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IDST

Idaho State 31 at UNLV 38

UNLV
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 23, 2025 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:36 · run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseOffense timeoutsDefense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:34: Jai'Den Thomas 39 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick) — UNLV win probability +2.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 2:06: Dason Brooks 27 Yd Run (Trajan Sinatra Kick) — IDST win probability +2.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q3 11:57: Jai'Den Thomas 3 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick) — UNLV win probability +2.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q3 4:15: Ian Duarte 64 Yd pass from Jordan Cooke (Trajan Sinatra Kick) — IDST win probability +4.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:51: Alex Orji 11 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick) — IDST win probability +2.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 8IDST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:14IDST 4th & 6 at UNLV 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:08UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:28IDST 4th & 1 at IDST 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10UNLV 4th & 5 at IDST 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:50IDST 4th & 16 at UNLV 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:44UNLV 4th & 17 at UNLV 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:27UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:00UNLV 4th & 7 at IDST 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−9.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:57IDST 4th & 1 at IDST 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.4%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:27UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:51UNLV 4th & 1 at IDST 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−1.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−12.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:21UNLV 4th & 23 at IDST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−5.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:12IDST 4th & 22 at UNLV 44, up 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    89.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:34UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDSTDrive 1FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 3:463% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.4%
Idaho State Penalty, delay of game (Jordan Cooke) to the IDST 20Similar
Q1 14:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+21
97.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 21 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
97.3%
Dason Brooks run for 21 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.1%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Julian Mason for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+5
97.0%
Dason Brooks run for 5 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.8%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Domonick RuizSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+16
96.8%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Jonah Burton for 16 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
96.6%
Jordan Cooke run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 17 Jordan Cooke fumbled, recovered by IDST Jordan CookeSimilar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+9
96.4%
Dason Brooks run for 9 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
96.2%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Damien MorganSimilar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
96.2%
Trajan Sinatra 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2196% → 95%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden Bradley for a 1ST down Idaho State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Damien Morgan) to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.0%
Alex Orji pass complete to Troy Omeire for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
95.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 11 yds to the IDST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
95.7%
Alex Orji pass complete to Troy Omeire for 13 yds to the IDST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
95.6%
Alex Orji pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 19 yds to the IDST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
95.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the IDST 9Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
94.9%
Alex Orji run for 9 yds to the IDST 20 Alex Orji fumbled, recovered by IDST Noa CalaycaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:515% → 6%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
95.3%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Dason Brooks for 13 yds to the IDST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
95.1%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Ian Duarte for 3 yds to the IDST 36Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
94.8%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Ian Duarte for 9 yds to the IDST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+34
94.5%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 34 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
94.3%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 6 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
94.0%
Jordan Cooke 15 Yd pass from Michael Shulikov (Trajan Sinatra Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3893% → 91%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
92.3%
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
91.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Keyvone Lee for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
91.0%
Cameron Brown punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:387% → 9%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
92.9%
Dason Brooks run for 11 yds to the IDST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
92.7%
Dason Brooks run for 4 yds to the IDST 37Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
92.2%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 5 yds to the IDST 42Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-5
92.0%
Idaho State Penalty, false start (Damien Morgan) to the IDST 37Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
91.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 5 yds to the IDST 42Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-1
91.5%
Dason Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:1489% → 85%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
89.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the IDST 39Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
88.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 6 yds to the IDST 33Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
88.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the IDST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
88.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 12 yds to the IDST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
87.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the IDST 15Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
87.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the IDST 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
86.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for no gain to the IDST 13Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
85.3%
Ramon Villela 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 7INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:2311% → 13%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
88.6%
Robert Freeman IV run for 7 yds to the IDST 27Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
87.8%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Ian Duarte, broken up by Aamaris BrownSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
87.9%
Jordan Cooke run for 3 yds to the IDST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.0%
Jordan Cooke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 2:0182% → 83%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
81.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+16
81.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 16 yds to the IDST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
80.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 14 yds to the IDST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
80.6%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the IDST 29 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Alani Makihele) to the IDST 39Similar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+39
82.7%
Jai'Den Thomas 39 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3818% → 20%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
81.6%
Robert Freeman IV run for 30 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.6%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Damien MorganSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-6
80.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Robert Freeman IV for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 16
OPP 39
0
79.7%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael ShulikovSimilar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
80.1%
Gabe Russo punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3679% → 77%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
78.6%
Alex Orji pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. UNLV Penalty, Defensive holding (Mike Lindsay) to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
77.6%
Alex Orji run for 6 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
76.8%
Jai'Den Thomas 70 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 1:3423% → 25%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.2%
UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mason Young) to the IDST 25Similar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.1%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael ShulikovSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
77.4%
Dason Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the IDST 22Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
76.9%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Jonah Burton, broken up by Jaheem JosephSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+15
77.4%
UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaheem Joseph) to the IDST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.1%
Dason Brooks run for 5 yds to the IDST 42Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
73.4%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael ShulikovSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-5
73.5%
Idaho State Penalty, false start (Stryker Rashid) to the IDST 37Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
74.6%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Jonah BurtonSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
75.2%
Gabe Russo punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4673% → 68%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
73.2%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Noa Calaycay for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+10
71.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 10 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-9
69.8%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Camron Willis for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 9Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 17
OWN 9
0
67.9%
Cameron Brown punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3232% → 34%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
50
-10
68.0%
Jordan Cooke run for no gain to the 50 yard line Idaho State Penalty, Offensive holding (Stryker Rashid) to the IDST 40Similar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+17
68.7%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Jonah Burton for 17 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-1
66.9%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Dason Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+17
68.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Jonah Burton for 17 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
66.5%
Dason Brooks 27 Yd Run (Trajan Sinatra Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:3560% → 44%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
47.6%
Anthony Colandrea run for 9 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
45.6%
Keyvone Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
45.0%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Alani Makihele) to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
43.9%
Cameron Brown punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0850% → 56%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
50.2%
Dason Brooks run for 4 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+10
48.6%
Dason Brooks run for 10 yds to the IDST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
46.5%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 7 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
46.1%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Raiden Brown, broken up by Quandarius KeyesSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+3
46.7%
Dason Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
44.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Michael Shulikov for no gain to the IDST 46 Idaho State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jorgen Miller) to the IDST 44Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 20
OWN 44
-9
44.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Dason Brooks for no gain to the IDST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 2:4855% → 54%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
54.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 11 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
53.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr.Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
53.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 5 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+16
50.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 16 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
51.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
50
0
50.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr.Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
50
+10
50.1%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden Bradley for a 1ST down Idaho State Penalty, Defensive holding (Mike Lindsay) to the IDST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
50.8%
Anthony Colandrea run for 37 yds to the IDST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.7%
Jai'Den Thomas 3 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17INT
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:2651% → 66%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
48.6%
Dason Brooks run for 13 yds to the IDST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
45.1%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Dason Brooks for 1 yd to the IDST 39Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
43.7%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael Shulikov, broken up by Laterrance WelchSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+15
44.3%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Raiden Brown for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Aamaris Brown) to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
43.1%
Dason Brooks run for 15 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
43.2%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
41.9%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Dason BrooksSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+24
43.1%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Raiden Brown for 24 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.5%
Jackson Sharman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:2433% → 29%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
32.9%
Anthony Colandrea run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
31.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaylon Glover for 19 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+47
32.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 47 yds to the IDST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
35.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
35.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the IDST 9Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
30.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jaden BradleySimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
29.0%
Ramon Villela 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 1:3672% → 76%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
27.7%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Ian DuarteSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
28.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Julian Mason for 9 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
26.8%
Dason Brooks run for no gain to the IDST 28Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+8
28.5%
Dason Brooks run for 8 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
24.4%
Ian Duarte 64 Yd pass from Jordan Cooke (Trajan Sinatra Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3823% → 18%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
23.1%
Keyvone Lee run for 6 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-18
24.2%
UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Will Thomas) to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 22
OWN 22
-3
21.8%
Keyvone Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 25
OWN 19
+15
20.1%
Anthony Colandrea run for 15 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+7
18.2%
Cameron Brown punt for 48 yds , Robert Freeman IV returns for 7 yds to the IDST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4278% → 83%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
21.8%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael Shulikov for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Denver Harris) to the IDST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
19.7%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Dason Brooks for 9 yds to the IDST 49Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+14
18.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Ian Duarte for 14 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
17.4%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Ian Duarte for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
16.0%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 10 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
15.8%
pass incomplete to Damien MorganSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-10
16.4%
Dason Brooks run for no gain Idaho State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jorgen Miller) to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+1
15.8%
Jordan Cooke run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 31
+24
16.5%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Julian Mason for 24 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
15.0%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael Shulikov for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Andrew Powdrell) to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.9%
Dason Brooks 2 Yd Run (Trajan Sinatra Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1215% → 16%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
14.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
14.4%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+41
13.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 41 yds to the IDST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
17.7%
pass incomplete to Nick ElksnisSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
17.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 14 yds to the IDST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
16.0%
Daejon Reynolds 9 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Ramon Villela Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 23INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4186% → 91%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.4%
Robert Freeman IV run for 3 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
8.5%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Ian Duarte, broken up by Aamaris BrownSimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
8.9%
Jordan Cooke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:4416% → 13%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
15.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 6 yds to the IDST 14Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
14.5%
Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the IDST 12Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
14.7%
Alex Orji run for 1 yd to the IDST 11Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+11
12.5%
Alex Orji 11 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 25INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:2494% → 95%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
6.1%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Ian Duarte for 10 yds to the IDST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.1%
Jordan Cooke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26MISSED FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:4413% → 8%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
12.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 9 yds to the IDST 14Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+6
12.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the IDST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
14.5%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 9Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.8%
pass incomplete to Daejon ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-14
11.8%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Bronson Childs for a loss of 14 yards to the IDST 23Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+41
7.7%
Ramon Villela 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:0796% → 97%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
4.5%
Jordan Cooke run for no gain to the IDST 23 Idaho State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jorgen Miller) to the IDST 13Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+7
4.6%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Damien Morgan for 7 yds to the IDST 20Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+16
4.1%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Dason Brooks for 16 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+32
3.6%
Jordan Cooke pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 32 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
4.0%
Dason Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-11
3.9%
Jordan Cooke sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UNLV 44 Idaho State Penalty, intentional grounding (Jordan Cooke) to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 22
OPP 44
0
3.2%
pass incomplete to Michael ShulikovSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 22
OPP 44
0
3.3%
Jordan Cooke pass incomplete to Michael Shulikov, broken up by Quandarius KeyesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28Uncategorized
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:285% → 1%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
4.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 11 yds to the IDST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
5.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the IDST 41Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
5.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 4 yds to the IDST 37Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
5.4%
Alex Orji run for 5 yds to the IDST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
2.7%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the IDST 35Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 13
OPP 35
-3
2.1%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the IDST 38Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 16
OPP 38
-1
1.1%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+98.9
TD · Q3 4:15
Ian Duarte 64 Yd pass from Jordan Cooke (Trajan Sinatra Kick)
-4.1
TD · Q3 11:57
Jai'Den Thomas 3 Yd Run (Ramon Villela Kick)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com