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LIB

Liberty 13 at Bowling Green 23

BGSU
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · D. Pyne takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:08: Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:10: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 44 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK) — LIB win probability +18.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q3 1:23: Jackson Kleather 26 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:10: Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the LIB 20 — LIB win probability +8.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:48: Chris McMillian run for 7 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:44BGSU 4th & 16 at LIB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:40LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:44BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:45LIB 4th & 14 at BGSU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:27BGSU 4th & 9 at LIB 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:48LIB 4th & 16 at BGSU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:40BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 31, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:56LIB 4th & 3 at BGSU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−1.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:23BGSU 4th & 8 at LIB 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−14.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54LIB 4th & 15 at LIB 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−5.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:43BGSU 4th & 7 at LIB 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:17LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:42LIB 4th & 2 at BGSU 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:02BGSU 4th & 5 at LIB 43, up 16
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:55BGSU 4th & 1 at LIB 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2LIB made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 0:08BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:10LIB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:48BGSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:46LIB Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.0%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:0868% → 68%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
31.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the LIB 39Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
31.8%
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
32.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 17 yds Reese Smith fumbled, recovered by LIB Key'On WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:4032% → 34%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
32.3%
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
32.6%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
32.6%
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
33.0%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+8
33.4%
Chris McMillian run for 8 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
33.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 14 yds to the LIB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
34.0%
(10:42) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from LU24 to LU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-1
34.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 30Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 16
OPP 30
0
34.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for no gain to the LIB 30Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 16
OPP 30
0
34.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Reis StocksdaleSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 16
OPP 30
+48
34.3%
Jackson Kleather 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0065% → 64%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.0%
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
35.5%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Reese thrown to LU50 QB hurried by Lampron,Gideon PENALTY BGSU Holding (Washington,Key'on) 10 yards from LU27 to LU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.1%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the LIB 37Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
35.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the LIB 41Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
35.5%
Michael Merdinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
36.1%
Max Morgan punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4836% → 36%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
35.8%
Allen Middleton run for 7 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-10
36.0%
Bowling Green Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 12Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
36.3%
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
36.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
35.9%
John Henderson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the BGSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3964% → 61%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
36.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 6 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
35.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jacob JenkinsSimilar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+16
36.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 16 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
36.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Vaughn BlueSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
36.1%
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 17Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-10
36.7%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass complete short middle to Canion,Elijah caught at BGSU00, for 17 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:32 PENALTY LU Holding (Williams,Christian) 10 yards from BGSU17 to BGSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 21
OPP 27
+7
37.4%
Caden Williams run for 7 yds to the BGSU 20Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+38
38.7%
Brayden Beck 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:0938% → 40%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
38.1%
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 21Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
38.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+23
37.8%
Drew Pyne run for 23 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
40.3%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
40.3%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+9
39.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 9 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
40.7%
Chris McMillian run for 1 yd to the LIB 41Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
41.7%
Drew Pyne run for no gain to the LIB 41Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
41.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
39.9%
John Henderson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:3959% → 55%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
41.0%
PENALTY LU False Start (Williams,Christian). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
41.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the LIB 6Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+13
41.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 13 yds to the LIB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
41.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Julian Gray for 1 yd to the LIB 20Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+18
41.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 18 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
40.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the LIB 44Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+14
40.2%
Evan Dickens run for 14 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
40.0%
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the BGSU 38Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-5
40.5%
Ethan Vasko sacked by MJ Cannon for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 43Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
42.4%
Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 16
OPP 48
+25
44.8%
Max Morgan punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 22 , Brennan Ridley returns for 25 yds to the BGSU 23 Bowling Green Penalty, (10 Yards) to the BGSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5944% → 44%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
44.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 23Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
44.5%
Cameron Pettaway run for 4 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+4
44.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 4 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
44.4%
John Henderson punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LIB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9INT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:3856% → 56%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
43.7%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Eriq George for a loss of 7 yards to the LIB 31Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+15
46.0%
Vaughn Blue run for 15 yds to the LIB 46Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-10
43.6%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Dickens,Evan rush middle for 54 yards gain to the BGSU00, End Of Play PENALTY LU Holding (Cain,Casey) 10 yards from LU46 to LU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
42.9%
Vaughn Blue run for 4 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
42.8%
Vaughn Blue run for no gain to the BGSU 46Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
43.1%
Evan Dickens run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 3
OPP 43
-4
44.4%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Kal-El Pascal return for 4 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2449% → 47%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
49.2%
Drew Pyne sacked by Derrell Farrar for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 38Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 15
OWN 38
0
47.3%
Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+7
46.0%
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
47.2%
John Henderson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:4753% → 52%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
47.2%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Eriq George for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 7Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+16
48.4%
Caden Williams run for 16 yds to the LIB 23 Caden Williams fumbled, recovered by LIB Dorian PringleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:1752% → 61%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
52.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+16
51.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 16 yds to the LIB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.0%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.1%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
50.6%
(00:11) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from LU07 to LU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
61.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
58.3%
E. Vasko takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:5463% → 65%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
62.9%
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-5
63.3%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun McMillian,Chris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU25 (Farrar,Derrell) PENALTY BGSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from BGSU23 to BGSU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 11
OWN 18
0
62.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Cameron PettawaySimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+13
62.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Brennan Ridley for 13 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
65.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Reis Stocksdale for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 13
OWN 28
-5
65.4%
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from BGSU28 to BGSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 18
OWN 23
0
65.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Reis StocksdaleSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+13
64.3%
Kaderris Roberts run for 13 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
65.3%
John Henderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 4:0934% → 51%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
66.0%
Julian Gray run for 5 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
66.0%
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the LIB 29Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+15
68.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 15 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
66.6%
Julian Gray run for 3 yds to the LIB 47 Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reese Smith) to the LIB 37Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 17
OWN 37
+14
68.5%
Evan Dickens run for 14 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
66.0%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the BGSU 49Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
67.5%
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
49.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 44 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
16 plays · 67 yds · 5:4455% → 71%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Eli Jacon-DuffySimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
54.6%
(07:06) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Pabst,Nate) 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
54.5%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 15 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
55.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 4 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
58.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 13 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
60.1%
Cameron Pettaway run for 12 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
60.1%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
60.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Cameron PettawaySimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+19
58.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 19 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
61.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 11 yds to the LIB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.3%
Kaderris Roberts run for no gain to the LIB 6Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
62.8%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Pyne,Drew pass complete short left to Garcia II,RJ caught at LU02, for 4 yards to the LU02 (Harmon,Damond) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Pabst,Nate) 10 yards from LU06 to LU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+8
62.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the LIB 8Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
70.8%
Jackson Kleather 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:1637% → 33%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
63.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the LIB 20Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
63.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-10
65.6%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass complete short middle to Cain,Casey caught at LU38, for 37 yards to the BGSU43 (Lorfils,Darius) PENALTY LU Holding (Geth,DJ) 10 yards from LU20 to LU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 10
+3
66.2%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the LIB 13Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
67.2%
Max Morgan punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1175% → 79%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
74.9%
(14:52) PENALTY BGSU False Start 5 yards from BGSU49 to BGSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+21
73.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 21 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
76.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Allen Middleton for 3 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
76.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
75.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia IISimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
79.0%
Jackson Kleather 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2122% → 18%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jamari PersonSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.9%
Evan Dickens run for 8 yds to the LIB 33Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
79.1%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the LIB 33Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+7
82.5%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the LIB 26 Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by LIB D.J. GethSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:2086% → 95%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
85.8%
Chris McMillian run for 11 yds to the LIB 15 for a 1ST down Liberty Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Derrell Farrar) to the LIB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.0%
Chris McMillian run for 7 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:228% → 6%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
92.2%
Evan Dickens run for 19 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
92.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-1
92.3%
Evan Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
93.5%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 2
OPP 48
+5
93.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
94.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 7 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
94.1%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Dorian Pringle return for no gain to the BGSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:0696% → 97%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
96.0%
Kaderris Roberts run for 12 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
96.4%
Kaderris Roberts run for 1 yd to the LIB 47Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-1
96.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 48Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.2%
Drew Pyne run for 5 yds to the LIB 43Similar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
97.0%
Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
97.0%
John Henderson punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:003% → 7%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Casey Cain for 13 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the LIB 38Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Julian GraySimilar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+17
97.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Evan Dickens for 17 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
97.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Elijah CanionSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+15
97.2%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Smith,Reese thrown to BGSU32 PENALTY BGSU Personal Foul (Afogho,David) 15 yards from BGSU45 to BGSU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
96.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 18 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
92.9%
Evan Dickens run for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:3996% → 97%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
95.5%
Chris McMillian run for 5 yds to the LIB 41Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
95.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 4 yds to the LIB 37Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
95.7%
Kaderris Roberts run for no gain to the LIB 37Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
95.9%
Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
96.7%
D. Pyne takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-2
96.6%
D. Pyne takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 38
-3
96.5%
D. Pyne takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:10
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 44 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)
-18.6
TD · Q2 0:08
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q4 11:48
Chris McMillian run for 7 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com