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CSU

Colorado State 24 at San Diego State 45

SDSU
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 3, 2025 · Snapdragon Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:57 · Hunter Green punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dagan Myers at the CSU 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+28.9Garbage-time factor+13.9Pregame prior+0.4Blowout margin+13.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:33: Christian Washington run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:24: Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 49 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — CSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:28: Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 42 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:51: Lucky Sutton run for 14 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:43: Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK) — SDSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:29CSU 4th & 14 at CSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32SDSU 4th & 4 at CSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48CSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:40SDSU 4th & 1 at CSU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:29CSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10CSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−1.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:32CSU 4th & 13 at SDSU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:08CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:45SDSU 4th & 16 at CSU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:54CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:41CSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:29CSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 25, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:57SDSU 4th & 19 at CSU 47, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:56SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:33SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:24CSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:28SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:51SDSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:43SDSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:58CSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:21SDSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2041% → 41%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jordan Ross for 6 yds to the CSU 19Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
59.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
59.2%
Jackson Brousseau run for 2 yds to the CSU 21Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+2
59.3%
Bryan Hansen punt for 50 yds , Jordan Napier returns for 2 yds to the SDSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:5159% → 60%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
59.2%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the SDSU 35Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
59.3%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 5 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+10
59.4%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
50
0
59.6%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 10
50
+5
59.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+1
59.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the CSU 44Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
59.5%
Hunter Green punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:3641% → 41%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+31
59.2%
Jalen Dupree run for 31 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
59.0%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 2 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+20
59.2%
Jalen Dupree run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
50
0
58.6%
Jalen Dupree run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
50
+1
58.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the SDSU 49Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
58.6%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
59.2%
Bryan Hansen punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:4659% → 64%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
59.1%
Lucky Sutton run for 7 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+12
59.3%
Lucky Sutton run for 12 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
59.4%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 14 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
60.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+45
63.5%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Donovan Brown for 45 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1938% → 36%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
62.5%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Niles King for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU 21Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
62.9%
Jalen Dupree run for 6 yds to the CSU 27Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
63.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
63.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6TD
14 plays · 64 yds · 6:4664% → 74%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
63.6%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
64.3%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSU 43Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+4
64.2%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
64.7%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the CSU 49Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
64.9%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Denegal,Jayden pass incomplete short left to Napier,Jordan thrown to CSU50 broken up by Jarmolowich,Jake PENALTY CSU Offside (Joe,Lemondre) 5 yards from CSU49 to CSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+10
65.1%
Christian Washington run for 10 yds to the CSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
65.4%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the CSU 34Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
65.6%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+19
65.3%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Ryan Wolfer for 19 yds to the CSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
66.0%
Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the CSU 12Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
66.3%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the CSU 7Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
66.0%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Jackson Ford for 3 yds to the CSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
66.8%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the CSU 2Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.8%
Christian Washington run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:0629% → 35%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
70.8%
Lloyd Avant run for 9 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+12
70.3%
Jalen Dupree run for 12 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
63.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 49 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
64.8%
(11:24) Hankins,Isaiah kickoff 65 yards to the SDSU00 Napier,Jordan return 49 yards to the SDSU49 (Hankins,Isaiah) PENALTY SDSU Holding 10 yards from CSU35 to CSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:2566% → 76%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
66.1%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Mikey Welsh for 16 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
67.4%
Lucky Sutton run for 2 yds to the SDSU 45Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
67.7%
Lucky Sutton run for no gain to the SDSU 45Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+7
67.0%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Mikey Welsh for 7 yds to the CSU 48Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
67.0%
Jayden Denegal run for 2 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
69.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
76.3%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 42 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FG
21 plays · 62 yds · 5:5626% → 23%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.3%
PENALTY SDSU Delay Of Game (Finau,Malachi) 5 yards from CSU25 to CSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
73.9%
Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
74.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jordan Ross for 14 yds to the CSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
74.2%
Justin Marshall run for 10 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
74.1%
Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the SDSU 42Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
74.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+3
75.8%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+10
76.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lavon Brown for 10 yds to the SDSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
75.1%
Jalen Dupree run for 2 yds to the SDSU 27Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
75.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jordan Ross for 4 yds to the SDSU 23Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+3
76.9%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the SDSU 20Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
77.7%
Jalen Dupree run for 2 yds to the SDSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
75.9%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Brousseau,Jackson sacked for loss of 3 yards to the SDSU21 (White,Trey) PENALTY SDSU Personal Foul (Clay,Krishna) 9 yards from SDSU18 to SDSU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
76.0%
Jalen Dupree run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSU 13Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
75.8%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jalen DupreeSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
77.8%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Lloyd AvantSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
77.3%
Isaiah Hankins 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3278% → 86%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.7%
Lucky Sutton run for no gain to the SDSU 25Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+61
77.9%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 61 yds to the CSU 14 for a 1ST down Colorado State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Ross) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
85.7%
Lucky Sutton run for 14 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3016% → 16%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.1%
Jackson Brousseau run for 6 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
83.2%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
83.5%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Lloyd AvantSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
84.3%
Bryan Hansen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
85.5%
J. Denegal takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 3:0184% → 93%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
84.4%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+17
84.9%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Jordan Napier for 17 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST down Colorado State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Jordan Ross) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
87.5%
Lucky Sutton run for 9 yds to the CSU 34Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 1
OPP 34
-5
88.8%
PENALTY SDSU False Start 5 yards from CSU34 to CSU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
88.8%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd to the CSU 38Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+9
88.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 9 yds to the CSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.6%
Jayden Denegal pass incomplete to Nathan AcevedoSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
89.7%
Lucky Sutton run for 3 yds to the CSU 26Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-15
90.4%
San Diego State Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the CSU 35Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+53
92.8%
Gabriel Plascencia 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:447% → 7%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Lloyd Avant run for no gain to the CSU 25Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Jordan RossSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Bryan Hansen punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 25 , Jordan Napier returns for no gain to the SDSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0594% → 99%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
94.0%
Lucky Sutton run for 16 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
94.6%
Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
50
+7
94.7%
Lucky Sutton run for 7 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.0%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for no gain to the CSU 43Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
95.0%
Jayden Denegal pass complete to Donovan Brown for 10 yds to the CSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.1%
Jordan Napier pass incomplete to Bert Emanuel Jr.Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
95.2%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 6 yds to the CSU 27Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+19
95.3%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 19 yds to the CSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
95.6%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 4 yds to the CSU 4Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.8%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 3 yds to the CSU 1Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Lucky Sutton run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:381% → 2%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Rocky Beers for 14 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.4%
Jalen Dupree run for 4 yds to the CSU 43Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Tay LanierSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+7
99.5%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lavon Brown for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
50
-9
99.6%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Trey White for a loss of 9 yards to the CSU 41Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+9
99.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
50
+15
99.7%
Jalen Dupree run for 15 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Rocky Beers for 6 yds to the SDSU 29Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+14
99.7%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tay Lanier for 14 yds to the SDSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.7%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the SDSU 14Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+8
99.7%
Jalen Dupree run for 8 yds to the SDSU 6Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 1
OPP 6
-1
99.7%
Jalen Dupree run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 7Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+3
99.6%
Jackson Brousseau run for 3 yds to the SDSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.1%
J. Brousseau run for 4 yds for a TD (J. Brousseau pass to R. Beers for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:0099% → 100%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
98.6%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 22 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.7%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 2 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+15
98.7%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 15 yds to the CSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
99.9%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tommy Maher for 35 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down San Diego State Penalty, (15 Yards) to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
99.8%
Jackson Brousseau sacked by Trey White for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSU 34Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lloyd Avant for 1 yd to the SDSU 33Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
Colorado State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Lavon BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 9 yds to the SDSU 34Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for no gain to the SDSU 41Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 21 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
(05:47) Shotgun Cardwell,Byron rush right for 1 yard gain to the CSU37 (Vincent,Jett) PENALTY SDSU Holding (Kassim,Ikbahl) 10 yards from CSU38 to CSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 20
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 49Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the CSU 44Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Byron Cardwell Jr. run for 2 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 14
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
PENALTY SDSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CSU42 to CSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:57
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Hunter Green punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dagan Myers at the CSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 2:490% → 1%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
100.0%
Javion Kinnard run for 5 yds to the CSU 17Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Darius Curry pass complete to Kojo Antwi for 2 yds to the CSU 19Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Javion Kinnard run for 3 yds to the CSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
100.0%
Darius Curry pass complete to Landon Bell for 17 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Darius Curry run for 6 yds to the CSU 45Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+11
100.0%
Darius Curry pass complete to Landon Bell for 11 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
100.0%
Darius Curry run for 9 yds to the SDSU 35Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Darius Curry pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 9 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
100.0%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Curry,Darius pass incomplete deep right to Hall,Kory thrown to SDSU00 PENALTY SDSU Pass Interference (Williams,Prince) 15 yards from SDSU26 to SDSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-9
100.0%
Darius Curry sacked by Niles King for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSU 20Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 19
OPP 20
+8
100.0%
Darius Curry run for 8 yds to the SDSU 12Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+12
99.5%
Darius Curry pass complete to Kory Hall for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+12
99.5%
Darius Curry pass complete to Kory Hall for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:51
Lucky Sutton run for 14 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q2 12:33
Christian Washington run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 11:24
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 49 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com