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UTSA

UTSA 17 at Colorado State 16

CSU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:52 · Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador II
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior−14.3Home team on offense−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:42: Robert Henry Jr. run for 76 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:19: Tahj Bullock run for 10 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — CSU win probability +37.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:49: Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for 74 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK) — UTSA win probability +41.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:29: Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Rocky Beers for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CSU win probability +28.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: O. McCown takes a knee — UTSA win probability +30.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:48CSU 4th & 13 at CSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:52UTSA 4th & 5 at CSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:43CSU 4th & 14 at CSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:57UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49CSU 4th & 11 at CSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49CSU 4th & 11 at CSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:32CSU 4th & 7 at CSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:04CSU 4th & 6 at UTSA 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−6.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:01UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:40CSU 4th & 12 at CSU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:48UTSA 4th & 2 at CSU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:52UTSA 4th & 14 at UTSA 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−3.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:52UTSA 4th & 14 at UTSA 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−3.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:31CSU 4th & 7 at CSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:19UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:56CSU 4th & 5 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.8%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:51CSU 4th & 16 at CSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−5.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:07UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:35CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 37, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−1.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:43UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:33CSU 4th & 7 at UTSA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−4.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:42UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:19CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.9
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:49UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:29CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 7.0 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.0%−7.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:0534% → 35%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
33.8%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
34.0%
Lloyd Avant run for 5 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
34.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Rocky Beers for 16 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
34.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the UTSA 48Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
34.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for no gain to the UTSA 48Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-4
35.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Nnanna Anyanwu for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU 48Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 13
OWN 48
+2
35.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi punt for 37 yds , Jermarius Lewis returns for 2 yds to the UTSA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2DOWNS
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:4965% → 63%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
35.3%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTSA 11Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
35.3%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Robert Henry Jr.Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+11
35.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 11 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
35.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 4 yds to the UTSA 18Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+5
35.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 5 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+15
36.1%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun McCown,Owen pass incomplete deep right to McCuin,Devin thrown to UTSA50 PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Joe,Lemondre) 15 yards from UTSA23 to UTSA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
35.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 41Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+29
35.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 29 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
35.5%
(08:39) No Huddle Henry,Robert rush left for 5 yards gain to the CSU25 (Ellis,Jacob; Moran,Jack) PENALTY UTSA Holding (Garth,Jaylen) 10 yards from CSU30 to CSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
36.0%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Patrick OvermyerSimilar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 20
OPP 40
-5
36.2%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun McCown,Owen pass complete short middle to Thomas,Houston caught at CSU35, for 8 yards to the CSU32 (Jarmolowich,Jake) PENALTY UTSA False Start (Wilson,AJ) 5 yards from CSU40 to CSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 25
OPP 45
+7
36.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 7 yds to the CSU 38Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 18
OPP 38
+13
36.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 13 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
36.7%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0537% → 38%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.3%
Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the CSU 28Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
37.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 12 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
38.3%
Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 41Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-15
38.1%
PENALTY CSU Personal Foul (Martin,Christian) 15 yards from CSU41 to CSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 24
OWN 26
+10
37.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 10 yds to the CSU 36Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
37.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+4
37.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 62 yds , Elliott Brow returns for 4 yds to the UTSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:4062% → 61%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
38.4%
Will Henderson III run for 4 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+5
38.3%
Will Henderson III run for 5 yds to the UTSA 15Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
38.7%
Patrick Overmyer run for 2 yds to the UTSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
38.7%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun McCown,Owen sacked for loss of 1 yard to the UTSA16 (Wa-Kalonji,Mukendi) PENALTY CSU Face Mask (Wa-Kalonji,Mukendi) 15 yards from UTSA17 to UTSA32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
38.2%
Will Henderson III run for 5 yds to the UTSA 37Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
37.9%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+1
38.4%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTSA 38Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
39.2%
Caile Hogan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tommy Maher at the CSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0440% → 40%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
40.3%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the CSU 26Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
40.7%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+1
40.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 1 yd to the CSU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-5
39.6%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Shank,Keegan) 5 yards from CSU27 to CSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
39.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
39.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:4561% → 62%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
39.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 13 yds to the UTSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
38.7%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 43Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+15
38.3%
Colorado State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jeremy Naborne) to the CSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
38.1%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
38.1%
Owen McCown pass intercepted Ayden Hector return for no gain to the CSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1541% → 41%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
41.2%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 9 yds to the CSU 25Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
42.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tay Lanier for 6 yds to the CSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
41.9%
Jalen Dupree run for 2 yds to the CSU 33Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
42.2%
Tahj Bullock run for 1 yd to the CSU 34Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
42.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Rocky BeersSimilar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
41.3%
Bryan Hansen punt for 49 yds , Elliott Brow returns for no gain to the UTSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:4459% → 66%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
40.8%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
40.6%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Willie McCoy IIISimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+76
34.2%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 76 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:2535% → 39%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.6%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Lloyd Avant for 1 yd to the CSU 26Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
34.3%
Lloyd Avant run for 23 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+47
36.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 47 yds to the UTSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
37.6%
Tahj Bullock run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 5Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
37.7%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bullock,Tahj pass complete short left to Beers,Rocky caught at UTSA00, for 0 yards to the UTSA05 PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Anaya,Carlos) 15 yards from UTSA05 to UTSA20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+8
35.8%
Lloyd Avant run for 8 yds to the UTSA 12Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
34.2%
Lloyd Avant run for 6 yds to the UTSA 6Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
38.7%
Isaiah Hankins 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:5563% → 64%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Will Henderson III for 5 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
35.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Patrick Overmyer for 6 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
35.3%
Will Henderson III run for 6 yds to the UTSA 42Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
34.7%
Will Henderson III run for no gain to the UTSA 42Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
35.0%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Devin McCuinSimilar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
36.2%
Caile Hogan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tommy Maher at the CSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1636% → 34%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
36.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Rocky BeersSimilar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-1
36.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 9 Colorado State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+4
34.6%
Colorado State Penalty, Illegal Formation (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 7
OWN 13
-5
34.8%
(04:02) PENALTY CSU False Start (Joe,Lemondre) 5 yards from CSU13 to CSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 12
OWN 8
+10
34.1%
Bryan Hansen punt for 48 yds , Elliott Brow returns for 10 yds to the CSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12FG
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:4666% → 73%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
34.0%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 7 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
32.8%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 2 yds to the CSU 37Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
32.8%
Patrick Overmyer run for 2 yds to the CSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
32.5%
PENALTY UTSA Personal Foul (McCuin,Devin) 15 yards from CSU35 to CSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
33.1%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the CSU 47Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
32.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 16 yds to the CSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
32.0%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the CSU 28Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
31.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for 2 yds to the CSU 26Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+3
32.4%
Owen McCown run for 3 yds to the CSU 23Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
27.4%
Michael Petro 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13Uncategorized
10 plays · 59 yds · 0:4731% → 32%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.4%
PENALTY UTSA UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Kelly,Kenyan) 15 yards from CSU25 to CSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
33.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
32.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 6 yds to the CSU 46Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
33.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tay Lanier for 5 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
34.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Jalen DupreeSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
33.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tommy MaherSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+33
32.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jalen Dupree for 33 yds to the UTSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 2:5770% → 68%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 4 yds to the UTSA 21Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
30.5%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
30.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 10 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
28.6%
Devin McCuin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 35Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-3
29.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTSA 32Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
31.5%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
32.0%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tommy Maher at the CSU 26Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
32.0%
Caile Hogan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tommy Maher at the CSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1533% → 32%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
32.9%
Jalen Dupree run for 2 yds to the CSU 38Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
33.2%
Jalen Dupree run for 1 yd to the CSU 39Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
32.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Armani WinfieldSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
31.7%
Bryan Hansen punt for 53 yds , Elliott Brow returns for no gain to the UTSA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0569% → 67%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
31.4%
Robert Henry Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 4Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
31.6%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to David Amador IISimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+5
32.3%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 9Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
33.1%
Caile Hogan punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1034% → 33%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
34.4%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justin Marshall for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 5
50
0
35.6%
Justin Marshall run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 5
50
0
34.9%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Lloyd AvantSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 5
50
-5
33.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Nnanna Anyanwu for a loss of 5 yards to the CSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0774% → 73%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
26.4%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
26.3%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the CSU 39Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+1
26.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 1 yd to the CSU 38Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
26.8%
UTSA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 3:4433% → 29%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
33.3%
Lloyd Avant run for 4 yds to the CSU 30Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
33.4%
Lloyd Avant run for 5 yds to the CSU 35Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
33.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 2 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
32.5%
Tahj Bullock run for 5 yds to the CSU 42Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-10
34.6%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Avant,Lloyd rush middle for 0 yards to the CSU42 (Banks Jr.,Shad) PENALTY CSU Holding (Morley,Tanner) 10 yards from CSU42 to CSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 32
-10
31.1%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Nnanna Anyanwu for a loss of 10 yards to the CSU 22Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 25
OWN 22
+9
29.8%
Jalen Dupree run for 9 yds to the CSU 31Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
29.3%
Bryan Hansen punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3776% → 75%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
24.1%
Will Henderson III run for 5 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
23.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador II for 3 yds to the UTSA 48Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-2
23.8%
Will Henderson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 46Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+9
25.4%
Caile Hogan punt for 51 yds , Tommy Maher returns for 9 yds to the CSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:2529% → 27%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
28.5%
Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the CSU 15Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
28.7%
Jalen Dupree run for 5 yds to the CSU 20Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-5
27.9%
(14:17) PENALTY CSU False Start 5 yards from CSU20 to CSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+15
26.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tommy Maher for 15 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
27.8%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Tay LanierSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
27.3%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete to Rocky BeersSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+7
26.0%
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Lavon Brown for 7 yds to the CSU 37Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
26.6%
Bryan Hansen punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5277% → 75%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
22.9%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
23.4%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to AJ WilsonSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+3
24.2%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+2
24.9%
Caile Hogan punt for 44 yds , Tommy Maher returns for 2 yds to the CSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:1428% → 64%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
27.5%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for no gain to the CSU 33Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
27.2%
Lloyd Avant run for 7 yds to the CSU 40Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+14
28.8%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Rocky Beers for 14 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
29.9%
Lloyd Avant run for 8 yds to the UTSA 38Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+16
30.5%
Lloyd Avant run for 16 yds to the UTSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
32.8%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Anaya,Carlos) 5 yards from UTSA22 to UTSA27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 15
OPP 27
-10
31.5%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Brousseau,Jackson pass complete short left to Lanier,Tay caught at UTSA29, for 7 yards to the UTSA20 (Milton,Tyan) PENALTY CSU Holding (Anaya,Carlos) 10 yards from UTSA27 to UTSA37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 25
OPP 37
+6
28.2%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tay Lanier for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 19
OPP 31
+7
29.6%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tommy Maher for 7 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+14
26.4%
Jalen Dupree run for 14 yds to the UTSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
64.3%
Tahj Bullock run for 10 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2350% → 92%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
47.6%
Robert Henry Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
49.8%
(05:02) PENALTY UTSA False Start (Jones,Darrell) 5 yards from UTSA31 to UTSA26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
8.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for 74 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 25TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:1322% → 48%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Tay LanierSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
20.9%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Justin Marshall for 15 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
24.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Armani Winfield for 15 yds to the UTSA 45 for a 1ST down UTSA Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Shad Banks Jr.) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
27.1%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Lloyd Avant for no gain to the UTSA 45Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
25.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass incomplete to Lavon BrownSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+3
23.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Kojo Antwi for 3 yds to the UTSA 42Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+14
20.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Tommy Maher for 14 yds to the UTSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
26.3%
Lloyd Avant run for 14 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
21.6%
Jalen Dupree run for 4 yds to the UTSA 10Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
20.9%
Jalen Dupree run for no gain to the UTSA 10Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+6
15.3%
Jackson Brousseau run for 6 yds to the UTSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
20.3%
Jackson Brousseau pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
48.4%
Jackson Brousseau pass complete to Rocky Beers for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.4%
Hankins,Isaiah kick attempt good (H: Hansen,Bryan, LS: Himebauch,Walker) PENALTY UTSA Offside 2 yards from UTSA03 to UTSA01. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
6.2%
O. McCown takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:49
Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry Jr. for 74 yds for a TD (Michael Petro KICK)
-41.8
TD · Q4 6:19
Tahj Bullock run for 10 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+37.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
O. McCown takes a knee
-30.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com