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JXST

Jacksonville State 29 at Sam Houston 27

SHSU
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 9, 2025 · BBVA Compass Stadium
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Win probability · SHSU
modelSHSU aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playSHSU scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:00 · Curtis Gerrand punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caleb Nix at the JXST 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior−3.6Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:28: Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 4 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 8:46: Hunter Watson pass complete to Chris Reed for 20 yds for a TD Jacksonville State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Caleb Nix) declined (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +16.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:34: Cam Cook run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — JXST win probability +26.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:52: Hunter Watson pass complete to Chris Reed for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SHSU win probability +51.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Garrison Rippa 52 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +54.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SHSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7JXST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:32SHSU 4th & 11 at SHSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:32JXST 4th & 2 at SHSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.2%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31SHSU 4th & 17 at SHSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09JXST 4th & 7 at SHSU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:06SHSU 4th & 7 at JXST 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:01JXST 4th & 6 at SHSU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:25SHSU 4th & 19 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:43JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 32, up 3
    Close callPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:41SHSU 4th & 9 at SHSU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:34JXST 4th & 10 at JXST 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:01JXST 4th & 17 at SHSU 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:06SHSU 4th & 11 at SHSU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:56JXST 4th & 8 at SHSU 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−12.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:00SHSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 6, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−3.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:55JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 46, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.1%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:55JXST 4th & 1 at SHSU 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−8.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−8.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:15JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.3%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SHSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:57JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:13SHSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:15JXST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:28SHSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:46SHSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:34JXST Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:52SHSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    74.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SHSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2834% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
33.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
33.8%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
33.8%
PENALTY SAM False Start (O'Neill,Grady) 5 yards from SAM29 to SAM24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
34.3%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Michael Pettway at the JXST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:3566% → 67%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
34.3%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the JXST 41Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
34.4%
Caden Creel run for 18 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
34.3%
Caden Creel run for 2 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
34.3%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
34.3%
Caden Creel run for 2 yds to the SHSU 33 Caden Creel fumbled, recovered by JXST Caden CreelSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+6
34.4%
Caden Creel run for 6 yds to the SHSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
34.2%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the SHSU 27Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
34.3%
Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the SHSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
34.2%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 2 yds to the SHSU 14 for a 1ST down Sam Houston Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Cecil Powell) to the SHSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
33.4%
Caden Creel run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2034% → 34%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
34.1%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the SHSU 22Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-7
34.1%
Hunter Watson sacked by Isaac Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 15Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 17
OWN 15
0
33.8%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 17
OWN 15
0
33.7%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Pettway at the JXST 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:2267% → 66%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
33.4%
Caden Creel run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
50
+2
33.3%
Khristian Lando run for 2 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+16
33.4%
Caden Creel pass complete to Khristian Lando for 16 yds to the SHSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
33.2%
Caden Creel run for 4 yds to the SHSU 28Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
33.2%
Khristian Lando run for 7 yds to the SHSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
33.2%
Khristian Lando run for 2 yds to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
33.2%
Khristian Lando run for no gain to the SHSU 19Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+1
33.4%
Caden Creel pass complete to Cam Cook for 1 yd to the SHSU 18Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
33.7%
Garrison Rippa 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Emon AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:0334% → 34%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
34.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Chris Reed for 24 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
35.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for no gain to the SHSU 44Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
34.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Watson,Hunter pass incomplete short middle to Burk,Dylan thrown to SAM50 broken up by Campbell,Jawaun PENALTY JSU Holding (Jones,Malcolm) 10 yards from SAM44 to JSU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
35.7%
Hunter Watson sacked by Emmanuel Oyebadejo for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 47Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-3
35.4%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 14
50
+7
34.4%
Hunter Watson run for 7 yds to the JXST 43Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
34.4%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JXST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6FG
5 plays · 77 yds · 0:5966% → 67%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+73
33.8%
Cam Cook run for 73 yds to the SHSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
32.2%
Caden Creel run for 3 yds to the SHSU 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
32.2%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the SHSU 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
32.5%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Cam CookSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
32.6%
Garrison Rippa 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:2832% → 31%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
31.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for 3 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+11
32.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for 11 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
32.5%
Landan Brown run for 5 yds to the JXST 48Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
32.8%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Chris ReedSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+7
32.6%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the JXST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
32.8%
Hunter Watson sacked by Walker O'Steen for a loss of 5 yards to the JXST 46Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 15
OPP 46
-4
32.3%
Hunter Watson sacked by Khurtiss Perry for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 19
50
0
31.6%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Alton McCaskillSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 19
50
0
30.5%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
32.4%
Caden Creel run for no gain to the JXST 1 Caden Creel fumbled, recovered by SHSU Dean FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 9TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.2%
Landan Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5862% → 72%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.5%
Cam Cook run for 7 yds to the JXST 32Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
37.7%
Cam Cook run for 10 yds to the JXST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
37.3%
Caden Creel pass complete to Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the JXST 46Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
37.2%
Caden Creel run for 2 yds to the JXST 48Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+27
37.5%
Cam Cook run for 27 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
36.2%
Caden Creel run for 15 yds to the SHSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
36.2%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 11Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
36.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass incomplete short left to Rechsteiner,Brock thrown to SAM00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SAM Pass Interference (Scott,Jaidan) 9 yards from SAM11 to SAM02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.4%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4730% → 43%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
29.6%
Hunter Watson run for 37 yds to the JXST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
31.5%
Landan Brown run for 14 yds to the JXST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
32.4%
Hunter Watson run for 20 yds to the JXST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
43.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 4 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4562% → 60%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
38.4%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the JXST 22Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
38.8%
Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the JXST 33Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
37.9%
Caden Creel run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 32Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
39.8%
Conor Donaghy punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0240% → 37%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
39.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Watson,Hunter pass complete short middle to O'Neill,Grady caught at SAM40, for 18 yards to the SAM48 (Woods,Trevor) PENALTY SAM Illegal Touch-Pass (O'Neill,Grady) 5 yards from SAM30 to SAM25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+1
38.9%
Landan Brown run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+5
36.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Grady O'Neill for 5 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
36.9%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14END OF HALF
11 plays · 29 yds · 1:4162% → 65%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
37.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass complete short left to Coombs,Caleb caught at JSU28, for 5 yards to the JSU28 (Stanford,Jalyn) PENALTY JSU Face Mask (Jackson,Reggie) 11 yard from JSU23 to JSU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 21
OWN 12
0
38.1%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the JXST 12Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 21
OWN 12
+8
38.0%
Caden Creel pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 8 yds to the JXST 20Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+14
38.9%
Caden Creel pass complete to Cam Cook for 14 yds to the JXST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
36.5%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the JXST 37Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 7
OWN 37
+8
35.8%
Caden Creel pass complete to Michael Pettway for 8 yds to the JXST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.1%
Caden Creel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
35.6%
Caden Creel run for 8 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-1
35.4%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:2662% → 60%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.1%
Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the JXST 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
37.0%
Caden Creel run for 4 yds to the JXST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
37.5%
Caden Creel run for 1 yd to the JXST 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
37.4%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
39.1%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Cam CookSimilar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
40.5%
Conor Donaghy punt for 44 yds , Emon Allen returns for no gain to the SHSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:4840% → 61%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
39.5%
Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the SHSU 25Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
40.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Tim Burns Jr. for 13 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
41.1%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Qua'Vez HumphreysSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
40.7%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Austin Smith for 9 yds to the SHSU 47Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+34
42.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 34 yds to the JXST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
44.8%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the JXST 15Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-5
44.8%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 5 yards to the JXST 20Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+20
61.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Chris Reed for 20 yds for a TD Jacksonville State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Caleb Nix) declined (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:4544% → 40%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.8%
Caden Creel run for 1 yd to the JXST 36Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
55.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass incomplete deep left to Coombs,Caleb thrown to SAM22 PENALTY SAM Pass Interference (Bailey,Tyler) 15 yards from JSU36 to SAM49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
52.4%
Caden Creel run for 1 yd to the SHSU 48Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
52.7%
Khristian Lando run for 1 yd to the SHSU 47Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+8
53.9%
Caden Creel pass complete to Deondre Johnson for 8 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
52.4%
Khristian Lando run for 9 yds to the SHSU 30Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
51.1%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the SHSU 29Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-10
51.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Creel,Caden pass complete deep left to Cook,Cam caught at SAM04, for 25 yards to the SAM04 (Powell,Cecil) PENALTY JSU Holding (Baldwin,Pearson) 10 yards from SAM29 to SAM39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 19
OPP 39
+6
54.6%
Caden Creel run for 6 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 13
OPP 33
-5
55.0%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Caden Creel) to the SHSU 37Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
60.0%
Conor Donaghy punt for 17 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5561% → 59%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
60.5%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 19Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
59.9%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Grady O'NeillSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
58.5%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Grady O'NeillSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+11
59.0%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SHSU 49 , Michael Pettway returns for 11 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:1046% → 46%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
54.4%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
54.5%
Caden Creel run for 10 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
54.4%
Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
52.6%
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the SHSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
52.5%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the SHSU 11Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
52.5%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the SHSU 9Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
56.4%
Caden Creel run for no gain to the SHSU 9Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
54.3%
Garrison Rippa 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5256% → 54%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
56.4%
Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the SHSU 9Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
56.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the SHSU 13Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 13
-7
55.1%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 7 yards to the SHSU 6 Hunter Watson fumbled, recovered by SHSU Hunter WatsonSimilar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
54.0%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caleb Nix at the JXST 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:2648% → 78%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
51.9%
Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+23
50.7%
Caden Creel pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 23 yds to the SHSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
49.1%
Caden Creel run for 12 yds to the SHSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
49.1%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the SHSU 7Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
22.5%
Cam Cook run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:3934% → 39%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
33.8%
Jacksonville State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
37.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the SHSU 44Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
37.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 7 yds to the JXST 49Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+12
38.7%
Hunter Watson run for 12 yds to the JXST 38 Hunter Watson fumbled, recovered by JXST Caleb NixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:0076% → 81%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
24.0%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the JXST 40Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
23.7%
Caden Creel run for 7 yds to the JXST 47Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
23.7%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 46Similar
Q4 8:55
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
26.4%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the SHSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
22.6%
Shotgun Creel,Caden rush left for 4 yards gain to the SAM45, out of bounds at SAM45 PENALTY JSU Holding (Johnson,Lance) 10 yards from SAM49 to JSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+19
25.1%
Caden Creel pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 19 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
22.2%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the SHSU 40Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
22.5%
Andrew Paul run for no gain to the SHSU 40Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-1
18.8%
Andrew Paul run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:0331% → 83%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
31.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 1
50
+3
32.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the JXST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-12
33.4%
Tim Burns Jr. run for a loss of 12 yards to the SHSU 41Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 22
OWN 41
+2
28.2%
Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+27
26.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Austin Smith for 27 yds to the JXST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
30.9%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the JXST 27Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+8
31.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 8 yds to the JXST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
82.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Chris Reed for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:4732% → 96%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
68.0%
Caden Creel run for 4 yds to the JXST 21Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
68.2%
Caden Creel pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+4
70.1%
Caden Creel pass complete to Caden Creel for 4 yds to the JXST 25Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+18
75.2%
Cam Cook run for 18 yds to the JXST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
71.5%
Caden Creel pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 17 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
66.2%
Caden Creel pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 5 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+52
4.4%
Garrison Rippa 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Garrison Rippa 52 yd FG GOOD
-54.4
TD · Q4 0:52
Hunter Watson pass complete to Chris Reed for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+51.2
TD · Q4 10:34
Cam Cook run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-26.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com