Try the model
LIB

Liberty 27 at Florida International 34

FIU
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Pitbull Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · (00:22) No Huddle #5 K.Owens rush middle for 0 yards to the LIB40 (#97 M.Jarvis), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+12.5+6.30−6.3−12.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 170Home team on offense+5.4Pregame prior+0.0Score differential−1.3Time remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Defense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:44: (08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at FIU00, for 15 yards to the FIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:44, 1ST DOWN #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis) — LIB win probability +2.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:47: (10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 9 yards gain to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:47 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood) — FIU win probability +3.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:25: (13:29) #16 N.Grant field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood), clock 13:25 — LIB win probability +2.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:00: Jay Billingsley 48 Yd Field Goal — LIB win probability +11.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: (00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short middle to #84 M.Anderson caught at LIB00, for 7 yards to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood) — LIB win probability +2.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:40FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51LIB 4th & 3 at FIU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    55.5%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:59FIU 4th & 1 at LIB 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−2.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:49FIU 4th & 15 at LIB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:01LIB 4th & 22 at FIU 39, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%−2.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    51.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:17LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:04LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.1%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:08LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:18FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.3%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:36FIU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.4%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:25FIU 4th & 6 at LIB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−14.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:16FIU 4th & 8 at LIB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−3.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:48LIB 4th & 11 at FIU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−6.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−25.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:20FIU 4th & 1 at LIB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−8.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:44LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0445% → 45%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
45.0%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #4 A.Perry caught at FIU29, for 4 yards to the FIU29 (#26 A.Williams)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
45.1%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 0 yards to the FIU29 (#29 A.Jones)Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
45.2%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Payne thrown to FIU44 QB hurried by #99 B.DixonSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
45.2%
(13:46) #6 T.Wilhoit punt 42 yards to the LIB29 fair catch by #6 R.Smith at LIB29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:5055% → 57%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
45.3%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete deep middle to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to FIU20Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
45.4%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush right for 1 yard gain to the LIB30 (#19 O.Agunloye)Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+17
45.6%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #8 T.Mobley caught at LIB47, for 17 yards to the LIB47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FIU Sideline Inteference 15 yards from LIB47 to FIU38Similar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
45.3%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #0 J.Coleman caught at FIU39, for 10 yards to the FIU28 (#23 J.McGrew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
45.3%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FIU27 (#95 Q.Hill)Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
45.5%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #6 R.Smith caught at FIU22, for 5 yards to the FIU22, out of bounds at FIU22Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
45.4%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #23 E.Dickens caught at FIU22, for 3 yards to the FIU19 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+2
45.5%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 2 yards gain to the FIU17 (#25 K.Simmons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+2
45.8%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FIU15 (#23 J.McGrew)Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 3
OPP 15
0
46.1%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #6 R.Smith thrown to FIU15 broken up by #35 J.TaylorSimilar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
43.3%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at FIU00, for 15 yards to the FIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:44, 1ST DOWN #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:5253% → 55%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.8%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 5 yards gain to the LIB40 (#11 P.Courtney Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
46.3%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIB46 (#11 P.Courtney Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
46.2%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LIB50, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 6
50
+2
46.1%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 2 yards gain to the FIU48 (#11 P.Courtney Jr.)Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+18
45.9%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at FIU35, for 18 yards to the FIU30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
45.2%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 7 yards gain to the FIU23 (#22 S.Sterlin)Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+7
45.1%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 7 yards gain to the FIU16 (#23 J.McGrew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
45.1%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush left for 14 yards gain to the FIU02 (#22 S.Sterlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.1%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4446% → 49%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.3%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete short middle to #5 K.Owens thrown to FIU23 QB hurried by #6 C.BodnarSimilar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
46.4%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FIU31 (#97 M.Jarvis)Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
46.4%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short middle to #4 A.Perry caught at FIU41, for 10 yards to the FIU41 (#26 A.Williams), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LIB Roughing The Passer (#29 A.Jones) 15 yards from FIU41 to LIB44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
48.1%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #5 K.Owens caught at LIB40, for 5 yards to the LIB39 (#11 D.Farrar), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
48.2%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIB33 (#11 D.Farrar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
48.4%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #4 A.Perry caught at LIB35, for 4 yards to the LIB35 (#26 A.Williams)Similar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
48.7%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #0 D.Payne caught at LIB32, for 14 yards to the LIB19 (#15 B.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
48.7%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #7 K.McNeal caught at LIB10, for 9 yards to the LIB10 (#15 B.Green)Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+4
48.7%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 4 yards gain to the LIB06, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
48.7%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush left for 6 yards gain to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:55 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 3:5449% → 52%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
48.6%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #4 A.Perry caught at FIU29, for 36 yards to the LIB44 (#7 D.Henderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
50.7%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete deep right to #18 J.Stone thrown to LIB22Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
50.6%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LIB36 (#15 B.Green)Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
50.5%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush left for 3 yards gain to the LIB33 (#91 M.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
51.3%
PENALTY LIB Disconcerting Signals (#88 K.Cullins) 5 yards from LIB33 to LIB28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 5
OPP 28
0
51.5%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete deep right to #18 J.Stone thrown to LIB00Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
51.5%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIB26 (#11 D.Farrar)Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+6
51.0%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIB20 (#6 C.Bodnar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
52.0%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LIB15 (#35 D.Glaud)Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+6
52.0%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LIB09 (#91 M.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
52.2%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 0 yards to the LIB09 (#33 A.Vaughan)Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
52.4%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 9 yards gain to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:47 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:3952% → 56%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
48.3%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 8 yards gain to the LIB34 (#23 J.McGrew)Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+2
47.0%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LIB36 (#27 M.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
47.5%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete deep left to #24 V.Blue caught at FIU30, for 36 yards to the FIU28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
45.1%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FIU24 (#13 D.Anderson)Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+22
44.0%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush left for 22 yards gain to the FIU02 (#13 D.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
44.0%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FIU01 (#35 J.Taylor)Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.9%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FIU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:54 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
19 plays · 58 yds · 4:5451% → 52%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.6%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete deep right to #20 D.Lyons thrown to FIU43Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+28
50.6%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 28 yards gain to the FIU48 (#13 D.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
53.1%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #4 A.Perry caught at FIU45, for 8 yards to the LIB44 (#11 D.Farrar), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
53.7%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete deep left to #4 A.Perry thrown to LIB00 QB hurried by #13 D.HarmonSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
53.2%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush left for 1 yard gain to the LIB43 (#94 N.Pirolli)Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
52.2%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush left for 2 yards gain to the LIB41 (#4 M.Pollard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
54.2%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush right for 13 yards gain to the LIB28, out of bounds at LIB28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
55.1%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush right for 9 yards gain to the LIB19 (#13 D.Harmon)Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
57.1%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIB17 (#7 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
57.1%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush left for 1 yard loss to the LIB18 (#30 E.Crisp) PENALTY FIU Holding (#4 A.Perry) 10 yards from LIB17 to LIB27. NO PLAY. #30 E.Crisp injured on the playSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+2
56.7%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Lyons rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIB25 (#13 D.Harmon)Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+5
55.9%
PENALTY FIU False Start (#7 K.McNeal) 5 yards from LIB25 to LIB30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 23
OPP 30
+8
55.7%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush right for 8 yards gain to the LIB22, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
53.9%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete short right to #4 A.Perry thrown to LIB05Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
51.7%
(01:52) #16 N.Grant field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood), clock 01:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8END OF HALF
15 plays · 31 yds · 1:3951% → 51%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
49.1%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short middle to #6 R.Smith thrown to LIB35 PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (#11 P.Courtney Jr.) 5 yards from LIB30 to LIB35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.8%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Person thrown to LIB49Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
49.4%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #3 J.Person caught at LIB39, for 7 yards to the LIB42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
46.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #3 J.Person caught at LIB50, for 10 yards to the FIU48 (#2 B.Blades II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
45.2%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at FIU37, for 11 yards to the FIU37 (#7 J.Celestine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
44.4%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at FIU31, for 6 yards to the FIU31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
43.0%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Mobley thrown to FIU00 QB hurried by #25 K.SimmonsSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+4
44.1%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #6 R.Smith caught at FIU27, for 4 yards to the FIU27 (#27 M.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
43.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko sacked for loss of 7 yards to the FIU34 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.)Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 17
OPP 34
0
45.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 17
OPP 34
0
47.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete deep left to #3 J.Person thrown to FIU05 broken up by #4 V.Evans IIISimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 17
OPP 34
+5
49.5%
PENALTY LIB False Start (#57 A.Hester) 5 yards from FIU34 to FIU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 22
OPP 39
0
49.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete deep right thrown to FIU00 broken up by #22 S.Sterlin, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2552% → 50%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
48.2%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #0 J.Coleman caught at LIB28, for 3 yards to the LIB33 (#23 J.McGrew)Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
47.8%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush right for 1 yard gain to the LIB34 (#35 J.Taylor)Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
48.8%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #84 J.Jenkins thrown to LIB40 broken up by #23 J.McGrewSimilar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+15
50.5%
(13:26) #37 M.Morgan punt 38 yards to the FIU28 #84 M.Anderson return 15 yards to the FIU43 (#30 E.Crisp)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:3755% → 58%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
55.3%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush left for 6 yards gain to the FIU49 (#13 D.Harmon)Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+17
55.8%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 17 yards gain to the LIB34 (#7 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
57.0%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #7 K.McNeal caught at LIB23, for 11 yards to the LIB23, out of bounds at LIB23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
57.3%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #7 K.McNeal caught at LIB25, for 5 yards to the LIB18 (#26 A.Williams)Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+1
57.4%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIB17 (#1 C.Bazile, Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+8
56.2%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #18 J.Stone caught at LIB09, for 8 yards to the LIB09, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
57.7%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIB08 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
58.0%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short middle to #4 A.Perry caught at LIB00, for 8 yards to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:1250% → 48%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
49.9%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right thrown to LIB35 QB hurried by #13 D.AndersonSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
50.2%
PENALTY LIB False Start (#23 E.Dickens) 5 yards from LIB19 to LIB14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+14
50.5%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #3 J.Person caught at LIB28, for 14 yards to the LIB28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
49.8%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 0 yards to the LIB28 (#23 J.McGrew)Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+1
52.0%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIB29 (#35 J.Taylor; #22 S.Sterlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
49.7%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 4 yards gain to the LIB33 (#22 S.Sterlin)Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
48.9%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIB34 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
50.3%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #83 A.Henderson thrown to LIB47Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+7
52.0%
(06:19) #37 M.Morgan punt 54 yards to the FIU12 #84 M.Anderson return 7 yards to the FIU19 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 7:2954% → 57%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
53.7%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FIU23 (#33 A.Vaughan)Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
54.1%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush left for 3 yards gain to the FIU26 (#11 D.Farrar)Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
52.5%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short middle to #18 J.Stone caught at FIU28, for 2 yards to the FIU28 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+2
51.8%
(04:26) #16 J.Pesansky rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FIU30 (#94 N.Pirolli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
54.3%
(03:45) #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #7 K.McNeal caught at FIU26, for 11 yards to the FIU41 (#29 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.7%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #4 A.Perry caught at FIU37, for 0 yards to the FIU41 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
55.6%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #0 D.Payne caught at FIU42, for 3 yards to the FIU44 (#15 B.Green)Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
55.8%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #18 J.Stone caught at FIU48, for 6 yards to the FIU50 (#8 B.Williams)Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 1
50
+4
56.0%
(01:43) Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #0 D.Payne caught at FIU49, for 4 yards to the LIB46 (#29 A.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
59.4%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #6 A.Carrie caught at FIU50, for 5 yards to the LIB41 (#15 B.Green) PENALTY LIB Personal Foul (#55 D.Dozier) 15 yards from LIB41 to LIB26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
60.8%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 J.Stone rush right for 2 yards gain to the LIB24 (#7 D.Henderson)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+5
61.1%
PENALTY FIU False Start (#51 Z.Flournoy) 5 yards from LIB24 to LIB29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+6
60.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush left for 6 yards gain to the LIB23 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+1
59.6%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIB22 (#11 D.Farrar). #59 J.Buchanon injured on the playSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
56.8%
(13:29) #16 N.Grant field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood), clock 13:25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:0649% → 52%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
50.8%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Coleman rush left for 15 yards gain to the LIB40 (#23 J.McGrew), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
47.8%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LIB41 (#22 S.Sterlin)Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-8
48.2%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass intercepted by #23 J.McGrew at FIU48 QB hurried by #95 Q.Hill #23 J.McGrew return 8 yards to the LIB44 (#0 J.Coleman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4761% → 56%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
60.7%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete deep middle thrown to LIB03. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass intercepted by #16 J.Marshall at LIB03, End Of Play)Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
60.6%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short left to #6 A.Carrie caught at LIB50, for 2 yards to the LIB42 (#26 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
59.6%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #0 D.Payne caught at LIB43, for 0 yards to the LIB42 (#11 D.Farrar), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
55.6%
(10:20) #6 T.Wilhoit punt 38 yards to the LIB04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 7:1948% → 50%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
52.0%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #0 J.Coleman caught at LIB07, for 11 yards to the LIB15 (#2 B.Blades II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
51.6%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 11 yards gain to the LIB26 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
51.2%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 4 yards gain to the LIB30 (#22 S.Sterlin)Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+6
50.2%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 6 yards gain to the LIB36 (#35 J.Taylor; #0 J.Chaney Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
49.7%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 3 yards gain to the LIB39 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.)Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+15
47.8%
PENALTY FIU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from LIB39 to FIU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
44.8%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko sacked for loss of 10 yards to the LIB44 (#44 K.Davis)Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+19
49.2%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #84 J.Jenkins caught at FIU44, for 19 yards to the FIU37 (#27 M.Clark)Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
44.3%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Coleman rush right for 5 yards gain to the FIU32 (#23 J.McGrew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
42.6%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 5 yards gain to the FIU27 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.)Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+8
42.1%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 8 yards gain to the FIU19 (#22 S.Sterlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
42.0%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FIU18 (#22 S.Sterlin)Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
41.8%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 3 yards gain to the FIU15 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
44.1%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #24 V.Blue thrown to FIU20 QB hurried by #44 K.DavisSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+5
48.5%
PENALTY LIB Delay Of Game (#15 E.Vasko) 5 yards from FIU15 to FIU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+38
49.7%
(02:48) #43 J.Billingsley field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis), clock 02:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 30 yds · 2:2060% → 63%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
59.9%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FIU29 (#11 D.Farrar)Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
61.2%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush left for 4 yards loss to the FIU25 (#1 C.Bazile, Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+26
57.9%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete deep left to #18 J.Stone caught at FIU47, for 26 yards to the LIB49 (#33 A.Vaughan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
65.9%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 1 yard loss to the LIB50 (#97 M.Jarvis)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 11
50
+7
62.5%
(01:59) #5 K.Owens rush left for 7 yards gain to the LIB43 (#33 A.Vaughan; #11 D.Farrar)Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
64.7%
(01:11) No Huddle #5 K.Owens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LIB40 (#15 B.Green)Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
62.7%
(00:22) No Huddle #5 K.Owens rush middle for 0 yards to the LIB40 (#97 M.Jarvis), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:1453% → 62%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.6%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left thrown to LIB31 broken up by #90 X.ChapmanSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
48.0%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Person thrown to LIB50Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+29
50.2%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete deep left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at FIU40, for 29 yards to the FIU31 (#23 J.McGrew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+48
38.5%
Jay Billingsley 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky rush right for 0 yards to the LIB25, out of bounds at LIB25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
65.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete deep left thrown to LIB00Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+18
62.8%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short right to #4 A.Perry caught at LIB07, for 18 yards to the LIB07, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 A.Carrie rush middle for 0 yards to the LIB07 (#33 A.Vaughan)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass incomplete short middle thrown to LIB00 QB hurried by #11 D.FarrarSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
63.3%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Pesansky pass complete short middle to #84 M.Anderson caught at LIB00, for 7 yards to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0059% → 50%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
41.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 9 yards gain to the FIU16 (#23 J.McGrew)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
41.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush right for 4 yards gain to the FIU12 (#22 S.Sterlin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
41.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FIU09 (#95 Q.Hill)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
41.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 2 yards gain to the FIU07 (#0 J.Chaney Jr.; #22 S.Sterlin)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-1
43.6%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko sacked for loss of 1 yard to the FIU08 (#44 K.Davis)Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 8
0
50.4%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass intercepted by #27 M.Clark at FIU00 QB hurried by #44 K.Davis, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+58.9
FG · Q4 0:00
Jay Billingsley 48 Yd Field Goal
-11.7
TD · Q2 10:47
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Owens rush right for 9 yards gain to the LIB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:47 #16 N.Grant kick attempt good (H: #6 T.Wilhoit, LS: #47 J.Wood)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com