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IDST

Idaho State 22 at New Mexico 32

UNM
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGFGFGFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-2.9UNM 75.7%Trajan Sinatra 56 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 14 · Q3 10:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:30 · Trajan Sinatra 56 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q2Q3Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+17.0Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:34: Scottre Humphrey run for 61 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +4.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 5:25: Trajan Sinatra 33 yd FG GOOD — IDST win probability +8.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:00: — IDST win probability +11.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:13: Luke Drzewiecki 21 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +7.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:17: Damon Bankston 1 Yd Run (Jack Layne Pass to Dorian Thomas for Two-Point Conversion) — UNM win probability +32.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IDST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:46IDST 4th & 7 at IDST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38UNM 4th & 3 at UNM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:56IDST 4th & 6 at UNM 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:56IDST 4th & 6 at UNM 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:29IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:47UNM 4th & 4 at IDST 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:30IDST 4th & 12 at UNM 39, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    20.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:25IDST 4th & 10 at UNM 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−10.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:13UNM 4th & 4 at IDST 4, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−18.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:47UNM 4th & 4 at IDST 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−1.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:24UNM 4th & 1 at IDST 30, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−6.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−12.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:30IDST 4th & 12 at UNM 39, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    22.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:28IDST 4th & 8 at IDST 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:10IDST 4th & 16 at IDST 19, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:48UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:25IDST 4th & 10 at UNM 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:21UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:34UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:17UNM Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4614% → 15%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Carson Sudbury run for no gain to the IDST 25 Carson Sudbury fumbled, recovered by IDST Carson SudburySimilar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.5%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Carson Sudbury for 3 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
85.4%
Jackson Sharman pass incomplete to Ian DuarteSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
85.4%
Gabe Russo punt for 49 yds , Michael Buckley returns for 3 yds to the UNM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:5486% → 85%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Carson Sudbury runSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
85.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 25Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+3
85.2%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+5
84.9%
Jack Layne run for 5 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
84.7%
Daniel Hughes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ian Duarte at the IDST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 3INT
17 plays · 63 yds · 8:1315% → 18%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
85.4%
Jack Layne pass to Dorian Thomas for a loss of 1 yards to the UNM 25Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+3
85.2%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+5
84.9%
Jack Layne run for 5 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
84.7%
Daniel Hughes punt for 38 yds to the UNM Similar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
84.7%
Carson Sudbury run for 6 yds to the IDST 35Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
84.4%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Carson Sudbury for 5 yds to the IDST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.3%
Carson Sudbury run for no gain to the IDST 40Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
84.2%
Jackson Sharman run for 1 yd to the IDST 41Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+12
84.0%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 12 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
83.6%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Ian Duarte for 4 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
83.3%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Tytan Mason for 5 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
83.2%
Carson Sudbury run for 2 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
82.8%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Damien Morgan for 8 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
82.5%
Carson Sudbury run for 4 yds to the UNM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
82.3%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Ian Duarte for 9 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
82.0%
Davis Harsin run for 7 yds to the UNM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.8%
Davis Harsin pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4TD
24 plays · 98 yds · 11:1115% → 16%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
84.7%
Carson Sudbury run for 6 yds to the IDST 35Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
84.4%
Jackson Sharman pass to Carson Sudbury for 5 yds to the IDST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.3%
Carson Sudbury runSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
84.2%
Jackson Sharman run for 1 yd to the IDST 41Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+12
84.0%
Jackson Sharman pass to Tsion Nunnally for 12 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
83.6%
Jackson Sharman pass to Ian Duarte for 4 yds to the UNM 48Similar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
83.3%
Jackson Sharman pass to Tytan Mason for 5 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
83.2%
Carson Sudbury run for 2 yds to the Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
82.8%
Davis Harsin pass to Damien Morgan for 8 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
82.5%
Carson Sudbury run for 4 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
82.3%
Davis Harsin pass to Ian Duarte for 9 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
82.0%
Davis Harsin run for 7 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.8%
Davis Harsin pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
82.4%
Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+1
82.1%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the UNM 9Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+5
81.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
81.8%
D.J. McKinney run for 1 yd to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
81.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Michael Buckley for 5 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+15
81.1%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian Thomas for a 1ST down Idaho State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mason Young) to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+55
81.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 55 yds to the IDST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.4%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
82.4%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the IDST 7Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.5%
Jack Layne run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:1081% → 86%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
80.5%
Jack Layne pass complete to Cade Keith for 4 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
81.1%
Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+61
85.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 61 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 6FG
24 plays · 70 yds · 11:1815% → 16%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
85.4%
Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the UNM 8Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+1
85.3%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the UNM 9Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+5
84.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the UNM 14Similar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
85.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 1 yd to the UNM 15Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
85.0%
Jack Layne pass to Michael Buckley for 5 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+15
84.6%
Jack Layne pass incomplete, Idaho State Penalty, passinterference (Mason Young)Similar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+55
84.9%
Jack Layne pass to Damon Bankston for 55 yds to the IDST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.4%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
85.4%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the IDST 7Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
85.3%
Jack Layne 7 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.8%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Damien Morgan for 4 yds to the IDST 24Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
84.6%
Davis Harsin run for 5 yds to the IDST 29Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
84.6%
Jackson Sharman run for 2 yds to the IDST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
84.7%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Tytan Mason for 3 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
84.6%
Tytan Mason run for 1 yd to the IDST 35Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+17
84.8%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 17 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
83.6%
Brett Spencer run for 9 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
83.4%
Brett Spencer run for 6 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
83.3%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Damien Morgan for 19 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
83.0%
Brett Spencer run for 1 yd to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
82.9%
Jackson Sharman run for no gain to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+3
83.9%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Tytan Mason for 3 yds to the UNM 10Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
84.5%
Trajan Sinatra 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 7PUNT
21 plays · 4 yds · 9:4415% → 14%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.8%
to Damien Morgan for 4 yds to the IDST 18, Davis Harsin passSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
84.6%
Davis Harsin run for 5 yds to the IDST 29Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
84.6%
Jackson Sharman run for 2 yds to the IDST 31Similar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
84.7%
Jackson Sharman pass to Tytan Mason for 3 yds to the IDST 34Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
84.6%
Tytan Mason run for 1 yd to the IDST 35Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+17
84.8%
Jackson Sharman pass to Michael Shulikov for 17 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
83.6%
Brett Spencer run for 9 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
83.4%
Brett Spencer run for 6 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
83.3%
Jackson Sharman pass to Damien Morgan for 19 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
83.0%
Brett Spencer run for 1 yd to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
82.9%
Jackson Sharman runSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+3
83.9%
Davis Harsin pass to Tytan Mason for 3 yds to the UNM 10Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
84.5%
Trajan Sinatra 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.1%
Davis Harsin run for 4 yds to the IDST 29Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
84.7%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Ian Duarte for 6 yds to the IDST 35 Idaho State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Shulikov) to the IDST 25Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.2%
Jackson Sharman pass complete to Tytan Mason for 5 yds to the IDST 30Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
85.0%
Jackson Sharman run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDST 29Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Gabe Russo punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8DOWNS
15 plays · 6 yds · 7:3586% → 78%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
85.8%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
86.0%
D.J. McKinney run for 9 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
86.3%
D.J. McKinney run for 8 yds to the IDST 45Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+8
86.8%
Jack Layne pass to Keagan Johnson for 8 yds to the IDST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
86.8%
Deshaun Buchanan run for 2 yds to the IDST 35Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
87.0%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+25
80.6%
Jack Layne pass to Dorian Thomas for 10 yds to the IDST 36, to Teilor Tuioti, Idaho State Penalty, personalfoul (Maka Tu'Akoi)Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
80.2%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
50
+3
80.1%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the IDST 47Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-5
79.6%
(13:54) PENALTY UNM False Start 5 yards from ISU47 to UNM48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+7
78.0%
Jack Layne pass complete to D.J. McKinney for 7 yds to the IDST 45Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
78.1%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Zhaiel SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 9FG
15 plays · 16 yds · 6:3721% → 24%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
79.2%
Jackson Sharman pass to Michael Shulikov for 5 yds to the IDST 38Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
77.8%
to Michael Shulikov for a loss of 10 yards to the IDST 38Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
78.2%
Davis Harsin run for 9 yds to the IDST 47Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
77.7%
Davis Harsin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
78.2%
Davis Harsin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+23
78.9%
Davis Harsin pass to Tsion Nunnally for 23 yds to the UNM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
75.7%
Michael Shulikov 30 Yd pass from Davis Harsin (Trajan Sinatra Kick)Similar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
77.4%
Carson Sudbury run for 9 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+9
76.3%
Davis Harsin run for 9 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.3%
Davis Harsin pass incomplete to Damien MorganSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
76.3%
Jackson Sharman pass incomplete to Carson SudburySimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-10
77.2%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Harsin,Davis rush middle for 22 yards gain to the UNM15 (Johnson,Jon), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Holding (Ramirez,Alex) 10 yards from UNM37 to UNM47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+8
78.6%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Ian Duarte for 8 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+56
75.7%
Trajan Sinatra 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 10FG
14 plays · 27 yds · 10:3523% → 39%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
77.5%
Jack Layne pass incomplete, Idaho State Penalty, passinterference (Mason Young)Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
78.6%
Jack Layne sacked by Jackson Irwin for a loss of 9 yards to the UNM 31Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 19
OWN 31
-8
77.2%
Jack Layne sacked by Cade Clyde for a loss of 8 yards to the UNM 23Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 27
OWN 23
+19
76.1%
Scottre Humphrey run for 19 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
76.3%
Daniel Hughes punt for 39 yds to the UNM Similar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
71.3%
Davis Harsin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 44Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+6
71.6%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Tytan Mason for 6 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+22
71.2%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 22 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
69.2%
Davis Harsin run for 1 yd to the UNM 15Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-2
68.9%
Tytan Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 17Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+1
70.2%
Tytan Mason run for 1 yd to the UNM 16Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
61.4%
Trajan Sinatra 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 15:0270% → 74%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
69.8%
Davis Harsin run for 14 yds to the Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.0%
to Ian Duarte, Davis Harsin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
68.6%
Carson Sudbury run for 11 yds to the IDST 44Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
69.4%
Scottre Humphrey run for 7 yds to the IDST 42Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
69.3%
Scottre Humphrey run for 7 yds to the IDST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
70.4%
Zhaiel Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the IDST 37Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+9
67.8%
Jack Layne run for 9 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
68.1%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Humphrey,Scottre rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU26 (Jaques,Beau) PENALTY ISU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ISU28 to ISU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
69.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 14 yds to the IDST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
69.6%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the IDST 7Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
69.3%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the IDST 5Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
66.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the IDST 4Similar
Q3 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
74.1%
Luke Drzewiecki 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 22:3680% → 82%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
79.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 9
50
+3
79.8%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the IDST 47Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
79.4%
New Mexico Penalty, falsestart (5 Yards)Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+7
77.7%
Jack Layne pass to D.J. McKinney for 7 yds to the IDST 45Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
78.0%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
46.2%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 22 yds to the IDST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
51.2%
(09:59) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete short middle to Smith,Zhaiel thrown to ISU43 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Tahir,Gabe) 9 yards from ISU48 to ISU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
51.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Zhaiel Smith for 6 yds to the IDST 33Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
53.7%
Jack Layne pass complete to Michael Buckley for 3 yds to the IDST 30Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
50.4%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Michael BuckleySimilar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
47.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the IDST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
52.8%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+25
49.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 25 yds to the IDST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
49.4%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the IDST 1Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Damon Bankston 1 Yd Run (Jack Layne Pass to Dorian Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 2 yds · 22:1325% → 24%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
75.2%
Carson Sudbury run for 9 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+9
74.3%
Davis Harsin run for 9 yds to the UNM 37Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
74.2%
Davis Harsin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
74.2%
Jackson Sharman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+10
74.9%
Davis Harsin run, Idaho State Penalty, holding (Alex Ramirez)Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+8
76.2%
Davis Harsin pass to Ian Duarte for 8 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+56
77.1%
Trajan Sinatra 56 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Carson Sudbury for no gain to the IDST 25Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.1%
Carson Sudbury run for 3 yds to the IDST 28Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
74.1%
Davis Harsin pass complete to Carson Sudbury for 4 yds to the IDST 32Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
74.4%
(05:34) PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game (Russo,Gabriel) 5 yards from ISU32 to ISU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
75.6%
Gabe Russo punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · -6 yds · 24:0623% → 3%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
76.9%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the UNM 11Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
77.1%
Jack Layne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
76.2%
Jack Layne pass to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+12
75.5%
Daniel Hughes punt for 44 yds to the UNM 43, Ian Duarte returns for 12 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Davis Harsin pass incomplete to Ian DuarteSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Davis Harsin pass incomplete to Tsion NunnallySimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-15
96.9%
Idaho State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the IDST 19Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
97.1%
Davis Harsin pass incomplete to Damien MorganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2887% → 87%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
87.2%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the UNM 11Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
87.2%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Zhaiel SmithSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
86.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for no gain to the UNM 11Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+12
86.5%
Daniel Hughes punt for 44 yds , Ian Duarte returns for 12 yds to the UNM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 16Uncategorized
9 plays · -2 yds · 23:3413% → 3%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
86.9%
Davis Harsin run for a loss of 1 yards to the UNM 44Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+6
87.5%
to Tytan Mason for 6 yds to the UNM 38, Davis Harsin passSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+22
87.1%
Davis Harsin pass to Michael Shulikov for 22 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
86.1%
Davis Harsin run for 1 yd to the UNM 15Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-2
86.1%
Tytan Mason run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 17Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+1
87.1%
Tytan Mason run for 1 yd to the UNM 16Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
88.1%
Trajan Sinatra 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
96.9%
J. Layne takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-1
96.8%
J. Layne takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:3294% → 97%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
94.2%
D.J. McKinney run for 17 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.7%
D.J. McKinney run for no gain to the IDST 41Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
94.7%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Shawn MillerSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+11
94.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Zhaiel Smith for 11 yds to the IDST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
95.8%
Damon Bankston run for 18 yds to the IDST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.6%
Damon Bankston run for no gain to the IDST 12Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
96.6%
D.J. McKinney run for 8 yds to the IDST 4Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
96.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the IDST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:17
Damon Bankston 1 Yd Run (Jack Layne Pass to Dorian Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)
+32.5
FG · Q3 0:00
-11.9
FG · Q3 5:25
Trajan Sinatra 33 yd FG GOOD
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com