JXST
Jacksonville State 34 at Georgia Southern 41
GASO2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey play
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GASO · Drive 1TD · 10 plays · 60 yds
Q1 14:52
Conor Donaghy kickoff for 59 yds , Dalen Cobb return for 34 yds to the GASO 40
53.8%
0.0
Q1 14:46
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the GASO 40
57.2%
+3.4
Q1 14:23
Dalen Cobb run for 12 yds to the JXST 48 for a 1ST down
57.2%
0.0
Q1 13:59
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the JXST 46
58.1%
+0.9
Q1 13:27
JC French IV pass complete to Dylan Gary for 16 yds to the JXST 30 for a 1ST down
58.1%
0.0
Q1 12:52
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the JXST 26
58.5%
+0.4
Q1 12:28
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 14 yds to the JXST 12 for a 1ST down
58.5%
0.0
Q1 12:00
JC French IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the JXST 14
58.5%
0.0
Q1 11:34
JC French IV pass complete to Terrance Gibbs for 12 yds to the JXST 2 for a 1ST down
58.5%
0.0
Q1 11:04
JC French IV run for 2 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
70.3%
+11.8
JXST · Drive 2TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q1 11:04
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
70.0%
-0.3
Q1 10:57
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the JXST 28
68.8%
-1.2
Q1 10:32
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the JXST 30
68.8%
0.0
Q1 9:57
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 15 yds to the JXST 45 for a 1ST down
68.8%
0.0
Q1 9:21
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 8 yds to the GASO 47
67.9%
-0.9
Q1 9:08
Cam Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 49
67.1%
-0.8
Q1 8:28
Cam Cook run for 16 yds to the GASO 33 for a 1ST down
67.1%
+0.1
Q1 7:57
Gavin Wimsatt run for 9 yds to the GASO 24
66.6%
-0.5
Q1 7:24
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 16 yds to the GASO 8 for a 1ST down
66.6%
0.0
Q1 7:12
Cam Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the GASO 10
66.6%
0.0
Q1 6:34
Gavin Wimsatt run for 10 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
51.5%
-15.1
Q1 6:22
Conor Donaghy kickoff for 60 yds , Dalen Cobb return for 95 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
68.5%
+17.0
JXST · Drive 3TD · 8 plays · 75 yds
Q1 6:22
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
69.6%
+1.1
Q1 6:15
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the JXST 28
68.5%
-1.1
Q1 5:47
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the JXST 31
68.5%
0.0
Q1 5:47
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 05:47
69.1%
+0.6
Q1 5:04
Cam Cook run for 12 yds to the JXST 43 for a 1ST down
69.1%
0.0
Q1 4:30
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the JXST 44
68.7%
-0.5
Q1 3:54
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Cam Cook
68.7%
0.0
Q1 3:42
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 56 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
50.2%
-18.5
GASO · Drive 4FG · 11 plays · 15 yds
Q1 3:33
Conor Donaghy kickoff for 32 yds , Jaquari Brown return for 34 yds to the JXST 33
51.3%
+1.2
Q1 3:29
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb
57.9%
+6.6
Q1 3:29
PENALTY GASO False Start (Brown III,Johnnie) 5 yards from JSU 33 to JSU 38. NO PLAY.
57.9%
0.0
Q1 3:24
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the JXST 35
57.9%
0.0
Q1 3:24
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 03:24
57.9%
0.0
Q1 2:40
JC French IV pass complete to Taylor Bradshaw for 14 yds to the JXST 21 for a 1ST down
57.9%
0.0
Q1 2:17
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the JXST 18
57.9%
-0.1
Q1 1:54
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden Brown
57.9%
0.0
Q1 1:48
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden Brown
57.9%
0.0
Q1 1:48
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 01:48
56.4%
-1.5
Q1 1:44
Tripp Bryant 37 yd FG GOOD
62.6%
+6.2
JXST · Drive 5INT · 2 plays · 0 yds
Q1 1:44
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
62.7%
+0.1
Q1 1:37
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Ayden Jackson return for no gain to the JXST 39
59.7%
-3.0
GASO · Drive 6TD · 5 plays · 39 yds
Q1 1:31
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the JXST 39
63.0%
+3.3
Q1 1:17
JC French IV run for 9 yds to the JXST 30
63.0%
0.0
Q1 0:38
JC French IV run for 2 yds to the JXST 28 for a 1ST down
62.8%
-0.3
Q1 0:00
David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the JXST 18 for a 1ST down
62.8%
0.0
Q2 14:56
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 18 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
87.7%
+25.0
JXST · Drive 7FG · 11 plays · 62 yds
Q2 14:56
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.6%
-0.2
Q2 14:50
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the JXST 29
73.2%
-14.4
Q2 14:17
Khristian Lando run for 6 yds to the JXST 35 for a 1ST down
73.2%
0.0
Q2 13:43
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the JXST 49 for a 1ST down
73.2%
0.0
Q2 13:21
Khristian Lando run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
72.8%
-0.5
Q2 12:34
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 32 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST down
72.8%
0.0
Q2 12:22
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 3 yds to the GASO 15
72.1%
-0.7
Q2 11:47
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Cam Cook for no gain to the GASO 15
72.1%
0.0
Q2 11:47
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 11:47
73.0%
+0.9
Q2 11:13
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 2 yds to the GASO 13
73.0%
0.0
Q2 10:38
Garrison Rippa 30 yd FG GOOD
68.9%
-4.2
GASO · Drive 8TD · 10 plays · 75 yds
Q2 10:38
Garrison Rippa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
70.5%
+1.6
Q2 10:30
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 5 yds to the GASO 30
76.6%
+6.2
Q2 10:04
JC French IV pass complete to Terrance Gibbs for 3 yds to the GASO 33
76.3%
-0.4
Q2 9:27
Weston Bryan run for 3 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down
76.3%
0.0
Q2 8:52
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 15 yds to the JXST 49 for a 1ST down
76.8%
+0.5
Q2 8:21
Jamarian Samuel run for 5 yds to the JXST 44
76.8%
0.0
Q2 7:52
Jamarian Samuel run for 4 yds to the JXST 40
76.4%
-0.4
Q2 7:10
JC French IV run for 2 yds to the JXST 38 for a 1ST down
76.4%
0.0
Q2 6:34
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the JXST 32
76.7%
+0.3
Q2 5:54
OJ Arnold run for 32 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
90.6%
+13.8
JXST · Drive 9PUNT · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q2 5:48
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 62 yds , Gabe Glover return for 18 yds to the JXST 21
90.6%
0.0
Q2 5:42
Khristian Lando run for 2 yds to the JXST 23
79.7%
-10.9
Q2 5:04
Khristian Lando run for 2 yds to the JXST 25
79.7%
0.0
Q2 4:29
Jacksonville State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Pettway) declined
79.8%
+0.1
Q2 4:15
Conor Donaghy punt for 38 yds
79.8%
0.0
GASO · Drive 10PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q2 4:10
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 37
90.7%
+10.9
Q2 3:39
JC French IV run for 4 yds to the GASO 41
90.9%
+0.3
Q2 3:04
JC French IV pass incomplete to OJ Arnold
90.9%
0.0
Q2 2:57
Alex Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gabe Glover at the JXST 34
90.9%
0.0
JXST · Drive 11TD · 13 plays · 66 yds
Q2 2:48
Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the JXST 45 for a 1ST down
79.0%
-12.0
Q2 2:12
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 7 yds to the GASO 48
80.3%
+1.4
Q2 2:00
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:00
80.1%
-0.2
Q2 1:54
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 8 yds to the GASO 40 for a 1ST down Georgia Southern Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST down
80.1%
0.0
Q2 1:47
Cam Cook run for 10 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down
80.0%
-0.1
Q2 1:36
Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the GASO 24
79.8%
-0.2
Q2 1:20
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Deondre Johnson
79.8%
0.0
Q2 1:14
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Deondre Johnson for 6 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST down
79.8%
0.0
Q2 1:03
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the GASO 17
79.8%
0.0
Q2 0:36
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the GASO 14
81.5%
+1.7
Q2 0:36
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 00:36
81.5%
0.0
Q2 0:31
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 8 yds to the GASO 6 for a 1ST down
81.5%
0.0
Q2 0:24
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
69.2%
-12.2
GASO · Drive 12END OF HALF · 2 plays · 2 yds
Q2 0:22
Garrison Rippa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
71.4%
+2.2
Q2 0:00
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the GASO 27
76.3%
+4.8
JXST · Drive 13FG · 13 plays · 49 yds
Q3 15:00
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 60 yds
72.2%
-4.1
Q3 14:55
Cam Cook run for 10 yds to the JXST 45 Cam Cook fumbled, recovered by JXST Brock Rechsteiner for a 1ST down
69.6%
-2.6
Q3 14:17
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Cam Cook
68.6%
-1.0
Q3 14:11
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 7 yds to the GASO 48
68.6%
0.0
Q3 13:49
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the GASO 44 for a 1ST down
67.8%
-0.8
Q3 13:21
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the GASO 30 for a 1ST down
67.3%
-0.5
Q3 12:42
Gavin Wimsatt run for 9 yds to the GASO 21
67.3%
0.0
Q3 12:22
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the GASO 18 for a 1ST down
67.4%
+0.1
Q3 11:44
Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the GASO 11
67.4%
0.0
Q3 11:06
Khristian Lando run for a loss of 3 yards to the GASO 14
67.7%
+0.3
Q3 10:45
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Lando,Khristian rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GASO08 (Tyson,Brandon) PENALTY JSU Illegal Formation (Johnson,Deondre) 5 yards from GASO14 to GASO19. NO PLAY.
68.3%
+0.7
Q3 10:05
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Michael Pettway for 3 yds to the GASO 16
68.2%
-0.2
Q3 9:34
Garrison Rippa 33 yd FG GOOD
61.8%
-6.4
GASO · Drive 14PUNT · 6 plays · 18 yds
Q3 9:34
Garrison Rippa kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
63.3%
+1.5
Q3 9:24
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 11 yds to the GASO 36 for a 1ST down
68.6%
+5.2
Q3 8:54
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GASO 41
68.6%
0.0
Q3 8:36
JC French IV run for 2 yds to the GASO 43
68.6%
0.0
Q3 7:57
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb
68.6%
0.0
Q3 7:49
Alex Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gabe Glover at the JXST 15
68.6%
0.0
JXST · Drive 15PUNT · 6 plays · 16 yds
Q3 7:49
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 07:49
64.3%
-4.3
Q3 7:43
Cam Cook run for 16 yds to the JXST 31 for a 1ST down
64.3%
0.0
Q3 7:10
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the JXST 32
64.3%
0.0
Q3 6:42
Cam Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the JXST 29
64.3%
0.0
Q3 5:50
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the JXST 31
64.3%
0.0
Q3 5:22
Conor Donaghy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Peyton Plott at the GASO 34
64.6%
+0.2
GASO · Drive 16FUMBLE · 5 plays · 36 yds
Q3 5:15
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 13 yds to the GASO 47 for a 1ST down
69.3%
+4.7
Q3 4:44
David Mbadinga run for 10 yds to the JXST 43 for a 1ST down
69.4%
+0.1
Q3 4:18
David Mbadinga run for 2 yds to the JXST 41
69.8%
+0.4
Q3 3:50
David Mbadinga run for no gain to the JXST 41 Jacksonville State Penalty, (8 Yards) to the JXST 49
69.8%
0.0
Q3 3:17
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 19 yds Dalen Cobb fumbled, recovered by JXST Chase Alexander
70.0%
+0.2
JXST · Drive 17TD · 7 plays · 42 yds
Q3 3:10
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the GASO 37
63.0%
-7.0
Q3 2:44
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 5 yds to the GASO 32 for a 1ST down
63.0%
0.0
Q3 2:07
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Brock Rechsteiner
63.0%
0.0
Q3 2:00
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the GASO 33
63.0%
0.0
Q3 1:14
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 2 yds to the GASO 31
63.0%
0.0
Q3 0:34
Georgia Southern Penalty, (15 Yards) to the GASO 14 for a 1ST down
63.5%
+0.5
Q3 0:22
Brock Rechsteiner run for 14 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
38.7%
-24.7
GASO · Drive 18FG · 12 plays · 51 yds
Q3 0:16
Garrison Rippa kickoff for 60 yds , Jamarian Samuel return for 19 yds to the GASO 24
40.4%
+1.7
Q3 0:00
JC French IV pass complete to OJ Arnold for 5 yds to the GASO 29
47.0%
+6.6
Q4 14:53
Jamarian Samuel run for 5 yds to the GASO 34 for a 1ST down
47.0%
0.0
Q4 14:19
JC French IV run for 4 yds to the GASO 38
47.0%
0.0
Q4 13:44
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 11 yds to the GASO 49 for a 1ST down
47.1%
+0.1
Q4 13:23
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GASO 49
47.7%
+0.6
Q4 12:49
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb
47.7%
0.0
Q4 12:39
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 23 yds to the JXST 28 for a 1ST down
45.4%
-2.3
Q4 12:11
JC French IV pass incomplete to Camden Brown
46.5%
+1.1
Q4 12:04
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 3 yds to the JXST 25
46.5%
0.0
Q4 11:24
JC French IV pass incomplete to Dalen Cobb
46.6%
+0.1
Q4 11:19
Tripp Bryant 43 yd FG GOOD
58.2%
+11.6
JXST · Drive 19PUNT · 6 plays · 20 yds
Q4 11:14
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 65 yds , Gabe Glover return for 19 yds to the JXST 19
57.3%
-0.9
Q4 11:09
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the JXST 22
49.7%
-7.6
Q4 10:42
Cam Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 21
49.7%
0.0
Q4 10:42
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 10:42
49.7%
0.0
Q4 10:07
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Franklin Baret Jr.
49.5%
-0.2
Q4 9:56
Conor Donaghy punt for 26 yds
49.8%
+0.3
GASO · Drive 20TD · 7 plays · 65 yds
Q4 8:27
OJ Arnold run for 41 yds to the JXST 24 for a 1ST down
57.1%
+7.3
Q4 7:41
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the JXST 23
58.4%
+1.3
Q4 7:41
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the JXST 22
58.4%
0.0
Q4 7:41
JC French IV pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 9 yds to the JXST 13 for a 1ST down
58.4%
0.0
Q4 7:25
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Bryan,Weston rush middle for 4 yards gain to the JSU 09 (O'Steen,Walker) PENALTY JSU Offside (Floyd,Tae) 5 yards from JSU 13 to JSU 08. NO PLAY.
58.4%
0.0
Q4 6:58
Weston Bryan run for 2 yds to the JXST 6
58.4%
0.0
Q4 6:23
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
84.1%
+25.6
JXST · Drive 21PUNT · 7 plays · 8 yds
Q4 6:23
Evan Scruggs kickoff for 62 yds
83.9%
-0.2
Q4 6:09
Caden Creel run for 12 yds to the JXST 37 for a 1ST down
79.7%
-4.2
Q4 5:48
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Wimsatt,Gavin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JSU 40 (Harrington,Brendan) PENALTY JSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from JSU 37 to JSU 32. NO PLAY.
79.7%
0.0
Q4 5:27
Caden Creel sacked by Devin Collier for a loss of 3 yards to the JXST 29
79.7%
0.0
Q4 4:41
Caden Creel run for 4 yds to the JXST 33
80.8%
+1.1
Q4 3:57
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Caleb Coombs
80.8%
0.0
Q4 3:51
Conor Donaghy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Peyton Plott at the GASO 27
80.9%
+0.1
GASO · Drive 22END OF GAME · 13 plays · 37 yds
Q4 3:43
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the GASO 33
86.3%
+5.4
Q4 2:56
JC French IV run for 10 yds to the GASO 43 for a 1ST down
86.3%
0.0
Q4 2:56
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:56
89.4%
+3.1
Q4 2:10
OJ Arnold run for 12 yds to the JXST 45 for a 1ST down
90.2%
+0.7
Q4 2:10
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:10
90.6%
+0.5
Q4 2:04
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the JXST 40
90.7%
+0.1
Q4 2:04
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 02:04
91.2%
+0.5
Q4 1:53
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the JXST 37
91.2%
0.0
Q4 1:53
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 01:53
91.4%
+0.3
Q4 1:49
Weston Bryan run for 3 yds to the JXST 34 for a 1ST down
91.4%
0.0
Q4 1:49
Timeout Georgia Southern, clock 01:49
92.0%
+0.6
Q4 1:10
run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 35
92.0%
0.0
Q4 0:00
run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 36
92.4%
+0.4
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:23
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+25.6
TD · Q2 14:56
JC French IV pass complete to Camden Brown for 18 yds for a TD (Tripp Bryant KICK)
+25
TD · Q3 0:22
Brock Rechsteiner run for 14 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
-24.7