Try the model
DEL

Delaware 25 at Jacksonville State 38

JXST
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 15, 2025 · AmFirst Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadDEL aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreDEL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.7JXST 99.5%Garrison Rippa 52 yd FG GOODAWAY 12 - HOME 38 · Q4 11:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:57 · Garrison Rippa 52 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+19.5Garbage-time factor+11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.6Pregame prior−0.9Blowout margin+10.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:37: N. Minicucci pass to J. Thaw for 2 yds, J. Thaw fumbled, returned 45 yds by Caleb Nix for a TD (G. Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +8.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:16: Caden Creel pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 23 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +15.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:23: Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — DEL win probability +13.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:44: Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +8.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:25: Viron Ellison Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK) — DEL win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9DEL made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:00DEL 4th & 14 at DEL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25DEL 4th & 9 at DEL 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:19JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:55DEL 4th & 5 at JXST 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:15DEL 4th & 9 at JXST 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:26JXST 4th & 7 at DEL 37, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:37DEL 4th & 4 at DEL 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:37DEL 4th & 11 at DEL 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:04DEL 4th & 7 at JXST 25, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:39JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00JXST 4th & 18 at DEL 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:18JXST 4th & 14 at JXST 36, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:03DEL 4th & 5 at DEL 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:44JXST 4th & 1 at DEL 1, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−3.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−11.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:16DEL 4th & 9 at DEL 35, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:57JXST 4th & 24 at DEL 35, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:49JXST 4th & 5 at DEL 48, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:37DEL 4th & 21 at JXST 49, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5DEL made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 9:27JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:37JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:16JXST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:23DEL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:44JXST Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:20JXST Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:41DEL Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:25DEL Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:52DEL Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DELDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:5455% → 54%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.2%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass complete short right to Thaw,Jake caught at Del36, for 11 yards to the Del36 (Jenkins,Jaheim), out of bounds PENALTY Del Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Caccese,Anthony) 5 yards from Del25 to Del20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
45.2%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Sean WilsonSimilar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
45.3%
Jo Silver run for 7 yds to the DEL 27Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
45.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Jo Silver for 9 yds to the DEL 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
45.5%
Jo Silver run for a loss of 3 yards to the DEL 33Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 13
OWN 33
-1
45.7%
Nick Minicucci sacked by Isaac Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the DEL 32Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
46.1%
Brenden Lach punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Michael Pettway at the JXST 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3046% → 46%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
46.0%
Caden Creel pass complete to Cam Cook for 6 yds to the JXST 38Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-6
46.4%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 6 yards to the JXST 32Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+7
46.0%
Caden Creel run for 7 yds to the JXST 39Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
46.2%
Conor Donaghy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the DEL 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
46.3%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Elijah Sessoms for 21 yds Elijah Sessoms fumbled, recovered by DEL Gharin StansburySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0048% → 50%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
47.5%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Cam rush right for 3 yards loss to the Del14 (Evans,Nate; Ali,Kahlil) PENALTY Del Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Del11 to Del06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+6
49.5%
Cam Cook run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5651% → 50%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.7%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd to the DEL 26Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
49.0%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
49.3%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Nick LaboySimilar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+1
49.7%
Brenden Lach punt for 54 yds , Michael Pettway returns for 1 yd to the JXST 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5550% → 50%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
49.5%
Caden Creel run for 5 yds to the JXST 26Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
49.8%
Caden Creel run for 2 yds to the JXST 28Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+15
49.8%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass incomplete deep left thrown to Del43 broken up by Cox Jr.,Kshawn PENALTY Del Pass Interference (Cox Jr.,Kshawn) 15 yards from Jax St28 to Jax St43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
50.6%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 42Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+3
50.9%
Caden Creel run for 3 yds to the JXST 45Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
50.8%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
50.4%
Conor Donaghy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the DEL 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:5549% → 48%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
50.6%
Nick Minicucci run for 2 yds to the DEL 24Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+24
51.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Donovan Lewis for 24 yds to the DEL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
50.3%
Jo Silver run for 1 yd to the DEL 49Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
50.7%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Sean WilsonSimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
51.2%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Donovan Lewis for 4 yds to the JXST 47Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+5
51.9%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 5 yds to the JXST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
50.6%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Jake ThawSimilar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
50.8%
Jo Silver run for a loss of 3 yards to the JXST 45Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+4
52.1%
Nick Minicucci run for 4 yds to the JXST 41Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
52.3%
Brenden Lach punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:4252% → 56%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
52.4%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the JXST 7Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+14
52.5%
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the JXST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
53.4%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the JXST 24Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+8
53.7%
Caden Creel run for 8 yds to the JXST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
54.2%
Khristian Lando run for 17 yds to the JXST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.5%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
55.3%
Cam Cook run for 7 yds to the DEL 44Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
55.5%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the DEL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
56.6%
Caden Creel run for 3 yds to the DEL 37Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
57.1%
Caden Creel pass complete to Jalen Likely for no gain to the DEL 37Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
56.6%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+54
55.7%
Garrison Rippa 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4146% → 38%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
54.3%
Nick Tyree run for 4 yds to the DEL 41Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
53.9%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 4 yds to the DEL 45Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
54.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the DEL 43Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+45
62.1%
N. Minicucci pass to J. Thaw for 2 yds, J. Thaw fumbled, returned 45 yds by Caleb Nix for a TD (G. Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4037% → 35%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
62.8%
Jo Silver run for a loss of 1 yard to the DEL 9Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
64.2%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
64.6%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Ja'Carree KellySimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
65.2%
Brenden Lach punt for 39 yds , Michael Pettway returns for no gain to the DEL 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:1267% → 83%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
66.9%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caleb Coombs for no gain to the DEL 48Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+25
67.3%
Caden Creel pass complete to Cam Cook for 25 yds to the DEL 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
82.9%
Caden Creel pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 23 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:0822% → 20%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.1%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Sean WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
79.0%
Nick Minicucci run for a loss of 4 yards to the DEL 21 Nick Minicucci fumbled, recovered by DEL Nick MinicucciSimilar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+39
79.6%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 39 yds to the JXST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
77.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Elijah Sessoms for 12 yds to the JXST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
77.3%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Jake Thaw for 2 yds to the JXST 26Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
77.8%
Jo Silver run for 1 yd to the JXST 25Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
79.5%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Jake ThawSimilar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+3
80.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 3 yds to the JXST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1885% → 86%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
84.9%
Andrew Paul run for a loss of 2 yards to the JXST 20Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+6
85.2%
Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the JXST 26Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
86.0%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Dylan GentrySimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
85.5%
Conor Donaghy punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 14TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:0616% → 31%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+36
83.9%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Jo Silver for 36 yds to the JXST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.8%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
83.5%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete deep middle to Patterson,Max thrown to Jax St18 PENALTY Jax St Pass Interference (Rainer,RJ) 15 yards from Jax St47 to Jax St32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
82.1%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 31 yds to the JXST 1 for a 1ST down Jacksonville State Penalty, (Yards) to the JXST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.8%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15MISSED FG
14 plays · 46 yds · 2:1374% → 77%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.7%
Caden Creel pass complete to Cam Cook for 4 yds to the JXST 21Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+24
74.1%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 24 yds to the JXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
77.8%
Caden Creel sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the JXST 42Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+15
77.6%
Caden Creel pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 15 yds to the DEL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
78.2%
Caden Creel run for 1 yd to the DEL 42Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+11
78.3%
Caden Creel pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 11 yds to the DEL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
78.8%
Caden Creel pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 10 yds to the DEL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-15
78.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass incomplete deep left to Johnson,Deondre thrown to Del00 PENALTY Jax St Personal Foul (Johnson,Deondre) 15 yards from Del21 to Del36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 25
OPP 36
0
78.7%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 25
OPP 36
+1
78.0%
Caden Creel pass complete to Dylan Gentry for 1 yd to the DEL 35Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 24
OPP 35
+6
77.5%
Caden Creel run for 6 yds to the DEL 29Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+46
76.8%
Garrison Rippa 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:3378% → 77%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.2%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the JXST 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
78.6%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Cam rush left for 4 yards loss to the Jax St26 (Moul,Gavin; Matthews,Blake) PENALTY Del Holding (Brogna,Dominick) 10 yards from Jax St30 to Jax St40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.5%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Caleb CoombsSimilar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
79.4%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 4 yds to the JXST 36Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
78.3%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Michael PettwaySimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 14
OWN 36
+8
77.4%
Conor Donaghy punt for 40 yds , Jake Thaw returns for 8 yds to the DEL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0223% → 21%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
76.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Elijah Sessoms for 3 yds to the DEL 35Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
77.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Ja'Carree Kelly for 2 yds to the DEL 37Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
77.9%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Donovan LewisSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
78.6%
Brenden Lach punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Michael Pettway at the JXST 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:0781% → 93%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
81.1%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 12 yds to the JXST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
81.4%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 3 yds to the JXST 28Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+66
81.6%
Cam Cook run for 66 yds to the DEL 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
82.6%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the DEL 5Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
83.0%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass incomplete short right to Johnson,Deondre thrown to Del00 PENALTY Del Pass Interference (Evans,Nate) 3 yards from Del05 to Del02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.5%
Jawaun Campbell run for no gain to the DEL 2Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
85.0%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the DEL 3Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.7%
Caden Creel run for 2 yds to the DEL 1Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.4%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:167% → 5%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.1%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Sean WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
93.3%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 9 yds to the DEL 30Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
93.3%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the DEL 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.5%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
94.2%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd to the DEL 35Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
94.7%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Donovan LewisSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+8
94.8%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Elijah Sessoms for 8 yds to the DEL 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:4995% → 99%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
94.8%
Delaware Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jason Scott) to the DEL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
95.0%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the DEL 27Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+16
95.2%
Caden Creel run for 16 yds to the DEL 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
96.0%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the DEL 9Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
96.1%
Caden Creel run for 7 yds to the DEL 2Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
99.4%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:271% → 4%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 5 yds to the DEL 30Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+40
99.4%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Max Patterson for 40 yds to the JXST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 9 yds to the JXST 21Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+21
95.9%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Max Patterson for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:4498% → 100%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.7%
PENALTY Jax St Delay Of Game (Wimsatt,Gavin) 5 yards from Jax St25 to Jax St20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
97.6%
Khristian Lando run for 5 yds to the JXST 25Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Khristian Lando run for 1 yd to the JXST 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
98.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 14 yds to the JXST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.2%
Jalen Likely run for 5 yds to the JXST 45Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+34
98.4%
Jalen Likely run for 34 yds to the DEL 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
98.6%
Jalen Likely run for 3 yds to the DEL 18Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
98.7%
Khristian Lando run for 1 yd to the DEL 17Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-18
98.8%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Ethan Saunders for a loss of 18 yards to the DEL 35Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 24
OPP 35
+52
99.5%
Garrison Rippa 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 23TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:271% → 6%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Donovan LewisSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 8 yds to the DEL 43Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
99.6%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the DEL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Ja'Carree KellySimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+26
99.6%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Donovan Lewis for 26 yds to the JXST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.6%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Donovan Lewis for 8 yds to the JXST 19Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+10
99.5%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete short middle to Thaw,Jake thrown to Jax St10 broken up by Woods,Trevor PENALTY Jax St Holding (Rainer,RJ) 10 yards from Jax St19 to Jax St09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2898% → 98%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the JXST 27Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
97.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Gabe Glover for 5 yds to the JXST 32Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
97.8%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the JXST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
97.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Dylan Gentry for 12 yds to the JXST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.3%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 7
50
+2
98.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the DEL 48Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Brock RechsteinerSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Conor Donaghy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kyre Duplessis at the DEL 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 25TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 2:503% → 7%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
97.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 12 yds to the DEL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
97.4%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Jo Silver for 7 yds to the DEL 24Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
97.3%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 18 yds to the DEL 42 for a 1ST down Delaware Penalty, Illegal Block (Scott Moore) to the DEL 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
97.6%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Max Patterson for 15 yds to the DEL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
97.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Jo Silver for 11 yds to the JXST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
97.4%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete deep right to Duplessis,Kyre thrown to Jax St15 PENALTY Jax St Pass Interference (Taylor,Tyrin) 15 yards from Jax St42 to Jax St27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
97.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 12 yds to the JXST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
97.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Max Patterson for 11 yds to the JXST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.4%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:056% → 4%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
94.3%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Scott Moore for 5 yds to the JXST 33Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
93.7%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Jo SilverSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-10
94.2%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass complete short middle to Duplessis,Kyre caught at Jax St31, for 2 yards to the Jax St31 (Payton Hodges,Shane) PENALTY Del Holding (Caccese,Anthony) 10 yards from Jax St33 to Jax St43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-6
95.6%
Nick Minicucci sacked by Khurtiss Perry for a loss of 6 yards to the JXST 49Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 21
OPP 49
+11
95.8%
Nick Minicucci run for 11 yds to the JXST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.2%
Justus Savage run for 3 yds to the JXST 41Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
98.2%
Justus Savage run for 6 yds to the JXST 47Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
98.2%
Justus Savage run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.3%
Justus Savage run for 1 yd to the DEL 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-2
98.3%
(00:22) Kneel down by Jacksonville St. at Jax St49 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:16
Caden Creel pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 23 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+15.6
TD · Q2 2:23
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-13.3
TD · Q3 8:44
Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com