JMU
James Madison 31 at Liberty 13
LIB2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
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JMU · Drive 1FG · 14 plays · 54 yds
Q1 15:00
Max Morgan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
29.8%
0.0
Q1 14:49
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 29
27.4%
-2.4
Q1 14:21
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 11 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down
26.9%
-0.5
Q1 13:52
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 44
26.0%
-0.9
Q1 13:16
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to George Pettaway
25.4%
-0.7
Q1 13:01
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 9 yds to the LIB 47 for a 1ST down
25.4%
0.0
Q1 12:22
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the LIB 45
24.9%
-0.4
Q1 11:42
Wayne Knight run for 17 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down
24.9%
0.0
Q1 11:05
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 11 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST down
24.8%
-0.1
Q1 10:36
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Lacota Dippre
24.8%
0.0
Q1 10:26
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 21
24.8%
0.0
Q1 9:45
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon Ellis
24.8%
0.0
Q1 9:42
Morgan Suarez 39 yd FG GOOD
22.1%
-2.8
Q1 9:42
Timeout Liberty, clock 09:42
27.7%
+5.7
LIB · Drive 2FG · 12 plays · 46 yds
Q1 9:42
Cristiano Rosa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
21.6%
-6.1
Q1 9:33
Evan Dickens run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 23
27.7%
+6.1
Q1 8:58
Ethan Vasko run for 19 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST down
27.9%
+0.2
Q1 8:27
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the LIB 46
28.8%
+0.9
Q1 7:55
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
28.8%
0.0
Q1 7:36
Evan Dickens run for 1 yd to the JMU 49
28.8%
0.0
Q1 7:01
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST down
29.6%
+0.8
Q1 6:23
Ethan Vasko run for 17 yds to the JMU 30 for a 1ST down
29.9%
+0.3
Q1 5:41
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the JMU 29
28.8%
-1.1
Q1 5:07
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.
29.1%
+0.3
Q1 5:00
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jamari Person
28.9%
-0.2
Q1 4:55
Jay Billingsley 47 yd FG GOOD
32.7%
+3.9
JMU · Drive 3INT · 14 plays · 70 yds
Q1 4:55
Max Morgan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
31.2%
-1.6
Q1 4:47
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the JMU 32
26.8%
-4.4
Q1 4:12
Wayne Knight run for 7 yds to the JMU 39 for a 1ST down
26.8%
0.0
Q1 3:39
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Landon Ellis
26.1%
-0.7
Q1 3:31
George Pettaway run for 6 yds to the JMU 45
26.1%
0.0
Q1 2:54
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete short right to DeGennaro,Nick thrown to JMU49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LU Pass Interference (Green,Brylan) 4 yards from JMU45 to JMU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
25.5%
-0.7
Q1 2:46
James Madison Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the JMU 37
25.3%
-0.2
Q1 2:12
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 30 yds to the LIB 33 for a 1ST down
26.8%
+1.6
Q1 1:47
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaro
24.7%
-2.2
Q1 1:40
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the LIB 29
24.7%
0.0
Q1 1:10
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Barnett III,Alonza pass incomplete deep left to Ellis,Landon thrown to LU00 PENALTY LU Pass Interference (Williams,Amarian) 15 yards from LU29 to LU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
24.8%
+0.1
Q1 0:59
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Jaylan Sanchez for 4 yds to the LIB 10
24.8%
0.0
Q1 0:26
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the LIB 5
24.8%
+0.1
Q1 0:00
Alonza Barnett III pass intercepted, touchback. Brylan Green return for no gain
25.4%
+0.6
LIB · Drive 4PUNT · 7 plays · 15 yds
Q2 14:49
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Julian Gray for 3 yds to the LIB 23
32.0%
+6.6
Q2 14:16
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the LIB 27
32.0%
0.0
Q2 13:44
Evan Dickens run for 3 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST down
32.0%
0.0
Q2 13:14
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Casey Cain
32.0%
0.0
Q2 13:05
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the LIB 35
32.0%
0.0
Q2 12:24
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the LIB 35
32.0%
0.0
Q2 11:51
Max Morgan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 26
31.7%
-0.3
LIB · Drive 5FG · 17 plays · 59 yds
Q3 15:00
Cristiano Rosa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
30.5%
-1.2
Q3 14:53
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the LIB 30
37.5%
+7.0
Q3 14:23
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the LIB 30
37.7%
+0.2
Q3 13:38
Michael Merdinger run for 6 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down
37.7%
0.0
Q3 13:07
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the LIB 38
38.0%
+0.2
Q3 12:32
Michael Merdinger run for 11 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down
38.3%
+0.4
Q3 11:54
Evan Dickens run for 7 yds to the JMU 44
39.3%
+0.9
Q3 11:26
(11:28) PENALTY LU False Start (Williams,Christian) 5 yards from JMU44 to JMU49. NO PLAY.
40.2%
+0.9
Q3 10:53
Ethan Houck run for 12 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST down
40.2%
0.0
Q3 10:32
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the JMU 35
40.6%
+0.4
Q3 10:11
Michael Merdinger pass complete to Jamari Person for 12 yds to the JMU 23 for a 1ST down James Madison Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Amar Thomas) to the JMU 11 for a 1ST down
40.7%
+0.1
Q3 9:52
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Houck,Ethan rush left for 1 yard gain to the JMU10 (Weathersby,Gannon) PENALTY LU Holding (Engbers,Joep) 10 yards from JMU11 to JMU21. NO PLAY.
41.2%
+0.5
Q3 9:23
Caden Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 25
41.2%
0.0
Q3 8:49
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Jamari Person
41.2%
0.0
Q3 8:36
Michael Merdinger pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 9 yds to the JMU 16
41.0%
-0.2
Q3 8:06
Jay Billingsley 35 yd FG GOOD
49.6%
+8.6
Q3 8:06
Timeout Liberty, clock 08:06
32.0%
-17.6
JMU · Drive 6TD · 11 plays · 81 yds
Q3 7:59
Max Morgan kickoff for 65 yds , Wayne Knight return for 19 yds to the JMU 19
48.9%
+16.9
Q3 7:52
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMU 18
42.8%
-6.1
Q3 7:09
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Lacota Dippre for 36 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST down
42.8%
0.0
Q3 6:38
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 25 yds to the LIB 21 for a 1ST down
40.7%
-2.1
Q3 6:02
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the LIB 18
40.0%
-0.7
Q3 5:33
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the LIB 13
41.6%
+1.7
Q3 5:01
Ayo Adeyi run for 10 yds to the LIB 3 for a 1ST down
41.6%
0.0
Q3 4:36
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the LIB 1
41.4%
-0.3
Q3 3:51
Wayne Knight run for no gain to the LIB 1
42.9%
+1.5
Q3 3:32
Wayne Knight run for 1 yd for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
20.7%
-22.3
Q3 3:32
Timeout Liberty, clock 03:32
51.0%
+30.3
LIB · Drive 7PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q3 3:32
Cristiano Rosa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
21.9%
-29.1
Q3 3:24
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the LIB 29
27.4%
+5.5
Q3 2:49
Julian Gray run for 3 yds to the LIB 32
27.4%
0.0
Q3 2:08
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Austin Henderson
27.4%
0.0
Q3 1:59
Max Morgan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 33
27.4%
0.0
JMU · Drive 8TD · 14 plays · 67 yds
Q3 1:51
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 12 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST down
21.9%
-5.5
Q3 1:17
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 2 yds to the JMU 47
20.9%
-1.0
Q3 0:52
PENALTY LU Offside (Pirolli,Nathan) 5 yards from JMU47 to LU48. NO PLAY.
20.8%
-0.2
Q3 0:00
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST down
20.5%
-0.3
Q4 15:00
PENALTY JMU False Start (Sweazie,Carter) 5 yards from LU42 to LU47. NO PLAY.
20.4%
-0.1
Q4 14:49
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Landon Ellis for 10 yds to the LIB 37
20.7%
+0.3
Q4 14:09
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST down
20.2%
-0.4
Q4 13:29
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the LIB 27
20.0%
-0.2
Q4 12:54
Ayo Adeyi run for 9 yds to the LIB 18 for a 1ST down
19.4%
-0.7
Q4 12:11
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the LIB 16 James Madison Penalty, Offensive Holding (Pat McMurtrie) to the LIB 26
19.9%
+0.5
Q4 11:56
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 4 yds to the LIB 22
19.9%
0.0
Q4 11:26
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Wayne Knight for 13 yds to the LIB 9
19.9%
0.0
Q4 11:07
Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
5.9%
-14.0
Q4 11:07
Timeout Liberty, clock 11:07
28.7%
+22.8
LIB · Drive 9PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q4 11:07
Cristiano Rosa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
6.3%
-22.4
Q4 10:56
Michael Merdinger run for 6 yds to the LIB 31
10.9%
+4.6
Q4 10:22
Evan Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 30
10.0%
-0.9
Q4 9:50
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Jamari Person
9.9%
-0.1
Q4 9:37
Max Morgan punt for 48 yds
10.0%
+0.1
JMU · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · 5 yds
Q4 9:37
Timeout Liberty, clock 09:37
6.1%
-3.9
Q4 9:32
Wayne Knight run for 4 yds to the JMU 26
5.9%
-0.1
Q4 8:58
Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Braeden Wisloski for 1 yd to the JMU 27
5.5%
-0.5
Q4 8:19
Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete to Wayne Knight
5.5%
0.0
Q4 8:11
Patrick Rea punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 31
5.5%
0.0
LIB · Drive 11PUNT · 5 plays · -4 yds
Q4 8:11
Timeout Liberty, clock 08:11
9.5%
+4.0
Q4 8:04
Evan Dickens run for 1 yd to the LIB 32
9.5%
0.0
Q4 7:29
Michael Merdinger sacked by Aiden Gobaira for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 27
9.5%
+0.1
Q4 6:43
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete to Casey Cain
9.1%
-0.4
Q4 6:36
Max Morgan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Wayne Knight at the JMU 32
9.1%
0.0
JMU · Drive 12TD · 10 plays · 68 yds
Q4 6:29
Ayo Adeyi run for 24 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST down
4.6%
-4.5
Q4 5:56
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the LIB 39
4.5%
-0.1
Q4 5:17
Ayo Adeyi run for 12 yds to the LIB 27 for a 1ST down
4.5%
0.0
Q4 4:45
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the LIB 23
4.2%
-0.3
Q4 4:01
Wayne Knight run for 6 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST down
4.2%
0.0
Q4 3:21
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the LIB 15
4.2%
+0.1
Q4 2:43
Timeout James Madison, clock 02:43
4.2%
0.0
Q4 2:38
Timeout Liberty, clock 02:38
3.8%
-0.4
Q4 2:38
Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the LIB 13
3.8%
0.0
Q4 2:31
Alonza Barnett III run for 13 yds for a TD (Morgan Suarez KICK)
1.4%
-2.4
LIB · Drive 13DOWNS · 13 plays · 22 yds
Q4 2:31
Cristiano Rosa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
1.4%
0.0
Q4 2:22
Ethan Houck run for 8 yds to the LIB 33
2.3%
+1.0
Q4 2:05
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Austin Henderson
2.3%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Caden Williams run for 1 yd to the LIB 34
2.3%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Liberty, clock 02:00
2.3%
0.0
Q4 1:56
Ethan Houck run for 2 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down
2.3%
-0.1
Q4 1:43
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.
2.3%
0.0
Q4 1:35
Ethan Houck pass complete to Jamari Person for 17 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST down
2.3%
0.0
Q4 1:32
Timeout Liberty, clock 01:32
2.3%
0.0
Q4 1:26
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the JMU 44
2.3%
0.0
Q4 1:03
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Casey Cain
2.3%
0.0
Q4 0:56
Ethan Houck pass incomplete to Reese Smith
2.3%
0.0
Q4 0:50
Ethan Houck sacked by DJ Cotton Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the LIB 47
2.3%
0.0
JMU · Drive 14END OF GAME · 2 plays · -4 yds
Q4 0:38
B. Kendall takes a knee
1.4%
-0.9
Q4 0:00
B. Kendall takes a knee
1.3%
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:32
Timeout Liberty, clock 03:32
+30.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:32
Cristiano Rosa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-29.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:07
Timeout Liberty, clock 11:07
+22.8