LIB
Liberty 13 at Bowling Green 23
BGSU2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey play
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LIB · Drive 1FUMBLE · 4 plays · 28 yds
Q1 14:53
Zach Long kickoff for 64 yds , Julian Gray return for 30 yds to the LIB 31
42.9%
0.0
Q1 14:44
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the LIB 39
38.8%
-4.1
Q1 14:10
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST down
38.0%
-0.8
Q1 13:36
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 17 yds Reese Smith fumbled, recovered by LIB Key'On Washington
38.0%
0.0
BGSU · Drive 2FG · 12 plays · 29 yds
Q1 13:24
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the BGSU 48
42.9%
+4.9
Q1 13:01
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia II
43.5%
+0.6
Q1 12:54
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down
43.5%
0.0
Q1 12:17
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the LIB 46
43.8%
+0.3
Q1 11:44
Chris McMillian run for 8 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down
43.8%
0.0
Q1 11:05
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 14 yds to the LIB 24 for a 1ST down
44.3%
+0.4
Q1 10:41
(10:42) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from LU24 to LU29. NO PLAY.
44.3%
0.0
Q1 10:05
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 30
44.3%
0.0
Q1 9:30
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for no gain to the LIB 30
44.3%
0.0
Q1 8:52
Timeout Bowling Green, clock 08:52
44.8%
+0.5
Q1 8:48
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Reis Stocksdale
44.8%
0.0
Q1 8:44
Jackson Kleather 48 yd FG GOOD
49.2%
+4.4
LIB · Drive 3PUNT · 8 plays · 16 yds
Q1 8:44
Zach Long kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
48.5%
-0.7
Q1 8:40
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete
45.5%
-3.0
Q1 8:35
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the LIB 27
45.5%
0.0
Q1 8:05
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Reese thrown to LU50 QB hurried by Lampron,Gideon PENALTY BGSU Holding (Washington,Key'on) 10 yards from LU27 to LU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
45.6%
+0.1
Q1 7:57
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the LIB 37
45.6%
0.0
Q1 7:14
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the LIB 41
45.6%
0.0
Q1 6:48
Michael Merdinger pass incomplete
44.7%
-0.9
Q1 6:40
Max Morgan punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 10
45.0%
+0.3
BGSU · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q1 6:32
Allen Middleton run for 7 yds to the BGSU 17
48.6%
+3.6
Q1 6:04
Bowling Green Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 12
48.6%
0.0
Q1 5:20
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the BGSU 16
48.8%
+0.2
Q1 4:53
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn Hogan
48.8%
0.0
Q1 4:44
John Henderson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the BGSU 38
48.8%
0.0
LIB · Drive 5MISSED FG · 8 plays · 18 yds
Q1 4:24
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 6 yds to the BGSU 32
43.7%
-5.1
Q1 3:59
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jacob Jenkins
43.7%
0.0
Q1 3:48
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 16 yds to the BGSU 16 for a 1ST down
43.7%
0.0
Q1 3:16
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Vaughn Blue
43.7%
0.0
Q1 3:07
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 17
43.7%
0.0
Q1 2:32
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass complete short middle to Canion,Elijah caught at BGSU00, for 17 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:32 PENALTY LU Holding (Williams,Christian) 10 yards from BGSU17 to BGSU27. NO PLAY.
43.6%
-0.1
Q1 2:18
Caden Williams run for 7 yds to the BGSU 20
43.6%
0.0
Q1 1:45
Brayden Beck 38 yd FG MISSED
44.0%
+0.4
BGSU · Drive 6PUNT · 10 plays · 39 yds
Q1 1:36
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 21
48.8%
+4.8
Q1 1:04
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin Johnson
49.0%
+0.1
Q1 0:55
Drew Pyne run for 23 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST down
49.0%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the BGSU 47
49.4%
+0.4
Q2 15:00
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the BGSU 49
49.4%
0.0
Q2 15:00
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 9 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST down
50.0%
+0.6
Q2 15:00
Chris McMillian run for 1 yd to the LIB 41
50.4%
+0.5
Q2 13:10
Drew Pyne run for no gain to the LIB 41
50.3%
-0.1
Q2 12:36
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris Roberts
50.3%
0.0
Q2 12:27
John Henderson punt for 40 yds
49.9%
-0.4
LIB · Drive 7PUNT · 11 plays · 51 yds
Q2 12:27
PENALTY LU False Start (Williams,Christian). NO PLAY.
47.7%
-2.2
Q2 12:16
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the LIB 6
47.7%
0.0
Q2 11:45
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 13 yds to the LIB 19 for a 1ST down
47.7%
0.0
Q2 11:08
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Julian Gray for 1 yd to the LIB 20
47.8%
+0.1
Q2 10:35
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 18 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down
49.0%
+1.2
Q2 9:53
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the LIB 44
48.1%
-0.9
Q2 9:17
Evan Dickens run for 14 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST down
48.1%
0.0
Q2 8:43
Evan Dickens run for 4 yds to the BGSU 38
46.9%
-1.2
Q2 8:08
Ethan Vasko sacked by MJ Cannon for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 43
46.5%
-0.4
Q2 7:22
Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined
46.2%
-0.3
Q2 6:48
Max Morgan punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 22 , Brennan Ridley returns for 25 yds to the BGSU 23 Bowling Green Penalty, (10 Yards) to the BGSU 22
46.8%
+0.6
BGSU · Drive 8PUNT · 4 plays · 9 yds
Q2 6:39
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 23
50.3%
+3.5
Q2 5:59
Cameron Pettaway run for 4 yds to the BGSU 27
50.3%
0.0
Q2 5:18
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 4 yds to the BGSU 31
50.6%
+0.4
Q2 4:40
John Henderson punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LIB 38
51.2%
+0.6
LIB · Drive 9INT · 7 plays · 5 yds
Q2 4:34
Ethan Vasko sacked by Eriq George for a loss of 7 yards to the LIB 31
48.3%
-2.9
Q2 3:59
Vaughn Blue run for 15 yds to the LIB 46
49.2%
+0.9
Q2 3:14
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Dickens,Evan rush middle for 54 yards gain to the BGSU00, End Of Play PENALTY LU Holding (Cain,Casey) 10 yards from LU46 to LU36. NO PLAY.
47.7%
-1.5
Q2 3:14
Vaughn Blue run for 4 yds to the BGSU 46
47.4%
-0.3
Q2 2:00
Vaughn Blue run for no gain to the BGSU 46
48.7%
+1.3
Q2 2:00
Evan Dickens run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43
48.7%
0.0
Q2 1:56
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Kal-El Pascal return for 4 yds to the BGSU 43
48.8%
+0.1
BGSU · Drive 10PUNT · 4 plays · 5 yds
Q2 1:47
Drew Pyne sacked by Derrell Farrar for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 38
51.9%
+3.1
Q2 1:34
Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declined
51.9%
0.0
Q2 1:30
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the BGSU 48
51.9%
0.0
Q2 1:23
John Henderson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 11
52.6%
+0.6
LIB · Drive 11FUMBLE · 2 plays · 12 yds
Q2 1:16
Ethan Vasko sacked by Eriq George for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 7
50.5%
-2.1
Q2 0:29
Caden Williams run for 16 yds to the LIB 23 Caden Williams fumbled, recovered by LIB Dorian Pringle
50.7%
+0.3
BGSU · Drive 12TD · 7 plays · 23 yds
Q2 0:25
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn Hogan
54.6%
+3.9
Q2 0:18
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 16 yds to the LIB 7 for a 1ST down
54.6%
0.0
Q2 0:15
Drew Pyne pass incomplete
54.6%
0.0
Q2 0:12
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin Johnson
54.6%
0.0
Q2 0:12
(00:11) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from LU07 to LU12. NO PLAY.
54.6%
0.0
Q2 0:12
Timeout Bowling Green, clock 00:12
57.0%
+2.4
Q2 0:08
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
73.1%
+16.1
LIB · Drive 13Uncategorized · 2 plays · -1 yds
Q2 0:07
Zach Long kickoff for 28 yds , Derrell Farrar return for 1 yd to the LIB 38
72.8%
-0.3
Q2 0:00
E. Vasko takes a knee
73.4%
+0.6
BGSU · Drive 14PUNT · 10 plays · 17 yds
Q3 14:47
Max Morgan kickoff for 46 yds , Cameron Pettaway return for no gain to the BGSU 19
69.1%
-4.3
Q3 14:21
Chris McMillian run for 4 yds to the BGSU 23
71.4%
+2.3
Q3 14:01
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun McMillian,Chris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU25 (Farrar,Derrell) PENALTY BGSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from BGSU23 to BGSU18. NO PLAY.
71.4%
0.0
Q3 13:54
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Cameron Pettaway
71.4%
0.0
Q3 13:41
Drew Pyne pass complete to Brennan Ridley for 13 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST down
71.4%
0.0
Q3 12:54
Drew Pyne pass complete to Reis Stocksdale for 3 yds to the BGSU 28
73.2%
+1.8
Q3 12:09
PENALTY BGSU False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from BGSU28 to BGSU23. NO PLAY.
73.2%
0.0
Q3 12:09
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Reis Stocksdale
73.2%
0.0
Q3 11:56
Kaderris Roberts run for 13 yds to the BGSU 36
73.2%
0.0
Q3 11:27
John Henderson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 22
73.4%
+0.2
LIB · Drive 15TD · 8 plays · 78 yds
Q3 11:19
Julian Gray run for 5 yds to the LIB 27
71.0%
-2.4
Q3 10:43
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the LIB 29
72.0%
+1.0
Q3 9:50
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 15 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST down
73.1%
+1.1
Q3 9:22
Julian Gray run for 3 yds to the LIB 47 Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reese Smith) to the LIB 37
73.1%
0.0
Q3 9:00
Evan Dickens run for 14 yds to the BGSU 49
73.1%
0.0
Q3 8:17
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the BGSU 49
72.9%
-0.2
Q3 7:45
Evan Dickens run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST down
72.9%
0.0
Q3 7:10
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 44 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)
50.0%
-22.8
BGSU · Drive 16FG · 16 plays · 67 yds
Q3 7:07
Max Morgan kickoff for 65 yds
52.1%
+2.1
Q3 7:07
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Eli Jacon-Duffy
57.7%
+5.6
Q3 7:07
(07:06) PENALTY BGSU False Start (Pabst,Nate) 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAY.
57.7%
0.0
Q3 6:56
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 15 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST down
58.1%
+0.4
Q3 6:23
Kaderris Roberts run for 4 yds to the BGSU 39
59.3%
+1.2
Q3 5:28
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 13 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down
59.3%
0.0
Q3 5:10
Cameron Pettaway run for 12 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down
60.2%
+0.9
Q3 4:52
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia II
60.3%
+0.1
Q3 4:46
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Cameron Pettaway
60.6%
+0.3
Q3 4:29
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 19 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST down
60.9%
+0.2
Q3 3:57
Kaderris Roberts run for 11 yds to the LIB 6 for a 1ST down
61.7%
+0.8
Q3 3:15
Kaderris Roberts run for no gain to the LIB 6
62.1%
+0.4
Q3 2:33
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Pyne,Drew pass complete short left to Garcia II,RJ caught at LU02, for 4 yards to the LU02 (Harmon,Damond) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Pabst,Nate) 10 yards from LU06 to LU16. NO PLAY.
62.1%
0.0
Q3 1:55
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the LIB 8
62.1%
0.0
Q3 1:26
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jacob Harris
62.1%
0.0
Q3 1:23
Jackson Kleather 26 yd FG GOOD
71.2%
+9.1
LIB · Drive 17PUNT · 6 plays · -5 yds
Q3 1:20
Zach Long kickoff for 47 yds , Bo Burklow return for no gain to the LIB 18
71.3%
0.0
Q3 1:10
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the LIB 20
59.8%
-11.4
Q3 0:35
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Reese Smith
59.8%
0.0
Q3 0:22
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass complete short middle to Cain,Casey caught at LU38, for 37 yards to the BGSU43 (Lorfils,Darius) PENALTY LU Holding (Geth,DJ) 10 yards from LU20 to LU10. NO PLAY.
59.8%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the LIB 13
59.8%
0.0
Q4 14:54
Max Morgan punt for 38 yds
59.8%
0.0
BGSU · Drive 18FG · 6 plays · 19 yds
Q4 14:54
(14:52) PENALTY BGSU False Start 5 yards from BGSU49 to BGSU44. NO PLAY.
71.4%
+11.6
Q4 14:45
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 21 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST down
71.6%
+0.2
Q4 14:13
Drew Pyne pass complete to Allen Middleton for 3 yds to the LIB 32
71.7%
+0.1
Q4 13:52
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn Hogan
71.8%
+0.1
Q4 13:49
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to RJ Garcia II
71.8%
0.0
Q4 13:43
Jackson Kleather 50 yd FG GOOD
79.9%
+8.1
LIB · Drive 19DOWNS · 6 plays · 1 yds
Q4 13:43
Zach Long kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
79.7%
-0.2
Q4 13:38
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jamari Person
76.8%
-2.9
Q4 13:24
Evan Dickens run for 8 yds to the LIB 33
76.8%
0.0
Q4 12:59
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the LIB 33
78.4%
+1.7
Q4 12:59
Timeout Liberty, clock 12:59
78.5%
+0.1
Q4 12:17
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the LIB 26 Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by LIB D.J. Geth
81.0%
+2.4
BGSU · Drive 20TD · 2 plays · 26 yds
Q4 12:08
Chris McMillian run for 11 yds to the LIB 15 for a 1ST down Liberty Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Derrell Farrar) to the LIB 7 for a 1ST down
83.2%
+2.2
Q4 11:48
Chris McMillian run for 7 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
90.8%
+7.6
LIB · Drive 21INT · 9 plays · 39 yds
Q4 11:48
Zach Long kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
90.9%
+0.1
Q4 11:39
Evan Dickens run for 19 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST down
89.5%
-1.4
Q4 11:11
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the BGSU 47
89.5%
0.0
Q4 10:48
Evan Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 48
89.5%
0.0
Q4 10:16
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the BGSU 48
89.5%
0.0
Q4 9:42
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST down
90.0%
+0.5
Q4 8:57
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.
90.1%
+0.1
Q4 8:48
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 7 yds to the BGSU 36
90.1%
0.0
Q4 8:17
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Dorian Pringle return for no gain to the BGSU 40
90.5%
+0.4
BGSU · Drive 22PUNT · 6 plays · 12 yds
Q4 8:08
Kaderris Roberts run for 12 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down
91.4%
+0.9
Q4 7:24
Kaderris Roberts run for 1 yd to the LIB 47
91.4%
0.0
Q4 6:38
Cameron Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 48
91.4%
0.0
Q4 5:47
Drew Pyne run for 5 yds to the LIB 43
91.4%
0.0
Q4 5:09
Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declined
91.3%
-0.1
Q4 5:02
John Henderson punt for 43 yds for a touchback
91.3%
0.0
LIB · Drive 23TD · 9 plays · 75 yds
Q4 4:46
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Casey Cain for 13 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down
90.3%
-1.0
Q4 4:29
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the LIB 38
90.3%
0.0
Q4 4:04
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Julian Gray
90.3%
0.0
Q4 3:49
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Evan Dickens for 17 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST down
90.3%
0.0
Q4 3:34
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Reese Smith
90.3%
0.0
Q4 3:26
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Elijah Canion
90.3%
0.0
Q4 3:18
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass incomplete short right to Smith,Reese thrown to BGSU32 PENALTY BGSU Personal Foul (Afogho,David) 15 yards from BGSU45 to BGSU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
90.3%
0.0
Q4 3:05
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 18 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST down
90.3%
0.0
Q4 2:46
Evan Dickens run for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
87.2%
-3.1
BGSU · Drive 24END OF GAME · 9 plays · 5 yds
Q4 2:43
Max Morgan kickoff for 11 yds
87.0%
-0.2
Q4 2:39
Chris McMillian run for 5 yds to the LIB 41
88.9%
+1.9
Q4 2:39
Timeout Liberty, clock 02:39
88.8%
-0.1
Q4 2:33
Kaderris Roberts run for 4 yds to the LIB 37
88.8%
0.0
Q4 2:21
Kaderris Roberts run for no gain to the LIB 37
88.8%
0.0
Q4 1:55
Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST down
88.8%
0.0
Q4 1:20
D. Pyne takes a knee
88.8%
0.0
Q4 0:40
D. Pyne takes a knee
88.8%
0.0
Q4 0:00
D. Pyne takes a knee
89.3%
+0.5
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:10
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 44 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)
-22.8
TD · Q2 0:08
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
+16.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:54
(14:52) PENALTY BGSU False Start 5 yards from BGSU49 to BGSU44. NO PLAY.
+11.6