2025 · Week 8 · Oct 14, 2025 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreNMSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter, clock 00:03.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 8:43: (08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:43 #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis) — NMSU win probability +11.5 pts (now 26%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
- TD · Q3 1:23: (01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep left to #5 D.Faupel caught at LU00, for 20 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:23, 1ST DOWN #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis) — NMSU win probability +19.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 12:19: (12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep left to #19 B.Malone-Bradford caught at LU00, for 20 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:19, 1ST DOWN #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis) — NMSU win probability +24.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
- FG · Q4 8:21: (08:24) #43 J.Billingsley field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis), clock 08:21 — LIB win probability +10.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
- TD · Q4 0:36: (00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 8 yards gain to the NMST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis) — LIB win probability +56.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NMSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
- Q1 11:37NMSU 4th & 11 at NMSU 47, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snapGo for it23.4%−0.126% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call23.5%average punt
- Q1 6:31NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 27, tiedClose callPunted · 24.6% before the snapGo for it24.8%47% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call24.7%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 2:17LIB 4th & 4 at NMSU 10, tiedClose callKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snapGo for it74.4%44% to convertField goalTheir call74.3%−0.188% to makePunt72.8%−1.6average punt
- Q2 10:04NMSU 4th & 9 at LIB 10, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snapGo for it26.3%−0.426% to convertField goalTheir call26.7%88% to makePunt23.3%−3.4average punt
- Q2 8:07NMSU 4th & 1 at NMSU 34, down 7Close callPunted · 22.0% before the snapGo for it22.5%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call21.8%−0.8average punt
- Q2 5:59LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 28, up 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snapGo for it77.5%−<0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call77.5%average punt
- Q2 1:07NMSU 4th & 7 at LIB 7, down 14Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snapGo for it15.1%−0.428% to convertField goalTheir call15.4%91% to makePunt12.3%−3.2average punt
- Q2 0:11LIB 4th & 10 at NMSU 25, up 11Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.6% before the snapGo for it82.7%−0.828% to convertField goalTheir call83.4%66% to makePunt81.5%−1.9average punt
- Q3 5:56LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 26, up 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snapGo for it80.7%−0.147% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call80.8%average punt
- Q3 4:20NMSU 4th & 1 at NMSU 49, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call23.3%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt20.0%−3.2average punt
- Q4 9:12LIB 4th & 15 at LIB 31, down 7Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snapGo for it22.6%−5.316% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call27.9%average punt
- Q4 8:21LIB 4th & 7 at NMSU 11, down 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snapGo for it29.7%−2.332% to convertField goalTheir call32.0%87% to makePunt16.7%−15.3average punt
- Q4 3:46NMSU 4th & 5 at LIB 39, up 4Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 75.7% before the snapGo for it75.3%42% to convertField goal72.6%−2.736% to makePuntTheir call72.2%−3.1average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartNMSUDrive 1PUNT10 plays · 22 yds · 3:1723% → 24%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.King rush left for 5 yards gain to the NMST30 (#2 J.Carter), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
77.1%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NMST37 (#13 D.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
76.9%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush right for 8 yards gain to the NMST45 (#57 A.Hester)Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
76.7%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NMST48 (#30 E.Crisp; #2 J.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
76.5%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete deep right to #12 T.King thrown to LU20Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
76.5%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife rush left for 1 yard loss to the NMST47 (#1 C.Bazile, Jr.)Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
76.4%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short middle to #12 T.King thrown to LU42 broken up by #57 A.HesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2INT8 plays · 54 yds · 3:5976% → 76%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
76.4%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gray rush left for 8 yards gain to the LU22 (#6 J.Thompson Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+9
76.3%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #24 V.Blue caught at LU25, for 9 yards to the LU31 (#4 N.Mitchell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
76.2%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 E.Smith rush left for 4 yards gain to the LU35 (#4 N.Mitchell)Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
76.2%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #24 V.Blue caught at LU33, for 3 yards to the LU38 (#14 S.Aupiu), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+15
75.9%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #3 J.Person caught at NMST48, for 15 yards to the NMST47 (#6 J.Thompson Jr.; #21 Z.Rodriguez-Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
76.1%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gray rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NMST43 (#54 T.Tuitama)Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
76.1%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #0 J.Coleman caught at NMST45, for 11 yards to the NMST32 (#4 N.Mitchell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.1%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass intercepted by #21 Z.Rodriguez-Brown at NMST21, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3PUNT5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5625% → 25%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
75.2%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short middle to #2 G.Harris thrown to NMST26Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
75.2%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Stanley rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NMST27 (#2 J.Carter)Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
75.1%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short right to #0 P.Johnson III thrown to NMST31Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
75.4%
(06:33) #32 M.Dean punt 37 yards to the LU36 fair catch by #6 R.Smith at LU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4FG9 plays · 54 yds · 4:0275% → 75%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
75.2%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 E.Smith rush left for 4 yards loss to the LU32 (#23 S.McKelvey)Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+15
74.8%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush middle for 15 yards gain to the LU47 (#4 N.Mitchell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
75.4%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Gray rush right for 14 yards gain to the NMST39 (#5 N.Session), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
75.4%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #1 J.Gray caught at NMST45, for 23 yards to the NMST16 (#23 S.McKelvey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
75.5%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 1 yard loss to the NMST17 (#2 A.Hale; #14 S.Aupiu)Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
75.4%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #48 C.Ryan thrown to NMST12 QB hurried by #6 J.Thompson Jr.Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+7
75.0%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #2 C.Cain caught at NMST10, for 7 yards to the NMST10 (#5 N.Session)Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
75.0%
(02:20) #43 J.Billingsley field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis), clock 02:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5FG17 plays · 67 yds · 7:0025% → 30%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
74.9%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NMST30 (#33 A.Vaughan)Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
74.3%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife rush left for 5 yards gain to the NMST35 (#13 D.Harmon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
74.5%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #12 T.King caught at NMST43, for 8 yards to the NMST43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
73.6%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NMST45 (#2 J.Carter; #1 C.Bazile, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
73.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife rush right for 1 yard gain to the NMST46 (#8 B.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+7
73.4%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #12 T.King caught at LU47, for 7 yards to the LU47 (#13 D.Harmon), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
73.1%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LU43 (#2 J.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
72.8%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush left for 5 yards gain to the LU38 (#7 D.Henderson)Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+27
72.5%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep right to #12 T.King caught at LU11, for 27 yards to the LU11 (#6 C.Bodnar), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
71.9%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush right for 1 yard loss to the LU12 (#30 E.Crisp; #2 J.Carter)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+8
71.8%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LU04 (#14 E.Auguste)Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+10
72.1%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush right for 2 yards gain to the LU02 (#2 J.Carter; #94 N.Pirolli) PENALTY NMST Holding (#74 E.Harvey) 10 yards from LU04 to LU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+4
72.6%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #8 D.Stanley caught at LU10, for 4 yards to the LU10 (#13 D.Harmon)Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
70.5%
(10:07) #17 R.Hawk field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis), clock 10:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3523% → 22%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
77.4%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Stanley rush middle for 0 yards to the NMST25 (#91 M.Clark)Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
77.5%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Owens thrown to NMST50 broken up by #20 D.Ricks, Jr.Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.0%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #2 G.Harris caught at NMST23, for 4 yards to the NMST29 (#2 J.Carter)Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
78.3%
(08:27) #32 M.Dean punt 49 yards to the LU22 PENALTY LU Running Into The Kicker (#34 S.Moore) 5 yards from NMST29 to NMST34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+44
78.0%
(08:13) #32 M.Dean punt 44 yards to the LU22 #6 R.Smith return for loss of 1 yard to the LU21, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5778% → 77%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
78.4%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LU28 (#8 B.Vislisel; #13 Q.Davis)Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-1
79.0%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #0 J.Coleman caught at LU25, for 1 yard loss to the LU27 (#23 S.McKelvey)Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+1
78.0%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU28 (#6 J.Thompson Jr.; #13 Q.Davis)Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 3
OWN 28
-6
77.4%
(06:13) #37 M.Morgan punt 45 yards to the NMST27 muffed by #12 T.King at NMST27 recovered by LU #8 B.Williams at NMST21, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD5 plays · 21 yds · 0:4380% → 84%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
80.1%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush right for 5 yards gain to the NMST16 (#5 N.Session)Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
80.1%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. thrown to NMST12Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+8
79.4%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Person thrown to NMST00 PENALTY NMST Holding (#1 J.Charles) 8 yards from NMST16 to NMST08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
83.9%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NMST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:08 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 10FG13 plays · 68 yds · 3:5417% → 19%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.9%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete deep left to #5 D.Faupel thrown to LU46 broken up by #13 D.HarmonSimilar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.0%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush left for 14 yards gain to the NMST39 (#14 E.Auguste), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
82.4%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short middle to #12 T.King caught at LU45, for 18 yards to the LU43 (#13 D.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
81.6%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 I.Rudison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LU39 (#7 D.Henderson)Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
81.4%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short left to #5 D.Faupel caught at LU33, for 10 yards to the LU29 (#13 D.Harmon; #11 D.Farrar), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
81.1%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short middle to #5 D.Faupel caught at LU13, for 21 yards to the LU08 (#7 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
81.0%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LU03 (#14 E.Auguste)Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
81.1%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife sacked for loss of 4 yards to the LU07 (#12 E.Hall)Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.7%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short left to #5 D.Faupel thrown to LU00Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
81.1%
(01:10) #17 R.Hawk field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis), clock 01:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11FG10 plays · 33 yds · 0:4784% → 86%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
83.8%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LU47 (#4 N.Mitchell)Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
83.8%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #2 C.Cain thrown to NMST34Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+13
83.2%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #2 C.Cain caught at NMST40, for 13 yards to the NMST40 (#5 N.Session), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
84.2%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #83 A.Henderson thrown to NMST35 PENALTY NMST Roughing The Passer (#8 B.Vislisel) 15 yards from NMST40 to NMST25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
84.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #83 A.Henderson thrown to NMST20Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
84.2%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #24 V.Blue caught at NMST28, for 0 yards to the NMST25 (#12 T.Gethers)Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
84.3%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete deep right to #2 C.Cain thrown to NMST01 broken up by #23 S.McKelveySimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
86.0%
(00:15) #43 J.Billingsley field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis), clock 00:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12END OF HALF3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13FUMBLE6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0387% → 88%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 4 yards gain to the LU29 (#96 C.Schnettgoecke)Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
87.3%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush middle for 13 yards gain to the LU42 (#5 N.Session), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
88.0%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU44 (#96 C.Schnettgoecke)Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
88.3%
(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete deep left to #6 R.Smith thrown to NMST31 broken up by #21 Z.Rodriguez-BrownSimilar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-8
87.7%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko sacked for loss of 8 yards to the LU36 (#90 E.Christensen), fumble by #15 E.Vasko recovered by NMST #8 B.Vislisel at LU36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14TD10 plays · 36 yds · 4:0215% → 26%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
85.3%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short right to #12 T.King thrown to LU39Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
85.4%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #12 T.King caught at LU29, for 8 yards to the LU28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
85.4%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush right for 3 yards gain to the LU25 (#99 B.Dixon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
84.7%
(11:29) PENALTY NMST False Start (#76 A.Nieves) 5 yards from LU25 to LU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+1
85.5%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU29 (#11 D.Farrar; #57 A.Hester)Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+5
85.9%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #8 D.Stanley caught at LU34, for 5 yards to the LU24 (#2 J.Carter)Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+10
86.2%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #2 G.Harris caught at LU14, for 10 yards to the LU14, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
85.0%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short left to #0 P.Johnson III thrown to LU17Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
85.1%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush left for 12 yards gain to the LU02 (#2 J.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.6%
(08:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:43 #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15PUNT6 plays · 6 yds · 2:3380% → 80%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
80.4%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LU24 (#2 A.Hale; #90 E.Christensen)Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
81.5%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU25 (#14 S.Aupiu; #16 G.Peterson)Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
80.9%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete deep right to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at NMST38, for 40 yards to the NMST35 (#2 A.Hale), out of bounds PENALTY LU Personal Foul (#24 V.Blue) 12 yards from LU25 to LU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+13
80.4%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #8 T.Mobley caught at LU23, for 13 yards to the LU26 (#12 T.Gethers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16TD13 plays · 60 yds · 4:2923% → 42%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.6%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short left to #12 T.King thrown to NMST38Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
77.0%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Stanley rush left for 1 yard gain to the NMST41 (#13 D.Harmon), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
78.3%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #8 D.Stanley caught at NMST40, for 8 yards to the NMST49 (#7 D.Henderson)Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
77.2%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU49 (#7 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
75.6%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short right to #1 K.Calloway caught at NMST48, for 1 yard to the LU48 (#13 D.Harmon)Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
75.8%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Stanley rush right for 8 yards gain to the LU40 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
75.3%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Stanley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU37 (#2 J.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
75.5%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 I.Rudison rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LU30 (#94 N.Pirolli) PENALTY LU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#26 A.Williams) 15 yards from LU30 to LU15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
74.8%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short middle to #2 G.Harris thrown to LU00Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
74.8%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short left to #5 D.Faupel thrown to LU00 broken up by #20 D.Ricks, Jr.Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
77.2%
PENALTY NMST False Start (#78 M.Williams) 5 yards from LU15 to LU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+20
58.0%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep left to #5 D.Faupel caught at LU00, for 20 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:23, 1ST DOWN #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17INT6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1664% → 67%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
63.5%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU24 (#12 T.Gethers)Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+9
63.7%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #1 J.Gray caught at LU34, for 9 yards to the LU33, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
63.9%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LU38 (#5 N.Session; #96 C.Schnettgoecke)Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-17
66.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass intercepted by #1 J.Charles at NMST43 #1 J.Charles return 17 yards to the LU40 (#0 J.Coleman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18TD6 plays · 40 yds · 2:2345% → 73%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
54.7%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU37 (#97 M.Jarvis)Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
54.4%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete deep left to #2 G.Harris thrown to LU15Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+16
54.8%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short left to #2 G.Harris caught at LU27, for 16 yards to the LU21 (#11 D.Farrar), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
51.8%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU18 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-2
51.4%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.King rush left for 2 yards loss to the LU20 (#13 D.Harmon)Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+20
27.3%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep left to #19 B.Malone-Bradford caught at LU00, for 20 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:19, 1ST DOWN #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19PUNT9 plays · 6 yds · 2:5335% → 28%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.0%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at LU30, for 6 yards to the LU31 (#2 A.Hale), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
36.6%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #48 C.Ryan caught at LU30, for 5 yards to the LU36 (#2 A.Hale; #31 L.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
35.4%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LU41 (#90 E.Christensen)Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
37.9%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 V.Blue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LU43 (#90 E.Christensen)Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-12
34.7%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko sacked for loss of 12 yards to the LU31 (#90 E.Christensen)Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 15
OWN 31
-8
28.1%
(09:22) #37 M.Morgan punt 47 yards to the NMST22 muffed by #7 T.Pride at NMST22 recovered by LU #20 D.Ricks, Jr. at NMST14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20FG5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4541% → 47%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
41.0%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NMST11 (#2 A.Hale)Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
39.9%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short left to #48 C.Ryan thrown to NMST00Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
37.0%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass incomplete short right to #6 R.Smith thrown to NMST00 PENALTY LU Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
47.1%
(08:24) #43 J.Billingsley field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis), clock 08:21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 21PUNT10 plays · 36 yds · 4:1765% → 76%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.6%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Calloway rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NMST29 (#91 M.Clark)Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
33.4%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 T.King rush right for 7 yards gain to the NMST36 (#14 E.Auguste), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
29.6%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 I.Rudison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NMST39 (#6 C.Bodnar)Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+22
27.5%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short left to #8 D.Stanley caught at NMST36, for 0 yards to the NMST39 (#26 A.Williams)Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
26.9%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short middle to #19 B.Malone-Bradford caught at LU45, for 17 yards to the LU44 (#13 D.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
24.1%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Stanley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LU43 (#14 E.Auguste)Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
21.9%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #37 I.Rudison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LU39 (#14 E.Auguste)Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
21.9%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete deep left to #12 T.King thrown to LU03Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
24.3%
(03:50) #32 M.Dean punt 31 yards to the LU08 fair catch by #6 R.Smith at LU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22TD15 plays · 92 yds · 3:0134% → 94%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
33.6%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush right for 8 yards gain to the LU16 (#5 N.Session; #4 N.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+8
32.3%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at LU24, for 8 yards to the LU24, out of bounds at LU24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
32.6%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at LU30, for 12 yards to the LU36 (#31 L.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.4%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 0 yards to the LU36 (#6 J.Thompson Jr.; #54 T.Tuitama)Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
29.7%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short right to #1 J.Gray caught at LU30, for 9 yards to the LU45 (#31 L.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
31.9%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LU48 (#9 B.Iya), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
32.7%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at NMST40, for 13 yards to the NMST39 (#23 S.McKelvey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
35.0%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at NMST30, for 10 yards to the NMST29 (#21 Z.Rodriguez-Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
38.1%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short left to #9 D.Lee Jr. caught at NMST23, for 6 yards to the NMST23 (#21 Z.Rodriguez-Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
40.3%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NMST19 (#5 N.Session; #16 G.Peterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
39.7%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NMST16 (#16 G.Peterson)Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+8
38.2%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Vasko pass complete short middle to #83 A.Henderson caught at NMST09, for 8 yards to the NMST08 (#12 T.Gethers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.4%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 8 yards gain to the NMST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 23MISSED FG10 plays · 5 yds · 0:2521% → 30%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.3%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife rush left for 7 yards gain to the NMST32 (#8 B.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
75.4%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Faupel thrown to NMST32 broken up by #12 E.HallSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
81.3%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete short left to #8 D.Stanley caught at NMST35, for 6 yards to the NMST38 (#14 E.Auguste), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.5%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Faupel thrown to NMST47Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
80.5%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass incomplete deep right to #3 S.Brown thrown to LU40 broken up by #6 C.BodnarSimilar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+32
83.3%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep middle to #2 G.Harris caught at LU32, for 32 yards to the LU30 (#3 E.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+47
70.1%
(00:03) #17 R.Hawk field goal attempt from 47 yards NO GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:36
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Dickens rush left for 8 yards gain to the NMST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36 #43 J.Billingsley kick attempt good (H: #37 M.Morgan, LS: #47 R.Manis)
+56.2
TD · Q4 12:19
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep left to #19 B.Malone-Bradford caught at LU00, for 20 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:19, 1ST DOWN #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis)
-24.2
TD · Q3 1:23
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 L.Fife pass complete deep left to #5 D.Faupel caught at LU00, for 20 yards to the LU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:23, 1ST DOWN #17 R.Hawk kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #42 G.Curtis)
-19.2