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WKU

Western Kentucky 34 at Jacksonville State 37

JXST
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-15.2JXST 50.4%(08:19) #42 J.Cassidy field goalattempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #18C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich), clock08:15AWAY 34 - HOME 34 · Q4 8:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:19 · (08:19) #42 J.Cassidy field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich), clock 08:15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Home team on offense−3.9Pregame prior−0.7Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:18: (06:23) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #13 P.Baldwin caught at WKU00, for 2 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek) — JXST win probability +12.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: (00:22) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #11 D.Johnson caught at WKU00, for 22 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:15, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek) — JXST win probability +21.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 11:22: (11:33) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 70 yards gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:22, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek) — JXST win probability +13.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:19: (08:19) #42 J.Cassidy field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich), clock 08:15 — WKU win probability +15.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Garrison Rippa 28 Yd Field Goal — JXST win probability +28.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:50JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:04JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:33JXST 4th & 10 at WKU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:44WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−3.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:16WKU 4th & 7 at JXST 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−8.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:13JXST 4th & 3 at WKU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−1.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−12.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:28WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−2.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:54JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.4%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:28JXST 4th & 2 at WKU 9, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%−3.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−20.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:19WKU 4th & 8 at JXST 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−3.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−13.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:02JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:18WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−2.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00JXST 4th & 8 at WKU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−17.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−34.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:13JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:28WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:15WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:18JXST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:52WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:15JXST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:22JXST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4045% → 47%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 7 yards gain to the JSU32 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
44.9%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Baldwin thrown to JSU45Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
44.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #9 C.Coombs caught at JSU34, for 2 yards to the JSU34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
45.0%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 7 yards gain to the JSU41 (#21 J.Wester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+34
45.2%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep middle to #11 D.Johnson caught at WKU29, for 34 yards to the WKU25 (#17 D.Herard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
45.7%
(12:55) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #11 D.Johnson caught at WKU14, for 11 yards to the WKU14 (#17 D.Herard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
46.9%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush right for 14 yards gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:13, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:3854% → 55%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
46.4%
(12:12) Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush left for 4 yards gain to the WKU38 (#12 M.Jones)Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+15
46.5%
(11:43) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete short right to #0 M.Henry thrown to WKU43 broken up by #1 C.Nix PENALTY JSU Roughing The Passer (#12 M.Jones) 15 yards from WKU38 to JSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+32
46.6%
(11:36) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete deep right to #3 M.Barry caught at JSU15, for 32 yards to the JSU15, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
46.6%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Hutchinson rush left for 6 yards gain to the JSU09 (#10 R.Rainer)Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
46.9%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JSU07 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
47.4%
(09:52) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 4 yards gain to the JSU03 (#40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.5%
(09:18) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JSU01 (#49 T.Gallagher)Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.4%
(08:41) #16 R.Tisdale Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:28 #39 J.Cannon kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:2646% → 46%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.3%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Lando rush left for 1 yard gain to the JSU26 (#17 D.Herard; #52 J.Fletcher)Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
46.4%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 20 yards gain to the JSU46 fumbled by #12 C.Creel at JSU35 forced by #7 J.Lewis recovered by WKU #50 E.Jones at JSU46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2955% → 58%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
45.5%
(07:54) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short middle to #0 M.Henry caught at JSU36, for 12 yards to the JSU34 (#92 T.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
45.4%
(07:27) Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 11 yards gain to the JSU23 (#12 M.Jones; #1 C.Nix), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
45.5%
(06:41) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete deep middle to #0 M.Henry caught at JSU03, for 22 yards to the JSU01 (#31 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.3%
(06:16) #11 L.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the JSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:15 #39 J.Cannon kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5943% → 42%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.4%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JSU26 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
43.3%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 5 yards gain to the JSU31 (#50 E.Jones)Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
43.1%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel sacked for loss of 6 yards to the JSU25 (#26 J.Eugene Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
42.4%
(04:10) #87 C.Donaghy punt 40 yards to the WKU35 fair catch by #5 J.Mack at WKU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:0058% → 65%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
42.4%
(04:04) Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU37 (#99 E.Oyebadejo)Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
42.1%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short middle to #5 J.Mack caught at WKU41, for 8 yards to the WKU45 (#59 M.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
41.6%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush left for 8 yards gain to the JSU47 (#5 T.Taylor)Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+2
41.1%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JSU45 (#5 T.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
40.9%
(01:59) No Huddle #4 C.Flowers pass incomplete short right to #16 R.Tisdale Jr. thrown to JSU48Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
40.9%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Hart III rush right for 8 yards gain to the JSU37 (#2 T.Franklin, Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
40.8%
(01:25) Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 5 yards gain to the JSU32 (#31 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
40.4%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete short left to #21 M.Parrish thrown to JSU20 broken up by #2 T.Franklin, Jr.Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
40.4%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short left to #2 K.Hutchinson caught at JSU34, for 11 yards to the JSU21 (#96 D.Prater), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
40.1%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short middle to #2 K.Hutchinson caught at JSU24, for 8 yards to the JSU13 (#5 T.Taylor), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
35.0%
(14:57) #2 K.Hutchinson rush right for 13 yards gain to the JSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:53, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Cannon kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:1337% → 37%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.8%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JSU26 (#34 K.Hayward)Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+33
36.5%
(14:24) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #4 C.Cook caught at JSU24, for 33 yards to the WKU41 (#34 K.Hayward), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
37.3%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 5 yards gain to the WKU36 (#21 J.Wester), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
37.1%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 4 yards gain to the WKU32 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
36.7%
(12:37) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU30 (#21 J.Wester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+25
36.1%
(12:03) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #11 D.Johnson caught at WKU20, for 25 yards to the WKU05 (#17 D.Herard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
35.8%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WKU06 (#52 J.Fletcher)Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
35.5%
(10:53) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 2 yards gain to the WKU04 (#17 D.Herard)Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
34.7%
(10:17) Shotgun #12 C.Creel sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WKU10 (#13 R.Harrison)Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
37.2%
(09:37) #37 G.Rippa field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek), clock 09:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2164% → 64%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
36.3%
(09:33) Shotgun #2 K.Hutchinson rush right for 3 yards loss to the WKU32 (#59 M.Sanders)Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+4
36.6%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WKU36 (#59 M.Sanders; #7 I.Walker)Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-37
36.5%
(08:16) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass intercepted by #40 W.O'Steen at WKU47 #40 W.O'Steen return 37 yards to the WKU10 (#11 L.Wright), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:3638% → 48%
Q2 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.7%
(07:58) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 0 yards to the WKU10 (#98 J.Hardy)Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
37.6%
(07:31) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WKU12 (#3 A.Brackenridge)Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
36.0%
(06:47) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 7 yards gain to the WKU05 (#21 J.Wester) PENALTY WKU Face Mask (#17 D.Herard) 3 yards from WKU05 to WKU02, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.3%
(06:23) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #13 P.Baldwin caught at WKU00, for 2 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:18, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:1156% → 70%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
44.1%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WKU11 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+9
44.4%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short middle to #0 M.Henry caught at WKU15, for 9 yards to the WKU20 (#12 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
43.9%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU22 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
44.1%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short left to #21 M.Parrish caught at WKU21, for 5 yards to the WKU27 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+15
44.0%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete short left to #3 M.Barry thrown to WKU45 PENALTY JSU Pass Interference (#5 T.Taylor) 15 yards from WKU27 to WKU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
42.2%
(03:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 1 yard gain to the WKU43 (#7 I.Walker)Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
41.0%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short left to #3 M.Barry caught at WKU50, for 7 yards to the WKU50, out of bounds at WKU50Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 2
50
+3
40.6%
(02:27) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JSU47 (#7 I.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
39.6%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush left for 8 yards gain to the JSU39 (#5 T.Taylor), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+39
30.2%
(02:00) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 39 yards gain to the JSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:52, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Cannon kick attempt good (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:3732% → 51%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.8%
PENALTY JSU False Start (#54 A.Grayson) 5 yards from JSU25 to JSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
31.3%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JSU22 (#3 A.Brackenridge)Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
31.3%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #1 M.Pettway thrown to JSU41Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+28
30.1%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 28 yards gain to the JSU50 (#7 J.Lewis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
50
0
33.6%
(00:48) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Cook thrown to WKU47Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
50
+13
32.9%
(00:43) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #84 F.Baret Jr. caught at WKU37, for 13 yards to the WKU37 (#10 D.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
33.5%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 G.Wimsatt pass incomplete deep middle to #11 D.Johnson thrown to WKU00 PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (#6 N.Ward) 15 yards from WKU37 to WKU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
50.5%
(00:22) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #11 D.Johnson caught at WKU00, for 22 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:15, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
42.8%
(00:13) Kneel down by Western Ky. at WKU23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1557% → 55%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
42.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short left to #81 N.Meyers caught at WKU15, for 2 yards to the WKU15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+13
42.6%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush right for 13 yards gain to the WKU28 (#99 E.Oyebadejo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
43.4%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush right for 3 yards gain to the WKU31 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+1
44.1%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short right to #2 K.Hutchinson caught at WKU19, for 1 yard to the WKU20 (#43 T.Woods)Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 18
OWN 20
0
45.1%
(12:44) #18 C.Maynard punt 56 yards to the JSU24, out of bounds at JSU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 1:1644% → 57%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
43.5%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush right for 3 yards gain to the JSU27 (#7 J.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
43.7%
(12:03) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 3 yards gain to the JSU30 (#50 E.Jones)Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+70
57.0%
(11:33) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 70 yards gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:22, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:5343% → 51%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.9%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the WKU30 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
56.1%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WKU29 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
58.1%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short left to #81 N.Meyers caught at WKU40, for 15 yards to the WKU44 (#5 T.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+29
54.6%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete deep left to #3 M.Barry caught at JSU35, for 29 yards to the JSU27 (#43 T.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
52.2%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JSU25 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
52.2%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #3 M.Barry thrown to JSU02 QB hurried by #40 W.O'SteenSimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+1
54.4%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JSU24 (#16 Q.Hood)Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
48.9%
(07:16) #39 J.Cannon field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich), clock 07:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:4754% → 55%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
53.5%
(07:13) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 44 yards gain to the WKU31 (#7 J.Lewis; #6 N.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
59.0%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Johnson thrown to WKU16 PENALTY WKU Roughing The Passer (#3 A.Brackenridge) 15 yards from WKU31 to WKU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
59.0%
(06:41) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 16 yards gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:33 PENALTY JSU Holding (#13 P.Baldwin) 10 yards from WKU16 to WKU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+18
58.6%
(06:19) Shotgun #81 G.Glover pass complete short right to #2 G.Wimsatt caught at WKU08, for 18 yards to the WKU08, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
59.3%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 1 yard gain to the WKU07 (#3 A.Brackenridge; #11 K.Robinson)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
57.9%
PENALTY JSU False Start (#7 H.Hamsley) 5 yards from WKU07 to WKU12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
57.7%
(04:49) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush right for 3 yards gain to the WKU09 (#16 A.Cole)Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+2
55.3%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 2 yards gain to the WKU07 (#7 J.Lewis), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3849% → 47%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
50.8%
(04:12) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WKU14 (#1 C.Nix)Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+4
50.3%
(03:50) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WKU18 (#49 T.Gallagher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
50.2%
(03:12) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short middle to #2 K.Hutchinson caught at WKU25, for 7 yards to the WKU25 (#12 M.Jones)Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+10
49.1%
(02:43) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 10 yards gain to the WKU35 (#54 K.Bendolph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
49.2%
(02:23) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short right to #5 J.Mack caught at WKU35, for 1 yard to the WKU36 (#7 I.Walker)Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
49.1%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete short left to #21 M.Parrish thrown to WKU37Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
50.9%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete short right to #0 M.Henry thrown to WKU50Similar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+1
52.7%
(01:37) #18 C.Maynard punt 45 yards to the JSU19 #1 M.Pettway return 1 yard to the JSU20 (#11 L.Wright) PENALTY WKU Illegal Formation 5 yards from JSU20 to JSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:5354% → 69%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.3%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 5 yards gain to the JSU30 (#93 R.Su'a-Filo), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
55.4%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JSU33 (#15 J.Gray)Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
54.8%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JSU34 (#15 J.Gray)Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
53.1%
(14:57) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JSU37 (#3 A.Brackenridge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
56.5%
(14:23) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #11 D.Johnson caught at JSU48, for 30 yards to the WKU33 (#7 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.4%
(13:50) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short left to #9 C.Coombs thrown to WKU34Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
61.3%
(13:47) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WKU32 (#93 R.Su'a-Filo) PENALTY WKU Face Mask (#93 R.Su'a-Filo) 15 yards from WKU32 to WKU17, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
61.5%
(13:36) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WKU11 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
61.6%
(13:08) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU09 (#44 H.Holloman)Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
59.9%
(12:36) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Cook thrown to WKU10 broken up by #34 K.HaywardSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
68.6%
(12:33) #37 G.Rippa field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek), clock 12:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
64.8%
(12:28) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short left to #2 K.Hutchinson caught at WKU23, for 10 yards to the WKU35 fumbled by #2 K.Hutchinson at WKU30 forced by #99 E.Oyebadejo recovered by JSU #1 C.Nix at WKU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20KICKOFF
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2573% → 73%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
72.7%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 G.Wimsatt rush right for 10 yards gain to the WKU25 (#16 A.Cole), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
72.9%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 4 yards gain to the WKU21 (#3 A.Brackenridge; #7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
73.1%
(11:26) Shotgun #0 A.Paul rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU19 (#13 R.Harrison)Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-2
72.7%
(10:55) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #4 C.Cook caught at WKU22, for 2 yards loss to the WKU21 (#21 J.Wester), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4942% → 50%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
57.8%
(10:08) Shotgun #2 K.Hutchinson rush right for 6 yards gain to the JSU19 (#40 W.O'Steen) PENALTY WKU Holding (#85 J.West) 10 yards from JSU25 to JSU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+3
60.1%
(09:44) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JSU32 (#96 D.Prater)Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 17
OPP 32
0
61.2%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #3 M.Barry thrown to JSU00 broken up by #5 T.TaylorSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+9
65.6%
(09:07) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush right for 9 yards gain to the JSU23 (#91 G.Stansbury; #40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
50.4%
(08:19) #42 J.Cassidy field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich), clock 08:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0558% → 58%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.0%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 0 yards to the JSU25 (#7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.8%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 13 yards gain to the JSU38 (#50 E.Jones; #21 J.Wester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
60.2%
(07:08) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 5 yards gain to the JSU43 (#34 K.Hayward)Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
62.9%
(06:29) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 0 yards to the JSU43 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
60.8%
(06:15) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep right to #4 C.Cook thrown to WKU30 PENALTY JSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
57.9%
(06:08) #87 C.Donaghy punt 43 yards to the WKU14 fair catch by #5 J.Mack at WKU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3549% → 47%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
51.5%
(06:02) Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 22 yards gain to the WKU36 (#40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
49.3%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 L.Wright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WKU40 (#40 W.O'Steen; #49 T.Gallagher)Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
46.6%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete short right to #0 M.Henry thrown to WKU46Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
50.1%
(05:04) Shotgun #16 R.Tisdale Jr. pass complete short right to #81 N.Meyers caught at WKU37, for 1 yard to the WKU41 (#12 M.Jones)Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+15
53.1%
(04:26) #18 C.Maynard punt 35 yards to the JSU24 #1 C.Nix return 15 yards to the JSU39 (#9 D.Oliver; #22 J.Donald)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 24FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:0962% → 94%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
62.3%
(04:18) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 16 yards gain to the WKU45 (#50 E.Jones; #11 K.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
66.0%
(03:46) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 0 yards to the WKU45 (#11 K.Robinson)Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
65.8%
(03:11) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short left to #4 C.Cook thrown to WKU47 QB hurried by #44 H.HollomanSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
63.0%
PENALTY JSU False Start (#11 D.Johnson) 5 yards from WKU45 to WKU50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 15
50
+18
60.1%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #1 M.Pettway caught at WKU32, for 18 yards to the WKU32, out of bounds at WKU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
68.9%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WKU31 (#13 R.Harrison)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
68.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU29 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+16
64.6%
(01:54) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #13 P.Baldwin caught at WKU25, for 16 yards to the WKU13 (#21 J.Wester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
68.2%
(01:24) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WKU05 (#50 E.Jones; #7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-4
68.5%
(00:40) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 4 yards loss to the WKU09 (#44 H.Holloman)Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-2
65.9%
(00:01) Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 2 yards loss to the WKU11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
94.3%
Garrison Rippa 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Garrison Rippa 28 Yd Field Goal
+28.4
TD · Q2 0:15
(00:22) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep right to #11 D.Johnson caught at WKU00, for 22 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:15, 1ST DOWN #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek)
+21.4
FG · Q4 8:19
(08:19) #42 J.Cassidy field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #18 C.Maynard, LS: #55 R.Robich), clock 08:15
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com