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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 16 at Kennesaw State 24

KENN
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:50 · Joshua Huiet punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jekail Middlebrook at the MTSU 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Home team on offense+3.4Pregame prior+9.2Garbage-time factor+1.1Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:11: Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 29 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK) — KENN win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:17: Jekail Middlebrook run for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Hathaway KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MTSU win probability +19.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 10:43: Daniel Kinney 39 yd FG GOOD — KENN win probability +8.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:38: Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41 — KENN win probability +8.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:31MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:43MTSU 4th & 6 at KENN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−3.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:50KENN 4th & 3 at KENN 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:07MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:35MTSU 4th & 9 at KENN 40, down 18
    Close callPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:17MTSU 4th & 4 at KENN 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:48KENN 4th & 4 at MTSU 29, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:49KENN 4th & 11 at midfield, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:10MTSU 4th & 10 at KENN 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:54KENN 4th & 13 at KENN 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−2.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:43KENN 4th & 5 at MTSU 21, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−12.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:54MTSU 4th & 11 at KENN 11, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−7.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:44KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:44MTSU 4th & 12 at KENN 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00KENN 4th & 26 at KENN 22, up 8
    Numbers favored punt by 4.5 ptsWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%−4.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 13:25KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:06KENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:11KENN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:17MTSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56MTSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3938% → 38%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
61.8%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass incomplete short left to Cox,Nahzae thrown to MTSU35 PENALTY MTSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Harris,E.J.) 5 yards from MTSU30 to MTSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30 Jekail Middlebrook fumbled, recovered by KENN Tylon DunlapSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:1762% → 63%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
62.0%
Amari Odom run for 4 yds to the MTSU 26Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+13
62.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 13 yds to the MTSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
62.5%
Christian Moss pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 13 yds for a TD Middle Tennessee Penalty, (Yards) declined (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4937% → 37%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
62.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 15 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
62.6%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass complete short left to Butler,Myles caught at MTSU38, for 8 yards to the MTSU48 (Ford,Alex; Offord,Caleb) PENALTY MTSU Holding (Walker,Amorion) 10 yards from MTSU40 to MTSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+7
62.9%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the MTSU 37Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
63.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ JonesSimilar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+6
63.3%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 6 yds to the MTSU 43Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
63.3%
Ashton Logan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:1063% → 66%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
63.4%
Gabriel Benyard run for 7 yds to the KENN 20Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+8
63.7%
Coleman Bennett run for 8 yds to the KENN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
63.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 19 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.3%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+53
66.4%
Amari Odom pass complete to Chase Belcher for 53 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:2034% → 34%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.5%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
66.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 7 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
67.2%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTSU 40Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
67.4%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ugonna Nwoha) to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
67.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 25 yds to the KENN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
66.9%
(05:32) PENALTY MTSU False Start 5 yards from KSU20 to KSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+2
67.6%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the KENN 23Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+6
68.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 17Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+1
68.6%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the KENN 16Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
66.2%
Jacob Hathaway 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5167% → 67%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
67.4%
Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the KENN 25Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+6
67.2%
Amari Odom run for 6 yds to the KENN 31Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
67.1%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
66.7%
Joshua Huiet punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jekail Middlebrook at the MTSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4233% → 32%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.3%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for no gain to the MTSU 25Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 31Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
67.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae CoxSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
68.1%
Ashton Logan punt for 46 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for 15 yds to the KENN 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:0469% → 76%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+30
69.1%
Coleman Bennett run for 30 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
76.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 29 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 5:2525% → 21%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
75.4%
DJ Taylor run for 13 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
74.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 7 yds to the MTSU 45Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+3
75.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ Taylor for 3 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
76.2%
DJ Taylor run for 7 yds to the KENN 45Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
76.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
76.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 5 yds to the KENN 36Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-10
76.9%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Middlebrook,Jekail rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU29 (Washington Jr.,JeRico) PENALTY MTSU Holding (Harris,E.J.) 10 yards from KSU36 to KSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+3
78.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 3 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+3
78.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 3 yds to the KENN 40Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
78.9%
Ashton Logan punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Gabriel Benyard at the KENN 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5081% → 81%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
80.8%
Clayton Coppock run for 9 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+1
81.2%
Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the KENN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
80.5%
Alexander Diggs run for 7 yds to the KENN 30 Alexander Diggs fumbled, recovered by MTSU Devan CarlisleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:2222% → 26%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
77.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
77.8%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+6
78.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
78.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 3 yds to the KENN 13Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+4
78.9%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 9Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 3
OPP 9
-1
79.9%
Nicholas Vattiato run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 10Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+10
74.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Hathaway KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:2375% → 76%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.8%
Gabriel Benyard run for 7 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
76.0%
Chase Belcher run for 5 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
76.2%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
50
+15
77.5%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Odom,Amari pass incomplete deep right to Ravare,Lyndon thrown to MTSU10 PENALTY MTSU Pass Interference (Carlisle,Devan) 15 yards from KSU50 to MTSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
77.6%
Amari Odom run for 1 yd to the MTSU 34Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
77.7%
Gabriel Benyard run for 1 yd to the MTSU 33Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+4
78.1%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
76.3%
Britton Williams 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13INT
11 plays · 69 yds · 1:2825% → 28%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
75.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Amorion WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
75.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Hunter TiptonSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+12
76.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
74.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 20 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
73.1%
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Donovan Westmoreland for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 41Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+35
73.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 35 yds to the KENN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
72.1%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 2Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.0%
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the KENN 2Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Five Hamilton return for no gain to the KENN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
78.5%
Coleman Bennett run for 5 yds to the KENN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:2280% → 78%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
79.6%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.4%
Amari Odom pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 7 yds to the KENN 32Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
79.5%
Tykeem Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 49 Tykeem Wallace fumbled, recovered by KENN Tykeem WallaceSimilar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+1
78.3%
Amari Odom pass complete to Clayton Coppock for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+19
79.1%
Coleman Bennett run for 19 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 11
50
0
77.8%
Joshua Huiet punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jekail Middlebrook at the MTSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:3222% → 20%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
77.9%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MTSU 17Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+12
78.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Amorion Walker for 12 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
77.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 9 yds to the MTSU 38Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+4
77.1%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
77.5%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Middlebrook,Jekail rush left for 7 yards gain to the MTSU49 (Daniels,Rod) PENALTY MTSU Holding (Guevara,Mateo) 10 yards from MTSU42 to MTSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+14
79.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 14 yds to the MTSU 46Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
78.0%
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 7 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
77.4%
Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the KENN 47Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
77.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ JonesSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
78.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ JonesSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
80.3%
Ashton Logan punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1082% → 81%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
81.7%
Amari Odom run for 13 yds to the KENN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
82.0%
Chase Belcher run for 4 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
82.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 7 yds to the KENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.5%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
83.2%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gerard Bullock Jr.Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
82.1%
Amari Odom run for 2 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 8
OWN 46
-5
81.4%
(06:16) PENALTY KSU False Start (Moss,Karson) 5 yards from KSU46 to KSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
81.2%
Joshua Huiet punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 5:5419% → 39%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
81.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles ButlerSimilar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
82.2%
DJ Taylor run for 2 yds to the MTSU 13Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+9
83.8%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 9 yds to the MTSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
84.0%
DJ Taylor run for 2 yds to the MTSU 24Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+4
84.3%
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 28Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+13
84.3%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 13 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
82.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 1
50
+8
81.3%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the KENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
81.8%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass incomplete deep right to Walker,Amorion thrown to KSU10 PENALTY KSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KSU42 to KSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+6
81.5%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 6 yds to the KENN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
81.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kason Stokes for 7 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+15
80.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 15 yds to the KENN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
61.2%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:1871% → 87%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
71.4%
Amari Odom run for 8 yds to the KENN 33Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
73.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 11 yds to the KENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
74.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
75.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for no gain to the KENN 46Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+18
74.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Clayton Coppock for 18 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
78.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Javon Rogers for 10 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
78.9%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Coleman BennettSimilar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
78.8%
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the MTSU 26Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+5
78.6%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 5 yds to the MTSU 21Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
87.0%
Daniel Kinney 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:4813% → 11%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
86.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Amorion Walker for 3 yds to the MTSU 25Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+21
86.4%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 21 yds to the MTSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
84.0%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 3 yds to the MTSU 43Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+10
86.7%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas rush left for 0 yards to the MTSU43 (Nwoha,Ugonna) PENALTY KSU Holding (Zollicoffer,Elijah) 10 yards from MTSU43 to KSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.2%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Cam'ron LacySimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
83.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 4 yds to the MTSU 49Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+27
86.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 27 yds to the KENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
82.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the KENN 16Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+6
83.4%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
83.2%
Nicholas Vattiato run for a loss of 6 yards to the KENN 16 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MTSU Nicholas VattiatoSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+5
85.8%
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the KENN 11Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
87.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles ButlerSimilar
Q4 3:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
0
88.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2193% → 94%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
93.2%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 14Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+2
94.4%
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 2 yds to the KENN 17Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+4
93.6%
Joshua Huiet punt for 40 yds , Abdul Muhammad returns for 4 yds to the MTSU 47Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+1
94.3%
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the KENN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:4112% → 10%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
87.7%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 17 yds to the KENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
87.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 2 yds to the KENN 38Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
86.9%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae CoxSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
88.1%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Jekail MiddlebrookSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
89.6%
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae CoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:3898% → 97%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-9
98.4%
T. Ulatowski takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 16
OWN 32
-10
98.2%
T. Ulatowski takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 26
OWN 22
0
97.1%
Tommy Ulatowski pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-19.5
FG · Q4 10:43
Daniel Kinney 39 yd FG GOOD
+8.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:38
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com