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KENN

Kennesaw State 48 at Liberty 42

LIB
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:47 · (06:52) #91 J.Huiet punt 42 yards to the LU12 fair catch by #15 B.Green at LU12 PENALTY LU Face Mask (#16 J.Marshall) 6 yards from LU12 to LU06
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 60Home team on offense−5.1Score differential−2.1Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Time remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 5:35: Coleman Bennett 1 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick) — KENN win probability +27.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:28: Vaughn Blue 59 Yd pass from Michael Merdinger (Jay Billingsley Kick) — LIB win probability +39.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Evan Dickens 25 Yd Run (Jay Billingsley Kick) — LIB win probability +36.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Gabriel Benyard 25 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Britton Williams Kick) — KENN win probability +45.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Christian Moss 25 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — KENN win probability +40.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:30LIB 4th & 10 at KENN 24, tied
    Close callWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:55LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:47KENN 4th & 19 at KENN 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−2.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:28LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:23KENN 4th & 11 at KENN 48, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:13LIB 4th & 9 at KENN 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:34KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.9
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:09KENN 4th & 4 at LIB 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:03LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:35KENN 4th & 1 at LIB 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−10.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−35.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:13KENN 4th & 10 at KENN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:29KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:27LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:23KENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:46LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:35KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:28LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1FUMBLE
13 plays · 18 yds · 6:1449% → 50%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
48.9%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LU35 (#12 K.Jones)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+6
49.1%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush right for 6 yards gain to the LU41 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
49.3%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short left to #6 R.Smith caught at LU46, for 11 yards to the KSU48 (#44 B.Hopson; #12 K.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
49.6%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU44 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
49.8%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 5 yards gain to the KSU39 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
49.9%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU35 (#9 I.Paul; #46 T.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
50.2%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU29 (#29 M.Jones)Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
50.5%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Coleman rush left for 5 yards gain to the KSU24 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
50.7%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU23 (#1 J.Washington Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
50.9%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to KSU12Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-1
50.7%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger sacked for loss of 1 yard to the KSU24 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 10
OPP 24
-11
50.2%
(08:38) No Huddle #37 M.Morgan rush right for 11 yards loss to the KSU35 fumbled by #37 M.Morgan at KSU35 forced by #2 C.Offord recovered by KSU #1 J.Washington Jr. at KSU35 #1 J.Washington Jr. return 20 yards to the LU45 (#43 J.Billingsley), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0151% → 54%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
49.3%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#56 J.Lee) 5 yards from LU45 to LU50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 15
50
+22
49.6%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 22 yards gain to the LU28 (#6 C.Bodnar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
49.0%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep right to #18 C.Coppock thrown to LU05Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
49.1%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 2 yards loss to the LU30 (#1 C.Bazile, Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+18
49.6%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 18 yards gain to the LU12 (#29 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
48.9%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#76 N.Milovac) 5 yards from LU12 to LU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+5
49.1%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 5 yards gain to the LU12 (#94 N.Pirolli)Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
49.0%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Bryson rush left for 0 yards to the LU12 (#14 E.Auguste)Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
45.8%
Gabriel Benyard 12 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:4547% → 53%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
47.2%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU40 (#44 B.Hopson; #8 R.Daniels)Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
47.4%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short right to #24 V.Blue thrown to LU40 PENALTY LU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#55 H.Hayes) 5 yards from LU40 to LU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
46.6%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short left to #2 C.Cain thrown to LU34Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+40
46.2%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete deep right to #8 T.Mobley caught at KSU26, for 40 yards to the KSU25 (#2 C.Offord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
48.4%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU24 (#44 B.Hopson; #29 M.Jones)Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
48.3%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU21 (#8 R.Daniels)Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+15
47.7%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Mobley thrown to KSU00 broken up by #12 K.Jones PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#12 K.Jones) 15 yards from KSU21 to KSU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
47.9%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU05 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
47.8%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSU06 (#97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
52.7%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:27 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2850% → 58%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.5%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU28 (#3 E.Griffin; #12 E.Hall)Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
50.4%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush right for 0 yards to the KSU28 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+40
51.1%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #9 D.Bryson caught at KSU42, for 40 yards to the LU32 (#14 E.Auguste; #26 A.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
43.2%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 15 yards gain to the LU17 (#14 E.Auguste; #15 B.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
42.9%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 8 yards gain to the LU09 (#14 E.Auguste; #9 D.Spurlock II)Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-1
42.8%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LU10 (#11 D.Farrar; #12 E.Hall)Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+5
42.9%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush right for 5 yards gain to the LU05 (#13 D.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.4%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short left to #1 G.Benyard thrown to LU00 broken up by #26 A.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
42.3%
Clayton Coppock 5 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -35 yds · 1:4745% → 43%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
44.7%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards loss to the LU23 (#56 E.Hill)Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
44.5%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 0 yards to the LU23 (#96 J.Grimes)Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+7
43.5%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LU30 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
43.2%
(11:01) #37 M.Morgan punt 45 yards to the KSU25 fair catch by #1 G.Benyard at KSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:5557% → 57%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.5%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #0 C.Bennett caught at KSU20, for 1 yard to the KSU26, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
43.5%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush left for 17 yards gain to the KSU43 (#29 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
41.6%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU46 (#97 M.Jarvis; #35 D.Glaud)Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
41.4%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 C.Coppock rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU49 (#4 M.Pollard)Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
41.5%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #0 C.Bennett caught at LU46, for 6 yards to the LU45 (#4 M.Pollard; #94 N.Pirolli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
40.9%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #18 C.Coppock caught at LU45, for 10 yards to the LU35 (#4 M.Pollard), out of bounds PENALTY KSU Holding (#1 G.Benyard) 10 yards from LU45 to KSU45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+2
42.5%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU47 (#4 M.Pollard)Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 18
OWN 47
-2
41.3%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 2 yards loss to the KSU45 (#94 N.Pirolli)Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+1
41.7%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU40, for 1 yard to the KSU46 (#29 A.Jones) PENALTY KSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
42.6%
(06:52) #91 J.Huiet punt 42 yards to the LU12 fair catch by #15 B.Green at LU12 PENALTY LU Face Mask (#16 J.Marshall) 6 yards from LU12 to LU06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:1242% → 40%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
42.0%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 1 yard gain to the LU07 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+2
41.8%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Coleman rush left for 2 yards gain to the LU09 (#29 M.Jones)Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+16
40.9%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short middle to #23 E.Dickens caught at LU15, for 16 yards to the LU25 (#46 T.Christopher; #14 D.Westmoreland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.0%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LU29 (#97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
42.2%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Mobley thrown to LU30Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
41.4%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LU23 (#14 D.Westmoreland, #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
40.0%
(03:39) #37 M.Morgan punt 50 yards to the KSU27 #1 G.Benyard return 2 yards to the KSU29 (#16 J.Marshall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5661% → 62%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
39.4%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU32 (#88 K.Cullins; #91 M.Clark)Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+17
38.3%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #6 C.Moss caught at KSU44, for 17 yards to the KSU49 (#15 B.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-6
36.3%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush left for 6 yards loss to the KSU43 fumbled by #2 A.Odom at KSU43 recovered by KSU #0 C.Bennett at KSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+5
36.5%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU48 (#91 M.Clark)Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
36.6%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Bryson thrown to LU50 QB hurried by #57 A.HesterSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+2
38.2%
(01:23) No Huddle #23 J.Mathis rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU50 (#3 E.Griffin), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
14 plays · 50 yds · 1:1544% → 58%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
50
+5
43.7%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 5 yards gain to the KSU45 (#5 T.Dunlap)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
44.1%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short left to #83 A.Henderson caught at KSU40, for 7 yards to the KSU38 (#14 D.Westmoreland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
43.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU37 (#14 D.Westmoreland)Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
43.1%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short middle to #24 V.Blue caught at KSU32, for 10 yards to the KSU27 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
45.1%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to KSU22 broken up by #44 B.HopsonSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
44.8%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short left to #24 V.Blue thrown to KSU30Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+20
42.5%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger rush right for 20 yards gain to the KSU07 (#4 A.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
44.2%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to KSU00Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
43.5%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU06 (#5 T.Dunlap)Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
41.8%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#1 J.Washington Jr.) 4 yards from KSU06 to KSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.4%
Michael Merdinger 2 Yd Run (Jay Billingsley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:0535% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
64.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right thrown to KSU30 QB hurried by #94 N.PirolliSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+30
65.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #1 G.Benyard caught at KSU43, for 30 yards to the LU44 (#15 B.Green; #26 A.Williams), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Face Mask (#26 A.Williams) 15 yards from LU44 to LU29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
60.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU27 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
60.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at LU32, for 2 yards to the LU25 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
61.9%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#56 J.Lee) 5 yards from LU25 to LU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+30
64.2%
Coleman Bennett 30 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · -26 yds · 3:3167% → 70%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
67.3%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short left to #3 J.Person caught at LU35, for 13 yards to the LU38 (#1 J.Washington Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
69.3%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 6 yards gain to the LU44 (#97 A.Watkins; #12 K.Jones)Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
70.5%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LU50 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
50
0
70.7%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short middle to #3 J.Person thrown to KSU40 broken up by #97 A.WatkinsSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
50
-11
70.5%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger rush middle for 11 yards loss to the LU39 fumbled by #7 M.Merdinger at LU45 recovered by LU #7 M.Merdinger at LU39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 21
OWN 39
+12
69.4%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short middle to #3 J.Person caught at LU49, for 12 yards to the KSU49 (#1 J.Washington Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
70.0%
(09:16) #37 M.Morgan punt 35 yards to the KSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2930% → 28%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
69.6%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU18 (#56 S.Cohen)Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+2
69.9%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU20, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+1
71.1%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 C.Coppock rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU21 (#4 M.Pollard)Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+2
72.1%
(07:41) #91 J.Huiet punt 40 yards to the LU39 #15 B.Green return 2 yards to the LU41, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 5:0575% → 62%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
75.2%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short left to #2 C.Cain caught at KSU48, for 12 yards to the KSU47 (#1 J.Washington Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
76.0%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU43 (#92 J.Cooper)Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
76.5%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU38 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
75.8%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU35 (#55 U.Nwoha), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
77.5%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU29 (#97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
77.6%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU26 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
76.8%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU22 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
78.3%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU16 (#97 A.Watkins; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+11
78.6%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 11 yards gain to the KSU05 (#8 R.Daniels; #29 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
61.5%
Evan Dickens 5 Yd Run (Jay Billingsley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0551% → 51%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
49.5%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Moss thrown to KSU48 broken up by #13 D.Harmon, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Pass Interference (#13 D.Harmon) 11 yard from KSU36 to KSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
46.9%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete deep left to #1 G.Benyard caught at LU15, for 53 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:02 PENALTY KSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from KSU47 to KSU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+1
49.9%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 C.Coppock rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU43 (#1 C.Bazile, Jr.; #55 D.Dozier)Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+6
50.4%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU37, for 6 yards to the KSU49 (#6 C.Bodnar), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+4
48.1%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LU47 (#14 E.Auguste)Similar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
49.2%
(00:17) #91 J.Huiet punt 44 yards to the LU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15TD
3 plays · 97 yds · 0:2255% → 81%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
54.5%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 2 yards gain to the LU05 (#21 J.Ziglor)Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+95
80.6%
Evan Dickens 95 Yd Run (Jay Billingsley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:2525% → 54%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.2%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Bryson thrown to KSU46Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+30
50.9%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete deep middle to #6 C.Moss caught at LU35, for 30 yards to the LU35 (#13 D.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
44.3%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 2 yards loss to the LU37 (#29 A.Jones)Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
47.0%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Bryson thrown to LU37 QB hurried by #12 E.HallSimilar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+10
49.0%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #0 C.Bennett caught at LU34, for 8 yards to the LU29 (#4 M.Pollard) PENALTY LU Holding (#11 D.Farrar) 10 yards from LU37 to LU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
43.6%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 11 yards gain to the LU16 (#15 B.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
43.5%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Coppock thrown to LU12 broken up by #6 C.BodnarSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
43.5%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 7 yards gain to the LU09 (#12 E.Hall)Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
45.7%
Amari Odom 9 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0058% → 58%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
58.2%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 4 yards gain to the LU43 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
60.5%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU46 (#97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
59.5%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 1 yard gain to the LU47 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+3
58.1%
(10:09) #37 M.Morgan punt 43 yards to the KSU10 #1 G.Benyard return 3 yards to the KSU13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 4:2248% → 84%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
51.8%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 G.Benyard rush left for 9 yards gain to the KSU22 (#1 C.Bazile, Jr.; #26 A.Williams) PENALTY LU Face Mask (#26 A.Williams) 15 yards from KSU22 to KSU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
49.6%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU41 (#94 N.Pirolli)Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
47.1%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU48 (#94 N.Pirolli), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
46.5%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #1 G.Benyard caught at LU39, for 15 yards to the LU37 (#4 M.Pollard; #14 E.Auguste), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
45.9%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 23 yards gain to the LU14 (#11 D.Farrar), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
43.1%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 11 yards gain to the LU03 (#6 C.Bodnar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
41.8%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 5 yards to the LU08 (#94 N.Pirolli)Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
41.7%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 G.Benyard rush right for 5 yards gain to the LU03 (#15 B.Green), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
43.7%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU01 (#4 M.Pollard)Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.1%
Coleman Bennett 1 Yd Run (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:5821% → 62%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
21.1%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete short middle to #2 C.Cain thrown to LU36Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
20.5%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Coleman rush left for 8 yards gain to the LU31 (#9 I.Paul; #96 J.Grimes)Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+6
21.1%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 6 yards gain to the LU37 (#2 C.Offord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
22.2%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 4 yards gain to the LU41 (#8 R.Daniels; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+59
61.8%
Vaughn Blue 59 Yd pass from Michael Merdinger (Jay Billingsley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:0051% → 49%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
49.3%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU34 (#4 M.Pollard)Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
46.5%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU40 (#4 M.Pollard; #55 D.Dozier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.9%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep left to #9 D.Bryson thrown to LU26Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
47.3%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 C.Coppock rush left for 0 yards to the KSU40 (#11 D.Farrar)Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
48.1%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Bennett thrown to KSU40 QB hurried by #4 M.PollardSimilar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+4
51.4%
(02:13) #91 J.Huiet punt 35 yards to the LU25 #15 B.Green return 4 yards to the LU29 (#21 J.Ziglor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 2:0457% → 68%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
57.2%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 2 yards gain to the LU31 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+16
57.6%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short middle to #8 T.Mobley caught at LU42, for 16 yards to the LU47 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
62.8%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU49 (#44 B.Hopson; #12 K.Jones)Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+11
63.9%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short middle to #8 T.Mobley caught at KSU40, for 11 yards to the KSU38 (#2 C.Offord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
64.4%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU37 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+5
67.1%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass complete short middle to #6 R.Smith caught at KSU33, for 5 yards to the KSU32 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+14
67.5%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KSU18 (#29 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
70.0%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU14 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
70.0%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+32
67.5%
(00:04) #43 J.Billingsley field goal attempt from 32 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis), clock 00:01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 22END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
50.0%
(00:00) Kneel down by #2 A.Odom at KSU18 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.6%
Evan Dickens 25 Yd Run (Jay Billingsley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 24TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
41.1%
Gabriel Benyard 25 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Britton Williams Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 25TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
9.8%
Christian Moss 25 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0032% → 18%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
31.7%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 1 yard loss to the KSU26 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+1
27.3%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU25 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-2
24.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger sacked for loss of 4 yards to the KSU29 (#56 E.Hill, #46 T.Christopher)Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 29
0
18.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Merdinger pass incomplete deep middle to #11 D.Copeland thrown to KSU00 broken up by #4 A.Ford, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Gabriel Benyard 25 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Britton Williams Kick)
-45.5
TD · OT2 0:00
Christian Moss 25 Yd pass from Amari Odom (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-40.4
TD · Q4 3:28
Vaughn Blue 59 Yd pass from Michael Merdinger (Jay Billingsley Kick)
+39.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com