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CMU

Central Michigan 16 at San José State 14

SJSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:29 · Trent Carrizosa punt for 68 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+7.0Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:20: Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK) — SJSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 4:20: Timeout San José State, clock 04:20 — CMU win probability +6.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:01: Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 45 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK) — SJSU win probability +13.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:13: Cade Graham 28 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +23.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:13: Timeout San José State, clock 04:13 — SJSU win probability +12.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:00CMU 4th & 10 at SJSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:10CMU 4th & 12 at SJSU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:47SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 29, up 10
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:26CMU 4th & 10 at SJSU 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:29CMU 4th & 6 at SJSU 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:01CMU 4th & 14 at CMU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−3.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:04SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−1.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:33SJSU 4th & 13 at SJSU 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−4.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56CMU 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−5.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−21.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:29SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−7.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:53CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.1%−4.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:13CMU 4th & 5 at SJSU 10, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−9.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−22.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:13SJSU 4th & 13 at CMU 15, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−34.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−44.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:53CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 29, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−2.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00SJSU 4th & 4 at CMU 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−13.2
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    38% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−25.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:14CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:20SJSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:01SJSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:5217% → 18%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.7%
Nahree Biggins run for 13 yds to the CMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.5%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+27
82.3%
Trey Cornist run for 27 yds to the SJSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
81.9%
run for 11 yds to the SJSU 44 fumbled, recovered by CMU Angel FloresSimilar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 21
OPP 44
+5
81.9%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+6
81.8%
Nahree Biggins run for 6 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
81.6%
Cade Graham 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2INT
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:0182% → 81%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
81.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 36Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+9
81.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Malachi Riley for 9 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+46
81.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 46 yds to the CMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
81.8%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 4 yds to the CMU 5Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
81.7%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Eget,Walker pass incomplete short right to Scudero,Danny thrown to CMU01 PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Rikard,Elijah) 3 yards from CMU05 to CMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.7%
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the CMU 2Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.4%
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the CMU 2Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.0%
Walker Eget pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:1220% → 25%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
80.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 14 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
80.1%
Trey Cornist run for 15 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
79.5%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the SJSU 48Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
79.2%
Angel Flores pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 9 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
79.0%
Nahree Biggins run for 7 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
78.4%
Jadyn Glasser run for 2 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
78.4%
Jadyn Glasser run for 1 yd to the SJSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
74.7%
Trey Cornist run for 29 yds for a TD (Cade Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5776% → 75%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
76.0%
Lamar Radcliffe run for no gain to the SJSU 31Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-7
75.0%
Walker Eget sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSU 14 Walker Eget fumbled, recovered by CMU Fernando Sanchez III , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4327% → 28%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
73.4%
Trey Cornist run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 15Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+1
73.2%
Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the SJSU 14Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-5
73.1%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Temple,Decorion) 5 yards from SJSU14 to SJSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 15
OPP 19
+3
72.8%
Angel Flores pass complete to Collin Payne for 3 yds to the SJSU 16Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+34
72.5%
Cade Graham 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1572% → 71%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
71.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
71.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
70.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5828% → 29%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
72.1%
Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the CMU 25Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
71.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the CMU 27Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+2
71.1%
Jadyn Glasser run for 2 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
71.1%
Declan Duley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:2569% → 69%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
69.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Malachi Riley for 1 yd to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
68.6%
Walker Eget pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:2831% → 38%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
68.7%
Trey Cornist run for 7 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+6
67.6%
Trey Cornist run for 6 yds to the SJSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
67.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 11 yds to the SJSU 17 for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, (9 Yards) to the SJSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
66.6%
(10:25) Labas,Joe pass complete short right to Dryden,Henry caught at SJSU05, for 8 yards to the SJSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:19 PENALTY CMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Nehf,Matthew) 5 yards from SJSU08 to SJSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
66.6%
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
66.1%
Langston Lewis run for 2 yds to the SJSU 7Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
65.9%
Angel Flores run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSU 10Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
62.4%
Cade Graham 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:5163% → 69%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
62.6%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 8 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+1
62.3%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 1 yd to the SJSU 35Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
61.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 1 yd to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
60.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+36
59.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 36 yds to the CMU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
61.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 7 yds to the CMU 15Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
60.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 4 yds to the CMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
69.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 11 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 26 yds · 2:4537% → 40%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.3%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the CMU 28Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
62.5%
(03:39) PENALTY CMU False Start (Booth,Jacob) 5 yards from CMU28 to CMU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
63.1%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the CMU 23Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
63.7%
Nahree Biggins run for 14 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
60.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 6 yds to the CMU 43Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
58.8%
Nahree Biggins run for 4 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
58.8%
Nahree Biggins run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 42Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+6
60.3%
Joe Labas pass complete to Tyson Davis for 6 yds to the CMU 48Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+3
59.3%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
60.1%
Declan Duley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Thomas at the SJSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 1:1463% → 60%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
62.7%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 6 yds to the SJSU 21Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
63.0%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Tuli Tagovailoa-AmosaSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+4
61.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 4 yds to the SJSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.3%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Cooper HochSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
61.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 12 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.7%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
62.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
61.0%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Grant NorbergSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-5
60.2%
(00:06) Carrizosa,Trent punt 48 yards to the CMU15, out of bounds at CMU15 PENALTY SJSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from SJSU37 to SJSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
60.0%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 64 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5262% → 76%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.2%
Tama Amisone run for 10 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
62.3%
Tama Amisone run for 9 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
64.0%
Tama Amisone run for 4 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
63.4%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the CMU 49Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
63.1%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 4 yds to the CMU 45Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+45
76.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 45 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:4527% → 25%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.4%
Joe Labas pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 11 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
72.4%
Trey Cornist run for 1 yd to the CMU 37Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-5
72.3%
(10:43) Shotgun Lewis,Langston rush right for 4 yards gain to the CMU41 (Bainer,Jalen) PENALTY CMU Illegal Shift 5 yards from CMU37 to CMU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
73.2%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Henry DrydenSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
74.3%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Langston LewisSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
75.0%
Declan Duley punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4973% → 71%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.4%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.1%
Lamar Radcliffe run for 2 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.8%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
71.2%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jr. Justin Ruffin at the CMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2928% → 26%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
72.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the CMU 32Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
71.6%
Joe Labas run for 1 yd to the CMU 33Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
72.5%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Collin PayneSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
73.7%
Declan Duley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:4273% → 69%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
72.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SJSU 28Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
72.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 7 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
72.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
73.4%
San José State Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the SJSU 31Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+4
71.6%
Tama Amisone run for 4 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+1
69.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for 1 yd to the SJSU 36Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
68.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2931% → 34%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
69.1%
Joe Labas pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 11 yds to the CMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
66.6%
Trey Cornist run for no gain to the CMU 48Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+47
66.9%
Angel Flores pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 47 yds to the SJSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.6%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to Rusty VanWetzinga IVSimilar
Q3 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
63.5%
(01:25) Shotgun Flores,Angel rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SJSU01 (Latu,Taniela) PENALTY CMU Illegal Shift 5 yards from SJSU05 to SJSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
63.0%
Angel Flores run for 2 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
64.3%
Angel Flores run for 7 yds to the SJSU 1Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.4%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the SJSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1069% → 66%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
69.2%
Walker Eget pass complete to Kyri Shoels for 7 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 8
0
68.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri ShoelsSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+33
66.9%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 33 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
71.8%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-10
72.0%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Chalk,Floyd rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SJSU48 (Cochran,Dakota) PENALTY SJSU Holding (Harbert,Joseph) 10 yards from SJSU43 to SJSU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
68.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Kyri ShoelsSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 18
OWN 33
-1
66.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 32Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
65.7%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 7:1233% → 67%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.7%
Joe Labas pass incomplete to DeCorion TempleSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
67.1%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the CMU 23Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
68.0%
Joe Labas run for 6 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
67.8%
Jadyn Glasser run for 2 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
64.5%
Angel Flores run for 9 yds to the CMU 40Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
61.2%
Trey Cornist run for 3 yds to the CMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
60.9%
Joe Labas pass complete to Langston Lewis for 14 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
59.3%
Angel Flores run for 5 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
57.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 6 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
55.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 17 yds to the SJSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
55.2%
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the SJSU 10Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
54.8%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the SJSU 10Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
56.6%
Nahree Biggins run for no gain to the SJSU 10Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
33.3%
Cade Graham 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21MISSED FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 2:4446% → 39%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
45.9%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SJSU 24Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+5
44.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 5 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+10
43.6%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 10 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.3%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
44.6%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 10 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+39
48.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Leland Smith for 39 yds to the CMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
53.1%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Danny ScuderoSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
54.9%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the CMU 11Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-4
51.3%
Tama Amisone run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMU 15Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
38.8%
Denis Lynch 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:1683% → 80%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
17.4%
Nahree Biggins run for 5 yds to the CMU 25Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
17.0%
Angel Flores run for 4 yds to the CMU 29Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
18.0%
Angel Flores run for no gain to the CMU 29Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
19.6%
Declan Duley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Thomas at the SJSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23MISSED FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:4736% → 31%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
35.5%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Leland SmithSimilar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
31.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa for 8 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+6
32.4%
Walker Eget pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 6 yds to the SJSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
34.4%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Eget,Walker pass incomplete, Spike PENALTY CMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from SJSU43 to SJSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 5
OWN 48
0
41.6%
Walker Eget pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
36.0%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 8 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.9%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
31.8%
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 6 yds to the CMU 38Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
35.8%
Walker Eget pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+56
30.7%
Denis Lynch 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-30.7
FG · Q4 4:13
Cade Graham 28 yd FG GOOD
-23.3
TD · Q3 12:01
Walker Eget pass complete to Danny Scudero for 45 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)
+13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com