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2025 · Week 8 · Oct 14, 2025 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameTD-10.4WKU 6.8%Kejon Owens run for 6 yds for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed)AWAY 25 - HOME 6 · Q3 2:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:03 · Kejon Owens run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense−37.2Pregame prior+6.2Score differential−19.1Garbage-time factor−8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:56: Noah Grant 37 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +1.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:57: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Grant KICK) — FIU win probability +6.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:57: Noah Grant 51 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +8.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Jack Cassidy 55 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +3.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:03: Kejon Owens run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — FIU win probability +10.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:37FIU 4th & 7 at WKU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37FIU 4th & 7 at WKU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:03WKU 4th & 4 at FIU 10, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.5%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56FIU 4th & 4 at WKU 20, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:02WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45FIU 4th & 5 at WKU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57FIU 4th & 27 at WKU 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:42WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 25, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 35, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:57WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 49, down 13
    Close callPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:30FIU 4th & 8 at WKU 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:35WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:11WKU 4th & 21 at WKU 36, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:11WKU 4th & 21 at WKU 36, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:16FIU 4th & 4 at WKU 45, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 7:57FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:03FIU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:4829% → 29%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
71.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 16 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+36
71.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 36 yds to the WKU 23 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
71.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
71.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 24Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+4
71.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 4 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
71.0%
Noah Grant 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2INT
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:3871% → 71%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+46
70.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 46 yds to the FIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
71.2%
K.D. Hutchinson run for 6 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
71.2%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Noah MeyersSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+13
71.0%
Maverick McIvor run for 13 yds to the FIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
71.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 2 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+4
71.0%
Maverick McIvor run for 4 yds to the FIU 6Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
70.7%
Maverick McIvor pass intercepted Mister Clark return for no gain to the FIU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FG
6 plays · 87 yds · 1:4730% → 32%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+84
70.3%
Kejon Owens run for 84 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
69.3%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the WKU 14Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
68.9%
Anthony Carrie run for 3 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
68.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
68.4%
Noah Grant 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:2769% → 68%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
68.6%
Marvis Parrish run for 16 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
69.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 7 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
69.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 2 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+9
68.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 9 yds to the FIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
68.9%
Marvis Parrish run for 15 yds to the FIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
68.7%
La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 18Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+3
68.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Lofton Howard for 3 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+5
67.4%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 5 yds to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
68.1%
John Cannon 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:5433% → 37%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jackson VerdugoSimilar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
67.1%
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd to the FIU 40Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+34
66.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 34 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
65.3%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass complete short right to Fournet,Ross caught at WKU29, for 6 yards to the WKU20 (Flowers,Dylan) PENALTY WKU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WKU26 to WKU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+2
65.1%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the WKU 19Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-5
64.8%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass incomplete short right to Payne,Dallas thrown to WKU16 PENALTY FIU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Davis,Jaleel) 5 yards from WKU19 to WKU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
64.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kejon OwensSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+4
64.8%
Anthony Carrie run for 4 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
63.3%
Noah Grant 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3964% → 63%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.0%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Isaiah MyersSimilar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
63.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Moussa Barry for 6 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
64.1%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Cameron FlowersSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
63.1%
Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
16 plays · 89 yds · 6:0036% → 51%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
63.7%
Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+12
62.1%
Kejon Owens run for 12 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
61.4%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+18
60.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to JoJo Stone for 18 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
59.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Tyson Carter for 5 yds to the WKU 46Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+6
58.8%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
58.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Tyson CarterSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
58.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 5 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
57.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kejon OwensSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
58.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+15
58.5%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass incomplete deep left to Perry,Alex thrown to WKU09 PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Flowers,Dylan) 15 yards from WKU35 to WKU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
56.5%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+9
56.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 9 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
55.7%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the WKU 8Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
48.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2951% → 48%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
51.3%
(07:45) Shotgun McIvor,Maverick rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WKU36 (Courtney Jr.,Percy) PENALTY WKU Holding (Jackson,Marshall) 10 yards from WKU26 to WKU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+6
50.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 6 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-1
49.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 21Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 15
OWN 21
-8
47.9%
Maverick McIvor pass intercepted Jessiah McGrew return for 8 yds to the WKU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 3:0854% → 65%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
46.4%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nazir Ward) to the WKU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
45.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 3 yds to the WKU 14Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
44.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for no gain to the WKU 14Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-10
44.5%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone rush left for 10 yards gain to the WKU04 (Flowers,Dylan; Jones,Elin) PENALTY FIU Holding (Buchanon,Jaheim) 10 yards from WKU14 to WKU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 17
OPP 24
-10
43.8%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Pesansky,Joe rush right for 19 yards gain to the WKU05 (Ward,Nazir; Brackenridge,Anthony) PENALTY FIU Holding (Michel,Daniel) 10 yards from WKU24 to WKU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 27
OPP 34
0
42.9%
Joe Pesansky run for no gain to the WKU 34Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 27
OPP 34
+51
34.9%
Noah Grant 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0340% → 38%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
40.0%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the WKU 16Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
38.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 6 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+3
38.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 3 yds to the WKU 25Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
37.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 1:0668% → 70%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
31.8%
Devonte Lyons run for 3 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
30.8%
Joe Pesansky run for no gain to the FIU 27Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+9
31.2%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Dallas Payne for 9 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.9%
Joe Pesansky pass incomplete to Ross FournetSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
30.0%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Pesansky,Joe rush right for 1 yard gain to the FIU37 (Jones,Elin), out of bounds PENALTY FIU Holding (Michel,Daniel) 10 yards from FIU36 to FIU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+9
30.6%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 9 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
29.5%
Joe Pesansky pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
29.9%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 34 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:2537% → 42%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
37.2%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Matthew HenrySimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
36.5%
George Hart III run for 12 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
38.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
37.9%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to George Hart IIISimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+20
36.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kelby Williams for 20 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
38.7%
Maverick McIvor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+55
42.1%
Jack Cassidy 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5743% → 41%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.7%
Marvis Parrish run for 5 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
42.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 12 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
43.2%
Marvis Parrish run for 2 yds to the WKU 44Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
42.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 5 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
42.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to K.D. HutchinsonSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
41.3%
Cole Maynard punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:1864% → 68%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
36.1%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+14
35.3%
Kejon Owens run for 14 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
33.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Ross Fournet for 4 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
31.8%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jackson VerdugoSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
31.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
30.8%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the WKU 47Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
32.0%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3636% → 33%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
36.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cameron Flowers for 2 yds to the WKU 9Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+5
35.0%
(08:58) Shotgun McIvor,Maverick pass incomplete short left to Williams,Kelby thrown to WKU16 broken up by Evans III,Victor PENALTY FIU Offside (Simmons,Kenton) 5 yards from WKU09 to WKU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+10
35.4%
Marvis Parrish run for 10 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
34.7%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Kelby WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
34.3%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Cameron FlowersSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+7
33.0%
Maverick McIvor run for 7 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
33.2%
Cole Maynard punt for 44 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2172% → 93%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
28.3%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
24.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 4 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
24.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 5 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
23.1%
Anthony Carrie run for no gain to the FIU 36Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
22.8%
Anthony Carrie run for 16 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
21.1%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Fournet,Ross) 5 yards from WKU48 to FIU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+14
21.2%
Anthony Carrie run for 14 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+14
20.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to JoJo Stone for 14 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
18.3%
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd to the WKU 24Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+9
17.8%
Kejon Owens run for 9 yds to the WKU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
17.3%
JoJo Stone pass incomplete to Keyone JenkinsSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
17.2%
Kejon Owens run for 9 yds to the WKU 6Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
6.8%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:4513% → 8%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
13.1%
Marvis Parrish run for 11 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
13.1%
Marvis Parrish run for 7 yds to the WKU 43Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
13.3%
Marvis Parrish run for 2 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
12.0%
Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-14
11.8%
Maverick McIvor sacked by Xion Chapman for a loss of 14 yards to the WKU 33 Maverick McIvor fumbled, recovered by WKU Marshall Jackson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 24
OWN 33
+6
9.3%
La'Vell Wright run for 6 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+3
8.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 3 yds to the WKU 36Similar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 21
OWN 36
0
7.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 49 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 21
OWN 36
0
7.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 49 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 3:3095% → 97%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
5.1%
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd to the FIU 24Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+2
4.9%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+8
4.4%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the FIU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
4.1%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 36Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
3.6%
Joe Pesansky pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 2 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-15
3.3%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass incomplete short right to Anderson,Maguire thrown to FIU35 PENALTY FIU Personal Foul (Payne,Dallas) 15 yards from FIU38 to FIU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 21
OWN 23
0
3.5%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 36 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:146% → 6%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
6.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Moussa Barry for 11 yds to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
6.2%
Marvis Parrish run for 6 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
6.4%
Maverick McIvor run for no gain to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
6.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cameron Flowers for 5 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
5.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 17 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
6.3%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the FIU 18Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-31
6.1%
Maverick McIvor pass intercepted Jessiah McGrew return for 31 yds to the FIU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 3:2697% → 99%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
2.7%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-2
2.2%
Kejon Owens run for 8 yds to the FIU 45 Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ross Fournet) to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
2.2%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+14
2.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 14 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
1.5%
Ross Fournet run for 3 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-5
1.4%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Tripp Jr.,Antonio) 5 yards from WKU48 to FIU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+3
1.2%
Anthony Carrie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 9
50
+5
1.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for 5 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
1.1%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21END OF HALF
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
0.9%
George Hart III run for 1 yd to the WKU 8Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+19
0.8%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 19 yds to the WKU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete to K.D. HutchinsonSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
0.8%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to George Hart III for no gain to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+11
0.7%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Noah Meyers for 11 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
0.7%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Noah Meyers for 16 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
0.8%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Kelby Williams for 20 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
0.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. run for 5 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
0.8%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to George Hart III for 2 yds to the FIU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:03
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-10.4
FG · Q2 2:57
Noah Grant 51 yd FG GOOD
-8
TD · Q2 7:57
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Grant KICK)
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com