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FAU

Florida Atlantic 28 at Florida International 38

FIU
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Pitbull Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:01 · Trey Wilhoit punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 12 , Easton Messer returns for 6 yds to the FAU 35 Florida Atlantic Penalty, Offensive Holding (Terez Reid) to the FAU 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior+6.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:36: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 23 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +8.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:57: Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 32 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — FAU win probability +15.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:31: Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Defensive Holding (Wendol Philord) declined (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +11.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:04: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 26 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +12.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:55: Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK) — FIU win probability +11.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:07FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:07FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:01FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:29FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:32FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:32FIU 4th & 12 at FAU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:29FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−2.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:15FAU 4th & 23 at FAU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−4.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:34FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:30FAU 4th & 10 at FIU 44, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    8.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:01FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:55FAU 4th & 3 at FIU 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:48FAU 4th & 10 at FIU 35, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:24FAU 4th & 12 at FIU 14, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:45FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:48FIU 4th & 3 at FAU 3, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−3.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:09FIU 4th & 5 at FAU 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:43FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:43FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:36FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:57FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:31FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:04FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:55FIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:45FAU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:3642% → 42%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
58.0%
Gemari Sands run for 26 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
57.9%
Gemari Sands run for 3 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
57.9%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FIU 45Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
57.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Shamir Sterlin return for no gain to the FIU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:5058% → 58%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
58.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Christian Langford for 1 yd to the FIU 31Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
58.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for no gain to the FIU 31Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
57.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
57.8%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
57.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for 4 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
57.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the FAU 47Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
57.6%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FAU 48Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
57.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the FAU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:2459% → 63%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
58.7%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Tripp Jr.,Antonio) 5 yards from FAU48 to FIU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+20
58.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 20 yds to the FAU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
59.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shaborne Demps for 9 yds to the FAU 24Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+6
59.0%
Anthony Carrie run for 6 yds to the FAU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
59.1%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 19Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+5
59.1%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FAU 14Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
58.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kyle McNealSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+7
58.4%
PENALTY FAU Personal Foul (Reid,Terez) 7 yards from FAU14 to FAU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
59.3%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FAU 4Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.0%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4638% → 44%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
61.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 31 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+38
60.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 38 yds to the FIU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
59.9%
Xavier Terrell run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 10Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
55.8%
Caden Veltkamp run for 10 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3558% → 58%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.3%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone pass incomplete short right to Cayenne,Justin thrown to FIU26 PENALTY FIU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Michel,Daniel) 5 yards from FIU25 to FIU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
58.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
58.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for 7 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
58.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Tyson CarterSimilar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+6
57.5%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FAU 12 , Easton Messer returns for 6 yds to the FAU 35 Florida Atlantic Penalty, Offensive Holding (Terez Reid) to the FAU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1943% → 42%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
57.3%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FAU 13Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
57.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 9
OWN 13
-5
57.9%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Nonar,Ja'Kavion) 5 yards from FAU13 to FAU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+12
58.1%
Caden Veltkamp run for 12 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+33
58.2%
Logan Lupo punt for 62 yds , C'Quan Jnopierre returns for 33 yds to the FAU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:1160% → 68%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+46
60.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 46 yds to the FAU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FAU 1Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.7%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:0737% → 36%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
63.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 4 yds to the FAU 14Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
63.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 5 yds to the FAU 19Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
63.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 3 yds to the FAU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
63.6%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass incomplete deep middle to Henry,Dom thrown to FIU30 broken up by Blades II,Brian PENALTY FIU Holding (Levells,Ashton) 10 yards from FAU22 to FAU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
63.1%
Xavier Terrell run for 2 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
63.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
64.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 7 yds to the FAU 41Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
63.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the FAU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · -18 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-18
69.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 18 yards to the FIU 41 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FAU Chris Tooley IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:4638% → 46%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
62.5%
Gemari Sands run for 1 yd to the FIU 40Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+8
62.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Kirch for 8 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
62.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 4 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
61.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
62.1%
Xavier Terrell run for 5 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
54.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 23 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 6:4559% → 63%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dallas Payne for 7 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
60.0%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
61.0%
Anthony Carrie run for 3 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-5
61.2%
Devonte Lyons run for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 46Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+23
58.6%
Keyone Jenkins run for 23 yds to the FAU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
61.9%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
62.1%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FAU 22Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+5
61.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 5 yds to the FAU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
62.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 1 yd to the FAU 16Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-1
62.3%
Anthony Carrie run for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU 17Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-2
61.4%
Anthony Carrie run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 19Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+39
62.8%
Robert Czeremcha 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2939% → 58%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Khmari JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
61.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 11 yds to the FAU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.9%
Gemari Sands run for 2 yds to the FAU 38Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+19
59.3%
Gemari Sands run for 19 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
57.7%
Gemari Sands run for 5 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
57.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
58.3%
Gemari Sands run for 3 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
42.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 32 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:1649% → 47%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
48.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Shaborne DempsSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
48.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Devonte Lyons for 2 yds to the FIU 24Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
47.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Maguire AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
47.0%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15INT
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:2254% → 56%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
46.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 8 yds to the FAU 42Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+40
44.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 40 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
43.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-25
43.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Mister Clark return for 25 yds to the FIU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2951% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
50.6%
Kejon Owens run for 22 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
53.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 8 yds to the FAU 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+8
54.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kyle McNeal for 8 yds to the FAU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
54.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 20 yds to the FAU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
55.8%
Anthony Carrie run for 3 yds to the FAU 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
55.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 8 yds to the FAU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
55.8%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FAU 4Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
67.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 4 yds for a TD Florida Atlantic Penalty, Defensive Holding (Wendol Philord) declined (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:5738% → 35%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
62.1%
Gemari Sands run for 4 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
61.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-5
62.6%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Nonar,Ja'Kavion) 5 yards from FAU33 to FAU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-12
63.9%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Keegan Davis for a loss of 12 yards to the FAU 16Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 23
OWN 16
0
65.4%
Logan Lupo punt for 39 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 0:5666% → 79%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
66.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Maguire Anderson for 21 yds to the FAU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
68.1%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Jenkins,Keyone rush right for 2 yards gain to the FAU32, End Of Play PENALTY FIU Holding (Tripp Jr.,Antonio) 10 yards from FAU34 to FAU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+18
66.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for 18 yds to the FAU 26Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+26
78.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 26 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0425% → 22%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
75.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 4 yds to the FAU 34Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
77.3%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wendol Philord) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+6
78.4%
Caden Veltkamp run for 6 yds to the FAU 40Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
78.4%
Logan Lupo punt for 45 yds, fair catch by C'Quan Jnopierre at the FIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:2677% → 93%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
77.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kejon Owens for 11 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
78.1%
Kejon Owens run for 5 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+47
78.6%
Kejon Owens run for 47 yds to the FAU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
80.9%
Kejon Owens run for 21 yds to the FAU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 28 yds · 2:1610% → 8%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad WaseemSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+16
90.9%
Gemari Sands run for 16 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
90.2%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Veltkamp,Caden pass incomplete short left to Henry,Dom thrown to FAU38 PENALTY FAU Holding (Nonar,Ja'Kavion) 10 yards from FAU44 to FAU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 20
OWN 34
0
90.9%
Florida Atlantic Penalty, Illegal Formation (Wendol Philord) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+9
91.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 9 yds to the FAU 43Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+7
90.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 4
50
+6
90.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 6 yds to the FIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
90.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
90.3%
Xavier Terrell run for 3 yds to the FIU 41Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-3
90.6%
Xavier Terrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
91.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5595% → 94%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
94.6%
Devonte Lyons run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 43 Devonte Lyons fumbled, recovered by FIU Devonte LyonsSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
94.6%
Devonte Lyons run for 3 yds to the FIU 46Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
94.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Alex PerrySimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
94.2%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Wendol Philord at the FAU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
22 plays · 67 yds · 6:307% → 4%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
93.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dominique HenrySimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
93.3%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 9 yds to the FAU 20Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+7
93.4%
Gemari Sands run for 7 yds to the FAU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
93.2%
(00:22) PENALTY FAU False Start (Nonar,Ja'Kavion) 5 yards from FAU27 to FAU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
93.6%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Jabari SmithSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+11
93.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jabari Smith for 11 yds to the FAU 33Similar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+8
93.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Jabari Smith for 8 yds to the FAU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
93.5%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 1 yd to the FAU 42Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+4
94.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 4 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+7
94.2%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Asaad Waseem for 7 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
94.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 7 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
93.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
93.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Joseph YoungSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+5
94.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
93.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
94.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Asaad WaseemSimilar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+23
94.7%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 23 yds to the FIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
94.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for no gain to the FIU 12Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-7
94.6%
Caden Veltkamp sacked by Kenton Simmons for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 19Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 17
OPP 19
+5
95.5%
Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the FIU 14Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+8
95.7%
Andrew Nelms run for 8 yds to the FIU 22 Andrew Nelms fumbled, recovered by FAU Garrison SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT TD
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:3297% → 91%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
96.8%
Anthony Carrie run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+7
96.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Braiden Staten for 7 yds to the FIU 27Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+2
97.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Anthony Carrie for 2 yds to the FIU 25Similar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+4
90.8%
Jarvis Johnson 4 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Garrison Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:4193% → 95%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
93.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Justin Cayenne for 6 yds to the FAU 49Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
93.6%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
94.5%
Kejon Owens run for 39 yds to the FAU 7 Kejon Owens fumbled, recovered by FIU Kejon Owens for a 1ST down Kejon Owens for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
95.0%
Maguire Anderson run for 3 yds to the FAU 4Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
95.2%
Keyone Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the FAU 7 Keyone Jenkins fumbled, recovered by FIU Keyone JenkinsSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
95.5%
Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FAU 3Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
95.3%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Deshaun Batiste for a loss of 9 yards to the FAU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:004% → 4%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
96.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 3 yds to the FAU 15Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+10
96.1%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Gemari Sands for 10 yds to the FAU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
96.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dominique Henry for 19 yds to the FAU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-30
96.4%
Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Jessiah McGrew return for 30 yds to the FIU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:1997% → 99%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
96.7%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the FAU 46Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-2
98.4%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU 48Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+1
98.5%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FAU 47Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the FAU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:023% → 3%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
97.2%
Gemari Sands run for 16 yds to the FAU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
97.0%
PENALTY FIU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from FAU22 to FAU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
96.7%
Xavier Terrell run for 14 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:57
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Xavier Terrell for 32 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q3 9:04
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Alex Perry for 26 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)
+12.7
TD · Q3 4:55
Anthony Carrie run for 1 yd for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com