MTSU
Middle Tennessee 16 at Kennesaw State 24
KENN2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Fifth Third Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
MTSU · Drive 1FUMBLE · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q1 14:56
Britton Williams kickoff for 70 yds for a touchback
71.1%
0.0
Q1 14:43
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30
68.4%
-2.7
Q1 14:12
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass incomplete short left to Cox,Nahzae thrown to MTSU35 PENALTY MTSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Harris,E.J.) 5 yards from MTSU30 to MTSU25. NO PLAY.
68.4%
0.0
Q1 14:04
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30 Jekail Middlebrook fumbled, recovered by KENN Tylon Dunlap
68.4%
0.0
KENN · Drive 2TD · 3 plays · 30 yds
Q1 13:42
Amari Odom run for 4 yds to the MTSU 26
73.0%
+4.6
Q1 13:30
Coleman Bennett run for 13 yds to the MTSU 13 for a 1ST down
73.0%
0.0
Q1 13:25
Christian Moss pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 13 yds for a TD Middle Tennessee Penalty, (Yards) declined (Britton Williams KICK)
82.1%
+9.1
MTSU · Drive 3PUNT · 7 plays · 18 yds
Q1 13:25
Britton Williams kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
81.4%
-0.7
Q1 12:20
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 15 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down
78.1%
-3.3
Q1 11:52
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass complete short left to Butler,Myles caught at MTSU38, for 8 yards to the MTSU48 (Ford,Alex; Offord,Caleb) PENALTY MTSU Holding (Walker,Amorion) 10 yards from MTSU40 to MTSU30. NO PLAY.
77.7%
-0.4
Q1 11:24
Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the MTSU 37
79.5%
+1.9
Q1 10:50
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ Jones
79.5%
0.0
Q1 10:36
Nicholas Vattiato run for 6 yds to the MTSU 43
79.5%
0.0
Q1 10:31
Ashton Logan punt for 44 yds
79.2%
-0.4
KENN · Drive 4TD · 5 plays · 87 yds
Q1 10:16
Gabriel Benyard run for 7 yds to the KENN 20
82.2%
+3.0
Q1 9:46
Coleman Bennett run for 8 yds to the KENN 28 for a 1ST down
82.2%
0.0
Q1 9:26
Amari Odom pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 19 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST down
82.3%
+0.1
Q1 9:15
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel Benyard
82.9%
+0.6
Q1 9:06
Amari Odom pass complete to Chase Belcher for 53 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
92.2%
+9.3
MTSU · Drive 5FG · 11 plays · 59 yds
Q1 8:14
Britton Williams kickoff for 60 yds , Juwon Gaston return for 20 yds to the MTSU 25
92.0%
-0.1
Q1 8:03
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29
89.2%
-2.8
Q1 7:40
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 7 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down
89.2%
0.0
Q1 6:55
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTSU 40
89.2%
0.0
Q1 6:16
Kennesaw State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ugonna Nwoha) to the KENN 45 for a 1ST down
89.2%
0.0
Q1 5:49
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 25 yds to the KENN 20 for a 1ST down
88.9%
-0.3
Q1 5:32
(05:32) PENALTY MTSU False Start 5 yards from KSU20 to KSU25. NO PLAY.
88.4%
-0.5
Q1 5:09
Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the KENN 23
88.4%
0.0
Q1 4:32
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 17
88.4%
0.0
Q1 3:43
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the KENN 16
88.3%
0.0
Q1 3:43
Jacob Hathaway 34 yd FG GOOD
81.1%
-7.2
KENN · Drive 6PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q1 3:38
Baylen Woodman kickoff for 63 yds , Tykeem Wallace return for 22 yds to the KENN 24
82.1%
+0.9
Q1 2:41
Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the KENN 25
86.6%
+4.5
Q1 2:26
Amari Odom run for 6 yds to the KENN 31
86.5%
0.0
Q1 1:59
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel Benyard
86.4%
-0.1
Q1 1:50
Joshua Huiet punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jekail Middlebrook at the MTSU 25
86.1%
-0.3
MTSU · Drive 7PUNT · 4 plays · 6 yds
Q1 1:49
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for no gain to the MTSU 25
82.3%
-3.8
Q1 1:34
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 31
84.1%
+1.8
Q1 1:17
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae Cox
84.1%
0.0
Q1 1:07
Ashton Logan punt for 46 yds , Gabriel Benyard returns for 15 yds to the KENN 38
84.1%
0.0
KENN · Drive 8TD · 3 plays · 62 yds
Q1 0:15
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41
86.5%
+2.4
Q1 0:15
Coleman Bennett run for 30 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down
86.5%
0.0
Q1 0:11
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 29 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
94.6%
+8.1
MTSU · Drive 9PUNT · 11 plays · 35 yds
Q1 0:11
Britton Williams kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
94.5%
-0.1
Q1 0:00
DJ Taylor run for 13 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST down
93.3%
-1.2
Q2 14:53
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Jones for 7 yds to the MTSU 45
93.3%
0.0
Q2 13:22
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ Taylor for 3 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down
93.3%
0.0
Q2 12:40
DJ Taylor run for 7 yds to the KENN 45
93.1%
-0.2
Q2 11:56
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST down
93.0%
-0.1
Q2 11:17
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 5 yds to the KENN 36
92.9%
-0.1
Q2 10:54
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Middlebrook,Jekail rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU29 (Washington Jr.,JeRico) PENALTY MTSU Holding (Harris,E.J.) 10 yards from KSU36 to KSU46. NO PLAY.
92.6%
-0.2
Q2 10:23
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 3 yds to the KENN 43
93.0%
+0.4
Q2 9:37
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 3 yds to the KENN 40
92.8%
-0.2
Q2 9:35
Ashton Logan punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Gabriel Benyard at the KENN 13
92.8%
0.0
KENN · Drive 10FUMBLE · 3 plays · 17 yds
Q2 8:38
Clayton Coppock run for 9 yds to the KENN 22
94.6%
+1.8
Q2 8:26
Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the KENN 23 for a 1ST down
94.6%
0.0
Q2 7:48
Alexander Diggs run for 7 yds to the KENN 30 Alexander Diggs fumbled, recovered by MTSU Devan Carlisle
94.4%
-0.2
MTSU · Drive 11TD · 7 plays · 30 yds
Q2 7:39
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 24
92.7%
-1.7
Q2 6:57
Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the KENN 22
92.7%
0.0
Q2 6:18
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 16 for a 1ST down
92.7%
0.0
Q2 5:38
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 3 yds to the KENN 13
92.7%
0.0
Q2 4:57
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 9
92.7%
0.0
Q2 4:32
Nicholas Vattiato run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 10
92.7%
+0.1
Q2 4:17
Jekail Middlebrook run for 10 yds for a TD (Jacob Hathaway KICK)
86.0%
-6.8
KENN · Drive 12MISSED FG · 10 plays · 46 yds
Q2 4:17
Baylen Woodman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
86.6%
+0.6
Q2 4:11
Gabriel Benyard run for 7 yds to the KENN 32
88.7%
+2.1
Q2 3:42
Chase Belcher run for 5 yds to the KENN 37 for a 1ST down
88.9%
+0.1
Q2 3:20
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
88.9%
0.0
Q2 2:47
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Odom,Amari pass incomplete deep right to Ravare,Lyndon thrown to MTSU10 PENALTY MTSU Pass Interference (Carlisle,Devan) 15 yards from KSU50 to MTSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
88.8%
-0.1
Q2 2:40
Amari Odom run for 1 yd to the MTSU 34
88.9%
+0.1
Q2 2:26
Gabriel Benyard run for 1 yd to the MTSU 33
88.9%
0.0
Q2 1:54
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29
88.7%
-0.1
Q2 1:54
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 01:54
88.2%
-0.5
Q2 1:48
Britton Williams 47 yd FG MISSED
88.2%
0.0
MTSU · Drive 13INT · 11 plays · 69 yds
Q2 1:46
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Amorion Walker
87.0%
-1.2
Q2 1:42
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Hunter Tipton
87.0%
0.0
Q2 1:35
Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST down
87.0%
0.0
Q2 1:21
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 20 yds to the KENN 39 for a 1ST down
87.0%
0.0
Q2 1:10
Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Donovan Westmoreland for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 41
86.5%
-0.5
Q2 1:10
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 01:10
86.3%
-0.1
Q2 1:04
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 35 yds to the KENN 6 for a 1ST down
86.3%
0.0
Q2 0:32
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 2
85.9%
-0.5
Q2 0:24
Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the KENN 2
85.4%
-0.5
Q2 0:24
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 00:24
85.4%
0.0
Q2 0:18
Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Five Hamilton return for no gain to the KENN 1
85.4%
0.0
KENN · Drive 14END OF HALF · 1 play · 5 yds
Q2 0:00
Coleman Bennett run for 5 yds to the KENN 6
88.0%
+2.7
KENN · Drive 15PUNT · 7 plays · 25 yds
Q3 15:00
Baylen Woodman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.7%
-0.3
Q3 14:11
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel Benyard
88.3%
+0.5
Q3 14:08
Amari Odom pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 7 yds to the KENN 32
88.2%
-0.1
Q3 13:57
Tykeem Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 49 Tykeem Wallace fumbled, recovered by KENN Tykeem Wallace
88.3%
+0.1
Q3 13:44
Amari Odom pass complete to Clayton Coppock for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
88.1%
-0.2
Q3 13:42
Coleman Bennett run for 19 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down
88.1%
0.0
Q3 12:49
Joshua Huiet punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jekail Middlebrook at the MTSU 16
88.5%
+0.4
MTSU · Drive 16PUNT · 11 plays · 37 yds
Q3 12:42
Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MTSU 17
87.5%
-1.1
Q3 12:30
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Amorion Walker for 12 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down
87.5%
0.0
Q3 12:14
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 9 yds to the MTSU 38
87.5%
0.0
Q3 10:58
Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down
87.9%
+0.4
Q3 10:58
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Middlebrook,Jekail rush left for 7 yards gain to the MTSU49 (Daniels,Rod) PENALTY MTSU Holding (Guevara,Mateo) 10 yards from MTSU42 to MTSU32. NO PLAY.
87.9%
0.0
Q3 9:49
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Nahzae Cox for 14 yds to the MTSU 46
87.9%
0.0
Q3 9:02
Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 7 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST down
87.9%
0.0
Q3 8:45
Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the KENN 47
87.7%
-0.2
Q3 8:21
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ Jones
87.7%
0.0
Q3 8:17
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ Jones
87.7%
0.0
Q3 8:10
Ashton Logan punt for 47 yds for a touchback
87.7%
0.0
KENN · Drive 17PUNT · 8 plays · 21 yds
Q3 8:04
Amari Odom run for 13 yds to the KENN 33 for a 1ST down
88.9%
+1.3
Q3 7:51
Chase Belcher run for 4 yds to the KENN 37
88.9%
0.0
Q3 7:13
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 7 yds to the KENN 44 for a 1ST down
88.9%
0.0
Q3 6:49
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gabriel Benyard
89.2%
+0.3
Q3 6:44
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Gerard Bullock Jr.
89.2%
0.0
Q3 6:34
Amari Odom run for 2 yds to the KENN 46
89.1%
-0.1
Q3 6:07
(06:16) PENALTY KSU False Start (Moss,Karson) 5 yards from KSU46 to KSU41. NO PLAY.
88.9%
-0.3
Q3 5:54
Joshua Huiet punt for 48 yds
89.0%
+0.2
MTSU · Drive 18TD · 13 plays · 89 yds
Q3 5:50
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles Butler
88.0%
-1.0
Q3 4:57
DJ Taylor run for 2 yds to the MTSU 13
88.1%
+0.1
Q3 4:11
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 9 yds to the MTSU 22 for a 1ST down
89.2%
+1.2
Q3 3:42
DJ Taylor run for 2 yds to the MTSU 24
90.0%
+0.8
Q3 2:58
Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 28
90.1%
+0.1
Q3 2:08
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 13 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST down
90.1%
0.0
Q3 1:44
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 9 yds to the 50 yard line
90.1%
0.0
Q3 1:38
Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the KENN 42 for a 1ST down
89.7%
-0.4
Q3 1:25
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass incomplete deep right to Walker,Amorion thrown to KSU10 PENALTY KSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KSU42 to KSU37. NO PLAY.
89.7%
0.0
Q3 0:32
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 6 yds to the KENN 31 for a 1ST down
89.6%
-0.1
Q3 0:02
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kason Stokes for 7 yds to the KENN 24
89.4%
-0.3
Q3 0:00
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 15 yds to the KENN 9 for a 1ST down
89.4%
0.0
Q4 14:56
Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
73.8%
-15.5
KENN · Drive 19FG · 11 plays · 54 yds
Q4 14:56
Baylen Woodman kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
76.0%
+2.2
Q4 14:01
Amari Odom run for 8 yds to the KENN 33
80.8%
+4.8
Q4 13:46
Coleman Bennett run for 11 yds to the KENN 44 for a 1ST down
80.8%
0.0
Q4 13:30
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the KENN 46
81.4%
+0.5
Q4 13:01
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for no gain to the KENN 46
81.4%
0.0
Q4 12:39
Amari Odom pass complete to Clayton Coppock for 18 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down
81.9%
+0.6
Q4 12:16
Amari Odom pass complete to Javon Rogers for 10 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST down
82.7%
+0.7
Q4 12:12
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Coleman Bennett
82.7%
0.0
Q4 11:55
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the MTSU 26
82.7%
0.0
Q4 11:24
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 5 yds to the MTSU 21
82.5%
-0.2
Q4 10:43
Daniel Kinney 39 yd FG GOOD
88.5%
+6.0
MTSU · Drive 20DOWNS · 14 plays · 67 yds
Q4 10:37
Britton Williams kickoff for 63 yds , Juwon Gaston return for 20 yds to the MTSU 22
88.3%
-0.2
Q4 9:42
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Amorion Walker for 3 yds to the MTSU 25
89.6%
+1.3
Q4 8:59
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hunter Tipton for 21 yds to the MTSU 46 for a 1ST down
89.7%
+0.1
Q4 8:31
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 3 yds to the MTSU 43
89.7%
0.0
Q4 8:24
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas rush left for 0 yards to the MTSU43 (Nwoha,Ugonna) PENALTY KSU Holding (Zollicoffer,Elijah) 10 yards from MTSU43 to KSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
89.7%
0.0
Q4 8:10
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Cam'ron Lacy
89.3%
-0.4
Q4 8:00
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 4 yds to the MTSU 49
89.2%
-0.1
Q4 7:43
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 27 yds to the KENN 24 for a 1ST down
89.2%
0.0
Q4 6:29
Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the KENN 16
88.9%
-0.3
Q4 5:57
Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the KENN 10 for a 1ST down
89.3%
+0.4
Q4 5:19
Nicholas Vattiato run for a loss of 6 yards to the KENN 16 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MTSU Nicholas Vattiato
89.5%
+0.2
Q4 4:52
Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the KENN 11
91.9%
+2.4
Q4 4:30
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Myles Butler
91.9%
0.0
Q4 3:54
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to AJ Jones
92.5%
+0.5
KENN · Drive 21PUNT · 6 plays · 6 yds
Q4 3:34
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 14
91.0%
-1.5
Q4 2:59
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 02:59
91.2%
+0.2
Q4 2:54
Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 2 yds to the KENN 17
91.2%
0.0
Q4 2:53
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 02:53
91.2%
0.0
Q4 2:44
Joshua Huiet punt for 40 yds , Abdul Muhammad returns for 4 yds to the MTSU 47
91.2%
0.0
Q4 2:13
Tommy Ulatowski run for 1 yd to the KENN 15
91.2%
-1.3
MTSU · Drive 22DOWNS · 6 plays · 15 yds
Q4 2:25
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 17 yds to the KENN 36 for a 1ST down
92.6%
+1.3
Q4 2:00
Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 2 yds to the KENN 38
92.3%
+1.1
Q4 2:00
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 02:00
92.3%
0.0
Q4 1:55
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae Cox
92.5%
+0.2
Q4 1:49
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Jekail Middlebrook
92.5%
0.0
Q4 1:44
Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Nahzae Cox
92.3%
-0.2
KENN · Drive 23DOWNS · 5 plays · -16 yds
Q4 1:38
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the KENN 41
91.6%
-0.7
Q4 1:38
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 01:38
92.1%
+0.5
Q4 0:44
T. Ulatowski takes a knee
92.2%
+0.1
Q4 0:44
T. Ulatowski takes a knee
92.2%
0.0
Q4 0:00
Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete
91.8%
-0.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
Jekail Middlebrook run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-15.5
TD · Q1 9:06
Amari Odom pass complete to Chase Belcher for 53 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q1 13:25
Christian Moss pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 13 yds for a TD Middle Tennessee Penalty, (Yards) declined (Britton Williams KICK)
+9.1