UNM
New Mexico 25 at Boise State 41
BOIS2025 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2025 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey play
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UNM · Drive 1FUMBLE · 3 plays · -7 yds
Q1 15:00
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
82.8%
0.0
Q1 15:00
PENALTY UNM Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNM25 to UNM20. NO PLAY.
81.1%
-1.7
Q1 14:48
Jack Layne sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 18 Jack Layne fumbled, recovered by BOIS Marco Notarainni , return for 0 yards
81.1%
0.0
BOIS · Drive 2FG · 8 plays · 12 yds
Q1 14:44
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Malik Sherrod
84.0%
+2.8
Q1 14:38
Dylan Riley run for 5 yds to the UNM 13
84.0%
0.0
Q1 14:03
Dylan Riley run for 4 yds to the UNM 9
83.8%
-0.1
Q1 13:32
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds to the UNM 7 for a 1ST down
83.6%
-0.2
Q1 12:46
Sire Gaines run for 1 yd to the UNM 6
84.0%
+0.4
Q1 11:56
Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the UNM 6
84.0%
0.0
Q1 11:20
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Matt Wagner
83.8%
-0.1
Q1 11:19
Colton Boomer 24 yd FG GOOD
86.3%
+2.5
UNM · Drive 3INT · 6 plays · 15 yds
Q1 11:19
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
86.0%
-0.4
Q1 11:15
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down
84.4%
-1.6
Q1 10:49
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the UNM 38
84.4%
0.0
Q1 10:12
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the UNM 40
83.9%
-0.5
Q1 9:37
Jack Layne pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 37
83.9%
0.0
Q1 9:37
Jack Layne pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 37
83.9%
0.0
BOIS · Drive 4DOWNS · 6 plays · 31 yds
Q1 9:30
Sire Gaines run for 4 yds to the BOIS 41
86.3%
+2.4
Q1 9:02
Sire Gaines run for 12 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Drew Speech) to the UNM 32 for a 1ST down
86.3%
+0.1
Q1 8:45
Sire Gaines run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 33
86.6%
+0.3
Q1 8:45
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Chris Marshall
86.6%
0.0
Q1 8:04
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 6 yds to the UNM 27
86.6%
-0.1
Q1 7:28
Boise State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined
86.2%
-0.4
UNM · Drive 5PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q1 7:20
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 35
84.3%
-2.0
Q1 6:46
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
84.3%
0.0
Q1 6:42
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
84.3%
0.0
Q1 6:37
Daniel Hughes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Malik Sherrod at the BOIS 26
84.3%
0.0
BOIS · Drive 6TD · 14 plays · 74 yds
Q1 6:32
Malik Sherrod run for 4 yds to the BOIS 30
85.8%
+1.6
Q1 5:59
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 29
84.9%
-1.0
Q1 5:21
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 6 yds to the BOIS 35
84.8%
-0.1
Q1 4:49
Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down
84.4%
-0.3
Q1 4:16
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 4 yds to the BOIS 41
85.0%
+0.6
Q1 4:07
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds to the BOIS 43
85.1%
+0.1
Q1 3:15
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Sire Gaines for 4 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down
85.0%
-0.1
Q1 2:30
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 23 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST down
85.2%
+0.2
Q1 2:06
Dylan Riley run for 4 yds to the UNM 26
85.4%
+0.3
Q1 1:26
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 7 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Frankie Edwards III) to the UNM 9 for a 1ST down
85.2%
-0.2
Q1 1:00
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the UNM 4
85.2%
0.0
Q1 0:32
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds to the UNM 2
85.0%
-0.2
Q1 0:00
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)
93.9%
+8.9
Q2 14:47
Damon Bankston 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)
84.0%
-9.9
BOIS · Drive 7PUNT · 5 plays · -3 yds
Q2 14:41
Charles Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Sherrod return for 19 yds to the BOIS 19
71.4%
-12.6
Q2 14:38
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Chris Marshall
75.2%
+3.8
Q2 14:31
Maddux Madsen sacked by Jalen McIver for a loss of 8 yards to the BOIS 11
75.2%
0.0
Q2 13:50
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 5 yds to the BOIS 16
75.2%
0.0
Q2 13:20
Oscar Doyle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Shawn Miller at the UNM 42
75.2%
0.0
UNM · Drive 8TD · 11 plays · 58 yds
Q2 13:16
Damon Bankston run for 4 yds to the UNM 46
70.2%
-5.0
Q2 12:50
D.J. McKinney pass incomplete to Jack Layne
69.8%
-0.4
Q2 12:46
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
69.8%
0.0
Q2 12:46
PENALTY BSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Virgin-Morgan,Jayden) 15 yards from UNM46 to BSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
70.1%
+0.3
Q2 12:42
D.J. McKinney run for 12 yds to the BOIS 27 for a 1ST down
69.7%
-0.4
Q2 12:09
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the BOIS 25
69.7%
0.0
Q2 11:28
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 24 yds to the BOIS 1 for a 1ST down
69.5%
-0.1
Q2 11:02
Deshaun Buchanan run for no gain to the BOIS 1
69.5%
0.0
Q2 10:34
Timeout Boise State, clock 10:34
64.4%
-5.1
Q2 10:30
Dorian Thomas 1 Yd pass from Jack Layne (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)
64.4%
0.0
Q2 10:30
Timeout Boise State, clock 10:30
83.2%
+18.8
BOIS · Drive 9TD · 18 plays · 75 yds
Q2 10:30
Charles Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
66.1%
-17.1
Q2 10:23
Sire Gaines run for 9 yds to the BOIS 34
74.0%
+7.9
Q2 9:50
Sire Gaines run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 33
74.0%
0.0
Q2 9:08
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 5 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST down
74.0%
0.0
Q2 8:46
Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the BOIS 38
74.3%
+0.3
Q2 8:18
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Chris Marshall
74.1%
-0.2
Q2 8:09
(08:16) Shotgun Madsen,Maddux sacked for loss of 3 yards to the BSU35 (Slayton,Xavier) PENALTY UNM Holding (Levells,Azariah) 10 yards from BSU38 to BSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
72.2%
-1.9
Q2 7:41
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 17 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down
72.8%
+0.7
Q2 7:07
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Dylan Riley for 14 yds to the UNM 21 for a 1ST down
74.4%
+1.5
Q2 6:56
Boise State Penalty, False Start (Yards) declined
74.4%
0.0
Q2 6:34
Dylan Riley run for 7 yds to the UNM 15
74.4%
0.0
Q2 6:00
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the UNM 12
74.2%
-0.2
Q2 5:18
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds to the UNM 10 for a 1ST down
73.8%
-0.3
Q2 4:40
Dylan Riley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 12
74.4%
+0.5
Q2 4:11
PENALTY BSU False Start (Steele,Jason) 5 yards from UNM12 to UNM17. NO PLAY.
74.0%
-0.4
Q2 3:54
Dylan Riley run for 11 yds to the UNM 6
74.0%
0.0
Q2 3:20
Ben Ford 6 Yd pass from Maddux Madsen (Colton Boomer Kick)
84.0%
+10.0
Q2 3:11
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds , Damon Bankston return for 31 yds to the UNM 34 New Mexico Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the UNM 9
71.7%
-12.3
UNM · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · 4 yds
Q2 2:59
Jack Layne run for no gain to the UNM 9
80.5%
+8.8
Q2 2:50
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined
79.9%
-0.6
Q2 2:31
New Mexico Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declined
79.9%
0.0
Q2 2:06
Daniel Hughes punt for 54 yds , Malik Sherrod returns for 24 yds to the UNM 43
79.8%
-0.1
Q2 2:06
Daniel Hughes punt for 54 yds , Malik Sherrod returns for 24 yds to the BOIS 30
79.8%
0.0
Q2 2:06
Daniel Hughes punt for 54 yds , Malik Sherrod returns for 24 yds to the BOIS 30
79.8%
0.0
BOIS · Drive 11PUNT · 15 plays · 23 yds
Q2 2:00
Timeout Boise State, clock 02:00
81.8%
+2.0
Q2 1:59
Dylan Riley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 29
81.8%
0.0
Q2 1:55
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 18 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Damon Bankston) declined for a 1ST down
81.8%
0.0
Q2 1:47
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Matt Lauter
82.5%
+0.6
Q2 1:38
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 7 yds to the UNM 46
82.5%
0.0
Q2 1:26
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Matt Lauter
82.5%
0.0
Q2 1:26
Timeout Boise State, clock 01:26
79.1%
-3.4
Q2 1:22
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 7 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down
79.1%
0.0
Q2 1:22
PENALTY BSU False Start (Carreon,Roger) 5 yards from UNM39 to UNM44. NO PLAY.
79.9%
+0.9
Q2 1:12
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the UNM 39
79.7%
-0.3
Q2 0:51
Maddux Madsen sacked by Keyshawn James-Newby for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 41
79.9%
+0.3
Q2 0:24
Timeout New Mexico, clock 00:24
75.7%
-4.3
Q2 0:19
Timeout New Mexico, clock 00:19
74.9%
-0.8
Q2 0:16
Maddux Madsen sacked by Xavier Slayton for a loss of 6 yards to the UNM 47
75.7%
+0.8
Q2 0:10
Oscar Doyle punt for 44 yds
74.2%
-1.4
UNM · Drive 12END OF HALF · 1 play · -1 yds
Q2 0:00
J. Laubstein takes a knee
76.6%
+2.3
BOIS · Drive 13FG · 14 plays · 43 yds
Q3 15:00
Charles Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
79.5%
+2.9
Q3 14:53
Sire Gaines run for 1 yd to the BOIS 26
81.9%
+2.3
Q3 14:13
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 18 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST down
82.6%
+0.7
Q3 13:47
Sire Gaines run for 2 yds to the BOIS 46
82.8%
+0.2
Q3 13:04
Sire Gaines run for 6 yds to the UNM 48
82.7%
-0.1
Q3 12:22
Sire Gaines run for 4 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down
82.9%
+0.2
Q3 11:46
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the UNM 43
82.9%
0.0
Q3 11:03
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 16 yds to the UNM 27 for a 1ST down
82.6%
-0.3
Q3 10:25
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Dylan Riley
82.6%
0.0
Q3 10:20
Dylan Riley run for 5 yds to the UNM 22
82.6%
0.0
Q3 9:45
PENALTY BSU False Start (Metoyer,Daylon) 5 yards from UNM22 to UNM27. NO PLAY.
83.9%
+1.3
Q3 9:35
PENALTY BSU False Start (Casey,Kage) 5 yards from UNM27 to UNM32. NO PLAY.
83.9%
0.0
Q3 9:27
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Dylan Riley
83.9%
0.0
Q3 9:22
Colton Boomer 50 Yd Field Goal
87.7%
+0.5
UNM · Drive 14FG · 12 plays · 64 yds
Q3 9:22
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.1%
+3.2
Q3 9:17
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 21
82.9%
-4.8
Q3 8:30
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 7 yds to the UNM 28
82.8%
-0.1
Q3 7:54
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 36 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST down
82.8%
0.0
Q3 7:21
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Cade Keith
81.1%
-1.7
Q3 7:17
Damon Bankston run for 7 yds to the BOIS 29
81.1%
0.0
Q3 6:39
PENALTY UNM False Start (Lawrence,Tyler) 5 yards from BSU29 to BSU34. NO PLAY.
81.1%
0.0
Q3 6:15
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 21 yds to the BOIS 13 for a 1ST down
81.1%
0.0
Q3 5:51
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the BOIS 12
81.1%
0.0
Q3 5:09
D.J. McKinney pass incomplete to Jack Layne
81.0%
-0.1
Q3 4:53
Jack Layne run for 1 yd to the BOIS 11
80.1%
-1.0
Q3 4:21
Luke Drzewiecki 29 Yd Field Goal
76.2%
-1.5
BOIS · Drive 15TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q3 4:21
Charles Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
77.7%
-2.3
Q3 4:13
Dylan Riley run for 28 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST down
81.3%
+5.1
Q3 3:35
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 17 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST down
82.1%
+0.8
Q3 3:07
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the UNM 25
82.7%
+0.6
Q3 2:45
PENALTY BSU False Start (Metoyer,Daylon) 5 yards from UNM25 to UNM30. NO PLAY.
82.7%
0.0
Q3 2:19
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the UNM 29
82.7%
0.0
Q3 1:31
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Bates for 11 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST down
82.6%
-0.1
Q3 1:04
Sire Gaines run for 3 yds to the UNM 15
82.7%
+0.1
Q3 0:00
Sire Gaines run for 7 yds to the UNM 8 for a 1ST down
82.7%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Timeout New Mexico, clock 15:00
80.9%
-1.8
Q4 14:53
Sire Gaines run for 4 yds to the UNM 4
80.9%
0.0
Q4 14:22
Sire Gaines 4 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)
96.3%
+15.4
Q4 14:22
Timeout Boise State, clock 14:22
77.1%
-19.2
UNM · Drive 16DOWNS · 9 plays · 21 yds
Q4 14:22
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
96.1%
+19.0
Q4 14:16
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
92.2%
-3.9
Q4 14:10
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 24
92.2%
-0.1
Q4 13:33
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 16 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST down
92.2%
0.0
Q4 13:05
Damon Bankston run for 8 yds to the UNM 48
92.2%
0.0
Q4 12:33
Damon Bankston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 46
92.0%
-0.2
Q4 11:55
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
92.5%
+0.5
Q4 11:49
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian Thomas
92.5%
0.0
Q4 11:49
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian Thomas
92.5%
0.0
BOIS · Drive 17TD · 10 plays · 46 yds
Q4 11:45
Dylan Riley run for 7 yds to the UNM 39
96.2%
+3.6
Q4 11:30
Dylan Riley run for 2 yds to the UNM 37
96.2%
0.0
Q4 10:55
Dylan Riley run for 11 yds to the UNM 26 for a 1ST down
96.2%
0.0
Q4 10:16
Dylan Riley run for 3 yds to the UNM 23
96.2%
0.0
Q4 9:37
Dylan Riley run for 11 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST down
96.2%
0.0
Q4 8:54
Dylan Riley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 13
96.7%
+0.5
Q4 8:17
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the UNM 10
96.8%
+0.1
Q4 7:36
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Latrell Caples
96.5%
-0.3
Q4 7:31
Troy Grizzle 10 Yd pass from Oscar Doyle (Colton Boomer Kick)
98.8%
+2.3
Q4 7:31
Timeout Boise State, clock 07:31
93.4%
-5.4
UNM · Drive 18INT · 5 plays · -11 yds
Q4 7:31
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.7%
+5.3
Q4 7:31
PENALTY UNM Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNM25 to UNM20. NO PLAY.
97.6%
-1.1
Q4 7:25
Jack Layne sacked by Braxton Fely for a loss of 6 yards to the UNM 14
97.7%
0.0
Q4 6:59
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
97.7%
0.0
Q4 6:50
Jack Layne pass intercepted Ty Benefield return for 14 yds to the UNM 33
97.7%
0.0
BOIS · Drive 19TD · 5 plays · 33 yds
Q4 6:43
Dylan Riley run for 7 yds to the UNM 26
98.7%
+1.0
Q4 6:03
Dylan Riley run for 1 yd to the UNM 25
98.7%
0.0
Q4 5:20
Timeout New Mexico, clock 05:20
98.7%
0.0
Q4 5:19
Sire Gaines run for no gain to the UNM 25
98.7%
0.0
Q4 5:14
Ben Ford 25 Yd pass from Maddux Madsen (Colton Boomer Kick)
99.2%
+0.5
UNM · Drive 20TD · 17 plays · 75 yds
Q4 5:14
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.2%
0.0
Q4 5:07
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the UNM 27
98.5%
-0.7
Q4 4:45
James Laubstein pass complete to Scottre Humphrey for 6 yds to the UNM 33
98.5%
0.0
Q4 4:28
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down
98.5%
0.0
Q4 3:45
James Laubstein pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the UNM 42
98.5%
0.0
Q4 3:36
James Laubstein pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
98.5%
0.0
Q4 3:25
James Laubstein pass complete to Keagan Johnson for no gain to the UNM 42
98.5%
0.0
Q4 2:59
James Laubstein pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 26 yds to the BOIS 32 for a 1ST down
98.5%
0.0
Q4 2:40
New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BOIS 38
98.5%
0.0
Q4 2:13
James Laubstein pass complete to Shawn Miller for 3 yds to the BOIS 35
98.5%
0.0
Q4 1:59
James Laubstein pass complete to Cade Keith for 9 yds to the BOIS 26
98.5%
0.0
Q4 1:54
James Laubstein pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson
98.5%
0.0
Q4 1:46
James Laubstein run for 9 yds to the BOIS 17 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q4 1:32
James Laubstein pass complete to Cade Keith for 13 yds to the BOIS 4 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q4 1:29
Timeout Boise State, clock 01:29
98.4%
0.0
Q4 1:20
James Laubstein pass incomplete to Zhaiel Smith
98.4%
0.0
Q4 1:16
Keagan Johnson 4 Yd pass from James Laubstein (James Laubstein Run for Two-Point Conversion)
94.9%
-3.5
BOIS · Drive 21END OF GAME · 3 plays · -2 yds
Q4 1:15
Grant Glasgow kickoff for 15 yds
95.2%
+0.2
Q4 1:04
(01:09) Kneel down by Boise State at BSU49 for loss of 1 yard.
98.0%
+2.8
Q4 0:00
(00:36) Kneel down by Boise State at BSU48 for loss of 1 yard.
98.0%
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:22
Timeout Boise State, clock 14:22
-19.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:22
Colton Boomer kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+19
KEY PLAY · Q2 10:30
Timeout Boise State, clock 10:30
+18.8