Try the model
SHSU

Sam Houston 10 at New Mexico State 37

NMSU
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 2, 2025 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NMSU
modelNMSU aheadSHSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNMSU scoreSHSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:45: Logan Fife run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK) — NMSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:35: Christian Pavon 51 yd FG GOOD — SHSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: SHSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:01: Hunter Watson pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 15 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK) — SHSU win probability +23.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 12:09: Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK) — NMSU win probability +15.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:15: Logan Fife pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK) — NMSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NMSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SHSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:00SHSU 4th & 2 at NMSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47SHSU 4th & 8 at NMSU 38, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:20SHSU 4th & 1 at SHSU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:00NMSU 4th & 8 at SHSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:33SHSU 4th & 14 at SHSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−2.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:35SHSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:03NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:40NMSU 4th & 15 at SHSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−9.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:29SHSU 4th & 12 at SHSU 40, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:56NMSU 4th & 10 at SHSU 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:50SHSU 4th & 3 at SHSU 32, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NMSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SHSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:45NMSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:01SHSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:09NMSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:15NMSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:39NMSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SHSUDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:5354% → 53%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 6 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
46.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 6 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
46.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Austin Smith for 5 yds to the SHSU 42Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
46.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 5 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
46.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Darrick Bledsoe III for 6 yds to the NMSU 47Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
46.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Austin Smith for 2 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
46.3%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Austin SmithSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+5
46.6%
Hunter Watson run for 5 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
46.4%
Alton McCaskill run for 2 yds to the NMSU 38Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
46.5%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Qua'Vez HumphreysSimilar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
46.6%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Darrick Bledsoe IIISimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+56
47.0%
RJ Lopez 56 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 2FUMBLE
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:1447% → 50%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
47.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to TK King for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+1
47.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the SHSU 49Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
47.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the SHSU 48Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+11
47.9%
Logan Fife run for 11 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
48.3%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
48.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 6 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+7
48.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 7 yds to the SHSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
49.3%
TK King run for 6 yds to the SHSU 18 New Mexico State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gavin Harris) to the SHSU 28Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 14
OPP 28
+12
49.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 12 yds to the SHSU 16Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
49.4%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to PJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+7
49.1%
Isaiah Rudison run for 7 yds to the SHSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+4
50.1%
Isaiah Rudison run for 4 yds to the SHSU 4 Isaiah Rudison fumbled, forced by CJ Brown, recovered by SHSU Emon Allen , return for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:3652% → 51%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
48.3%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the SHSU 10Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
48.4%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the SHSU 11Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+6
48.6%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 6 yds to the SHSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
48.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the SHSU 20Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
48.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+2
48.6%
Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
49.2%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 72 yds, downed at the NMSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 87 yds · 8:0049% → 55%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
49.2%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the NMSU 6Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+2
49.2%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the NMSU 8Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+7
48.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 7 yds to the NMSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+40
49.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to TK King for 40 yds to the SHSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
51.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 5 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
52.2%
Tim Gans run for 2 yds to the SHSU 38Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
52.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Lukas Ungar for 4 yds to the SHSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
52.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
53.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 9 yds to the SHSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
53.7%
Tim Gans run for 5 yds to the SHSU 18Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
53.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 5 yds to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
54.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the SHSU 12Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+1
54.3%
Isaiah Rudison run for 1 yd to the SHSU 11Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
53.4%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
54.6%
Ryan Hawk 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5246% → 44%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
53.7%
Hunter Watson sacked by Ezra Christensen for a loss of 8 yards to the SHSU 17Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
54.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 4 yds to the SHSU 21Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
55.2%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Chris ReedSimilar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+15
56.0%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 47 yds , TJ Pride returns for 15 yds to the NMSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:4457% → 69%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
56.6%
Fife, Logan pass incomplete, PENALTY SHSU personal foul (Jackson, Darien) 15 yards to the SHSU38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXST.Similar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
57.3%
TK King run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 40Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-2
57.1%
Logan Fife sacked by Darien Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 42Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+15
55.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 15 yds to the SHSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
58.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to Shawn Brown for 26 yds to the SHSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.7%
Logan Fife run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:4534% → 38%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.3%
Hunter Watson run for 6 yds to the SHSU 31Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
65.7%
Alton McCaskill run for 13 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
65.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 4
50
+16
64.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Grady O'Neill for 16 yds to the NMSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
62.0%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 36Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+3
64.3%
Hunter Watson run for 3 yds to the NMSU 33Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
64.0%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Grady O'NeillSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
62.0%
Christian Pavon 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2065% → 66%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
65.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to TK King for 13 yds to the NMSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
66.9%
Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
67.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the NMSU 45Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
67.1%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Gavin HarrisSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
65.7%
Max Dean punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SHSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10FUMBLE
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:3735% → 33%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
65.2%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the SHSU 23Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+15
65.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for 15 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.3%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Alton McCaskillSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
64.7%
Hunter Watson run for 2 yds to the SHSU 40Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+17
65.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for 17 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
63.2%
Landan Brown run for 8 yds to the NMSU 35Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-1
61.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Grady O'Neill for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 36Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
63.5%
Alton McCaskill run for 6 yds to the NMSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
62.1%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Qua'Vez HumphreysSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+14
62.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 14 yds to the NMSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
61.9%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the NMSU 16Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
62.1%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the NMSU 15Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-4
66.7%
Hunter Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMSU 19 Hunter Watson fumbled, recovered by NMSU Cole SchnettgoeckeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1674% → 78%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
74.1%
Sam Houston Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the NMSU 24Similar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+15
75.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for no gain to the NMSU 24 for a 1ST down Sam Houston Penalty, Personal Foul (Cecil Powell) to the NMSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+54
76.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to TK King for 54 yds to the SHSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
78.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the SHSU 1Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
79.1%
Logan Fife run for a loss of 8 yards to the SHSU 9 Logan Fife fumbled, forced by CJ Brown, recovered by NMSU Kadarius CallowaySimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
76.3%
TK King run for a loss of 6 yards to the SHSU 15Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
78.1%
Ryan Hawk 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0720% → 45%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.0%
Alton McCaskill run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
80.2%
Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the SHSU 26Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
81.4%
Hunter Watson run for 12 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
79.5%
Landan Brown run for 1 yd to the SHSU 39Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
80.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
50
+26
78.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 26 yds to the NMSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
78.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 9 yds to the NMSU 15Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+15
55.4%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 15 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5163% → 87%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
62.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 29 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
70.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
70.6%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to TK KingSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+27
69.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 27 yds to the SHSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
72.3%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to TK KingSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
72.8%
Logan Fife pass complete to TK King for 6 yds to the SHSU 10Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+7
71.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to TK King for 7 yds to the SHSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3187% → 97%
Q4 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
87.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 4Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.9%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Gavin HarrisSimilar
Q4 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:365% → 4%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
95.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Darrick Bledsoe III for 17 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
95.2%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 41Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
95.3%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Alton McCaskillSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+5
95.7%
Watson, Hunter pass complete to Humphreys, Qua'Vez for 8 yards to the SHSU49, PENALTY NEWMEXST offside 5 yards to the SHSU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-1
95.5%
Hunter Watson sacked by Tory Gethers for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 45Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
-5
95.6%
Sam Houston Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 40Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Grady O'NeillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:1897% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
97.2%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+9
97.6%
Isaiah Rudison run for 9 yds to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
98.0%
Isaiah Rudison run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 29Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
98.0%
Isaiah Rudison run for no gain to the SHSU 29Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+1
99.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 1 yd to the SHSU 28Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
99.6%
Ryan Hawk 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17INT TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:511% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Tim Burns Jr. for 28 yds to the NMSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Grady O'NeillSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
99.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for 10 yds to the NMSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.3%
Alton McCaskill run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 39Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 12
OPP 39
0
99.3%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Qua'Vez HumphreysSimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 12
OPP 39
-71
99.9%
Hunter Watson pass intercepted Naeten Mitchell return for 71 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 18END OF GAME
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Landan Brown run for no gain to the SHSU 25Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 23Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 9 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+11
100.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Chris Reed for 11 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 5 yds to the SHSU 48Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 4 yds to the NMSU 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
100.0%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:01
Hunter Watson pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 15 yds for a TD (Christian Pavon KICK)
-23.3
TD · Q4 12:09
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)
+15.3
TD · Q2 2:45
Logan Fife run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com