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NMSU

New Mexico State 20 at New Mexico 38

UNM
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:17 · Max Dean punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+16.7Home team on offense−3.9Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:18: S. Humphrey run for 5 yds, S. Humphrey fumbled, recovered by NMSU B. Iya, for 42 yds for a TD (R. Hawk KICK) — NMSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:27: Jack Layne pass complete to Shawn Miller for 31 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +8.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 1:12: Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 24 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +16.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:34: Ryan Hawk 39 yd FG GOOD — NMSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:37: Michael Buckley pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 41 yds for a TD — UNM win probability +15.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NMSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:13NMSU 4th & 18 at NMSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:32UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:14NMSU 4th & 11 at UNM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:25NMSU 4th & 6 at NMSU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:56NMSU 4th & 24 at UNM 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:11UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50NMSU 4th & 1 at UNM 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.4%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:17NMSU 4th & 17 at NMSU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:37UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:55UNM 4th & 4 at NMSU 26, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−7.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:44NMSU 4th & 4 at UNM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−2.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:43UNM 4th & 25 at UNM 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−5.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:13NMSU 4th & 14 at NMSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−4.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:34NMSU 4th & 9 at UNM 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−9.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:07NMSU 4th & 14 at NMSU 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:20NMSU 4th & 3 at UNM 26, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NMSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:21NMSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:56UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:18NMSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:27UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:12UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:37UNM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:09UNM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NMSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:3720% → 20%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
80.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 24 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
80.2%
Logan Fife sacked by Keyshawn James-Newby for a loss of 7 yards to the NMSU 42Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 17
OWN 42
0
80.0%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+5
80.0%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan sacked for loss of 6 yards to the NMSU36 (James-Newby,Keyshawn) PENALTY UNM Offside (James-Newby,Keyshawn) 5 yards from NMSU42 to NMSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+5
79.9%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan pass incomplete short left to Faupel,Donovan thrown to UNM43 broken up by Johnson,Jon PENALTY UNM Offside (James-Newby,Keyshawn) 5 yards from NMSU47 to UNM48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-5
79.8%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan pass complete short left to Faupel,Donovan caught at UNM45, for 3 yards to the UNM45 (Johnson,Jon) PENALTY NMSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from UNM48 to NMSU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-6
79.8%
Logan Fife sacked by Brett Karhu for a loss of 6 yards to the NMSU 41Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
79.8%
Max Dean punt for 48 yds , Shawn Miller returns for no gain to the UNM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3480% → 79%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
79.6%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Shawn MillerSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
79.6%
Damon Bankston run for 6 yds to the UNM 12Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
79.2%
Jack Layne pass complete to Zhaiel Smith for no gain to the UNM 12Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+2
79.0%
Daniel Hughes punt for 39 yds , TJ Pride returns for 2 yds to the UNM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5721% → 23%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.7%
Logan Fife run for no gain to the UNM 49Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
78.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 15 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
77.0%
Donovan Faupel pass complete to TJ Pride for 34 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:0977% → 78%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
77.3%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
76.8%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+19
76.5%
Jack Layne pass complete to Cade Keith for 19 yds to the NMSU 46 for a 1ST down New Mexico State Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
76.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 11 yds to the NMSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
76.8%
Jack Layne pass complete to Shawn Miller for 17 yds to the NMSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
76.5%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the NMSU 16Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
76.2%
Jack Layne run for 6 yds to the NMSU 10Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
75.8%
Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the NMSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
75.8%
Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the NMSU 5Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Cade Keith for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:3223% → 26%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Lukas Ungar for 5 yds to the NMSU 30Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
76.6%
Logan Fife sacked by Gabriel Lopez for a loss of 3 yards to the NMSU 27Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+29
76.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 29 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
75.1%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Brodie Malone-BradfordSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
75.0%
Dijon Stanley run for 6 yds to the UNM 38Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
75.0%
Dijon Stanley run for 9 yds to the UNM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
74.1%
Logan Fife sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UNM 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+3
74.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 3 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+4
75.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 4 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
73.9%
Ryan Hawk 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4174% → 67%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.9%
Keagan Johnson run for 5 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 4 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
73.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+42
66.7%
S. Humphrey run for 5 yds, S. Humphrey fumbled, recovered by NMSU B. Iya, for 42 yds for a TD (R. Hawk KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4466% → 74%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.2%
D.J. McKinney run for 4 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
65.4%
D.J. McKinney run for 6 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.4%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
65.2%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+19
64.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 19 yds to the NMSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
66.1%
Jack Layne run for 7 yds to the NMSU 39Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+8
65.6%
Damon Bankston run for 8 yds to the NMSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
74.1%
Jack Layne pass complete to Shawn Miller for 31 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5229% → 28%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Gavin HarrisSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the NMSU 29Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
71.0%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to PJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+52
71.8%
Max Dean punt for 50 yds , Deriece Brown returns for no gain to the UNM 19 Deriece Brown fumbled, recovered by NMSU Jalen BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:1133% → 30%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
67.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Dijon Stanley for 4 yds to the UNM 23Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
67.4%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Larenzo McMillanSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 14
OPP 23
-10
68.5%
Logan Fife sacked by Keyshawn James-Newby for a loss of 10 yards to the UNM 33Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 24
OPP 33
+51
69.8%
Ryan Hawk 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3369% → 67%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
69.4%
New Mexico Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-2 Yards) to the UNM 35Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
69.2%
Damon Bankston run for 5 yds to the UNM 40Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+1
70.0%
Damon Bankston run for 1 yd to the UNM 41Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 2
OWN 41
-5
68.9%
PENALTY UNM Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNM41 to UNM36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
67.4%
punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11PUNT
16 plays · 40 yds · 3:4132% → 35%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
68.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Brodie Malone-Bradford for 4 yds to the NMSU 11Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+1
67.8%
Isaiah Rudison run for 1 yd to the NMSU 12Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+20
68.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jackson Owens for 20 yds to the NMSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
66.4%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the NMSU 34Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
66.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 5 yds to the NMSU 39Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
64.6%
Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.1%
Logan Fife pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
64.5%
PENALTY NMSU False Start (Tolo,BJ) 5 yards from NMSU43 to NMSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+6
64.8%
Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the NMSU 44Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+8
63.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 8 yds to the UNM 48Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
62.8%
Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
60.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 4 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
60.7%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Lukas UngarSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-11
61.2%
Logan Fife sacked by Jaxton Eck for a loss of 11 yards to the NMSU 47Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
64.8%
Max Dean punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:3465% → 65%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
64.6%
Jack Layne pass complete to Damon Bankston for 1 yd to the UNM 21Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
64.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Shawn Miller for 11 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
64.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 3 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
64.9%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Dorian ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+6
63.8%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Damon Bankston run for no gain to the UNM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0940% → 42%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
59.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 18 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
57.9%
Logan Fife pass intercepted Xavier Slayton return for no gain to the UNM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1864% → 61%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
63.9%
Damon Bankston run for 11 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
60.5%
J. Layne takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:5265% → 70%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
65.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Shawn Miller for 21 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
67.2%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
66.9%
Jack Layne pass complete to D.J. McKinney for 8 yds to the NMSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
67.0%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Shawn MillerSimilar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
66.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
65.8%
Jack Layne run for no gain to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+9
62.2%
(11:29) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete short middle to Buckley,Michael thrown to NMSU32 broken up by Session,Nick, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NMSU Pass Interference (Session,Nick) 9 yards from NMSU41 to NMSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
67.3%
D.J. McKinney run for 1 yd to the NMSU 31Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
66.9%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Keagan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+5
65.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 5 yds to the NMSU 26Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
70.0%
Luke Drzewiecki 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:0534% → 37%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to PJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the NMSU 26Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
66.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 26 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
62.1%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan pass incomplete short right to Harris,Gavin thrown to UNM33 broken up by Coleman,Caleb PENALTY UNM Offside (James-Newby,Keyshawn) 5 yards from UNM48 to UNM43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
61.3%
Isaiah Rudison run for 1 yd to the UNM 42Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
61.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Brodie Malone-BradfordSimilar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+2
63.5%
Logan Fife run for 2 yds to the UNM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:5470% → 65%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
69.9%
(07:41) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass incomplete deep middle to Miller,Shawn thrown to NMSU35 PENALTY NMSU Holding (Rodriguez-Brown,Zedekiah) 10 yards from UNM40 to UNM50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
50
+3
71.1%
D.J. McKinney run for 3 yds to the NMSU 47Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-10
71.2%
(06:50) Shotgun Layne,Jack pass complete short left to Thomas,Dorian caught at NMSU31, for 43 yards to the NMSU04 (Mitchell,Naeten) PENALTY UNM Holding (Aliane,Malik) 10 yards from NMSU47 to UNM43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 17
OWN 43
0
68.1%
Jack Layne pass incomplete to Damon BankstonSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 17
OWN 43
-15
66.6%
New Mexico Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the UNM 35Similar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 25
OWN 35
0
64.6%
Daniel Hughes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by TJ Pride at the NMSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2437% → 36%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
63.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 9 yds to the NMSU 38Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
60.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 8 yds to the NMSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
59.2%
Logan Fife run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMSU 42 Logan Fife fumbled, recovered by NMSU Logan FifeSimilar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
61.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 14
OWN 42
-5
62.7%
(03:59) PENALTY NMSU False Start (Faupel,Donovan) 5 yards from NMSU42 to NMSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+5
63.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 5 yds to the NMSU 42Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
64.2%
Max Dean punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4666% → 87%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
65.5%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 4 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+48
65.1%
Jack Layne pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 48 yds to the NMSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
70.5%
D.J. McKinney run for 8 yds to the NMSU 24Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+24
87.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 24 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:2619% → 29%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for 9 yds to the NMSU 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
79.1%
Logan Fife sacked by Clint Stephens for a loss of 5 yards to the NMSU 29Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+25
81.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 25 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
77.7%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 23 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
77.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 25Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+3
78.4%
Larenzo McMillan run for 3 yds to the UNM 22Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
80.2%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Brodie Malone-BradfordSimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
71.0%
Ryan Hawk 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4675% → 91%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
75.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 34 yds to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
90.9%
Michael Buckley pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 41 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2011% → 8%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
89.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the NMSU 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
89.7%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-7
90.4%
Logan Fife sacked by Elijah Brody for a loss of 7 yards to the NMSU 15Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
92.1%
Max Dean punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Shawn Miller at the NMSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23TD
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:5193% → 98%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
92.9%
New Mexico Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-5 Yards) to the NMSU 33Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-5
92.9%
Scottre Humphrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMSU 38Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-5
92.7%
PENALTY UNM False Start (Lawrence,Tyler) 5 yards from NMSU38 to NMSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+15
92.4%
(08:42) Shotgun Layne,Jack sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NMSU48 (Christensen,Ezra, Iya,Bernock) PENALTY NMSU Personal Foul 15 yards from NMSU43 to NMSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
93.3%
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 2 yds to the NMSU 26Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
93.4%
D.J. McKinney run for 2 yds to the NMSU 24Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+18
93.5%
Jack Layne pass complete to Isaiah Blair for 18 yds to the NMSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
93.7%
D.J. McKinney run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 8Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
94.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the NMSU 3Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
94.4%
PENALTY UNM Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NMSU03 to NMSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.4%
Jack Layne pass complete to Scottre Humphrey for 8 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:402% → 2%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.2%
Logan Fife sacked by Ky'won McCray for a loss of 5 yards to the NMSU 20Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+24
98.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Shawn Brown for 24 yds to the NMSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
98.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 10 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Lukas UngarSimilar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
98.1%
Logan Fife run for 13 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Logan Fife run for no gain to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Jackson OwensSimilar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+7
98.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 7 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
98.1%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
98.7%
Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the UNM 35Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
99.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 10 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.5%
PENALTY NMSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Schnettgoecke,Cole) 15 yards from UNM48 to NMSU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NMSU 35Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
99.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for no gain to the NMSU 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+2
99.5%
Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the NMSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:12
Jack Layne pass complete to Dorian Thomas for 24 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q4 11:37
Michael Buckley pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 41 yds for a TD
+15.5
FG · Q4 12:34
Ryan Hawk 39 yd FG GOOD
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com