UTM
UT Martin 10 at Missouri State 42
MOST2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Plaster Sports Complex
Speed4x
Win probability · MOST
modelMOST aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
UTM · Drive 1FUMBLE · 4 plays · 7 yds
Q1 15:00
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
52.6%
0.0
Q1 15:00
John Gentry run for 5 yds to the UTM 30
49.8%
-2.8
Q1 15:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Scottie Alexander for 3 yds to the UTM 33
50.2%
+0.4
Q1 13:48
John Gentry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 32 John Gentry fumbled, recovered by MOST Kanye Young
48.6%
-1.7
MOST · Drive 2TD · 5 plays · 32 yds
Q1 13:48
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Dash Luke
54.7%
+6.2
Q1 13:48
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 14 yds to the UTM 18 for a 1ST down
54.7%
0.0
Q1 13:48
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 2 yds to the UTM 16
54.7%
0.0
Q1 13:48
Jacob Clark pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 9 yds to the UTM 7 for a 1ST down
54.7%
0.0
Q1 11:50
Jacob Clark run for 7 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
68.4%
+13.7
UTM · Drive 3PUNT · 5 plays · 13 yds
Q1 11:50
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
67.4%
-1.0
Q1 11:50
Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the UTM 28
64.0%
-3.4
Q1 11:50
Jase Bauer run for no gain to the UTM 28
64.0%
0.0
Q1 11:50
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Drake Martinez
64.0%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 45 yds
66.0%
+2.0
MOST · Drive 4TD · 14 plays · 83 yds
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson
67.4%
+1.4
Q1 10:21
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the MOST 21
67.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 10 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down
67.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 23 yds to the UTM 46 for a 1ST down
67.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark sacked by Toby Camp for a loss of 3 yards to the UTM 49
68.3%
+0.9
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Tristian Gardner
68.3%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 15 yds to the UTM 34 for a 1ST down
68.1%
-0.2
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 36
68.4%
+0.3
Q1 10:21
UT Martin Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Iese Puni) to the UTM 18 for a 1ST down
68.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
PENALTY MSU False Start (Greene,Matthew) 5 yards from UTM18 to UTM23. NO PLAY.
68.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Jacob Clark run for 10 yds to the UTM 13
68.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Shomari Lawrence run for 9 yds to the UTM 4 for a 1ST down
68.4%
0.0
Q1 10:21
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the UTM 4
68.4%
0.0
Q1 3:27
Jacob Clark run for 4 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
85.7%
+17.3
UTM · Drive 5INT · 6 plays · 22 yds
Q1 3:27
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
85.5%
-0.2
Q1 3:27
Bryce Bailey run for 16 yds to the UTM 41 for a 1ST down
79.3%
-6.2
Q1 3:27
Chris Franklin run for 4 yds to the UTM 45
79.3%
0.0
Q1 3:27
Thomas Ansley run for 2 yds to the UTM 47
79.3%
0.0
Q1 1:37
Timeout UT Martin, clock 01:37
78.4%
-0.9
Q1 1:26
Missouri State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UTM 41
78.4%
0.0
MOST · Drive 6TD · 5 plays · 41 yds
Q1 1:26
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ramone Green Jr.
86.8%
+8.4
Q1 1:26
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson
86.8%
0.0
Q1 1:16
Timeout Missouri State, clock 01:16
86.2%
-0.6
Q1 1:16
Jacob Clark pass complete to Tristian Gardner for 35 yds to the UTM 6 for a 1ST down
86.2%
0.0
Q1 0:27
Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 6 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
93.9%
+7.7
UTM · Drive 7FUMBLE · 3 plays · 32 yds
Q1 0:27
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
93.9%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Bryce Bailey pass complete to Phaizon Wilson for 15 yds to the UTM 40 for a 1ST down
92.0%
-1.8
Q2 14:51
Jase Bauer pass complete to Bryce Bailey for 17 yds Bryce Bailey fumbled, recovered by MOST Jalen Brooks
92.1%
0.0
MOST · Drive 8TD · 9 plays · 62 yds
Q2 14:51
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 24 yds to the UTM 38 for a 1ST down UT Martin Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Stevenson) to the UTM 23 for a 1ST down
94.0%
+1.9
Q2 14:51
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UTM 22
93.9%
-0.1
Q2 14:51
Jacob Clark run for 5 yds to the UTM 17
93.9%
0.0
Q2 14:51
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 9 yds to the UTM 8 for a 1ST down
93.9%
0.0
Q2 14:51
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the UTM 8
93.9%
0.0
Q2 14:51
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to James BlackStrain
93.9%
0.0
Q2 14:51
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 7 yds to the UTM 1
93.9%
0.0
Q2 11:30
Timeout UT Martin, clock 11:30
94.5%
+0.6
Q2 11:25
Jacob Clark pass complete to Connor Lair for 1 yd for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
97.5%
+3.0
UTM · Drive 9PUNT · 10 plays · 28 yds
Q2 11:25
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 64 yds
97.4%
-0.1
Q2 11:25
Thomas Ansley run for 1 yd to the UTM 26
95.1%
-2.3
Q2 11:25
Jase Bauer pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 2 yds to the UTM 28
95.1%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Timeout Missouri State, clock 10:14
95.3%
+0.2
Q2 10:14
Jase Bauer pass complete to Scottie Alexander for 8 yds to the UTM 36 for a 1ST down
95.3%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Jase Bauer pass complete to Scottie Alexander for 16 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down
95.3%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jaren Bowling for 2 yds to the MOST 46
95.3%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Jase Bauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 47
95.3%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Bryce Bailey
95.3%
0.0
Q2 7:36
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 47 yds for a touchback
95.3%
0.0
MOST · Drive 10PUNT · 7 plays · 24 yds
Q2 7:36
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 35 yds to the UTM 45 for a 1ST down
97.8%
+2.5
Q2 7:36
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the UTM 43
97.8%
0.0
Q2 7:36
PENALTY MSU False Start (Nnabugwu,Ebubedike) 5 yards from UTM43 to UTM48. NO PLAY.
97.8%
0.0
Q2 7:36
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 49
97.8%
0.0
Q2 7:36
No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UTM40 (Newsome,Doug; Banda,Tah) PENALTY MSU Holding (Curtis,Justin) 10 yards from UTM49 to MSU41. NO PLAY.
97.8%
0.0
Q2 7:36
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 3 yds to the MOST 44
97.8%
0.0
Q2 4:17
Stewart McDonald punt for 48 yds , Deuce Oliver returns for no gain to the UTM 6
98.1%
+0.4
UTM · Drive 11PUNT · 4 plays · 9 yds
Q2 4:17
Jase Bauer pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 1 yd to the UTM 7
96.5%
-1.6
Q2 4:17
Jase Bauer pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 3 yds to the UTM 10
96.5%
0.0
Q2 4:17
Jase Bauer pass complete to Drake Martinez for 5 yds to the UTM 15
96.5%
0.0
Q2 2:14
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dash Luke at the MOST 43
96.5%
0.0
MOST · Drive 12TD · 7 plays · 57 yds
Q2 2:14
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 20 yds to the UTM 37 for a 1ST down
98.2%
+1.7
Q2 2:00
Timeout Missouri State, clock 02:00
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ronnel Johnson
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Ramone Green Jr. run for 10 yds to the UTM 27 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Ramone Green Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTM 26
98.2%
0.0
Q2 2:00
Jacob Clark pass complete to Ramone Green Jr. for 9 yds to the UTM 17 for a 1ST down
98.2%
0.0
Q2 0:25
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 17 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
98.7%
+0.4
UTM · Drive 13END OF HALF · 2 plays · 7 yds
Q2 0:25
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 60 yds
98.7%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Franklin for 7 yds to the UTM 32
97.4%
-1.3
MOST · Drive 14TD · 6 plays · 80 yds
Q3 14:56
Brandon Sims kickoff for 55 yds , Dash Luke return for 10 yds to the MOST 20
97.3%
-0.1
Q3 14:56
Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 11 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down
98.6%
+1.3
Q3 14:56
Jacob Clark pass incomplete
98.6%
0.0
Q3 14:56
Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 18 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down
98.6%
0.0
Q3 14:56
Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
98.6%
0.0
Q3 12:45
Shomari Lawrence run for 50 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
98.7%
+0.1
UTM · Drive 15PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q3 12:39
Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds , Dazalin Worsham return for 23 yds to the UTM 23
98.7%
0.0
Q3 12:39
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Phaizon Wilson
98.3%
-0.4
Q3 12:39
Armoni Goodwin run for 5 yds to the UTM 28
98.3%
0.0
Q3 12:39
Jase Bauer sacked by Cooper Roy for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 24
98.3%
0.0
Q3 11:05
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 38 yds , Dash Luke returns for no gain to the MOST 24 Missouri State Penalty, Lair,Connor at MSU38, End Of Play PENALTY Holding (10 Yards) to the MOST 28
98.2%
0.0
MOST · Drive 16PUNT · 8 plays · 20 yds
Q3 11:05
Cole Feuerbacher pass incomplete to Dash Luke
98.7%
+0.4
Q3 11:05
Cole Feuerbacher pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 9 yds to the MOST 37
98.7%
0.0
Q3 11:05
King Davis run for 4 yds to the MOST 41 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q3 11:05
King Davis run for 5 yds to the MOST 46
98.7%
0.0
Q3 11:05
PENALTY MSU False Start (Hutchinson,Mark) 5 yards from MSU46 to MSU41. NO PLAY.
98.7%
0.0
Q3 11:05
King Davis run for no gain to the MOST 41
98.7%
0.0
Q3 11:05
Cole Feuerbacher pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 7 yds to the MOST 48
98.7%
0.0
Q3 6:55
Stewart McDonald punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Deuce Oliver at the UTM 14
98.7%
0.0
UTM · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q3 6:55
Jase Bauer run for 2 yds to the UTM 16
98.2%
-0.4
Q3 6:55
Chris Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 15
98.2%
0.0
Q3 6:55
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Hyatt Timosciek
98.2%
0.0
Q3 5:26
Jaren Van Winkle punt for 42 yds , Dash Luke returns for 1 yd to the MOST 33
98.2%
0.0
MOST · Drive 18PUNT · 5 plays · 16 yds
Q3 5:26
Iverson Young run for 20 yds to the UTM 47 for a 1ST down
98.8%
+0.5
Q3 5:26
Iverson Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line
98.8%
0.0
Q3 5:26
Cole Feuerbacher run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 49 Cole Feuerbacher fumbled, recovered by MOST Cole Feuerbacher
98.8%
0.0
Q3 5:26
Cole Feuerbacher pass incomplete to Antonio Robinson
98.8%
0.0
Q3 3:08
Stewart McDonald punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Deuce Oliver at the UTM 8
98.7%
0.0
UTM · Drive 19FG · 23 plays · 78 yds
Q3 3:08
Thomas Ansley run for 3 yds to the UTM 11
98.1%
-0.6
Q3 3:08
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Franklin for 4 yds to the UTM 15
98.1%
0.0
Q3 3:08
Jase Bauer pass complete to Shawn Hardy II for 5 yds to the UTM 20 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q3 3:08
Jase Bauer pass complete to Shawn Hardy II for 4 yds to the UTM 24
98.1%
0.0
Q3 3:08
Jase Bauer pass complete to Drake Martinez for 3 yds to the UTM 27
98.1%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Jase Bauer run for 6 yds to the UTM 33 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jaren Bowling for 6 yds to the UTM 39
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Shawn Hardy II
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Chris Franklin run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
PENALTY UTM False Start 5 yards from UTM50 to UTM45. NO PLAY.
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Deuce Oliver for 16 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Chris Franklin
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Chris Franklin run for 4 yds to the MOST 35
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Thomas Ansley run for 8 yds to the MOST 27 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the MOST 26
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Shawn Hardy II for 6 yds to the MOST 20
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Deuce Oliver for 4 yds to the MOST 24
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass complete to Hyatt Timosciek for 8 yds to the MOST 16 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 18
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Deuce Oliver run for 4 yds to the MOST 14
98.1%
0.0
Q4 15:00
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Shawn Hardy II
98.1%
0.0
Q4 6:55
Cade Hechter 32 yd FG GOOD
97.8%
-0.3
Q4 6:55
Timeout Missouri State, clock 06:55
98.7%
+0.9
MOST · Drive 20FUMBLE · 4 plays · 0 yds
Q4 6:47
Brandon Sims kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah McMorris return for 32 yds to the MOST 32
97.6%
-1.0
Q4 6:47
Reggie Branch II run for 10 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down
98.7%
+1.0
Q4 6:47
Missouri State Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (-10 Yards) to the MOST 35
98.7%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Reggie Branch II run for a loss of 3 yards to the MOST 32 Reggie Branch II fumbled, recovered by UTM Na'Drian Dizadare
98.7%
0.0
UTM · Drive 21TD · 10 plays · 32 yds
Q4 5:27
Thomas Ansley run for 3 yds to the MOST 29
97.6%
-1.1
Q4 5:27
Julian Calvez pass complete to Devin Queen for 8 yds to the MOST 21 for a 1ST down
97.6%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Julian Calvez pass complete to Thomas Ansley for 17 yds to the MOST 4 for a 1ST down
97.6%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Julian Calvez pass complete to Dazalin Worsham for 2 yds to the MOST 4
97.6%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Missouri State Penalty, Targeting (2 Yards) to the MOST 2 for a 1ST down
97.6%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Julian Calvez pass incomplete to Deuce Oliver
97.6%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Shotgun Calvez,Julian pass incomplete short left to Queen,Devin thrown to MSU00 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Barrett,Navonn) 2 yards from MSU04 to MSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
97.6%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Julian Calvez run for 1 yd to the MOST 1
97.6%
0.0
Q4 1:53
Timeout Missouri State, clock 01:53
97.8%
+0.2
Q4 1:52
Thomas Ansley run for 1 yd for a TD (Cade Hechter KICK)
96.7%
-1.0
MOST · Drive 22END OF GAME · 4 plays · -3 yds
Q4 1:45
Brandon Sims kickoff for 58 yds , Isaiah McMorris return for 16 yds to the MOST 23 Isaiah McMorris fumbled, recovered by UTM
96.8%
+0.1
Q4 1:45
D. Bailey takes a knee
98.3%
+1.5
Q4 1:45
D. Bailey takes a knee
98.3%
0.0
Q4 0:00
D. Bailey takes a knee
98.2%
-0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:27
Jacob Clark run for 4 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q1 11:50
Jacob Clark run for 7 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)
+13.7
KEY PLAY · Q1 1:26
Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Ramone Green Jr.
+8.4