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2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadDEL aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreDEL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.2FIU 30.8%Robert Czeremcha 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 10 · Q3 9:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:24 · Robert Czeremcha 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−14.4Score differential−8.4Pregame prior+7.0Garbage-time factor−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:55: Jo Silver run for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK) — DEL win probability +5.4 pts (now 40%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:26: Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK) — DEL win probability +9.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:53: Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK) — DEL win probability +20.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:22: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — FIU win probability +10.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:45: Nick Minicucci pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK) — DEL win probability +8.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10DEL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:40DEL 4th & 2 at FIU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:31DEL 4th & 6 at FIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:17DEL 4th & 12 at DEL 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56DEL 4th & 5 at FIU 20, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:27FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:37FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:46FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01FIU 4th & 8 at DEL 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:17FIU 4th & 2 at DEL 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−2.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:24FIU 4th & 8 at DEL 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−7.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:22FIU 4th & 5 at DEL 5, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:45FIU 4th & 2 at DEL 47, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00FIU 4th & 1 at DEL 1, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2DEL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:32FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:55DEL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:26DEL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:53DEL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:22FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:45DEL Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DELDrive 1FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:1733% → 34%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.3%
Jo Silver run for 2 yds to the DEL 27Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
67.2%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 7 yds to the DEL 34Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
67.2%
Jo Silver run for 7 yds to the DEL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+32
67.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 32 yds to the FIU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
66.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Ja'Carree Kelly for 4 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
66.6%
Jo Silver run for 1 yd to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+3
66.6%
Jo Silver run for 3 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+8
66.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 8 yds to the FIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
66.3%
Nick Minicucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
66.2%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Ja'Carree Kelly for 4 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
66.3%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
66.3%
Nate Reed 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2INT
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:3266% → 66%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
66.3%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+6
66.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 6 yds to the FIU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
66.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
66.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 8 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+39
66.4%
Kejon Owens run for 39 yds to the DEL 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
67.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kyle McNeal for 5 yds to the DEL 10Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
66.4%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the DEL 10Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
65.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted, touchback. Mysonne Pollard return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2535% → 34%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.3%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Elijah SessomsSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.3%
Nick Minicucci run for 2 yds to the DEL 22Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-4
65.5%
Nick Minicucci sacked by Olasunkonmi Agunloye for a loss of 4 yards to the DEL 18Similar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
65.6%
Brenden Lach punt for 36 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 0:3365% → 69%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
65.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 47 yds to the DEL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
65.8%
Anthony Carrie run for 5 yds to the DEL 2Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:1733% → 33%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.4%
Nick Minicucci run for no gain to the DEL 39Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
67.4%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+10
67.5%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Max Patterson for 10 yds to the DEL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
66.5%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 6 yds to the FIU 45Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+20
66.1%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 20 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
65.5%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
65.4%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Max PattersonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+4
66.4%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 4 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 20
0
67.2%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Sean WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4068% → 67%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
67.5%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
67.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Maguire AndersonSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
66.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted Mysonne Pollard return for no gain to the DEL 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 7TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:3933% → 40%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
66.6%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 6 yds to the FIU 49Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+10
66.2%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete deep left to Wilson,Sean thrown to FIU00 PENALTY FIU Holding (Clark,Mister) 10 yards from FIU49 to FIU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
66.1%
Jo Silver run for 16 yds to the FIU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
65.1%
Jo Silver run for 4 yds to the FIU 19Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+5
65.0%
Jo Silver run for 5 yds to the FIU 14Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+14
59.6%
Jo Silver run for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 4:1962% → 57%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.8%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
61.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to C'Quan Jnopierre for 5 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
60.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kyle McNeal for 8 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
61.5%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+1
61.4%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
59.2%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Perry,Alex) 5 yards from FIU39 to FIU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-5
57.9%
PENALTY FIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FIU34 to FIU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+9
56.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 9 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
56.7%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kyre Duplessis at the DEL 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 9TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:5741% → 56%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
58.7%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Elijah SessomsSimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
58.9%
Florida International Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mister Clark) to the DEL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
56.8%
Jo Silver run for a loss of 1 yard to the DEL 42Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+6
56.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 6 yds to the DEL 48Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+5
56.2%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Jo Silver for 5 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
55.3%
Kyre Duplessis run for 14 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
54.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Elijah Sessoms for 18 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
53.4%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete short right to Wilson,Sean thrown to FIU00 PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Evans III,Victor) 13 yards from FIU15 to FIU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3746% → 44%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Semaj Demps for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Braiden StatenSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
44.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Keyshawn Hunter for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 18Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+68
44.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 50 yds , Kyre Duplessis returns for 68 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:4043% → 34%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.3%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 25Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kyle McNealSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
42.5%
PENALTY FIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FIU25 to FIU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
41.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
33.9%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 12INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2774% → 78%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
25.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass complete deep right to Wilson,Sean caught at FIU21, for 33 yards to the FIU21 (Levells,Ashton) PENALTY DEL Holding offsetting FIU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
25.5%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Saeed St. FleurSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
21.9%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 2 yds to the DEL 48Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-5
22.1%
Nick Minicucci pass intercepted Jai-Ayviauynn Celestine return for 5 yds to the DEL 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0237% → 33%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
36.7%
Devonte Lyons run for 2 yds to the DEL 45Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+14
36.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 14 yds to the DEL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
35.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 5 yds to the DEL 26Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-7
29.6%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Dillon Trainer for a loss of 7 yards to the DEL 29Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
33.2%
Robert Czeremcha 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:2632% → 31%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
31.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
30.9%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+13
30.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 13 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
32.3%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+12
31.6%
Kejon Owens run for 12 yds to the DEL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
31.3%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the DEL 41Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
30.6%
Anthony Carrie run for 2 yds to the DEL 39Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
29.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kyle McNeal for 5 yds to the DEL 34Similar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+14
29.6%
Anthony Carrie run for 14 yds to the DEL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
30.2%
Anthony Carrie run for no gain to the DEL 20Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
28.8%
Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+2
27.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the DEL 18Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
30.8%
Robert Czeremcha 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 15TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 6:2574% → 95%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
26.0%
Jo Silver run for 3 yds to the DEL 24Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
25.4%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Elijah Sessoms for 4 yds to the DEL 28Similar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
4.8%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+3
5.5%
Nick Minicucci run for 3 yds to the DEL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
5.4%
Jo Silver run for 1 yd to the DEL 32Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
5.4%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 4 yds to the DEL 36Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+7
5.2%
Jo Silver run for 7 yds to the DEL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
5.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete short left to Duplessis,Kyre thrown to DEL48 PENALTY DEL Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Demboski,Steven) 5 yards from DEL43 to DEL38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-5
5.1%
PENALTY DEL False Start 5 yards from DEL38 to DEL33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+4
5.4%
Jo Silver run for 4 yds to the DEL 37Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+7
5.2%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Max Patterson for 7 yds to the DEL 44Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+15
5.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Minicucci,Nick pass incomplete short left to Wilson,Sean thrown to FIU40 PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Thompson,Preston) 15 yards from DEL44 to FIU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
5.0%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 7 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
4.8%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 4 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
4.9%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 16 yds to the FIU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:318% → 18%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
7.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
7.8%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 27Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
7.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 10 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
7.9%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
5.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+5
5.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 5 yds to the FIU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+53
5.9%
Anthony Carrie run for 53 yds to the DEL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
8.5%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the DEL 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
7.8%
Anthony Carrie run for a loss of 1 yard to the DEL 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
7.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Dallas PayneSimilar
Q4 12:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
18.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 17TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:3189% → 99%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
10.7%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Brandon RehmannSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
10.8%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the DEL 17Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+36
11.2%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 36 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
9.7%
Nick Minicucci pass incomplete to Nick LaboySimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
9.7%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Sean Wilson for 9 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
9.6%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 5 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
9.5%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 5 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
9.3%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 3 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
9.6%
Nick Minicucci run for 3 yds to the FIU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
9.3%
Nick Minicucci pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
9.6%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 6 yds to the FIU 16Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+6
9.4%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 6 yds to the FIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
9.3%
Viron Ellison Jr. run for 3 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
9.3%
Riley Trujillo run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 9Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.0%
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Viron Ellison Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18DOWNS
16 plays · 74 yds · 4:451% → 1%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.2%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
1.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 16 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
1.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 41Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+3
1.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 3 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+9
1.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 9 yds to the DEL 47Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+2
1.3%
Devonte Lyons run for 2 yds to the DEL 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
1.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 5 yds to the DEL 40Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
1.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 2 yds to the DEL 38Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+9
1.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 9 yds to the DEL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
1.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for 6 yds to the DEL 23Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+18
1.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson Verdugo for 18 yds to the DEL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to JoJo StoneSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
1.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds to the DEL 1Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:53
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 14 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)
-20.6
TD · Q4 12:22
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+10.8
TD · Q2 4:26
Nick Minicucci pass complete to Nick Laboy for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Reed KICK)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com