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MRMK

Merrimack 13 at Kennesaw State 27

KENN
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Fifth Third Stadium
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Win probability · KENN
modelKENN aheadMRMK aheadconfidence bandkey playKENN scoreMRMK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:15 · Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the MRMK 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+27.4Score differential+14.3Garbage-time factor+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:45: Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK) — KENN win probability +5.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 7 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK) — KENN win probability +5.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:07: Amari Odom run for 12 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK) — KENN win probability +4.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:04: Ayden Pereira run for 1 yd for a TD (Carlton Thai KICK) — MRMK win probability +2.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MRMK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:13: RJ Chapman 85 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MRMK win probability +3.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MRMK made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 8:29MRMK 4th & 15 at MRMK 36, tied
    Close callWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:56KENN 4th & 8 at MRMK 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56MRMK 4th & 1 at MRMK 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.1%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:55KENN 4th & 15 at MRMK 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:14MRMK 4th & 10 at MRMK 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:25MRMK 4th & 6 at MRMK 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:18KENN 4th & 5 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:54KENN 4th & 17 at KENN 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:53MRMK 4th & 21 at MRMK 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−3.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:22MRMK 4th & 21 at MRMK 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:52MRMK 4th & 12 at KENN 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:07KENN 4th & 10 at MRMK 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:55MRMK 4th & 11 at KENN 47, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:15KENN 4th & 1 at MRMK 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:55KENN 4th & 13 at MRMK 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MRMK made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 4:45KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:47KENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:07KENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:04MRMK Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:13MRMK Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRMKDrive 1Uncategorized
9 plays · 48 yds · 6:2914% → 16%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 6
OWN 7
-4
86.4%
Ayden Pereira sacked by Marcus Patterson for a loss of 4 yards to the MRMK 3Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
85.5%
Brendon Wyatt run for 1 yd to the MRMK 4Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+37
85.4%
Brendon Wyatt run for 37 yds to the MRMK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
85.1%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to DeMarcus McElroy for 7 yds to the MRMK 48Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-10
85.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Keshawn rush right for 9 yards gain to the KSU43 (Hopson,Baron) PENALTY MC Holding 10 yards from MC48 to MC38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-2
85.2%
Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRMK 36Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
84.9%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to DeMarcus McElroySimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 15
OWN 36
+19
84.6%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 19 yds to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
84.0%
Ayden Pereira run for no gain to the KENN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4785% → 84%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
84.5%
Coleman Bennett run for 15 yds to the MRMK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-5
84.6%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Chenault,Josiah) 5 yards from MC41 to MC46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
84.6%
Coleman Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 41Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+6
84.3%
Amari Odom run for 6 yds to the MRMK 40Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+2
84.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 2 yds to the MRMK 38Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
83.7%
Joshua Huiet punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 5:1817% → 19%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
83.4%
Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 2Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
83.4%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Austin PalmerSimilar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+26
83.4%
Ayden Pereira run for 26 yds to the MRMK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
82.6%
Hayden Fisher run for 4 yds to the MRMK 32Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
82.2%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 5 yds to the MRMK 37Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
81.5%
DeMarcus McElroy run for 3 yds to the MRMK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
81.1%
Brendon Wyatt run for 2 yds to the MRMK 42Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
80.7%
Ayden Pereira run for 4 yds to the MRMK 46Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
80.3%
Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the MRMK 49Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-1
80.6%
Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4383% → 80%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
82.7%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Odom,Amari pass incomplete deep right to Benyard,Gabriel thrown to MC00 PENALTY KSU Holding (Lee,JaDarious) 10 yards from MC34 to MC44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 20
OPP 44
0
82.0%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Tykeem WallaceSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
82.4%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 14 yds to the MRMK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+6
81.7%
Coleman Bennett run for 6 yds to the MRMK 38Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 14
OPP 38
-10
81.4%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Odom,Amari pass complete deep middle to Benyard,Gabriel caught at MC00, for 38 yards to the MC00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:42 PENALTY KSU Holding (Milovac,Nikola) 10 yards from MC38 to MC48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 24
OPP 48
+9
80.9%
Amari Odom pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 9 yds to the MRMK 39Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
80.3%
Joshua Huiet punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:5920% → 22%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
80.1%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Jalen McDonaldSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+20
80.0%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Hayden Fisher for 20 yds to the MRMK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
79.4%
Brendon Wyatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRMK 21Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-5
79.5%
PENALTY MC False Start (Callahan,Cade) 5 yards from MC21 to MC16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+1
78.8%
Brendon Wyatt run for 1 yd to the MRMK 17Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+19
79.2%
Ayden Pereira run for 19 yds to the MRMK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.8%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Cade CallahanSimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
78.0%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Stephon PatrickSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
78.5%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Hayden FisherSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
78.1%
Mike Ryan punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KENN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 3:4579% → 85%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
78.9%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Alexander Diggs for 7 yds to the KENN 22Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
79.0%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Gerard Bullock Jr. for 2 yds to the KENN 24Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Lyndon RavareSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+1
78.2%
Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the KENN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
50
0
80.1%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Lyndon RavareSimilar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
78.3%
Alexander Diggs run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+8
79.3%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 8 yds to the MRMK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
80.0%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Chenault,Josiah) 5 yards from MC40 to MC45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
50
+2
79.6%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Alexander Diggs for 2 yds to the MRMK 48Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+7
78.9%
Alexander Diggs run for 7 yds to the MRMK 38Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+6
79.5%
Dexter Williams II run for 6 yds to the MRMK 32Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.4%
Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
84.9%
Alexander Diggs run for 3 yds to the MRMK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
85.4%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Christian Moss for 25 yds to the MRMK 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 3:0117% → 17%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
83.4%
Brendon Wyatt run for 3 yds to the MRMK 27Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+17
83.1%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 17 yds to the MRMK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
81.9%
Ayden Pereira run for 4 yds to the MRMK 48Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-5
81.5%
(01:40) PENALTY MC False Start (Steele,Lakeem) 5 yards from MC48 to MC43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-10
81.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden pass complete short right to Sweitzer,Seth caught at KSU40, for 17 yards to the KSU40 (Jones,Milon) PENALTY MC Holding 10 yards from MC43 to MC33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+7
82.8%
Ayden Pereira run for 7 yds to the MRMK 40Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
82.4%
Mike Ryan punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 14
OWN 40
0
82.6%
Merrimack Penalty, (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8END OF HALF
13 plays · 55 yds · 1:2584% → 85%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
84.1%
PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tookes,Ethan) 10 yards from KSU20 to KSU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+16
84.5%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 16 yds to the KENN 26Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
84.3%
PENALTY KSU False Start 5 yards from KSU34 to KSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+16
84.2%
Dexter Williams II run for 16 yds to the KENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.3%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Chase BelcherSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
84.9%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Chase BelcherSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
84.2%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
84.1%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to for 8 yds to the KENN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+5
83.0%
(00:35) Huiet,Joshua punt 44 yards to the MC11 PENALTY MC Running Into The Kicker (Sims,Kendal) 5 yards from KSU45 to KSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 5
50
+19
83.7%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Christian Moss for 14 yds to the MRMK 36 for a 1ST down Merrimack Penalty, (5 Yards) to the MRMK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
85.4%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Christian MossSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
85.3%
Dexter Williams II pass complete to Christian Moss for 6 yds to the MRMK 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:4585% → 84%
Q3 14:29
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
84.8%
Amari Odom pass incomplete to Christian MossSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-15
83.6%
PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Moss,Christian) 15 yards from MC39 to KSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
84.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 1 yd to the MRMK 46Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
82.1%
Joshua Huiet punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MRMK 12Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+7
84.0%
Amari Odom pass complete to Christian Moss for 7 yds to the MRMK 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:1817% → 16%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
82.7%
Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 11Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 11
OWN 11
-6
82.9%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden pass complete deep right to McDonald,Jalen caught at MC45, for 38 yards to the MC49 (Ford,Alex) PENALTY MC Holding (Lizama,Steve) 6 yards from MC11 to MC05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 17
OWN 5
0
83.0%
Brendon Wyatt run for no gain to the MRMK 5Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 17
OWN 5
-4
83.6%
Ayden Pereira sacked by JeRico Washington Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MRMK 1Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 21
OWN 1
0
84.0%
Mike Ryan punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MRMK 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:5885% → 92%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
84.9%
Gabriel Benyard run for 15 yds to the MRMK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
85.2%
Merrimack Penalty, (8 Yards) to the MRMK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
86.0%
Amari Odom run for 1 yd to the MRMK 23Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 7 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:2010% → 9%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.3%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Seth SweitzerSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-2
90.4%
Brendon Wyatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRMK 16Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 21
OWN 7
+12
91.2%
Mike Ryan punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MRMK 45 , Gabriel Benyard returns for 12 yds to the MRMK 19 Kennesaw State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nacari Johnson) to the MRMK 45Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 12
OWN 16
-9
90.7%
Ayden Pereira sacked by Elijah Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the MRMK 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:4993% → 97%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
92.7%
Alexander Diggs run for 9 yds to the MRMK 36Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
92.7%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Odom,Amari pass incomplete deep left to Bennett,Coleman thrown to MC00 PENALTY MC Pass Interference (Maryland,Nasir) 15 yards from MC30 to MC15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
92.7%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 6 yds to the MRMK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
97.2%
Amari Odom run for 12 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
97.3%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 3 yds to the MRMK 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:293% → 3%
Q3 6:21
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+34
97.0%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 34 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
96.9%
Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRMK 20Similar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.8%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Cade CallahanSimilar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
96.9%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Jalen McDonaldSimilar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
96.9%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MC45 (Grimes,Jaiden) PENALTY KSU Personal Foul 15 yards from KSU46 to KSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.0%
DeMarcus McElroy run for no gain to the KENN 31Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
97.1%
Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 2 yards to the KENN 33Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
97.4%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Austin PalmerSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+50
97.5%
Carlton Thai 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:1698% → 99%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.8%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
97.9%
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the KENN 37Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+18
97.9%
Amari Odom pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 18 yds to the MRMK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
98.4%
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 25 yds to the MRMK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.6%
Coleman Bennett run for no gain to the MRMK 20Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
98.6%
Amari Odom pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 6 yds to the MRMK 14Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 1
OPP 11
-9
98.5%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Odom,Amari rush right for 3 yards gain to the MC08 (Frazier,DJ) PENALTY KSU Holding (Milovac,Nikola) 9 yards from MC11 to MC20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
98.6%
Britton Williams 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+3
98.8%
Amari Odom pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 3 yds to the MRMK 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:161% → 4%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.7%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Cade Callahan for 16 yds to the MRMK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.6%
Brendon Wyatt run for 2 yds to the MRMK 43Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
98.7%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Brendon Wyatt for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
50
+4
98.8%
Ayden Pereira run for 4 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Jalen McDonaldSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
Brendon Wyatt run for 3 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-4
98.9%
Ayden Pereira sacked by Elijah Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the KENN 47Similar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 11
OPP 47
+34
99.1%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 34 yds to the KENN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
98.9%
Galamama Mulbah run for 4 yds to the KENN 9Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+7
98.9%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden pass incomplete short right to Fisher,Hayden thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Washington Jr.,JeRico) 7 yards from KSU09 to KSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden pass incomplete short right to Fisher,Hayden thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Roughing The Passer (Benyard,Garland) 1 yard from KSU02 to KSU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.1%
Ayden Pereira run for 1 yd for a TD (Carlton Thai KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17INT TD
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:0598% → 95%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.6%
Dexter Williams II run for 3 yds to the KENN 43Similar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.6%
Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Gabriel BenyardSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.6%
PENALTY MC Offside (Wilborn Jr.,James) 5 yards from MC46 to MC41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+11
97.7%
Dexter Williams II run for 11 yds to the MRMK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
97.8%
Alexander Diggs run for 2 yds to the MRMK 39Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
97.8%
Dexter Williams II run for 2 yds to the MRMK 37Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+1
97.7%
Alexander Diggs run for 1 yd to the MRMK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-85
94.7%
RJ Chapman 85 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18FG
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:3395% → 99%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
50
+4
94.9%
Amari Odom run for 4 yds to the MRMK 46Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
95.3%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the MRMK 43Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+9
95.2%
Amari Odom run for 9 yds to the MRMK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
95.6%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the MRMK 30Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+7
96.1%
Coleman Bennett run for 7 yds to the MRMK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
96.7%
Alexander Diggs run for 4 yds to the MRMK 19Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
96.8%
Alexander Diggs run for 3 yds to the MRMK 16Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
96.7%
Kennesaw State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+44
98.9%
Britton Williams 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRMKDrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:073% → 3%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
97.5%
Brendon Wyatt run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRMK 14Similar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Jalen McDonaldSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.2%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 2 yds to the MRMK 31Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+12
97.5%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 12 yds to the MRMK 26Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+7
97.3%
Ayden Pereira run for 7 yds to the MRMK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+13
97.5%
Ayden Pereira pass complete to Cooper Lehman for 13 yds to the MRMK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
97.4%
Ayden Pereira run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:45
Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q3 9:47
Amari Odom pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 7 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q3 7:07
Amari Odom run for 12 yds for a TD (Britton Williams KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com