Try the model
EWU

Eastern Washington 14 at Boise State 51

BOIS
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 5, 2025 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:48 · Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Noah Cronquist
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+30.4Home team on offense+21.6Score differential+14.3Garbage-time factor+3.7Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:01: Sire Gaines run for 8 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:49: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 60 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:53: Jared Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK) — EWU win probability +1.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:26: Maddux Madsen run for 11 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:55: Cameron Bates run for 20 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6EWU made the numbers' call on 14 of 14
  1. Q1 7:20EWU 4th & 15 at EWU 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 13, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57EWU 4th & 5 at BOIS 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:57EWU 4th & 5 at BOIS 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:31EWU 4th & 6 at EWU 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:36BOIS 4th & 9 at EWU 28, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53EWU 4th & 1 at BOIS 5, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:47EWU 4th & 9 at EWU 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:06BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 37, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:43EWU 4th & 3 at EWU 11, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:50BOIS 4th & 16 at EWU 17, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:12EWU 4th & 21 at EWU 14, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:12EWU 4th & 21 at EWU 14, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:48EWU 4th & 5 at BOIS 35, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:48EWU 4th & 5 at BOIS 35, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:58EWU 4th & 7 at EWU 46, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:59EWU 4th & 10 at EWU 25, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:16BOIS 4th & 6 at EWU 6, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:07BOIS 4th & 5 at EWU 11, up 37
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:06EWU 4th & 10 at EWU 22, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EWU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:50BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:01BOIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:49BOIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:53EWU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:26BOIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:55BOIS Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:56BOIS Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:54EWU Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:54BOIS Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5998% → 98%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
98.2%
Sire Gaines run for 46 yds to the EWU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
98.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 9 yds to the EWU 20Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+20
98.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 20 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.1%
Jared Taylor run for 14 yds to the EWU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
98.0%
Marceese Yetts run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWU 37Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+6
98.0%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Noah Cronquist for 6 yds to the EWU 43Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+2
97.9%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Jaxon Branch for 2 yds Jaxon Branch fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jaden MickeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:5798% → 98%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
97.9%
Sire Gaines run for 1 yd to the EWU 40Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+15
97.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 15 yds to the EWU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Matt LauterSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+17
97.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 17 yds to the EWU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.0%
Sire Gaines run for 8 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:362% → 2%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Miles WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Jared Taylor run for 5 yds to the EWU 30Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.8%
Jared Taylor run for 9 yds to the EWU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.8%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Noah CronquistSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
97.8%
Jared Taylor run for 3 yds to the EWU 42Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-5
97.7%
PENALTY EWU False Start 5 yards from EWU42 to EWU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+3
97.8%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Marceese Yetts for 3 yds to the EWU 34Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Landon Ogles punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0798% → 98%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
97.8%
Sire Gaines run for 4 yds to the BOIS 8Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
97.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Ben FordSimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+5
97.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 5 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
97.7%
Oscar Doyle punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Noah Cronquist at the EWU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:062% → 3%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.6%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Noah CronquistSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
97.6%
Jared Taylor run for 3 yds to the EWU 42Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+13
97.5%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Noah Cronquist for 13 yds to the BOIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
97.4%
Jared Taylor run for 2 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-5
97.4%
Jared Taylor sacked by Lopez Sanusi for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 48Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+8
97.5%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Jaxon Branch for 8 yds to the BOIS 40Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
97.5%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Landon CooperSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
97.5%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Landon CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 60 yds for a TD (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Landon Cooper for 5 yds to the EWU 30Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
98.2%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Taylor,Jared pass incomplete short left to Bell,Nate thrown to EWU35 PENALTY EWU Holding 10 yards from EWU30 to EWU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Marceese YettsSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
98.3%
Jared Taylor run for 9 yds to the EWU 29Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.3%
Landon Ogles punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Malik Sherrod at the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:4998% → 98%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 5 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
98.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
98.2%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the EWU 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+17
98.2%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 17 yds to the EWU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
98.3%
Sire Gaines run for a loss of 1 yard to the EWU 30 Sire Gaines fumbled, recovered by BOIS Sire GainesSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+2
98.3%
Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the EWU 28Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
98.2%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Malik SherrodSimilar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
98.1%
Colton Boomer 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:362% → 4%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.3%
Marceese Yetts run for 5 yds to the EWU 33Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
98.3%
Nate Bell run for 6 yds to the EWU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
98.2%
Nate Bell run for 10 yds to the EWU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
98.2%
Nate Bell run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 9
50
0
98.2%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Marceese YettsSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 9
50
+36
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Miles Williams for 36 yds to the BOIS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
98.1%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Marceese Yetts for 4 yds to the BOIS 10Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
98.1%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 5 yds to the BOIS 5Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
98.2%
Jared Taylor run for no gain to the BOIS 5Similar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
96.5%
Jared Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1697% → 98%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.0%
Sire Gaines run for 5 yds to the BOIS 25Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+21
96.8%
Sire Gaines run for 21 yds to the BOIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
97.0%
Maddux Madsen run for 14 yds to the EWU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+29
97.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 29 yds to the EWU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.3%
Maddux Madsen run for 11 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
Marceese Yetts run for 1 yd to the EWU 26Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
98.3%
Jared Taylor run for 5 yds to the EWU 31Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
98.3%
PENALTY EWU False Start (Pruett,Cole) 5 yards from EWU31 to EWU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+16
98.3%
Landon Ogles punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BOIS 38 , Malik Sherrod returns for 16 yds to the BOIS 42 Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Syncere Brackett-Lambey) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3599% → 98%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
98.5%
(04:40) Shotgun Madsen,Maddux pass incomplete deep middle to Caples,Latrell thrown to EWU25 PENALTY BSU Holding (Schmidt,Hall) 10 yards from BSU38 to BSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+5
98.4%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Dylan Riley for 5 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+4
98.5%
Dylan Riley run for 4 yds to the BOIS 37Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+25
98.5%
(03:29) Shotgun Madsen,Maddux pass complete deep right to Ford,Ben caught at EWU40, for 25 yards to the EWU38, End Of Play PENALTY BSU Illegal Shift offsetting EWU Offside offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
98.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Oscar Doyle punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
98.4%
Jared Taylor run for 1 yd to the EWU 5Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+1
98.4%
Jared Taylor run for 1 yd to the EWU 6Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
98.3%
Eastern Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tylin Jackson) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+5
98.3%
(01:52) Ogles,Landon punt 35 yards to the EWU41, out of bounds at EWU41 PENALTY BSU Running Into The Kicker (Gaines,Sire) 5 yards from EWU06 to EWU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
98.3%
Landon Ogles punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malik Sherrod at the EWU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15FG
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+37
98.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 37 yds to the EWU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-6
98.7%
Malik Sherrod run for a loss of 6 yards to the EWU 17Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 16
OPP 17
0
98.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Ben FordSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
98.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+35
98.6%
Canaan Moore 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -11 yds · 0:312% → 2%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Jaxon BranchSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Noah Cronquist for a loss of 1 yard to the EWU 24Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-10
98.3%
(00:27) Shotgun Taylor,Jared rush left for 11 yards gain to the EWU35 (Notarainni,Marco) PENALTY EWU Holding 10 yards from EWU24 to EWU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Zander TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
98.3%
Landon Ogles punt for 50 yds , Malik Sherrod returns for no gain to the BOIS 36Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
98.3%
Landon Ogles punt for 50 yds , Malik Sherrod returns for no gain to the BOIS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.6%
M. Madsen takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:032% → 2%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.4%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 9 yds to the EWU 34Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Jared Taylor run for no gain to the EWU 34Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
98.3%
Nate Bell run for 8 yds to the EWU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.3%
Marceese Yetts run for 2 yds to the EWU 44Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
98.4%
Jared Taylor run for no gain to the EWU 44Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+16
98.5%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 16 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
98.2%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Marceese Yetts for 2 yds to the BOIS 38Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
98.3%
Nate Bell run for 3 yds to the BOIS 35Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Nate Bell run for no gain to the BOIS 35Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Noah CronquistSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Noah CronquistSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:4299% → 100%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.9%
Sire Gaines run for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 30Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+11
98.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Sire Gaines for 11 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
98.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 11 yds to the EWU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
98.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 8 yds to the EWU 40Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
98.9%
Sire Gaines run for 3 yds to the EWU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Ben FordSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the EWU 36Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+16
99.0%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 16 yds to the EWU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Cameron Bates run for 20 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.7%
Jared Taylor run for 18 yds to the EWU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.7%
Marceese Yetts run for a loss of 1 yard to the EWU 42Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Nolan UlmSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Jared Taylor pass complete to Marceese Yetts for 4 yds to the EWU 46Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Landon Ogles punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Malik Sherrod at the BOIS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:55100% → 100%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Sire Gaines run for no gain to the BOIS 10Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Cameron BatesSimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+20
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 20 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Maddux Madsen run for 8 yds to the BOIS 38Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 4 yds to the BOIS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Sire Gaines run for no gain to the BOIS 42Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+46
99.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chris Marshall for 46 yds to the EWU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Sire Gaines run for 5 yds to the EWU 7Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Sire Gaines run for 6 yds to the EWU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
99.9%
(12:47) Shotgun Gaines,Sire rush left for 1 yard gain to the EWU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 12:47 PENALTY BSU Holding (Carreon,Roger) 10 yards from EWU01 to EWU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incomplete to Cameron BatesSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
Sire Gaines run for 5 yds to the EWU 6Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 6 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Landon CooperSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Nate Bell run for no gain to the EWU 25Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jared Taylor pass incomplete to Nolan UlmSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Landon Ogles punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23MISSED FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 6 yds to the EWU 44Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Max Cutforth pass incomplete to Qumonte Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+34
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 34 yds to the EWU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
99.9%
Max Cutforth run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWU 12Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for 6 yds to the EWU 6Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Max Cutforth pass incomplete to Demetric Whitlock Jr.Similar
Q4 8:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.9%
Canaan Moore 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:160% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jared Taylor run for 6 yds to the EWU 26Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Bell,Nate pass incomplete deep left to Ulm,Nolan thrown to EWU48 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Freeney,Demetrius) 15 yards from EWU26 to EWU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Nate Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Nate Bell run for 6 yds to the EWU 47Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+49
99.9%
Nate Bell pass complete to Noah Cronquist for 49 yds to the BOIS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
99.9%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Bell,Nate rush right for 4 yards gain to the BSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:06 PENALTY EWU Holding (Corning,Aidan) 9 yards from BSU04 to BSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
Nate Bell pass complete to Kevin Allen III for 11 yds to the BOIS 2Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Nate Bell run for 2 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Max Cutforth pass complete to Jaylen Webb for 2 yds to the BOIS 27Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.9%
Dylan Riley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 23Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+77
100.0%
Dylan Riley run for 77 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 26INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Nate Bell pass complete to Kevin Allen III for a loss of 1 yard to the EWU 24Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-21
100.0%
Nate Bell pass intercepted Trey Tolmaire return for 21 yds to the EWU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
100.0%
Seth Knothe run for 3 yds to the EWU 13Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
100.0%
Seth Knothe run for 3 yds to the EWU 10Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-5
100.0%
PENALTY BSU False Start (Steele,Jake) 5 yards from EWU10 to EWU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+4
100.0%
Seth Knothe run for 4 yds to the EWU 11Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+4
100.0%
Seth Knothe run for 4 yds to the EWU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
100.0%
Nate Bell pass complete to Wesley Garrett for 15 yds to the EWU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Nate Bell pass incomplete to Wesley GarrettSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Nate Bell pass complete to Kevin Allen III for no gain to the EWU 22Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Nate Bell pass incomplete to Jaxon BranchSimilar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Landon Ogles punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EWU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
M. Cutforth takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:53
Jared Taylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Soren McKee KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q2 6:26
Maddux Madsen run for 11 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q3 4:55
Cameron Bates run for 20 yds for a TD (Canaan Moore KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com