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UNLV

UNLV 41 at Miami (OH) 38

M-OH
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Carter Holden pass intercepted Marsel McDuffie return for no gain to the UNLV 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:25: Dequan Finn pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 3 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +5.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:41: Dequan Finn pass intercepted Aamaris Brown return for 67 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +5.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:10: Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 22 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK) — M-OH win probability +9.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:45: Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +12.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:50: Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — M-OH win probability +6.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:38M-OH 4th & 16 at UNLV 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26UNLV 4th & 17 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:18UNLV 4th & 8 at M-OH 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−6.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:45UNLV 4th & 12 at M-OH 35, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:24M-OH 4th & 10 at UNLV 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  7. Q4 6:50M-OH 4th & 1 at UNLV 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−4.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:15UNLV 4th & 5 at M-OH 5, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 8.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%−8.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−12.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:15M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:25M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:41UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:10M-OH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:45UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 2:1844% → 44%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
43.9%
(14:56) PENALTY UNLV Offside (Conti,Lucas) 5 yards from MIA17 to MIA22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 5
OWN 22
+24
44.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kam Perry for 39 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kam Perry) to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 5
OWN 22
+24
44.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kam Perry for 39 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kam Perry) to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
44.1%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
44.1%
Dequan Finn run for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
44.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kenny Tracy for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
44.7%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 11
OPP 44
-5
44.5%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Smith Jr.,Greg) 5 yards from UNLV44 to UNLV49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+5
44.4%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (Borders,Chief) 5 yards from UNLV49 to UNLV44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 11
OPP 44
-5
44.5%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Smith,Eric) 5 yards from UNLV44 to UNLV49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 11
OPP 44
-5
44.5%
PENALTY MIA False Start (Smith,Eric) 5 yards from UNLV44 to UNLV49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
44.5%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Keith ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
44.4%
Pierse Stainton punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0556% → 56%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
44.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 4 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
44.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr.Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+7
44.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 7 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
44.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for 19 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
44.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 5 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-30
44.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted Corban Hondru return for 30 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-30
44.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass intercepted Corban Hondru return for 30 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
47.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 29 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4253% → 51%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
46.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 21 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
46.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 8 yds to the M-OH 46Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
47.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 3 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
47.2%
Keyvone Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 44Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-6
47.8%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Grant Lyons for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 17
50
0
48.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Keyvone LeeSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 17
50
0
49.0%
Cameron Brown punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Lynel Billups-Williams at the M-OH 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 4:0149% → 58%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
48.7%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (Fuller,Cohen) 5 yards from MIA09 to MIA14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 5
OWN 14
+2
48.9%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the M-OH 16Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+44
49.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Deion Colzie for 44 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
50.7%
Dequan Finn run for 4 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+20
51.2%
Kenny Tracy run for 20 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
51.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Brian Shane for 13 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
52.3%
Kenny Tracy run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Keith Reynolds for 3 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:5344% → 45%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
56.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+9
56.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Taeshaun Lyons for 9 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+32
56.4%
Anthony Colandrea run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Personal Foul (Eli Blakey) to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
55.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 11 yds to the M-OH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
55.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Taeshaun LyonsSimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
56.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaylon GloverSimilar
Q1 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+12
57.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 12 yds to the M-OH 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
56.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Taeshaun LyonsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
56.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for no gain to the M-OH 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+2
57.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the M-OH 10Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
55.3%
Ramon Villela 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7INT TD
10 plays · 18 yds · 6:2853% → 50%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+32
53.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Personal Foul (Eli Blakey) to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
56.2%
(14:13) PENALTY UNLV Offside (Conti,Lucas) 5 yards from MIA16 to MIA21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 5
OWN 21
+3
56.3%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the M-OH 24Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+2
56.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the M-OH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
56.2%
Kenny Tracy run for 11 yds to the M-OH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.6%
Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
56.4%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the M-OH 30Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+4
56.1%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 4 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-67
50.4%
Dequan Finn pass intercepted Aamaris Brown return for 67 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 6:0350% → 63%
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
50.2%
Miami (OH) Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the M-OH 30Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+4
49.8%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 4 yds to the M-OH 34Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the M-OH 29Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
51.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 7 yds to the M-OH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+41
51.9%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 41 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
53.7%
Kenny Tracy run for 1 yd to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
53.6%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+22
62.8%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 22 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 6:0738% → 32%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
61.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
61.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 4 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
62.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 5 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
62.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
62.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
62.9%
Gael Ochoa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+12
65.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 12 yds to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
64.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for no gain to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Personal Foul (Bai Jobe) to the M-OH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
63.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the M-OH 32Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-10
64.6%
(02:56) Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush middle for 0 yards to the MIA32 (Washington,Nasir) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Williams,Reid) 10 yards from MIA32 to MIA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 19
OPP 42
+7
66.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Koy Moore for 7 yds to the M-OH 35Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
65.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+8
67.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 8 yds to the M-OH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 3:2363% → 76%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
63.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for no gain to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Personal Foul (Bai Jobe) to the M-OH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-10
63.4%
(02:56) Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony rush middle for 0 yards to the MIA32 (Washington,Nasir) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Williams,Reid) 10 yards from MIA32 to MIA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
68.7%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 19 yds to the M-OH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
70.4%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cole WeaverSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
70.1%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cole WeaverSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
69.0%
Josh Ringer run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+5
70.0%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (Patterson,Isaiah) 5 yards from UNLV49 to UNLV44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
72.1%
Kenny Tracy run for 11 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
72.1%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 10 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
72.4%
Henry Hesson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
72.3%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
71.2%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
75.5%
Dom Dzioban 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:1826% → 24%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
74.5%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Nasir Washington for a loss of 11 yards to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+9
75.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 9 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
75.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jai'Den ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
75.7%
Cameron Brown punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1526% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
74.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
73.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 7 yds to the M-OH 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+32
72.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 32 yds to the M-OH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
71.3%
JoJo Earle run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+14
71.9%
Shotgun Colandrea,Anthony pass incomplete short left to Irvin Jr.,DeAngelo thrown to MIA10 PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Blakey,Eli) 14 yards from MIA17 to MIA03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
22 plays · 0 yds · 7:0018% → 22%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
82.0%
Kenny Tracy run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 23Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
81.7%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the M-OH 26Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
80.7%
Kenny Tracy run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 25Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Pierse Stainton punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 49Similar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
84.7%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
84.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Keyvone Lee for no gain to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+9
85.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 9 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
83.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 4 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
83.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr.Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+7
84.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 7 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
82.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
83.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 12 yds to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
80.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 7 yds to the M-OH 41Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
79.4%
Keyvone Lee run for 6 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
78.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 5 yds to the M-OH 40Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+7
82.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 7 yds to the M-OH 33Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+24
80.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 24 yds to the M-OH 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the M-OH 9Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Daejon ReynoldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 4:0225% → 21%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
75.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 31 yds to the M-OH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
72.6%
Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 16Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-3
72.6%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Brach Rice for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 19Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+18
75.5%
Keyvone Lee run for 18 yds to the M-OH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
72.6%
Keyvone Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 2Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the M-OH 1Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 58 yds · 8:2073% → 94%
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the M-OH 1Similar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
87.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 14 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.9%
Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Kam PerrySimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
88.8%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
50
+1
89.4%
Josh Ringer run for 1 yd to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
89.3%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Brian Shane for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 10
50
+9
88.2%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 9 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
87.8%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
94.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 21 yds to the UNLV 17 Kenny Tracy fumbled, recovered by UNLV Marsel McDuffieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16FG
15 plays · 78 yds · 2:1713% → 14%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
87.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
87.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 4 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+37
88.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 37 yds to the M-OH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the M-OH 42Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+36
82.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 36 yds to the M-OH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
81.3%
Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 8Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
81.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the M-OH 6Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
82.6%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 5Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
86.2%
Ramon Villela 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:3291% → 99%
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
90.5%
Anthony Colandrea run for 4 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
98.3%
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 23 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Henry Hesson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Carter Holden pass intercepted Marsel McDuffie return for no gain to the UNLV 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-98.5
TD · Q3 12:45
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 8:10
Henry Hesson pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 22 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com