AF
Air Force 30 at Utah State 49
USU2025 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2025 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
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AF · Drive 1FUMBLE · 6 plays · 4 yds
Q1 15:00
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
19.3%
0.0
Q1 15:00
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the AF 27
16.9%
-2.4
Q1 14:20
Dylan Carson run for 7 yds to the AF 34
16.6%
-0.3
Q1 13:45
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the AF 35 for a 1ST down
16.5%
0.0
Q1 13:01
Cade Harris run for a loss of 6 yards to the AF 29
16.5%
0.0
Q1 12:30
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the AF 27 Josh Johnson fumbled, recovered by USU William Holmes
16.6%
0.0
USU · Drive 2TD · 6 plays · 27 yds
Q1 12:27
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the AF 25
20.9%
+4.4
Q1 11:55
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 16 yds to the AF 9 for a 1ST down
20.9%
0.0
Q1 11:35
Javen Jacobs run for no gain to the AF 9
20.9%
0.0
Q1 11:00
Bryson Barnes run for 7 yds to the AF 2
20.9%
0.0
Q1 10:27
Utah State Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the AF 7
20.8%
-0.2
Q1 10:04
Bryson Barnes 7 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)
30.7%
+10.0
AF · Drive 3PUNT · 8 plays · 12 yds
Q1 10:04
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
29.9%
-0.8
Q1 10:04
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the AF 31
33.2%
+3.3
Q1 9:30
Johnson,Josh rush middle , fumble by Johnson,Josh recovered by AFA Johnson,Josh, Johnson,Josh rush. Josh Johnson fumbled, recovered by AF Josh Johnson
33.5%
+0.3
Q1 8:57
Josh Johnson run for 4 yds to the AF 35 for a 1ST down
32.9%
-0.6
Q1 8:26
Josh Johnson pass incomplete to Quin Smith
33.2%
+0.3
Q1 8:21
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AF 37
33.2%
0.0
Q1 7:42
Josh Johnson pass incomplete to Kade Frew
33.2%
0.0
Q1 7:39
Luke Freer punt for 60 yds
33.2%
0.0
USU · Drive 4PUNT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q1 7:27
Miles Davis run for no gain to the USU 3
28.7%
-4.5
Q1 6:50
Bryson Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 1
28.7%
0.0
Q1 6:11
Bryson Barnes run for 7 yds to the USU 8
27.8%
-0.9
Q1 5:27
Landon Rehkow punt for 45 yds
27.5%
-0.3
AF · Drive 5FG · 12 plays · 39 yds
Q1 5:25
Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the USU 47
31.2%
+3.7
Q1 4:53
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the USU 44
30.7%
-0.5
Q1 4:25
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST down
30.7%
0.0
Q1 3:51
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the USU 35
30.3%
-0.3
Q1 3:08
Liam Szarka run for 10 yds to the USU 25 for a 1ST down
30.3%
0.0
Q1 2:32
Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the USU 22
30.3%
0.0
Q1 1:58
Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the USU 16
31.2%
+0.8
Q1 1:16
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the USU 15 for a 1ST down
31.2%
0.0
Q1 0:33
Cade Harris run for 1 yd to the USU 14
31.3%
+0.1
Q2 14:59
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Quin Smith, broken up by Brevin Hamblin
31.3%
0.0
Q2 14:54
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Quin Smith
31.3%
0.0
Q2 14:46
J. Medina 31 yd FG GOOD
21.9%
-9.3
USU · Drive 6TD · 7 plays · 88 yds
Q2 14:46
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Utah State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tymere Burton)
21.2%
-0.7
Q2 14:44
Javen Jacobs run for 1 yd to the USU 13
24.3%
+3.1
Q2 14:17
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 15 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST down
24.3%
0.0
Q2 13:45
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 6 yds to the USU 34
24.3%
0.0
Q2 13:38
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 12 yds to the USU 46 for a 1ST down
25.5%
+1.2
Q2 13:17
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Broc Lane
26.0%
+0.5
Q2 13:02
Braden Pegan 54 Yd pass from Bryson Barnes (Tanner Rinker Kick)
43.5%
+17.4
AF · Drive 7TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q2 13:03
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
25.5%
-17.9
Q2 13:03
Liam Szarka run for 5 yds to the AF 30
21.3%
-4.3
Q2 12:27
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AF 35 for a 1ST down
42.4%
+21.1
Q2 11:55
Dylan Carson run for 6 yds to the AF 41
42.3%
-0.1
Q2 11:25
Cade Harris run for 49 yds to the USU 10 for a 1ST down
42.3%
0.0
Q2 10:49
Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the USU 6
43.3%
+1.0
Q2 10:14
Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the USU 3
43.0%
-0.3
Q2 9:38
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the USU 1
43.0%
0.0
Q2 9:04
L. Szarka run for 1 yd for a TD (J. Medina KICK)
25.4%
-17.5
USU · Drive 8PUNT · 7 plays · 4 yds
Q2 9:04
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
27.2%
+1.8
Q2 9:04
Miles Davis run for 12 yds to the USU 37 for a 1ST down
30.9%
+3.7
Q2 8:39
Utah State Penalty, false start (Jr Sia) to the USU 32
32.7%
+1.8
Q2 8:24
Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the USU 35
30.9%
-1.8
Q2 7:55
Bryson Barnes sacked by Jackson Adams for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 32
33.3%
+2.4
Q2 7:20
Bryson Barnes sacked by Isaac Hubert for a loss of 3 yards to the USU 29
31.8%
-1.4
Q2 6:41
Landon Rehkow punt for 43 yds
31.3%
-0.6
AF · Drive 9INT · 6 plays · 11 yds
Q2 6:34
Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the AF 33
29.4%
-1.9
Q2 6:00
Liam Szarka run for 3 yds to the AF 36
29.4%
0.0
Q2 5:23
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the AF 37
29.4%
0.0
Q2 4:50
Liam Szarka run for 2 yds to the AF 39 for a 1ST down
32.2%
+2.8
Q2 4:12
Owen Allen run for no gain to the AF 39
31.4%
-0.8
Q2 3:40
Liam Szarka pass intercepted Noah Avinger return for no gain to the USU 26
31.4%
0.0
USU · Drive 10PUNT · 8 plays · 32 yds
Q2 3:33
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 13 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST down
34.7%
+3.3
Q2 3:11
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Brady Boyd
36.8%
+2.1
Q2 3:03
Bryson Barnes run for 7 yds to the USU 46
36.8%
0.0
Q2 2:34
Javen Jacobs run for 7 yds to the AF 47 for a 1ST down
36.8%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Javen Jacobs run for 7 yds to the AF 40
37.3%
+0.5
Q2 1:56
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Braden Pegan
37.7%
+0.4
Q2 1:50
Javen Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the AF 42
37.5%
-0.2
Q2 1:39
Landon Rehkow punt for 28 yds
36.8%
-0.7
AF · Drive 11PUNT · 5 plays · 26 yds
Q2 1:34
Dylan Carson run for 17 yds to the AF 31 for a 1ST down
32.1%
-4.6
Q2 1:18
Liam Szarka sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the AF 21 Air Force Penalty, intentional grounding (Liam Szarka) to the AF 21
32.1%
0.0
Q2 0:38
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AF 26
32.2%
+0.1
Q2 0:34
Owen Allen run for 14 yds to the AF 40
32.2%
0.0
Q2 0:24
Luke Freer punt for 59 yds Utah State Penalty, Offensive holding (Chris Joe) to the USU 1
31.5%
-0.7
USU · Drive 12END OF HALF · 3 plays · 4 yds
Q2 0:10
Bryson Barnes run for 1 yd to the USU 2
35.3%
+3.8
Q2 0:09
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the USU 5
35.3%
0.0
Q2 0:04
Bryson Barnes run for 7 yds to the AF 35 for a 1ST down
35.3%
0.0
USU · Drive 13TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q3 15:00
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
32.0%
-3.3
Q3 15:00
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 9 yds to the USU 34
35.3%
+3.3
Q3 14:43
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 13 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST down
36.8%
+1.5
Q3 14:23
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the USU 49
37.8%
+1.0
Q3 13:50
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Braden Pegan for 5 yds to the AF 46
37.8%
0.0
Q3 13:19
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Braden Pegan for a 1ST down Air Force Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Korey Johnson) to the AF 31 for a 1ST down
38.4%
+0.6
Q3 13:14
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 14 yds to the AF 17 for a 1ST down
40.9%
+2.4
Q3 12:36
Anthony Garcia 17 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)
61.5%
+20.6
AF · Drive 14PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q3 12:36
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
60.9%
-0.6
Q3 12:36
Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the AF 26
51.1%
-9.7
Q3 12:04
Cade Harris run for 1 yd to the AF 27
51.1%
0.0
Q3 11:23
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Cade Harris
51.1%
0.0
Q3 11:18
Luke Freer punt for 51 yds , Javen Jacobs returns for 5 yds to the USU 27
51.1%
0.0
USU · Drive 15TD · 5 plays · 73 yds
Q3 11:08
Miles Davis run for 30 yds to the AF 43 for a 1ST down
59.5%
+8.4
Q3 10:46
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 18 yds to the AF 25 for a 1ST down
61.7%
+2.2
Q3 10:27
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the AF 23
61.7%
0.0
Q3 9:53
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Noah White for 12 yds to the AF 11 for a 1ST down
65.8%
+4.2
Q3 9:19
Bryson Barnes 11 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)
80.7%
+14.9
AF · Drive 16TD · 15 plays · 75 yds
Q3 9:19
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
80.3%
-0.5
Q3 9:19
Terrence Gist run for 3 yds to the AF 28
68.8%
-11.5
Q3 8:47
Josh Johnson run for 8 yds to the AF 36 for a 1ST down
68.7%
-0.1
Q3 8:15
Josh Johnson pass complete to Cade Harris for 36 yds to the USU 28 for a 1ST down
68.9%
+0.2
Q3 7:37
Cade Harris run for 11 yds to the USU 17 for a 1ST down
67.8%
-1.1
Q3 7:00
Terrence Gist run for 3 yds to the USU 14
67.4%
-0.5
Q3 6:21
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the USU 13
66.6%
-0.8
Q3 5:39
Cade Harris run for 9 yds Air Force Penalty, Offensive holding (Tre Roberson) to the USU 14
67.8%
+1.2
Q3 5:32
Cade Harris run for 2 yds to the USU 12
67.8%
0.0
Q3 4:52
Cade Harris run for 5 yds to the USU 7 for a 1ST down
68.3%
+0.5
Q3 4:09
Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the USU 3
67.1%
-1.2
Q3 3:36
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the USU 1
67.8%
+0.7
Q3 3:07
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the USU 1
69.0%
+1.2
Q3 2:21
Owen Allen 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
61.9%
-7.2
Q3 2:27
Liam Szarka run for no gain to the AF 35
61.4%
-0.5
USU · Drive 17TD · 6 plays · 75 yds
Q3 2:21
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
63.0%
+1.6
Q3 2:19
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 17 yds to the USU 42 for a 1ST down
67.5%
+4.5
Q3 1:46
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 19 yds to the AF 39 for a 1ST down
69.1%
+1.6
Q3 1:17
Miles Davis run for 1 yd to the AF 38
69.3%
+0.2
Q3 0:40
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Josh Sterzer
69.3%
0.0
Q3 0:25
Braden Pegan 38 Yd pass from Bryson Barnes (Tanner Rinker Kick)
84.3%
+15.0
AF · Drive 18TD · 7 plays · 75 yds
Q3 0:25
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
84.3%
0.0
Q3 0:25
Kade Frew run for 8 yds to the AF 33
68.2%
-16.1
Q4 15:00
Josh Johnson pass complete to Quin Smith for 32 yds to the USU 35 for a 1ST down
68.2%
0.0
Q4 14:23
Josh Johnson pass complete to Cade Harris for 27 yds to the USU 8 for a 1ST down
75.5%
+7.3
Q4 13:53
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the USU 6
74.9%
-0.7
Q4 13:11
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the USU 1
74.9%
0.0
Q4 12:30
Liam Szarka 1 Yd Run (Cade Harris Run for Two-Point Conversion)
65.0%
-9.9
USU · Drive 19PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q4 12:30
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 35 yds
39.3%
-25.7
Q4 12:30
Bryson Barnes run for 6 yds to the USU 36
43.7%
+4.4
Q4 11:59
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the USU 38
45.7%
+2.1
Q4 11:25
Bryson Barnes run for no gain to the USU 38
45.6%
-0.1
Q4 10:44
Landon Rehkow punt for 50 yds
45.0%
-0.7
AF · Drive 20INT · 8 plays · 25 yds
Q4 10:38
Josh Johnson pass incomplete to Quin Smith, broken up by Brevin Hamblin
39.6%
-5.3
Q4 10:32
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the AF 12
39.6%
0.0
Q4 9:55
Josh Johnson run for 13 yds to the AF 25 for a 1ST down
41.7%
+2.0
Q4 9:19
Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AF 27
41.5%
-0.1
Q4 8:41
Josh Johnson sacked by John Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the AF 20
41.9%
+0.4
Q4 7:57
Josh Johnson pass complete to Kade Frew for 3 yds to the AF 23
42.1%
+0.2
Q4 7:15
Josh Johnson pass complete to Tre Roberson for 14 yds to the AF 37 for a 1ST down
42.1%
0.0
Q4 6:44
D'Angelo Mayes return for no gain to the AF 33
42.0%
-0.1
USU · Drive 21TD · 9 plays · 33 yds
Q4 6:37
Utah State Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the AF 38
49.6%
+7.6
Q4 6:37
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete
49.6%
0.0
Q4 6:31
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Brady Boyd for 24 yds to the AF 14 for a 1ST down
49.6%
0.0
Q4 6:04
Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the AF 12
49.6%
0.0
Q4 5:24
Javen Jacobs run for 4 yds to the AF 8
51.8%
+2.2
Q4 4:46
Bryson Barnes sacked by Daniel Grobe and Brody Bujnoch for a loss of 11 yards to the AF 19
51.6%
-0.3
Q4 4:10
Tanner Rinker 36 yd FG GOOD for a 1ST down Air Force Penalty, personal foul (Roger Jones Jr.) to the AF 9 for a 1ST down
54.7%
+3.1
Q4 4:04
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Anthony Garcia for 2 yds to the AF 7
55.3%
+0.6
Q4 3:58
Bryson Barnes 7 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)
86.6%
+31.4
AF · Drive 22TD · 10 plays · 78 yds
Q4 3:58
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 65 yds , Cade Harris return for 22 yds to the AF 22
86.6%
0.0
Q4 3:53
Liam Szarka pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 7 yds to the AF 29
75.2%
-11.4
Q4 3:28
Liam Szarka pass complete to Tre Roberson for 8 yds to the AF 37 for a 1ST down
75.5%
+0.3
Q4 3:01
Liam Szarka pass complete to Bruin Fleischmann for 5 yds to the AF 42
75.7%
+0.2
Q4 2:31
Liam Szarka pass complete to Tre Roberson for 29 yds to the USU 29 for a 1ST down
75.7%
0.0
Q4 2:06
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Tre Roberson
77.8%
+2.1
Q4 2:02
Liam Szarka pass complete to Tylor Latham for 5 yds to the USU 24
77.8%
0.0
Q4 1:58
Liam Szarka pass complete to Quin Smith for 13 yds to the USU 11 for a 1ST down
78.8%
+0.9
Q4 1:34
Liam Szarka 11 Yd Run ( Run for Two-Point Conversion)
72.7%
-6.0
Q4 1:37
Cade Harris run for no gain to the AF 35 Cade Harris fumbled, recovered by AF
72.4%
-0.3
USU · Drive 23TD · 3 plays · 52 yds
Q4 1:34
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 17 yds , Brady Boyd return for no gain to the USU 48
79.8%
+7.4
Q4 1:29
Javen Jacobs run for no gain to the USU 48
86.6%
+6.9
Q4 1:20
Javen Jacobs 52 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)
88.9%
+2.2
AF · Drive 24Uncategorized · 7 plays · 15 yds
Q4 1:15
Zachary Robbins kickoff for 49 yds , Kaden Cloud return for 14 yds to the AF 30
79.6%
-9.3
Q4 1:14
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Tylor Latham, broken up by Brevin Hamblin
75.7%
-3.9
Q4 1:11
Liam Szarka run for 6 yds to the AF 36
75.7%
0.0
Q4 0:39
Kaden Cloud run for 6 yds to the AF 42 for a 1ST down
76.8%
+1.2
Q4 0:34
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Kaden Cloud
75.8%
-1.0
Q4 0:30
Terrence Gist run for 3 yds to the AF 45
75.8%
0.0
Q4 0:02
Liam Szarka pass incomplete to Adam Hrynciw
76.8%
+1.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:58
Bryson Barnes 7 Yd Run (Tanner Rinker Kick)
+31.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:30
Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 35 yds
-25.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 12:27
Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AF 35 for a 1ST down
+21.1