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MCN

McNeese 7 at Utah State 48

USU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:35 · George Dixon punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialOffense timeoutsBlowout marginDefense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+40.5Home team on offense+1.9Score differential−0.2Offense timeouts−5.7Blowout margin+0.1Defense timeouts−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:04: Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 53 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) (Tanner Rinker KICK) — USU win probability +2.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 8:03: Miles Davis run for 30 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) — USU win probability +5.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:05: Jake Strong pass complete to Jonathan Harris for 20 yds for a TD (Fabrizio Pinton KICK) (Fabrizio Pinton KICK) — MCN win probability +8.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q2 1:35: Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) — USU win probability +12.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:29: Javen Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) — USU win probability +7.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3MCN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 7:54MCN 4th & 9 at MCN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:35MCN 4th & 8 at MCN 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:10MCN 4th & 12 at MCN 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:21MCN 4th & 3 at USU 47, down 13
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:07USU 4th & 2 at USU 30, up 13
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:02MCN 4th & 8 at MCN 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14MCN 4th & 16 at MCN 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:48MCN 4th & 10 at MCN 25, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:44USU 4th & 1 at MCN 21, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:46MCN 4th & 1 at MCN 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:30MCN 4th & 10 at midfield, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:29MCN 4th & 4 at USU 22, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:26MCN 4th & 10 at USU 12, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:33USU 4th & 3 at USU 47, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:47MCN 4th & 8 at USU 25, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MCN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:53USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:04USU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:03USU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:05MCN Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:35USU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:29USU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:44USU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:36USU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1FUMBLE
16 plays · 70 yds · 6:1495% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
94.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Miles Davis for 11 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.6%
Miles Davis run for 7 yds to the USU 46Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+3
94.4%
Javen Jacobs run for 3 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.0%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Braden PeganSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
94.0%
Anthony Garcia run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 9
50
+12
93.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 12 yds to the MCN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
93.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Noah White for 9 yds to the MCN 29Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
93.3%
Noah White run for 3 yds to the MCN 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
92.9%
Noah White run for 11 yds to the MCN 15 for a 1ST down Utah State Penalty, Offensive holding (Broc Lane) to the MCN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
92.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 1 yd to the MCN 24Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
92.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 10 yds to the MCN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
92.4%
Javen Jacobs run for 3 yds to the MCN 11Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
92.1%
Brady Boyd run for 6 yds to the MCN 5Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
91.8%
Javen Jacobs run for 5 yds to the MCN 20 Javen Jacobs fumbled, recovered by MCN Shyaub BrinkleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:329% → 9%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.3%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 1 yd to the MCN 21Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
91.0%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jonathan HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
91.1%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Josh JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
91.1%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 1:5691% → 91%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Brady BoydSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
90.8%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Josh Sterzer, broken up by Jermaine HargravesSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+13
90.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 13 yds to the MCN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
90.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 6 yds to the MCN 42Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
90.2%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the MCN 40Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-5
89.7%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the MCN 40 Utah State Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the MCN 45Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+45
90.5%
Kahanu Davis 45 Yd pass from Bryson Barnes (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q1 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
90.8%
Anthony Garcia pass incomplete to Josh SterzerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0610% → 10%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.5%
Bryce Strong run for no gain to the MCN 21Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
90.1%
Bryce Strong run for 2 yds to the MCN 23Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
89.9%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Josh JacksonSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
89.9%
George Dixon punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:2590% → 92%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
89.7%
Javen Jacobs run for 5 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+53
92.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 53 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK) (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4410% → 10%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.5%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 4 yds to the MCN 29Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
90.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Makhi Paris for 10 yds to the MCN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.2%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Makhi Paris, broken up by Noah AvingerSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
90.2%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 37Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
89.7%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Kameran SenegalSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+4
89.7%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 53 yds , Javen Jacobs returns for 4 yds to the USU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0691% → 90%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
91.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Anthony Garcia for 6 yds to the USU 20Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
90.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 2 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+7
90.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Miles Davis for 7 yds to the USU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
90.6%
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the USU 29 Utah State Penalty, Offensive holding (George Maile) to the USU 19Similar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+5
90.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 5 yds to the USU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 24
0
90.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Broc Lane, broken up by Javon DavisSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
90.2%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted Johnquai Lewis return for no gain to the MCN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:2712% → 13%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
88.3%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Bryce StrongSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+18
88.4%
Jake Strong pass complete to Logan Mauldin for 18 yds to the MCN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
87.8%
Bryce Strong run for 2 yds to the MCN 48Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
87.7%
Coleby Hamm run for no gain to the MCN 48Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+5
87.7%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Matthew McCallister, broken up by Noah Flores Utah State Penalty, off-side (D'Andre Barnes) to the USU 47Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
87.3%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Matthew McCallisterSimilar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
87.3%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0690% → 89%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
89.7%
Miles Davis run for 4 yds to the USU 15Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+7
89.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Miles Davis for 7 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
89.7%
Miles Davis run for 6 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
89.4%
Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the USU 30Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Brady BoydSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+11
88.5%
Landon Rehkow punt for 60 yds , Matthew McCallister returns for 11 yds to the MCN 41 McNeese Penalty, Offensive holding (Kameran Senegal) to the MCN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5413% → 14%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
86.7%
Jaylen Thompson run for 2 yds to the MCN 7Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+6
86.5%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jessie Campbell III for 6 yds to the MCN 13Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-6
86.2%
Jake Strong sacked by William Holmes for a loss of 6 yards to the MCN 7Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 8
OWN 7
0
86.3%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:5489% → 95%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Javen JacobsSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+18
88.5%
Miles Davis run for 18 yds to the MCN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
88.7%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Emauri Sibley for a loss of 2 yards to the MCN 30Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+30
94.5%
Miles Davis run for 30 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:506% → 18%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
94.4%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 51 yds to the USU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
93.1%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 3 yds to the USU 21Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
90.1%
Coleby Hamm run for 1 yd to the USU 20Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
81.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Jonathan Harris for 20 yds for a TD (Fabrizio Pinton KICK) (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2486% → 91%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.8%
Miles Davis run for 7 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
85.5%
Miles Davis run for 9 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Brady BoydSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
84.4%
Bryson Barnes run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 1
50
+1
83.7%
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the MCN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
84.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Miles Davis for 5 yds to the MCN 44Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+9
83.6%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Miles Davis for 9 yds to the MCN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
85.1%
Bryson Barnes run for 8 yds to the MCN 27Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+24
78.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 24 yds to the MCN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:198% → 7%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Logan MauldinSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.5%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 1 yd to the MCN 26Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
92.5%
Jake Strong sacked by William Holmes for a loss of 7 yards to the MCN 19Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
93.5%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 0:3791% → 99%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
91.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 11 yds to the MCN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
91.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 16 yds to the MCN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
91.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 4 yds to the MCN 21Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+20
91.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 20 yds to the MCN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Javen Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Coleby Hamm run for 3 yds to the USU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 1 yd to the MCN 26Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
98.8%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 25Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jonathan Harris, broken up by Bobby ArnoldSimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Fabrizio Pinton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:5699% → 100%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.2%
Miles Davis run for 6 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
99.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 5 yds to the USU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
99.3%
Javen Jacobs run for 3 yds to the USU 45 Utah State Penalty, Offensive holding (Braden Pegan) to the USU 35Similar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 17
OWN 35
+35
99.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 35 yds to the MCN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.4%
Bryson Barnes run for 6 yds to the MCN 24Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+1
99.4%
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the MCN 23Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
99.4%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the MCN 21Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+21
99.6%
Bryson Barnes run for 21 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Jake Strong pass complete to Kameran Senegal for 6 yds to the MCN 31Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.6%
Coleby Hamm run for 9 yds to the MCN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.7%
Coleby Hamm run for 4 yds to the MCN 44Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
99.7%
McNeese Penalty, personal foul (Sam Liu) to the MCN 39Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+9
99.7%
Jake Strong run for 9 yds to the MCN 48Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
99.7%
Jaylen Thompson run for 1 yd to the MCN 49Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+1
99.7%
Jake Strong run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
50
0
99.8%
Jaylen Thompson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
50
0
99.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Reed BoydSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 10
50
0
99.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Logan Mauldin, broken up by Noah AvingerSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 10
50
0
99.8%
George Dixon punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
99.7%
Anthony Garcia run for 7 yds to the USU 18Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+23
99.7%
Miles Davis run for 23 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+50
99.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 50 yds to the MCN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 9 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 21DOWNS
18 plays · 55 yds · 6:080% → 0%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jessie Campbell III McNeese Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Jessie Campbell III) to the MCN 13Similar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+4
99.8%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 4 yds to the MCN 17Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+21
99.9%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 6 yds to the MCN 23 for a 1ST down Utah State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brevin Hamblin) to the MCN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Josh JacksonSimilar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 2 yds to the MCN 40Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Jake Strong run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Trey EcholsSimilar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Coleby Hamm run for 3 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+19
99.9%
Jake Strong pass complete to Trey Echols for 19 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Coleby Hamm run for 2 yds to the USU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Tre'Vonte Citizen run for 1 yd to the USU 25Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Jake Strong run for 3 yds to the USU 22Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+10
99.9%
Jake Strong pass complete to Matthew McCallister for 10 yds to the USU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Jonathan Harris, broken up by D'Angelo MayesSimilar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Makhi ParisSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Jake Strong pass incomplete to Tre'Vonte CitizenSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 10
OPP 12
-8
99.9%
Jake Strong sacked by Bronson Olevao Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the USU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.9%
Noah White run for 20 yds to the USU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jacob Conover pass incomplete to Kahanu DavisSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Noah White run for 1 yd to the USU 41Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Jacob Conover run for 6 yds to the USU 47Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Landon Rehkow punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:380% → 0%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Jaylen Thompson run for 3 yds to the MCN 23Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Alex Flores run for 3 yds to the MCN 26Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
Alex Flores pass complete to Matthew McCallister for 9 yds to the MCN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Alex Flores pass complete to Jessie Campbell III for 4 yds to the MCN 39Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Jaylen Thompson run for 2 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Alex Flores pass complete to Tyronne Hayes for 15 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Jaylen Thompson run for 1 yd to the USU 43Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Jaylen Thompson run for 3 yds to the USU 40Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+13
100.0%
Alex Flores pass complete to Kameran Senegal for 13 yds to the USU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Coleby Hamm run for no gain to the USU 27Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Alex Flores run for 2 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Alex Flores pass incomplete to Curtis DevilleSimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 8
OPP 25
-7
100.0%
Alex Flores sacked by Bronson Olevao Jr. and Noah Flores for a loss of 7 yards to the USU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24Uncategorized
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Noah White run for 5 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Noah White run for 3 yds to the USU 40Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
Noah White run for 5 yds to the USU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Noah White run for 1 yd to the USU 46Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Jacob Conover run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 45Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-2
99.9%
Jacob Conover run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:35
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q2 6:05
Jake Strong pass complete to Jonathan Harris for 20 yds for a TD (Fabrizio Pinton KICK) (Fabrizio Pinton KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q2 0:29
Javen Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Rinker KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com