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JMU

James Madison 31 at Liberty 13

LIB
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+4LIB 51.9%Jay Billingsley 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 13 · Q3 8:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:06 · Jay Billingsley 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense+4.2Pregame prior−8.6Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 8:06: Jay Billingsley 35 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +4.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:32: Wayne Knight run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +19.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:32: Timeout Liberty, clock 03:32 — LIB win probability +5.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:07: Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:31: Alonza Barnett III run for 13 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK) — JMU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9JMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:42JMU 4th & 14 at LIB 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01LIB 4th & 1 at JMU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55LIB 4th & 9 at JMU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:51LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:06LIB 4th & 15 at JMU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−3.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−10.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:59LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:37LIB 4th & 5 at LIB 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:11JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:36LIB 4th & 14 at LIB 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:56LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:50LIB 4th & 7 at JMU 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 3:32JMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:07JMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:31JMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 5:0771% → 69%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.0%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 29Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
29.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 11 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
29.4%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
29.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to George PettawaySimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+9
29.7%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 9 yds to the LIB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
29.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+17
30.1%
Wayne Knight run for 17 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
30.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 11 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
30.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Lacota DippreSimilar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-4
30.4%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 21Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
31.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+39
31.3%
Morgan Suarez 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:3831% → 34%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
30.8%
Evan Dickens run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 23Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+19
30.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 19 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
31.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
31.9%
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 2
50
+1
31.9%
Evan Dickens run for 1 yd to the JMU 49Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
31.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
32.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 17 yds to the JMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
33.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the JMU 29Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
33.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
32.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jamari PersonSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+47
33.5%
Jay Billingsley 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3INT
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:4767% → 67%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.3%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the JMU 32Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
32.9%
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
33.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon EllisSimilar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
33.4%
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 45Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+4
33.2%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete short right to DeGennaro,Nick thrown to JMU49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Pass Interference (Green,Brylan) 4 yards from JMU45 to JMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
33.0%
James Madison Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the JMU 37Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 22
OWN 37
+30
34.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 30 yds to the LIB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
32.4%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaroSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
32.5%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the LIB 29Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+15
33.2%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete deep left to Ellis,Landon thrown to LU00 PENALTY LU Pass Interference (Williams,Amarian) 15 yards from LU29 to LU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
32.5%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 4 yds to the LIB 10Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
32.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the LIB 5Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
33.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass intercepted, touchback. Brylan Green return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:5836% → 37%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Julian Gray for 3 yds to the LIB 23Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
36.1%
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+3
36.0%
Evan Dickens run for 3 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
36.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
36.7%
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the LIB 35Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
36.9%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the LIB 35Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
36.6%
Max Morgan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 6:4744% → 52%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.7%
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the LIB 30Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
44.6%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the LIB 30Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
43.5%
Michael Merdinger run for 6 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
45.7%
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the LIB 38Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+11
46.0%
Michael Merdinger run for 11 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
47.8%
Evan Dickens run for 7 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-5
48.8%
(11:28) PENALTY LU False Start (Williams,Christian) 5 yards from JMU44 to JMU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+12
48.8%
Ethan Houck run for 12 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
49.3%
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the JMU 35Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+24
50.4%
Michael Merdinger pass complete to Jamari Person for 12 yds to the JMU 23 for a 1ST down James Madison Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Amar Thomas) to the JMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
50.8%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Houck,Ethan rush left for 1 yard gain to the JMU10 (Weathersby,Gannon) PENALTY LU Holding (Engbers,Joep) 10 yards from JMU11 to JMU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 20
OPP 21
-4
50.7%
Caden Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 25Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 24
OPP 25
0
49.7%
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Jamari PersonSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 24
OPP 25
+9
47.9%
Michael Merdinger pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 9 yds to the JMU 16Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+35
51.9%
Jay Billingsley 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:2049% → 73%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
51.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 18Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+36
52.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 36 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
47.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 25 yds to the LIB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
45.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the LIB 18Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
45.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the LIB 13Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+10
47.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 10 yds to the LIB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the LIB 1Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.1%
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the LIB 1Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.2%
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2533% → 31%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.5%
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the LIB 29Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
33.0%
Julian Gray run for 3 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
32.2%
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Austin HendersonSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
31.2%
Max Morgan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:4471% → 89%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
28.9%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 12 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
27.3%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 2 yds to the JMU 47Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
27.3%
PENALTY LU Offside (Pirolli,Nathan) 5 yards from JMU47 to LU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+6
25.9%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
26.1%
PENALTY JMU False Start (Sweazie,Carter) 5 yards from LU42 to LU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+10
27.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 10 yds to the LIB 37Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
25.6%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
24.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+9
24.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 9 yds to the LIB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-8
23.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the LIB 16 James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (Pat McMurtrie) to the LIB 26Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 18
OPP 26
+4
24.1%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 4 yds to the LIB 22Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+13
24.0%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 13 yds to the LIB 9Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
11.0%
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1913% → 10%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.5%
Michael Merdinger run for 6 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
10.9%
Evan Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 30Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
10.8%
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Jamari PersonSimilar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
9.9%
Max Morgan punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2189% → 90%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
10.9%
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 26Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
10.6%
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Braeden Wisloski for 1 yd to the JMU 27Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
10.2%
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne KnightSimilar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
10.4%
Patrick Rea punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2810% → 7%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
10.1%
Evan Dickens run for 1 yd to the LIB 32Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
9.6%
Michael Merdinger sacked by Aiden Gobaira for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 27Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
7.7%
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
6.8%
Max Morgan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:5893% → 99%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
6.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 24 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
5.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+12
5.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 12 yds to the LIB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
5.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the LIB 23Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+6
5.2%
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
4.2%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the LIB 15Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
3.2%
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the LIB 13Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
0.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for 13 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 22 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.7%
Ethan Houck run for 8 yds to the LIB 33Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
0.7%
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Austin HendersonSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
0.6%
Caden Williams run for 1 yd to the LIB 34Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
0.5%
Ethan Houck run for 2 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.5%
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
0.4%
Ethan Houck pass complete to Jamari Person for 17 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.5%
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the JMU 44Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
0.5%
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
0.5%
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 7
OPP 44
-9
0.5%
Ethan Houck sacked by DJ Cotton Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the LIB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
0.5%
B. Kendall takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
0.5%
B. Kendall takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:32
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-19.9
TD · Q4 11:07
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 3:32
Timeout Liberty, clock 03:32
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com