
Q4 14:17
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Bruin Fleischmann
-0.4
WYO · Drive 13INT · 9 plays · 63 yds
Q4 14:12
Terron Kellman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 33
-8.3
Q4 13:35
Terron Kellman run for 10 yds to the WYO 43
0.0
Q4 12:57
Samuel Harris run for 2 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST down
-1.1
Q4 12:24
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 29 yds to the AF 26 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q4 11:56
Samuel Harris run for 3 yds to the AF 23
-0.9
Q4 11:15
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for 16 yds to the AF 7 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q4 10:53
Samuel Harris run for 4 yds to the AF 3
0.0
Q4 10:13
Terron Kellman run for no gain to the AF 3
0.0
Q4 9:30
Evan Svoboda pass intercepted Roger Jones Jr. return for no gain to the AF 20
+4.4
AF · Drive 14TD · 8 plays · 80 yds
Q4 9:29
Owen Allen run for 14 yds to the AF 34 for a 1ST down
+9.6
Q4 8:59
Liam Szarka run for 9 yds to the AF 43
0.0
Q4 8:24
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AF 45 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q4 7:45
Owen Allen run for 37 yds to the WYO 18 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 7:02
Kade Frew run for 1 yd to the WYO 17
+1.3
Q4 6:37
Liam Szarka run for 7 yds to the WYO 10
0.0
Q4 6:01
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the WYO 9
+2.7
Q4 5:28
Kade Frew 9 Yd Run (Reagan Tubbs Kick)
+31.7
WYO · Drive 15INT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q4 5:28
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 45 yds , Caleb Merritt return for 1 yd to the WYO 21
-0.3
Q4 5:20
Kaden Anderson pass incomplete to Samuel Harris
-4.9
Q4 5:17
Samuel Harris run for 5 yds to the WYO 26
0.0
Q4 4:39
Max Mustell return for no gain to the WYO 29
-0.9
AF · Drive 16FG · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q4 4:37
Liam Szarka run for 9 yds to the WYO 20
+7.3
Q4 4:10
Wyoming Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the WYO 25
+2.0
Q4 4:01
Kade Frew run for 3 yds to the WYO 22
+0.8
Q4 3:16
Liam Szarka run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 23
0.0
Q4 3:04
Reagan Tubbs 40 Yd Field Goal
+2.1
WYO · Drive 17TD · 10 plays · 68 yds
Q4 3:04
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 53 yds , Caleb Merritt return for 20 yds to the WYO 32
+1.0
Q4 2:52
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Terron Kellman for 7 yds to the WYO 39
-9.3
Q4 2:27
Kaden Anderson run for 2 yds to the WYO 41
0.0
Q4 2:09
Terron Kellman run for 5 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q4 1:58
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 10 yds to the AF 44 for a 1ST down
-0.9
Q4 1:52
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Samuel Harris for 5 yds to the AF 39
+0.3
Q4 1:33
Kaden Anderson run for 8 yds to the AF 31 for a 1ST down
+1.8
Q4 1:28
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jackson Holman for 7 yds to the AF 24
0.0
Q4 1:06
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Deion DeBlanc for 11 yds to the AF 13 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 1:02
Michael Fitzgerald 13 Yd pass from Kaden Anderson (Erik Sandvik Kick)
-18.5
AF · Drive 18Uncategorized · 5 plays · 11 yds
Q4 1:00
Keelan Anderson kickoff for 9 yds
+4.8
Q4 0:57
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the WYO 42
+10.7
Q4 0:55
Cade Harris run for 4 yds to the WYO 38
+1.0
Q4 0:50
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the WYO 33 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 0:17
run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 33
+3.6
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:28
Kade Frew 9 Yd Run (Reagan Tubbs Kick)
+31.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:15
Liam Szarka pass complete to Kade Frew for no gain to the AF 35
+26.1
TD · Q3 10:30
Terron Kellman 23 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)
-22.9